Tuesday, April24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Utica, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:01AMSunset 7:56PM Tuesday April 24, 2018 8:22 AM EDT (12:22 UTC) Moonrise 1:04PMMoonset 2:29AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 630 Am Edt Tue Apr 24 2018
Today..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Mostly Sunny this morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Showers likely in the evening, then periods of rain overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. Periods of rain. Patchy fog in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Patchy fog in the evening. Periods of rain. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Rain showers likely during the day, then a chance of rain showers Thursday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Friday..South winds 10 knots or less. A chance of rain showers Friday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of rain showers during the day, then a chance of rain and snow showers Saturday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
LOZ045 Expires:201804241515;;422681 FZUS51 KBUF 241030 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 630 AM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ045-241515-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Utica, NY
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location: 43.1, -75.23     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 241057
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
657 am edt Tue apr 24 2018

Synopsis
A period of transition is underway as dry high pressure this
morning, gives way to an approaching low pressure system with
thickening clouds this afternoon followed by rain into tonight.

Showers persist Wednesday and then gradually diminish Thursday.

Another system will yield a good chance of rain by Saturday.

Near term through tonight
425 am update...

dry for now, but rain is en route for tonight.

Surface high pressure is still in control at the moment, yet it
is losing its grip on the region as the center shifts offshore.

Meanwhile, the upper ridge axis just passed overhead but will
also quickly head to the coast this morning and slide further
away. This will open our area to quickly increasing moisture;
first in the upper to mid levels in southerly flow aloft and
then in the lower levels via southeasterly flow. Model trends
favored delaying the onset compared to prior forecast, as it
will take awhile to overcome the significant amount of dry air
in the low levels. Thus, despite increasing and thickening high
clouds, almost all of today will be dry even though radar
returns will appear. Most of it will be virga; drying up before
reaching the ground.

Between 4-9 pm, some sprinkles will start to advect southwest to
northeast across the region. However, the main batch of
measurable rain will be overnight tonight into early Wednesday,
as several shortwaves embedded southerly flow (itself ahead of
evolving upper trough) run up through our region while
southeasterly low level flow also injects marine moisture.

Through tonight, rain amounts are expected to range about 4 to 8
tenths of an inch for northeast pa-sullivan county ny, though
the poconos could get topographic enhancement of upsloping
southeasterly flow, to produce locally near an inch. Further
north, most of central ny will only get about 2 to 4 tenths of
an inch of rain through tonight.

Temperatures today will be warmest in the northern finger lakes
through ny thruway corridor where mid to upper 60s will be
found, courtesy of partial sunshine early and downsloping winds
through the day. Highs elsewhere will generally be upper 50s-
lower 60s; coolest south due to early thickening of clouds. Lows
tonight will be mainly lower to mid 40s.

Short term Wednesday through Friday
430 am update...

rain will continue Wednesday as northern stream upper trough
digs and meets a weaker southern stream trough. Then Wednesday
night into Thursday, these two features will fuse into a single
compact cutoff low over our region, which will keep daytime
temperatures a bit shy of climatology while also keeping at
least some shower activity around.

Things quiet down late Thursday-early Friday, with highest
Friday climbing back to near normal; upper 50s-lower 60s.

However, a weak wave will move up the midatlantic coast.

Uncertain at this time if it will allow showers as far inland as
our region, but some models are trending that direction. I have
for now introduced a slight chance of showers Friday for the
southeastern half of the area. The better rain chances still
wait until the weekend.

Long term Friday night through Monday
4 am Tuesday update...

our medium-range global models remain fairly consistent with
previous runs. As a result, no changes were made to the existing
forecast for this period.

Indications still are that a mean upper-level trough position
will stay anchored over eastern canada and the northeastern
conus through much of the weekend. As short-waves rotate
through, showery weather and below normal temperatures for the
end of april, are expected.

Early next week, the above mentioned trough should weaken, as
the supporting vortex near hudson bay retreats northward. This
should allow significant height rises to take place, signaling
drier and significantly warmer weather.

Previous discussion... 300 pm Monday update...

start of the period cold rain on back side of surface low and
upper level trough in eastern ny. The rain and low lift
northeast Wednesday night and Thursday. Rain may continue into
Thursday night in the far northeast. Temperatures at low levels
stay above freezing so precipitation should remain as rain.

Cooler highs Thursday in the 50s under the trough and with
neutral advection. Lows Thursday night in the mid and upper 30s.

Weak ridging aloft and weak surface high on Friday before the
next system approaches Friday night. The weekend system a cold
front and narrow but deep upper level trough moving in from the
west. Ahead of this is a coastal that stays well east of the
area. Rainfall amounts look light centered on the daytime
Saturday. Highs in the 50s Saturday. Sunday a large surface
high and upper level ridging moves in with dry mild air. The
high moves to the coast Monday but the region stays dry. Highs
in the 50s Sunday rise to the upper 50s and lower 60s Monday.

Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday
12z update... It continues to look dry today, with the onset of
steadier rain restrictive conditions not taking place until this
evening. As such, it looks like MVFR-fuel alternate
restrictions won't develop until 00-03z. Ifr conditions are
possible towards daybreak, especially at the higher elevation
sites (kbgm and kith).

S-se surface winds of 5-10 kt through much of the morning, may
become a bit gusty this afternoon evening (gusts of 20-25 kt
likely).

Outlook...

Wednesday-Thursday... Restrictions likely with rain showers.

High confidence.

Thursday night and Friday... GenerallyVFR. Moderate confidence.

Friday night and Saturday... Some restrictions possible in
scattered rain showers. Lower confidence.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mdp
near term... Mdp
short term... Mdp
long term... Mlj tac
aviation... Djn mlj


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 72 mi53 min SSE 8.9 G 15 54°F 1024.6 hPa34°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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SE5
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY13 mi30 minSE 510.00 miFair49°F35°F59%1027.5 hPa

Wind History from RME (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5S4SE8S5SE73S83S3S7S8E6E8E6E6SE5E7E7E8E4E5E7E4SE5
1 day agoCalmW5SW3W8W13NW9
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5NW7CalmNW5W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmE4SE4Calm
2 days agoW6W5W7W12
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NW16NW11NW7CalmCalmCalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:41 AM EDT     4.82 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:22 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:17 AM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:04 PM EDT     5.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:57 PM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.74.84.23.32.51.91.10.50.823.44.55.25.55.24.33.32.51.70.70.20.823.2

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Tue -- 12:50 AM EDT     4.97 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:22 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:27 AM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:12 PM EDT     5.70 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:07 PM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.854.53.62.82.11.40.80.81.93.44.55.35.75.54.63.62.8210.40.823.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.