Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Corfu, NY
March 29, 2024 3:47 AM EDT (07:47 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:57 AM Sunset 7:37 PM Moonrise 11:32 PM Moonset 7:44 AM |
LEZ020 Upper Niagara River And Buffalo Harbor- 1030 Am Edt Thu Mar 28 2024
Rest of today - West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Mostly Sunny.
Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Partly cloudy.
Friday - Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Mostly Sunny in the morning, then becoming partly Sunny.
Friday night - West winds 5 to 15 knots. Becoming mainly clear.
Saturday - West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. A chance of rain showers during the day, then rain showers likely Saturday night.
Sunday - Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Mostly cloudy.
Monday - East winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers during the day, then rain showers likely Monday night.
the water temperature off buffalo is 38 degrees.
the water temperature off buffalo is 38 degrees.
LEZ005
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Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 290533 AFDBUF
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 133 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
Dry and cool weather will prevail today through Saturday morning.
Low pressure will then move across the southern Great Lakes late Saturday through early Sunday morning, bringing a chance of spotty light rain. Mainly dry weather will then return during the day Sunday as weak high pressure builds back into the eastern Great Lakes.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
IR satellite imagery showing mainly clear skies across Western NY early this morning, with dense cirrus streaming across the eastern Lake Ontario region to the west of an elongated coastal low moving north offshore of New England. The clouds east of Lake Ontario will gradually clear from west to east through the early morning hours.
A mid level trough will gradually advance from the eastern Great Lakes this morning to New England tonight. Increasing large scale forcing from the approaching trough will allow the coastal low to spin up and intensify as it moves into the Canadian Maritimes late tonight, but much too far east to have any direct influence on our weather. Despite the passage of the mid level trough today, the airmass is quite dry, with just a shallow layer of low level moisture available.
The low level moisture and cold air aloft will allow plenty of diurnal cumulus/stratocumulus to develop today inland from the lake shadows. The most dense low level cloud cover will develop along a well defined convergence zone forced by backed flow over Lake Erie.
This band of enhanced cloud cover will stretch from the Niagara Region of Ontario across Buffalo, extending ESE into the western Finger Lakes. Expect dry weather to prevail, although a few light sprinkles cannot be ruled out from any of the taller towering cumulus.
The convergence zones and diurnal cumulus will break down this evening with the loss of daytime heating. The airmass will be cold enough to support lake effect clouds overnight southeast of Lake Ontario from the Monroe County lakeshore east to Wayne/Cayuga counties. Forecast soundings suggest the moisture will be very shallow and removed from a mixed phase layer well above in the dry air. The shallow moisture and unfavorable cloud microphysics should prevent any lake effect showers from developing, with the lake response limited to cloud cover.
Cool temperatures will continue. Highs today will be in the low to mid 40s in most areas, and upper 30s for higher terrain. Lows tonight will drop back into the upper 20s to lower 30s, with mid 20s for the cooler Southern Tier valleys and Lewis County.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
Showery conditions for the middle portion of the weekend/short term forecast period. A weakening shortwave trough and sfc low will track across the region Saturday afternoon causing showers to move into the area, mainly south of Lake Ontario. As the batch of showers tracks into the area, weakening of the sfc low and trough with eastward progression will start to result in decreasing density of the shower coverage over the region. Whats left with this batch of showers will track southeast away from the forecast area later Saturday evening. A second shortwave trough will track west to east just north of Lake Ontario Saturday night. Showers will increase some from the northwest to the southeast, especially for the north country where the trough will be closest to. Showers over the eastern portions of the forecast area should be minimal. This will be in part due to moisture with this next shortwave will be on the lower side with PWats generally around a third of an inch and the trough will be in more of a weakening stage during this time. Rainfall amounts should range from a few hundredths of an inch near the south shore of Lake Ontario to around a tenth of an inch near the NY/PA border. Temperatures should be just cool enough for rain showers to mix with or change to snow for Saturday night, mainly across the higher terrain.
