Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Saratoga Springs, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:17AMSunset 8:27PM Monday May 29, 2017 2:57 PM EDT (18:57 UTC) Moonrise 9:27AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 18% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saratoga Springs, NY
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location: 43.01, -73.74     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 291747
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
147 pm edt Mon may 29 2017

Synopsis
The first in a series of quick moving disturbances will approach the
region today, bringing periods of rain along with unseasonably cool
temperatures. More clouds and showers are likely Tuesday and
Wednesday, with thunderstorms also possible as additional upper
level disturbances move through the region.

Near term through Tuesday night
Tonight, after the initial surge of QG forcing isentropic lift
moves this afternoon, there appears to be little in the way of
additional forcing through tonight. Will keep slight chance pops
in case some remnant convection from central western nys can
migrate eastward, and also for some patchy drizzle that may
develop. Otherwise, just isolated showers with mostly cloudy
skies expected. Lows should mainly fall into the upper 40s to mid
50s.

Tuesday, another shortwave is expected to approach in the
afternoon evening. Models suggest some destabilization across
central western nys in the afternoon, with perhaps some
instability developing across the western mohawk
valley adirondacks and eastern catskills schoharie valley if a
few breaks in the clouds develop. There will be increasing 0-6
km bulk shear potentially exceeding 50 kt, ESP across the
southern adirondacks and mohawk valley by later in the day, so
if some convection migrates into western areas, some gusty winds
may occur. In addition, mlmucapes reach 500-1000 j kg acrs this
region Tuesday afternoon. Latest SPC day 2 outlooks has the
region in a marginal risk for severe wind gusts with convection
late Tuesday afternoon evening, but remains highly conditional
on how much destabilization, from any breaks in the clouds that
develop, late in the day. Current forecast highs are in the
upper 50s to upper 60s.

Tuesday night, remnant convection may still be ongoing across
the region through midnight, especially from the capital region
and points N and w. Convective trends should weaken through the
night, ESP S and E of the capital region where a deeper stable
marine layer may reside. So, gradually decreasing chances for
showers storms through the night, with lows mainly in the upper
40s to mid 50s.

Short term Wednesday
An upper impulse tracking around the southern periphery of
broad upper troughing in eastern north america is expected to
support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over our
region. Highs Wednesday in the 70s but mid to upper 60s higher
terrain.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
There is a consensus in sources of guidance for weak flat upper
ridging between the exiting upper energy and an upper cut off
low dropping south out of eastern canada on Thursday. So there
is the potential for a generally dry day Thursday with highs in
the upper 60s to lower 70s but around 60 to mid 60s higher
terrain.

Decent consensus form sources of guidance for the upper cutoff to
continue dropping south through next weekend across northern ny and
new england with isolated to scattered showers Friday and Saturday
but increasing coverage of showers Sunday with a cold pool aloft.

Highs Friday through Sunday in the 70s but 60s higher terrain. High
temperatures may drop a degree or two each day Friday through Sunday
as temperatures aloft cool a little with the closer proximity to the
upper low each day.

Aviation 18z Monday through Saturday
Rain will continue this afternoon across the TAF sites although
it will decrease in intensity and becoming more intermittent
later this afternoon. ExpectVFR conditions mixed with MVFR,
mainly for cigs, but also occasionally for vsbys through this
afternoon as the steadier rain moves through.

Later in the day, coverage of showers will become more
scattered but with continuedVFR MVFR conditions.

Vfr MVFR CIGS are expected to continue into this evening, and
may lower to ifr levels later tonight, ESP at kpsf. On Tuesday
MVFR conditions are expected with showers and a chance of
thunderstorms especially during the afternoon.

Winds will be southeast around 5-10 kts through tonight with
south winds at 10-15 kts on Tuesday.

Outlook...

Tuesday night: moderate operational impact. Numerous shra... Tsra.

Wednesday: moderate operational impact. Scattered shra... Tsra.

Wednesday night: low operational impact. Isolated shra... Tsra.

Thursday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thursday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Friday: moderate operational impact. Scattered shra... Tsra.

Fire weather
The first in a series of quick moving disturbances will approach the
region today, bringing periods of rain along with unseasonably cool
temperatures. More clouds and showers are likely Tuesday and
Wednesday, with thunderstorms also possible as additional upper
level disturbances move through the region.

Total rainfall amounts through Wednesday should range from one
half inch, to over one inch.

Hydrology
An approaching system will bring periods of rain today, with
total QPF ranging from 0.50-1.00" expected. Highest amounts are
expected to be over the mohawk valley and western adirondacks.

Additional periods of showers and thunderstorms are likely
Tuesday and Wednesday, with basin average QPF likely remaining
less than an additional half inch Tuesday, and less than a
quarter inch Wednesday.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Equipment
The ASOS at the pittsfield municipal airport, ma continues to
experience outages with hourly metars occasionally or
continuously missing. This will persist until communications are
fully restored.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Kl thompson
near term... Kl 11
short term... Kl
long term... Nas
aviation... Kl 11 jpv
fire weather... Kl thompson
hydrology... Kl thompson
equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 69 mi88 min 58°F 1015 hPa56°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Schenectady Airport, NY14 mi3.2 hrsSE 87.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist55°F53°F94%1014.2 hPa
Albany International Airport, NY18 mi67 minS 63.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist56°F53°F90%1015.1 hPa

Wind History from SCH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6S4S6----S5--S8S5----------------------S4SE5SE5SE8
1 day agoE4NE4----Calm----CalmCalm--------------------CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW6W7
G15
NW6N3----N3--CalmE6------------------E6NE6NE5NE8E4

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Mon -- 02:52 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:36 AM EDT     6.07 feet High Tide
Mon -- 09:27 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:36 PM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:15 PM EDT     4.91 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.81.10.40.10.82.54.15.35.965.342.81.80.8-0-0.10.92.43.64.44.94.73.8

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:43 AM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:28 AM EDT     5.91 feet High Tide
Mon -- 09:28 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:26 PM EDT     -0.41 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:06 PM EDT     4.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.60.90.2-00.92.64.25.25.85.853.62.41.50.5-0.3-0.20.92.43.64.44.74.43.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.