Saturday, May26, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Saratoga Springs, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:19AMSunset 8:24PM Saturday May 26, 2018 12:22 AM EDT (04:22 UTC) Moonrise 5:23PMMoonset 4:04AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saratoga Springs, NY
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location: 43.01, -73.74     debug

Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 260058
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
858 pm edt Fri may 25 2018

High pressure building east off the atlantic coast will bring
very warm conditions to our region through Saturday with
increasing amounts of humidity. Some showers or thunderstorms
are possible over the holiday weekend as a cold front drops
southward across the region.

Near term through Saturday
A backdoor cold front is on the gradual approach and is expected
to move into the local area Saturday. Showers are expected to
stay to our north tonight closer to the front however they will
be on the increase Saturday as the boundary moves across the
area with the threat for some thunderstorms during the
afternoon. It will be a mild night with lows in the mid 50s to
lower 60s. Minor adjustments were made to the forecast.

Previous discussion... A weak backdoor cold front is on the
approach from the north through tonight and there could be an
isolated shower in far northern areas by daybreak. Otherwise,
light south winds should persist in parts of the hudson valley
including the capital district, which could prevent temperatures
from falling as much as they could. Other areas will trend to
light or near calm winds. Lows mainly in the lower to mid 60s
but some upper 50s northern areas.

On Saturday, the weak backdoor cold front drops south through
the day but the leading edge of the convergence on the leading
edge of the cold front should hold off until the afternoon from
the mohawk valley and southern vt and points south. So,
scattered showers and thunderstorms develop in northern areas
around noon, then build south and east through the afternoon
and evening.

Instability looks to be considerable but mostly surface based
and midlevel lapse rates are not very steep. Boundary layer
winds weaken and mean 0-6 km bulk shear remains weak through
the day. The low level temperature and moisture gradients along
the front are not too extreme. Thunderstorms could be strong but
mainly look to be sub severe at this time.

There should be more Sun than clouds most of the day along and
south of the mohawk valley and southern vt but more clouds than
sun in northern areas. Winds will be lighter but still from the
west and southwest ahead of the cold front. So, highs Saturday
again well into the 80s but mid to upper 70s northern areas.

Short term Saturday night through Monday
Weather over the holiday weekend will remain unsettled but not
a "wash out". Saturday night, a weak cold front will become
nearly stationary across southern new york. Surface winds will
be southeast to south over our region but boundary layer winds
remain light south to southwest through Sunday. There is
considerable uncertainty as to how far west the weak front
becomes stationary, as the western mohawk valley, schoharie
valley and eastern catskills could be noticeably warmer and have
some breaks in the clouds, on the warm side of the front.

Overnight lows look to range from the mid 50s to lower 60s.

Additional scattered showers are possible Sunday, with some
isolated thunder in the western mohawk valley, schoharie valley
and eastern catskills. Onshore surface winds and more clouds
than Sun will result in highs Sunday in the 60s to around 70
degrees. Scattered showers continue Sunday night with lows
generally in the lower 50s.

Unsettled weather continues for memorial day. Models indicating
a surface trough moving across the region mainly during the
afternoon hours with a northwest flow aloft. The GFS is
indicating increasing instability, especially across the
northwest half of the area, so will mention possible
thunderstorms as well. There will be residual low-level moisture
with surface dewpoints in the lower 60s, so it will feel
somewhat humid as well. Development of low-level stratus clouds
could limit surface heating and duration may be tricky in terms
of the temperature forecast. Until there is higher confidence in
cloud cover, will mention high temps in the lower to mid 70s
for much of the region.

Long term Monday night through Friday
After a weekend of unsettled weather ridging is expected to
build in at surface and aloft dominating our weather through
middle of the week with fair conditions and warm temperatures
5 to 10 degrees above normal. Will have to watch for the
possibility for low-level stratus clouds each morning otherwise
plenty of sunshine expected.

Uncertainty in the forecast grows for the latter part of the
week as the remnants of moisture from alberto may get picked up
by a short wave trough and approaching low pressure system and
brought into the region so have chances for showers Thursday
night and Friday. Please refer to forecasts issued by the
national hurricane center for information on alberto.

Aviation 00z Saturday through Wednesday
A backdoor cold front is on the gradual approach and is
expected to move into the local area Saturday. Cirrus and mid
level clouds move across the region with showers expected to
stay to our north tonight closer to the front. Chances for
storms will increase on Saturday as the boundary moves across
the area however coverage is not great enough to warrant
mention in tafs at this time. Best chances will be at kgfl.

ExpectedVFR conditions through the TAF period; 00z Sunday.

Light southwest to west winds will shift to the northwest to
north with the passage of the cold front late Saturday afternoon.


Saturday night: moderate operational impact. Scattered shra... Tsra.

Sunday: moderate operational impact. Scattered shra.

Sunday night: moderate operational impact. Scattered shra.

Memorial day: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra... Tsra.

Monday night: slight chance of shra... Tsra.

Tuesday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Tuesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Wednesday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Fire weather
Warm conditions, with increasing humidity, will continue
through Saturday as high pressure builds off of the atlantic
coast. Some showers or thunderstorms are possible over the
holiday weekend.

Rh values recover to 70 to 90 percent. Rh values drop to 30 to
55 percent Saturday.

Gusty west to south west winds this evening will diminish to 15
mph or less tonight. West to southwest winds around 15 mph
Saturday become southeast at 15 mph or less late Saturday

No hydrologic issues are anticipated over the next few days.

Dry weather is expected to continue through tonight with high
pressure in control. As a result, rivers, streams, lakes, ponds,
reservoirs, brooks, creeks and kills will remain fairly steady
over the next few days.

Our next chance for scattered showers and possible thunderstorms
will be over the holiday weekend. Northern and central areas
will have the best chance of seeing a shower or thunderstorm on
Saturday, with better chances across the remainder of the area
for Sunday into Monday. Rainfall amounts will be highly variable
due to thunderstorm activity and some locations may stay
completely dry.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Iaa nas
near term... Iaa 11 nas
short term... Nas jpv jvm
long term... Iaa
aviation... Iaa
fire weather... Nas jvm
hydrology... Nas jvm

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 69 mi53 min 67°F 1008 hPa57°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Schenectady Airport, NY14 mi2.5 hrsN 010.00 miFair72°F53°F53%1008.5 hPa
Albany International Airport, NY18 mi32 minSSW 410.00 miMostly Cloudy67°F53°F61%1008.2 hPa

Wind History from SCH (wind in knots)
Last 24hr------------------CalmSW5SW5W6W12NW7
1 day ago------------------NW6NW4NW10
2 days ago------------------W10

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Sat -- 03:27 AM EDT     5.53 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:59 AM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:45 PM EDT     4.88 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:18 PM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Click for Map
Sat -- 03:18 AM EDT     5.38 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:49 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:37 PM EDT     4.72 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:08 PM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.