Saturday, February17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Newfields, NH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 5:19PM Saturday February 17, 2018 10:11 PM EST (03:11 UTC) Moonrise 8:42AMMoonset 8:12PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ154 Coastal Waters From Cape Elizabeth, Me To Merrimack River, Ma Out 25 Nm- 852 Pm Est Sat Feb 17 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday afternoon...
Tonight..S winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Snow. Vsby variable to less than one quarter nm.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of rain or snow in the morning.
Sun night..NW winds 5 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain. Patchy fog.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Patchy fog.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu night..N winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
ANZ100 852 Pm Est Sat Feb 17 2018
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. Low pressure will quickly move northeast tonight...passing south and east of the region. High pressure will build over the waters late Sunday. A southerly flow will develop on the back side of the high for Monday and Tuesday and continuing into Wednesday. A cold front will cross the waters late Wednesday into Wednesday evening with high pressure following.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Newfields, NH
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location: 43.05, -70.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Gray/Portland, ME
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Fxus61 kgyx 180202 aaa
afdgyx
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service gray me
902 pm est Sat feb 17 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will quickly exit into the maritimes this evening.

Quick moving low pressure will move south and east of new england
tonight and early Sunday, bringing a plowable snow... Particularly
over southern new hampshire and coastal maine. As we move into
next week... A warming trend is expected with temperatures moving
well above normal... Especially Tuesday and Wednesday. Expect
some rain late Monday into Tuesday and again Wednesday
afternoon.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
Update... Snow is beginning to break out across SRN nh this hour
as dry air to the N is slowly eroding. Dewpoints in the single
digits in places delayed the onset of snow somewhat... But now
that snow is beginning... The column should saturate fairly
quickly from SW to NE S of the mtns. A fast moving S WV trof
will initiate cyclogenesis in the gulf of me overnight... With
current WAA snowfall transitioning to deformation late. At this
time it does look like the bulk of the mid level deepening
occurs too far E to significantly impact most of the forecast
area. The exception may be across midcoast me... Where far enough
e will see some enhanced forcing for ascent as low pressure
strengthens. Lift thru the snow growth zone will be strongest
across SRN nh and coastal WRN me... So this continues to be the
placement of the highest snowfall totals. No major changes to
the current forecast with this update... Beyond some tweaks to
timing with pop.

Prev disc...

at 19z a 1030 millibar high was centered near the
bay of fundy. A weak area of low pressure was over the southeast
conus while low pressure was over northern ontario with a
trailing cold front through the northern plains states. Clouds
are on the increase ahead of these southern and northern stream
impulses as the surface high retreats offshore. The southern
stream impulse will race east while an associated surface low
tracks rapidly east-northeast and just outside the 40n 70w
benchmark late tonight. A surface trough will extend northwest
into the coastal plain and will act as an additional focus for
heavier snowfall. The model trend has been slightly further to
the north and west with QPF and snowfall amounts raised a bit
over southern new hampshire and along the coastal plain of
maine. The advisories have been extended further north and east
in maine with a sharp cutoff in QPF and snowfall amounts as you
head north and west away from the coast. The steadier snow will
spread northeast this evening and taper off in all but our
eastern maine zones by morning.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through Sunday night
Rapid improvement on Sunday as snow exits our eastern maine
zones by mid morning... With downslope and drier air bringing
clearing to all but mountain sections where upslope will
generate a few lingering clouds and snow showers. Northwest
winds will gust up to 25 mph in the wake of the low as it begins
to rapidly intensify well offshore. Quiet Sunday night as high
pressure builds by to our south. There will be a few late night
warm air advection clouds across northern new hampshire and
maine Sunday night where a few flurries will be possible.

Long term Monday through Saturday
12z model suite continues to indicate a large and persistent
upper level ridge will develop during the early to midweek
period next week along the east coast. This will lead to very
warm temperatures during the period.

In the dailies, the southwest flow will begin on Monday as warm
air advection develops over a large area in the northeast. The
airmass will initially remain relatively dry, so there will only
be a low chance for precipitation with this initial batch of
moisture. By Monday night, a warm front will become quasi-
stationary over northern most sections. This will increase the
chance for precipitation, especially in the mountains. Near this
dividing line between very warm, humid air and cold
temperatures, some freezing rain and sleet is possible. Also,
with the increase in low level moisture, expect fog during the
overnight period.

Increased dew points over the cold snowpack may allow for fog to
continue on Tuesday. H8 temperatures reach +10c over southern
areas. Depending on the availability of mixing potential,
temperatures may quickly rise through the 50s, with 60s over
southern areas. There will be a warm start to the day on
Wednesday, with h8 temperatures reaching as warm as +14c at h8.

This will likely be the warmest day in a long time and perhaps
record breaking. Below are the record for portland and concord
on Tuesday and Wednesday.

