Monday, November20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Saratoga Springs, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 4:28PM Monday November 20, 2017 4:32 AM EST (09:32 UTC) Moonrise 9:35AMMoonset 7:20PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saratoga Springs, NY
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location: 43.01, -73.74     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 200602
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
102 am est Mon nov 20 2017

Synopsis
Mainly brisk conditions will prevail through Monday with
below normal temperatures. Lake effect snow will impact the western
and central mohawk valley and schoharie valley overnight before
shifting northward into the western and southern adirondacks on
Monday. Otherwise isolated to scattered showers are expected
elsewhere. Warmer weather returns briefly Tuesday ahead of another
cold front.

Near term through today
As of 1230 am est, adjusted pops to better fit on-going lake
effect snows across the area which are extending into western
new england. Nys mesonet site web cams have been very helpful
following the snow showers across the area. Focus for activity
is expected to remain across central new york into the western
mohawk valley and schoharie valley overnight (additional 1-2
inches) with chances for scattered showers extending eastward
across local area into portions of western new england.

As ridging builds in Monday low level flow will back and lake
effect snows will shift northward into the western and southern
adirondacks by mid to late morning with 1-3 inches of snow by
sunset. As the upper trough exits a short wave will pass over
the region which will result in the threat for isolated to
scattered snow showers across much of the local area along with
upslope snows.

Below normal temperatures from the mid 20s to lower 40s.

Westerly flow will remain brisk and gusty as region is squeezed
between the departing system and ridge building in.

Short term tonight through 6 pm Tuesday
Residual upper wave impulses are expected to track east of the
region Monday morning. This should allow lake effect band(s) to
slide northward a bit in the morning and impact portions of the
mohawk valley, capital region, taconics and berks. Then the mean
flow quickly shifts toward the west-southwest by noon as
upstream warm advection begins to unfold. This too should cut
down on the instability across lake ontario and reduce the lake
inland extent through the afternoon. Otherwise, with broad moist
isentropic lift setting up, clouds will likely increase once
again across most of the region. Some light precipitation may
fall mainly across the higher terrain with upslope conditions
evolving. Highs should range from lower 30s across the dacks to
lower 40s for the mid-hudson valley which is a good blend of the
latest mos.

Monday night, good consensus favors taking the warm front and
lifting it northward through the night with ample drier air
advecting in on a southwest flow regime. So diminishing both any
precipitation and cloud coverage from south to north. Overnight
lows generally into the 20s for the entire region.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
An upper level shortwave and associated surface cold front will be
moving towards the region from the great lakes for Tuesday night
into Wednesday morning. Moisture with this northern stream feature
will be limited, but a band of rain or snow showers will accompany
the front as it moves across the region from west to east. Although
most valley areas will only see rain showers, some snow will be
possible at the higher elevations, but any accumulations looks
rather light due to the limited precip amounts. Low temps on Tuesday
night will mainly be in the 30s with temps on Wednesday only rising
slightly behind the front, with highs in the mid 30s to mid 40s.

Behind the front, there could be a brief shot of some lake-effect
snow showers for far western areas for Wednesday afternoon or
evening, but this should quickly end, as surface high pressure
slides towards the region from the midwest. As a result, mainly dry
weather is expected for Wed night and into thanksgiving day
(Thursday). Lows will be in the 20s and thanksgiving day highs will
be in the 30s to low 40s with a partly sunny sky.

A fast moving shortwave will slide across southern canada for
Thursday night. A few snow showers may brush into the adirondacks,
otherwise, this system will be too far north to have a big impact on
our weather. Another area of high pressure will continue dry and
quiet weather for Friday. Temps will continue to be fairly
seasonable, with lows in the 20s and highs on Friday into mid 30s to
mid 40s.

The weather will be a little more active for Friday night into the
weekend. A deepening trough will quickly shift from the northern
plains and great lakes towards the northeast for the weekend.