Temperatures for the period should be near to a few degrees above normal.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
On Monday an elongated and increasingly positively-tilted upper level trough will extend from the Rockies across the northern Great Plains...with lee-side surface cyclogenesis supporting the continued development of a broad surface low over the central and southern Plains states
Northeast of this low
a tight low-level baroclinic zone will extend eastward across the Ohio Valley...with one or more weak disturbances rippling east along this feature and possibly bringing the chance of a few light showers to western New York. With continued poor model agreement in the positioning of the frontal zone and consequently the track of any disturbances riding eastward along it...have elected to keep PoPs for Monday confined to the low chance range for now. Otherwise Monday looks to offer a milder than normal start to the month of April...with highs mostly ranging through the 50s.
After that the above mentioned upper trough will get sheared apart...with the bulk of its energy ejecting northeastward across the Plains states into the Great Lakes and Northeast...where this looks to engage in a complex interaction with northern stream energy dropping southeastward from Canada during the middle and latter portions of the week. The corresponding surface low will continue to develop and track northeastward toward our area Monday night and Tuesday...then will pass somewhere across our region between Tuesday night and Wednesday...before redeveloping off the New England coastline Thursday. This would result in a likelihood of fairly widespread precipitation developing across our area between later Monday night and Tuesday...then lingering through Wednesday before gradually tapering off thereafter.
As has been the case so far with this system...the various guidance packages continue to exhibit differences in how the two supporting streams of energy may interact...which then leads to differences in the overall strength and track of the low and consequently what precipitation types we might ultimately expect and when. A current model consensus suggests that temps should remain warm enough to support primarily rain through at least the first part of Tuesday night...with a little snow then possibly mixing in across the higher terrain later on in the night. More rain and possible higher elevation wet snow then looks to follow for Wednesday...before colder air wrapping in behind the system potentially brings about a more general accumulating wet snowfall Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Meanwhile temperatures should gradually cool through the period...with slightly above average highs on Tuesday giving way to somewhat below average readings for both Wednesday and Thursday.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
High clouds will remain over the eastern Lake Ontario region early this morning to the west of an elongated coastal low offshore of New England. Cold air aloft combined with a shallow layer of low level moisture will allow areas of diurnal cumulus and stratocumulus to develop by mid to late morning and continue through early evening away from stable lake shadows. Expect bases to be lower end VFR. The diurnal cloud cover will diminish this evening with the loss of daytime heating. Lake effect clouds will develop southeast of Lake Ontario tonight with lower end VFR bases.
It will turn quite breezy this afternoon and evening, with gusts of 25-30 knots areawide from the WNW.
Outlook...
Saturday...VFR, but with showers possible far west late.
Saturday night...Areas of MVFR with a chance of showers.
Sunday...areas of MVFR early with a chance of rain and snow showers, improving to VFR.
Monday...VFR to MVFR with a chance of rain, mainly southern areas.
Tuesday...MVFR/IFR with rain likely.
MARINE
Elongated low pressure east of New England will consolidate into a deepening low over the Gulf of Maine this afternoon, then move into the Canadian Maritimes tonight. The deepening low will tighten the pressure gradient over the lower Great Lakes today, bringing a round of Small Craft Advisory conditions this afternoon and tonight. Winds will be strongest on the east half of Lake Ontario, with sustained winds reaching 25-30 knots later this afternoon and evening resulting in higher end Small Craft Advisory conditions. Winds will be lower on the west end of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie, but still strong enough to support a period of Small Craft Advisory waves.
Winds will gradually diminish from west to east late tonight and Saturday as the strong coastal low moves into northern Quebec and weakens.
BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 4 AM EDT Saturday for LOZ042.
Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 8 AM EDT Saturday for LOZ043-044.
Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 8 AM EDT Saturday for LOZ045.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 133 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
Dry and cool weather will prevail today through Saturday morning.
