Wednesday, January17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Saratoga Springs, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 4:50PM Wednesday January 17, 2018 1:14 PM EST (18:14 UTC) Moonrise 8:37AMMoonset 6:32PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saratoga Springs, NY
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location: 43.01, -73.74     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 171721
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
1221 pm est Wed jan 17 2018

Synopsis
A low pressure system positioned just off the DELMARVA early
this morning, will track northeast to near CAPE cod by this
afternoon. This system continues to bring a moderate to heavy
snowfall to much of the region. The system will move into the
canadian maritimes this evening, with snow ending across our
area during the afternoon. Seasonably cold and mainly dry
weather is expected tonight through Thursday, with some lake
effect snow showers across the western adirondacks.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1215 pm est, band of moderate to locally heavy snow
persists from schoharie county northeast across the capital
region and into southern vt. This band is very slowly sinking
east southeast, while the individual elements are translating
northeast within the band. Snowfall rates of up to an inch hour
will remain possible within this band. We expect the areal
coverage of this band to gradually decrease between 1 and 3 pm,
but may persist longest close to the capital region into the
north central taconics, as some mohawk-hudson convergence could
allow the snow to linger in this area. So, through 4 pm, an
additional 1-3 inches could occur close to the capital region
(from the current time), with generally a coating to 2 inches of
additional snowfall elsewhere.

Across the western adirondacks, some upslope lake enhanced snow
could contribute to an additional 1-2 inches through this
afternoon, if not locally higher, across portions of northern
herkimer co through this afternoon.

Temperature should hold steady, or slowly fall from NW to se
through this afternoon, through the 20s in most lower
elevations, and 20s into the mid upper teens across higher
terrain.

West northwest winds should increase within and south of the
mohawk valley berkshires, to 10-20 mph by mid late afternoon,
with some gusts of 25-30 mph possible.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Friday night
A small ridge of high pressure will build in to much of the
region tonight, although well-aligned westerly flow and
conditional lake- induced instability will lead to some lake
effect snow showers across the western adirondacks. Snow showers
will be light and scattered, due to forecast low inversion
heights of only around 850 mb. Elsewhere, it will be partly
cloudy with temperatures near normal with single digits to lower
teens.

Similar weather expected for Thursday, as a flat ridge of high
pressure at the surface will be in place. The continued westerly
flow will result in scattered light lake effect snow showers
across the western adirondacks, but dry elsewhere. High
temperatures will be near normal in the 20s to lower 30s. Models
in good agreement with a fast-moving and compact short wave
trough moving through Thursday night. This will result in mainly
isolated to scattered snow showers from around i-90 northward,
with the greater coverage across the western southern
adirondacks. A quick half inch to one inch of snow is expected
in these areas.

More flat ridging across the region on Friday with mainly dry
conditions expected. Some light lake enhanced upslope snow
showers could linger into the western adirondacks, but most
areas will be dry. Tempertures will moderate slightly, with
generally upper 20s to mid 30s expected for highs. Tranquil
conditions in store for Friday night, with the flat ridge
remaining in place.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
Above normal temperatures expected with a low pressure system
passing to our west and north across the great lakes region and
eastern canada early next week.

Guidance is in general agreement with the longwave pattern
featuring nearly zonal flow across the region over the weekend
with ridging being induced along the east coast ahead of an
approaching closed low Monday. However, there are amplitude and
timing differences amongst the models. The ECMWF is deepen and
slower with the system however the weather prediction center
indicates there was better clustering with the gfs, GEFS mean,
ec mean and cmc so this timing was favored for the forecast.

Based on this, the greatest chances for precipitation are Monday
night. Have the chances for precipitation increasing Sunday
night into Monday night. Precipitation types gets complicated
as night time lows are expected to be mainly in the 30s Monday
night. With uncertainty in both timing and temperature profile
have gone with rain and snow forecast however there could be
some freezing rain but that's very difficult to determine that
at this time. QPF amounts are very uncertain also. With ice jams
in place across area will closely monitor expected temperatures
and potential rainfall. With the passage of this system back to
seasonable cold temperatures.

Aviation 17z Wednesday through Sunday
Band of moderate to occasionally heavy snow extending across
portions of eastern new york into southern vermont and trends favor
this band to slide southward into the berkshires. Another band was
underway into the mid-hudson valley as well. So through the early
afternoon hours, period of ifr conditions should prevail with both
vis and cigs. Toward sunset, snow should begin to diminish but
leave behind MVFR CIGS for most areas.

West-northwest winds 10kts or less should continue through the
afternoon hours, then become light and variable for the hudson
valley locations but remain westerly at kpsf.

Sct-bkn CIGS within MVFR thresholds should return on Thursday with a
weak frontal passage and some lake effect clouds.

Outlook...

Thursday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thursday night: low operational impact. Slight chance of shsn.

Friday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Friday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Saturday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Saturday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Sunday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Hydrology
Ongoing flooding due to ice jams will continue to be addressed
with areal flood warnings. There could still be some lingering
issues as any existing ice jams may tend to become frozen in
place due to the continued cold temperatures over the next few
days. Warmer weather is not expected until the weekend.

In terms of precipitation, a moderate snowfall is ongoing for
much of the area into today, with heavy snowfall from the mid
hudson valley and taconics eastward across western new england.

Mainly dry weather is expected through the weekend except for
some lake effect snow showers well north and west of the capital
district.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... Winter storm warning until 3 pm est this afternoon for ctz001-
013.

Ny... Winter weather advisory until 3 pm est this afternoon for
nyz032-033-038>043-047>053-058>060-063-082>084.

Winter storm warning until 3 pm est this afternoon for nyz054-
061-064>066.

Ma... Winter storm warning until 3 pm est this afternoon for maz001-
025.

Vt... Winter storm warning until 3 pm est this afternoon for
vtz013>015.

Synopsis... Jpv
near term... Kl jpv
short term... Jpv
long term... Iaa
aviation... Iaa
hydrology... Jpv


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 69 mi44 min 32°F 1023 hPa29°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Schenectady Airport, NY14 mi23 minWNW 122.50 miLight Snow21°F17°F86%1024 hPa
Albany International Airport, NY18 mi23 minWNW 91.00 miLight Snow24°F18°F77%1024.6 hPa

Wind History from SCH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N3CalmNE4NE3------------------NE3CalmNW5W8W9W12
1 day agoN3------E3NE3NE4Calm----------------------CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW4------N4----N4--------------------NE4NE5NE7NE4--NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Wed -- 05:15 AM EST     4.19 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:35 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:46 AM EST     0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:48 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:32 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:34 PM EST     5.56 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.20.7233.84.243.22.41.81.20.50.212.53.94.85.45.54.83.62.61.70.7

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:07 AM EST     4.03 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:35 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:37 AM EST     0.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:49 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:25 PM EST     5.39 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:33 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.30.7233.743.82.92.11.50.90.20.11.12.63.94.85.35.34.43.32.31.40.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.