Sunday, April22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kenmore, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:19AMSunset 8:08PM Sunday April 22, 2018 2:19 PM EDT (18:19 UTC) Moonrise 11:03AMMoonset 1:13AM Illumination 49% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ020 Upper Niagara River And Buffalo Harbor- 1002 Am Edt Sun Apr 22 2018
This afternoon..Light and variable winds becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots. Sunny.
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Clear.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 knots or less. Sunny.
Monday night..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Mainly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy.
Tuesday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. A chance of showers during the day, then rain Tuesday night.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Rain.
Thursday..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. A chance of showers during the day. The water temperature off buffalo is 35 degrees.
LEZ020 Expires:201804222145;;331865 FZUS51 KBUF 221402 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1002 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ020-222145-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kenmore, NY
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location: 42.94, -78.84     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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Fxus61 kbuf 221717
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
117 pm edt Sun apr 22 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will slowly drift east across the area through Monday
and provide plenty of sunshine each day and much warmer
temperatures. Low pressure moving from the ohio valley to new
england will then bring rain showers to the region from late Tuesday
through Wednesday.

Near term through Monday
Visible satellite imagery shows clear skies across the region early
this afternoon. Surface high pressure across the great lakes will
slowly drift east off the new england coast through Monday. With a
very dry airmass and subsidence expect full sunshine today and clear
skies tonight.

A weak northerly flow will remain in place today, with airmass
modification warming 850mb temps to around 0c. This will support
highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s at lower elevations away
from lake influences, with mid 50s for higher terrain. The weak
gradient northerly flow will be enhanced by lake breeze
circulations this afternoon, keeping the south shores of lake
ontario and lake erie in the mid to upper 40s.

Expect another good radiational cooling night tonight with clear
skies and light winds. Lows will be in the 30s in most locations,
with 20s east of lake ontario.

A weak southerly return flow will develop on Monday, and this along
with a warmer air mass will result in even warmer temperatures.

Expect highs to be mainly in the 60s on Monday, with a few spots
making a run at 70. It will continue to be cooler along the
lakeshores, but the southerly gradient flow will limit the lake
breeze to the immediate shoreline.

Short term Monday night through Wednesday night
Monday night will be the first more mild night we've seen as
well, with increasing warm advection and downsloping holding
overnight lows in the 40s.

Tuesday will remain mild with the southerly flow across the region,
but will likely but just a touch cooler as a cutoff low over stalls
over the tennessee valley before beginning a merger with a potent wave
diving in from the upper great lakes. The first half of Tuesday will
likely remain dry, with increasing cloud cover, however rain showers
may move in across western ny during the second half of Tuesday,
especially by Tuesday evening. Highs will still be solidly in the
60s for most locations, with Tuesday night lows in the 40s.

Tuesday night into Wednesday will see widespread rain showers, and
possibly some periods of fairly steady rain as the cutoff low merges
with the northern stream wave with a strengthening surface low near
or over the forecast area. Temperatures will moderate further under
the upper-level low and the cloudy, rainy weather, bringing highs
mainly the 50s Wednesday. Rain will continue to into Wednesday
night, while likely starting to taper off from west to east
overnight as the surface low tracks northeastward away from the
forecast area.

Long term Thursday through Saturday
Through the end of the week, the overall pattern will return to
general troughiness over the northeast. While this will mean an
overall return to cooler and more unsettled weather, the airmass is
not nearly as cold as we dealt with for the first half of april. So
while temperatures will remain slightly below normal, this only
means highs in the 50s, with showers coming in the form of rain
instead of snow.

Looking at the day-to-day details, the shower activity should taper
back from west to east Thursday as the surface low pushes farther
into new england. There may be a brief period of dry weather later
Thursday into Friday as some ridging develops behind the wave moving
into new england and the incoming reinforcing shortwave. This
secondary shortwave will send a cold front into the region some time
Friday with additional chances for showers which may linger through
Saturday.

Aviation 17z Sunday through Thursday
Vfr conditions will prevail this through Monday with strong high
pressure bringing skc.

Outlook...

Monday night...VFR.

Tuesday...VFR with a chance of afternoon showers.

Tuesday night and Wednesday... Areas of MVFR with showers
likely.

Thursday and Friday...VFR MVFR. A chance of showers.

Marine
High pressure across the great lakes this afternoon will move
off the southern new england coast on Monday. This will support
light winds and flat wave action on lakes erie and ontario
through Monday. Local lake breeze circulations will develop each
afternoon with onshore winds along most lakeshores.

Buf watches warnings advisories
Ny... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Apffel
near term... Apffel
short term... Church
long term... Church
aviation... Apffel
marine... Apffel


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 5 mi49 min W 4.1 G 5.1 51°F 1029 hPa11°F
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 13 mi49 min 57°F 1030.4 hPa
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 20 mi49 min 49°F 1029.6 hPa
YGNN6 - Niagara Coast Guard , NY 25 mi79 min NNW 2.9 G 4.1 42°F 1030.8 hPa (-0.7)
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY 28 mi79 min Calm G 0 44°F 1032.2 hPa (-0.3)
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 41 mi79 min NNE 11 G 12 40°F 1030.7 hPa (-1.5)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Buffalo, Greater Buffalo International Airport, NY6 mi25 minno data10.00 miA Few Clouds60°F19°F21%1030.2 hPa
Niagara Falls, Niagara Falls International Airport, NY13 mi26 minNE 610.00 miFair62°F24°F23%1030.5 hPa

Wind History from BUF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW11W10SW11SW9SW7SW6SW3S4S4S6S5S4S4SE3SE4S4SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmE4N3--
1 day agoNW9SW14SW13SW14SW8SW8SW6SW6SW5SW3SW3S3CalmS3S3S3S4SW7SW8SW9SW9W10SW9SW7
2 days agoNW17
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W8NW7NW11NW8NW5NW6NW8NW5NW8NW12NW11NW10NW9NW6NW10

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.