Low pressure will then move across the southern Great Lakes late Saturday through early Sunday morning, bringing a chance of spotty light rain. Mainly dry weather will then return during the day Sunday as weak high pressure builds back into the eastern Great Lakes.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
IR satellite imagery showing mainly clear skies across Western NY early this morning, with dense cirrus streaming across the eastern Lake Ontario region to the west of an elongated coastal low moving north offshore of New England. The clouds east of Lake Ontario will gradually clear from west to east through the early morning hours.
A mid level trough will gradually advance from the eastern Great Lakes this morning to New England tonight. Increasing large scale forcing from the approaching trough will allow the coastal low to spin up and intensify as it moves into the Canadian Maritimes late tonight, but much too far east to have any direct influence on our weather. Despite the passage of the mid level trough today, the airmass is quite dry, with just a shallow layer of low level moisture available.
The low level moisture and cold air aloft will allow plenty of diurnal cumulus/stratocumulus to develop today inland from the lake shadows. The most dense low level cloud cover will develop along a well defined convergence zone forced by backed flow over Lake Erie.
This band of enhanced cloud cover will stretch from the Niagara Region of Ontario across Buffalo, extending ESE into the western Finger Lakes. Expect dry weather to prevail, although a few light sprinkles cannot be ruled out from any of the taller towering cumulus.
The convergence zones and diurnal cumulus will break down this evening with the loss of daytime heating. The airmass will be cold enough to support lake effect clouds overnight southeast of Lake Ontario from the Monroe County lakeshore east to Wayne/Cayuga counties. Forecast soundings suggest the moisture will be very shallow and removed from a mixed phase layer well above in the dry air. The shallow moisture and unfavorable cloud microphysics should prevent any lake effect showers from developing, with the lake response limited to cloud cover.
Cool temperatures will continue. Highs today will be in the low to mid 40s in most areas, and upper 30s for higher terrain. Lows tonight will drop back into the upper 20s to lower 30s, with mid 20s for the cooler Southern Tier valleys and Lewis County.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
Showery conditions for the middle portion of the weekend/short term forecast period. A weakening shortwave trough and sfc low will track across the region Saturday afternoon causing showers to move into the area, mainly south of Lake Ontario. As the batch of showers tracks into the area, weakening of the sfc low and trough with eastward progression will start to result in decreasing density of the shower coverage over the region. Whats left with this batch of showers will track southeast away from the forecast area later Saturday evening. A second shortwave trough will track west to east just north of Lake Ontario Saturday night. Showers will increase some from the northwest to the southeast, especially for the north country where the trough will be closest to. Showers over the eastern portions of the forecast area should be minimal. This will be in part due to moisture with this next shortwave will be on the lower side with PWats generally around a third of an inch and the trough will be in more of a weakening stage during this time. Rainfall amounts should range from a few hundredths of an inch near the south shore of Lake Ontario to around a tenth of an inch near the NY/PA border. Temperatures should be just cool enough for rain showers to mix with or change to snow for Saturday night, mainly across the higher terrain.
Temperatures for the period should be near to a few degrees above normal.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
On Monday an elongated and increasingly positively-tilted upper level trough will extend from the Rockies across the northern Great Plains...with lee-side surface cyclogenesis supporting the continued development of a broad surface low over the central and southern Plains states
Northeast of this low
a tight low-level baroclinic zone will extend eastward across the Ohio Valley...with one or more weak disturbances rippling east along this feature and possibly bringing the chance of a few light showers to western New York. With continued poor model agreement in the positioning of the frontal zone and consequently the track of any disturbances riding eastward along it...have elected to keep PoPs for Monday confined to the low chance range for now. Otherwise Monday looks to offer a milder than normal start to the month of April...with highs mostly ranging through the 50s.