***records for pwm & con***
tue wed
pwm 61 1994 59 1953
con 66 1930 64 1872
cold air advection will begin Wednesday, but not until the
afternoon hours.

More seasonably cold weather will return for the end of the work
week. High pressure will build in from canada, however readings
will still be at or above normal for this time of the year.

There remains the potential for another area of low pressure
moving up from the southwest next weekend. This system appears
to be warm as well with possible mixed precipitation.

Aviation 02z Sunday through Thursday
Short term...VFR deteriorates to MVFR with areas of ifr and
local lifr vcnty of the coast in snow between 01 and 05z Sunday.

Conditions improve toVFR throughout Sunday with some lingering
MVFR CIGS psb in mtn sections through 22z Sunday.

Long term...VFR to MVFR conditions will continue into early
Monday. Areas of ifr lifr possible Monday night into Tuesday
night as a warm front approaches and crosses the region
resulting in a period of rain and fog. A cold front will sweep
through the region later on Wednesday with a period of showers
and lower ceilings and visibilities.

Marine
Short term... Winds will increase tonight from the south as will
seas. On Sunday... Northwest winds will generate SCA conditions
behind the departing ocean low. A small craft advisory has been
issued for all waters except casco bay for tonight and Sunday.

Long term... Increased southwesterly winds will allow for sca
thresholds to continue over much of the waters early to mid week
next week.

Hydrology
We will have to monitor the rivers closely next week as the
warm weather and some rain may lead to enough runoff to cause
ice jam flooding. There are several locations with ice jams in
maine and new hampshire. Looks like a 72 hour period or longer
with temperatures remaining above freezing. It is possible that
the warmer weather will weaken the ice so that any rise in river
levels will just move the ice harmlessly downriver.

Gyx watches warnings advisories
Me... Winter weather advisory until 7 am est Sunday for mez018-023.

Winter weather advisory until 10 am est Sunday for mez019-020-
024>028.

Nh... Winter weather advisory until 7 am est Sunday for nhz008-
010>015.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 pm est Sunday for anz150>152-154.

Near term... Legro


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BGXN3 - Great Bay Reserve, NH 4 mi86 min S 4.1 34°F 1023 hPa25°F
IOSN3 - Isle of Shoals, NH 16 mi71 min S 26 G 29 35°F 1022.1 hPa (-3.7)28°F
WELM1 - 8419317 - Wells, ME 26 mi41 min SSW 17 G 21 32°F 38°F1022.7 hPa
44030 - Buoy B0102 - Western Maine Shelf 27 mi67 min S 19 G 21 36°F 40°F5 ft
WEXM1 - Wells Reserve, ME 28 mi71 min S 11 35°F 28°F
44029 - Buoy A0102 - Mass. Bay/Stellwagen 41 mi67 min 16 G 21 34°F 39°F4 ft1022 hPa
44098 - Jeffrey's Ledge, NH (160) 43 mi35 min 42°F5 ft
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 49 mi41 min 31°F 1021.1 hPa

Wind History for Wells, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pease Air Force Base / Portsmouth, NH6 mi75 minS 103.00 miLight Snow Fog/Mist33°F25°F72%1022.3 hPa
Rochester - Skyhaven Airport, NH16 mi20 minS 42.00 miLight Snow Fog/Mist30°F28°F96%1021 hPa

Wind History from PSM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW12
G24
NW10W9NW12NW7W11NW12W6W6W10N8N4CalmE7SE9SE10SE10SE12SE10----S10S10S8
1 day agoSW4CalmCalmS3NW5CalmCalmCalmS4SW3CalmCalmW4W5W4W4W5W4W7NW20
G27
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2 days agoW3W4S3SW3SW6SW4SW3CalmCalmSW2SW4S3S5SW3S4SW6SE5SW9SW6SW7SW6SW7SW8W5

Tide / Current Tables for Squamscott River RR. Bridge, Piscataqua River, New Hampshire
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Squamscott River RR. Bridge
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Sat -- 02:10 AM EST     6.78 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:41 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:28 AM EST     0.24 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:17 PM EST     7.34 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:17 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:12 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 08:53 PM EST     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.86.26.86.55.64.12.51.10.30.41.334.96.57.37.26.34.831.30.1-0.20.41.8

Tide / Current Tables for Portsmouth Harbor Entrance, New Hampshire Current
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Portsmouth Harbor Entrance
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Sat -- 01:37 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:17 AM EST     -1.78 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 06:37 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:40 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:04 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:06 AM EST     1.31 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:39 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:38 PM EST     -2.05 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:16 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:11 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 08:33 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:32 PM EST     1.31 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.4-0.3-1.2-1.8-1.7-1.3-0.8-0.10.91.31.10.70.3-0.2-1.2-1.9-2-1.7-1.2-0.50.41.21.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Gray/Portland, ME (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.