Although the main storm system will remain north of the region, a
strong surface cold front will allow for some rain showers by
Saturday. There could be a little mix or snow at the onset on
Friday night, but with this storm track, most areas will be seeing
mainly rain showers ahead of the approaching cold front. Behind the
front, cooler air will quickly move in, allowing any lingering
showers to changeover to snow showers for Saturday night. In
addition, some upslope flow and lake-effect snow showers will
develop for Sat night into Sunday as well, impacting mainly western
and high terrain areas. Also, gusty winds are expected behind the
storm system as well. Temps will be in the 30s and 40s for
Saturday, but only reach the upper 20s to mid 30s for most locations
on Sunday.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
Lake effect snow showers are extending quite far inland, impacting
the i-90 corridor. Kalb kpsf saw visibility briefly into the ifr
category. The band has been disrupted but some elements are re-
organizing upstream. These will tend to weaken with eastward extent,
but cannot rule out brief reductions in visibility for the remainder
of the night and into Monday morning. Handled this with vcsh and
will amend as necessary if it appears visibility reduction is
imminent. Outside of any snow bands,VFR conditions will prevail
throughout the TAF period.

Monday, the snow showers will tend to shift north of the i-90
corridor during the afternoon hours as low-level winds back. This
may allow some activity to work into kgfl. Otherwise,VFR conditions
will prevail.

Winds tonight will be westerly at around 10 kt with some gusts to 20
kt, although 30 kt gusts are possible in any snow shower. Monday
morning into the afternoon, westerly winds will become gusty once
again to 20-30 kt. Winds will diminish to 5-10 kt Monday evening,
backing to the southwest.

Outlook...

Monday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Tuesday: low operational impact. Breezy no sig wx.

Tuesday night: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Wednesday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Wednesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thanksgiving day: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thursday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Friday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Fire weather
Blustery conditions will prevail through Monday with below
normal temperatures. Lake effect snow will develop tonight
impacting the western and central mohawk valley and schoharie
valley before shifting northward into the western and southern
adirondacks on Monday. Otherwise isolated to scattered showers
are expected elsewhere. Warmer weather returns briefly Tuesday
ahead of another cold front.

Hydrology
No hydrologic problems are expected on the main stem rivers for
the next several days.

Lake effect snow will develop by this evening impacting the
western and central mohawk valley and schoharie valley tonight
then shifting northward into the western and southern
adirondacks on Monday. While isolated to scattered showers are
expected elsewhere. Mainly fair weather is then expected the
rest of the week with unsettled weather expected for next
weekend.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Iaa bgm
near term... Iaa
short term... Bgm
long term... Frugis
aviation... Thompson
fire weather... Iaa bgm
hydrology... Iaa bgm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 69 mi63 min 38°F 1011 hPa20°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Albany International Airport, NY18 mi42 minW 12 G 1710.00 miA Few Clouds31°F19°F64%1010.7 hPa

Wind History from SCH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--------------------W22
G34
W22
G40
W23
G37
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G36
W26
G36
W17
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W6--W10
G17
W8W6
1 day agoW7------------------CalmE3S5SE4SE4S6S8S5
G16
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G16
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G16
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S7
2 days agoW9------------------NW16
G24
--W16
G22
NW12
G16
W14
G21
W12
G22
--NW13
G20
W13
G19
W14
G21
W11
G19
W13W8W7

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Mon -- 12:30 AM EST     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:04 AM EST     4.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:53 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:33 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:39 PM EST     0.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:27 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:21 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 06:25 PM EST     5.48 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0-012.33.344.343.12.31.71.10.40.21.22.744.95.45.34.53.42.41.6

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:20 AM EST     -0.35 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:56 AM EST     4.14 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:53 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:33 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:29 PM EST     0.00 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:27 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:17 PM EST     5.31 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:21 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.3-0.112.33.23.94.13.72.821.50.80.10.11.22.744.85.35.14.23.12.11.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.