After that the above mentioned upper trough will get sheared apart...with the bulk of its energy ejecting northeastward across the Plains states into the Great Lakes and Northeast...where this looks to engage in a complex interaction with northern stream energy dropping southeastward from Canada during the middle and latter portions of the week. The corresponding surface low will continue to develop and track northeastward toward our area Monday night and Tuesday...then will pass somewhere across our region between Tuesday night and Wednesday...before redeveloping off the New England coastline Thursday. This would result in a likelihood of fairly widespread precipitation developing across our area between later Monday night and Tuesday...then lingering through Wednesday before gradually tapering off thereafter.
As has been the case so far with this system...the various guidance packages continue to exhibit differences in how the two supporting streams of energy may interact...which then leads to differences in the overall strength and track of the low and consequently what precipitation types we might ultimately expect and when. A current model consensus suggests that temps should remain warm enough to support primarily rain through at least the first part of Tuesday night...with a little snow then possibly mixing in across the higher terrain later on in the night. More rain and possible higher elevation wet snow then looks to follow for Wednesday...before colder air wrapping in behind the system potentially brings about a more general accumulating wet snowfall Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Meanwhile temperatures should gradually cool through the period...with slightly above average highs on Tuesday giving way to somewhat below average readings for both Wednesday and Thursday.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
High clouds will remain over the eastern Lake Ontario region early this morning to the west of an elongated coastal low offshore of New England. Cold air aloft combined with a shallow layer of low level moisture will allow areas of diurnal cumulus and stratocumulus to develop by mid to late morning and continue through early evening away from stable lake shadows. Expect bases to be lower end VFR. The diurnal cloud cover will diminish this evening with the loss of daytime heating. Lake effect clouds will develop southeast of Lake Ontario tonight with lower end VFR bases.
It will turn quite breezy this afternoon and evening, with gusts of 25-30 knots areawide from the WNW.
Outlook...
Saturday...VFR, but with showers possible far west late.
Saturday night...Areas of MVFR with a chance of showers.
Sunday...areas of MVFR early with a chance of rain and snow showers, improving to VFR.
Monday...VFR to MVFR with a chance of rain, mainly southern areas.
Tuesday...MVFR/IFR with rain likely.
MARINE
Elongated low pressure east of New England will consolidate into a deepening low over the Gulf of Maine this afternoon, then move into the Canadian Maritimes tonight. The deepening low will tighten the pressure gradient over the lower Great Lakes today, bringing a round of Small Craft Advisory conditions this afternoon and tonight. Winds will be strongest on the east half of Lake Ontario, with sustained winds reaching 25-30 knots later this afternoon and evening resulting in higher end Small Craft Advisory conditions. Winds will be lower on the west end of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie, but still strong enough to support a period of Small Craft Advisory waves.
Winds will gradually diminish from west to east late tonight and Saturday as the strong coastal low moves into northern Quebec and weakens.
BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 4 AM EDT Saturday for LOZ042.
Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 8 AM EDT Saturday for LOZ043-044.
Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 8 AM EDT Saturday for LOZ045.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY | 27 mi | 47 min | WNW 1.9G | 38°F | 42°F | 29.92 | 33°F | |
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY | 36 mi | 47 min | 35°F | 29.94 | ||||
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY | 36 mi | 47 min | S 2.9G | 34°F | 29.98 | |||
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY | 38 mi | 47 min | 38°F | 29.92 | ||||
YGNN6 - Niagara Coast Guard , NY | 44 mi | 47 min | E 1G | 37°F | 29.95 | |||
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY | 48 mi | 47 min | 35°F | |||||
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY | 49 mi | 47 min | W 7G | 37°F | 29.98 |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KGVQ GENESEE COUNTY,NY | 15 sm | 51 min | SW 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 34°F | 25°F | 69% | 29.94 | |
KBUF BUFFALO NIAGARA INTL,NY | 19 sm | 53 min | S 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 34°F | 27°F | 75% | 29.94 |
Buffalo, NY,
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