Tuesday, October17, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wilmington, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 6:03PM Tuesday October 17, 2017 4:18 PM EDT (20:18 UTC) Moonrise 4:38AMMoonset 5:25PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wilmington, VT
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location: 43.02, -72.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 171941
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
341 pm edt Tue oct 17 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will move off the eastern seaboard tonight, and
will remain in the vicinity through the remainder of the week,
allowing dry conditions to persist through the weekend.

Temperatures will trend back to above seasonal normals.

Near term through Wednesday
Mainly clear skies are expected during the near term period
with temperatures moderating as high pressure drifts to our
south and east. A warm front may result in a little more in the
way of clouds across the western adirondacks. There will be some
late night fog and temperatures should be about 10 degrees or
so warmer than last night. Expect lows tonight to be in the
upper 30s to lower 40s with highs on Wednesday in the upper 50s
to around 70.

Winds will be light and variable overnight into Wednesday.

Short term Wednesday night through Friday
Wednesday night into Thursday, weak height falls will occur
locally as a baggy midlevel trough approaches in conjunction
with a stronger disturbance tracking east to the north of the
international border. The effect this will have on the local
weather will be largely nil as the column will remain very dry
and local forcing will be weak. Mid and high level clouds may
increase somewhat. Lows Wednesday night will be milder than
tonight with a warmer airmass in place. As for high temps
Thursday, mav MOS is 5-10f warmer than met MOS over much of the
capital district, likely due to the forecast deeper mixing and
veered SW flow in the GFS compared with the nam. Will use a
blend of the two, similar to the superblend temps. We saw last
Sunday that the warm temps forecast by the mav MOS ended up
being too high which could end up being the case here.

Surface winds will veer Thursday night into Friday as a weak
frontal boundary tracks through the region and high pressure
rebuilds into the upper ohio valley and western new york. Temps
will be knocked down a few degrees relative to Thursday as h850
temps fall around 5c. Still expecting highs several degrees
above normal with abundant sunshine.

Long term Friday night through Monday
High pressure will transit the region over the weekend,
providing a continuation of tranquil and seasonably mild
weather. Signals of a pattern change for early next week as a
strong pacific jet carves out an upper trough over the northern
plains which migrates eastward. Considerable uncertainty with
how this will play out, but medium-range forecast models and
ensembles suggest shower chances as early as Monday as the
leading edge of height falls approaches, but more likely by
Tuesday and thereafter.

Aviation 19z Tuesday through Sunday
Sky will be mostly clear through the period ending 18z
Wednesday as high pressure controls our weather. There may be
some late night fog at the TAF sites so have placed 2sm br in
the tafs late tonight.

Winds will become south to southwest late this afternoon and
evening. Winds trend toward calm this evening and remain light
to calm through tonight into Wednesday.

Outlook...

Wednesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thursday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thursday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Friday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Friday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Saturday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Saturday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Sunday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Fire weather
High pressure will move off the eastern seaboard tonight, and
will remain in the vicinity through the remainder of the week,
allowing dry conditions to persist through the weekend.

Temperatures will trend back to above seasonal normals.

After some dew frost formation tonight, rh values will bottom
out mainly in the 40 to 50 percent range Wednesday and Thursday.

Winds will be from the west to southwest at mainly around 5 to
10 mph Wednesday and Thursday, possibly a bit higher on
Thursday.

Hydrology
No precipitation is expected through at least the end of the
week thanks to persistent high pressure, with flows remaining
at normal to below normal seasonal levels. The next chance of
rainfall is early next week.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Kl thompson
near term... 11
short term... Thompson
long term... Thompson
aviation... 11 nas
fire weather... Thompson
hydrology... Kl thompson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 88 mi49 min 59°F 1023 hPa34°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bennington Morse State Airport, VT21 mi25 minW 310.00 miFair54°F27°F35%1023.1 hPa

Wind History from DDH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW4CalmN9NW5NW6NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4CalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW5W553W3
1 day agoS12
G21
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5S5W6W9
G18
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NW5W84N9
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NW10NW7NW9N8N6NW6NW6N7
2 days agoNW3CalmCalmS3S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3--SW5S5S6SW9
G15
S7S11
G17
S9
G19
S7
G18
S11
G22

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Tue -- 03:42 AM EDT     5.09 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:41 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:21 AM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:16 PM EDT     5.07 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:44 PM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
23.24.24.95.14.53.62.81.80.6-0.3-0.112.33.54.554.94.13.32.41.20.1-0.2

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:34 AM EDT     4.94 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:41 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:11 AM EDT     -0.55 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:08 PM EDT     4.92 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:34 PM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
23.24.14.84.94.23.32.51.50.2-0.5-0.212.33.54.44.94.63.832.10.9-0.2-0.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.