Sunday, October22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Utica, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 6:07PM Sunday October 22, 2017 6:47 PM EDT (22:47 UTC) Moonrise 8:57AMMoonset 7:10PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 439 Pm Edt Sun Oct 22 2017
Tonight..South winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Monday night..Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming south. Rain overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 5 to 15 knots. Rain in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers Wednesday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet, then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet.
LOZ045 Expires:201710230300;;253504 FZUS51 KBUF 222039 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 439 PM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ045-230300-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Utica, NY
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location: 43.1, -75.23     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 222149
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
549 pm edt Sun oct 22 2017

Synopsis
The dry and warm weather will continue into Monday, under a
large area of high pressure. A cold front will approach the area
Monday night bringing rain, gusty winds, and cooler conditions
for much of the rest of the week.

Near term through Monday night
As the eastern u.S. Ridge finally breaks down, a complex system
over the midwest will push a strong cold front toward the area.

The system represents the opening event in an developing
pattern change that will eventually result in a large trough
over the eastern part of the country. It will be a messy
transition as the ridge is slow to give up, and multiple waves
rotate around the trough as it settles in. For the near term, a
strong short wave developing over the tennessee valley deepens
as it lifts north in the central lakes, briefly delaying the
approaching front. This should delay the arrival of the showers
in the western zones until late Monday evening, with the front
passing the central sections and east toward 12z Tuesday,
ahead of the front, marine layer is pulled in from the southeast
stabilizing the low levels, and perhaps bringing a bit of
drizzle. It will also protect much of the area from stronger
winds zipping along above the boundary layer. Best chance for
seeing the gusts will be with any weak convection that develops
immediately along the front. There is some instability aloft,
but convection would be mostly triggered by the strong dynamics
of the system.

Short term Tuesday through Tuesday night
230 pm update...

this will be the most active period of the week as a strong
cold front moves through the CWA followed by an upper level
trough. Model trends from yesterday; front moves into the west
earlier but has slowed down the exit as the trough GOES negative
tilted. Heavy rain axis has shifted back into the far southeast
which includes sullivan county ny and pike county pa. Rainfall
amounts around 2 inches but amounts taper off quickly to the
west. An inch in scranton and less for elmira, binghamton,
syracuse. Pwats up to 1.5 inches with the strong and deep south
flow of tropical moisture ahead of the front and trough.

Training of showers and possible thunderstorms is possible in
the far southeast as the front slows with the short wave outruns
it. This and some orographics into the southern catskills and
poconos could drop higher rainfall amounts. Some flash flood
potential but need 2 or more inches in an hour and 3 or more
inches in 3 hours. High temps not much above the high dewpoints
and only 65 to 70.

Wind fields are strong at mid and upper levels. Instability
weak with maybe a hundred CAPE in all but far east where it
could be slightly higher. Thunderstorms possible right with
front and a line of showers with heavy rain. Thunderstorms could
mix down some stronger winds during the day Tuesday.

Late Tuesday into Tuesday night with the front slowed in the
far east, a surface low moves nne along the front bringing a
batch of heavy rain. Models have moved the heavy rain back to
the west to the edge of our cwa. Front clears our area around
00z but still in the hudson valley Wednesday morning so heavier
rain will not end in far east until late Tuesday night. Rest of
cwa will have only light scattered rain showers. Low
temperatures in the 40s behind the front.

Long term Wednesday through Sunday
230 pm update...

more of an unsettled pattern than of late. The upper level
trough will keep some rain showers here into Thursday.

Temperatures slightly below normal.

High pressure builds in Friday from the southeast u.S.

Temperatures Friday into Saturday at or slightly above normal.

Beyond that some uncertainty on timing and strength of the next
cold front and upper level trough moving out of the plains. For
now looks like showers move in late Saturday with the slow
moving front and remain into Monday. Temperatures near normal.

Aviation 22z Sunday through Friday
Vfr conditions continue for the area this afternoon and evening.

Some marine moisture may slip into the area late tonight and
bring MVFR or ifr ceilings to avp, and perhaps MVFR at bgm.

Otherwise, southwest flow ahead of he approaching front should
keep the area well mixed andVFR through the end of the period.

Strong winds aloft late tonight could bring some llws at
stations with lighter southerly or southeasterly winds.

Outlook...

Tuesday... Restrictions likely in rain.

Wednesday and Thursday... Restrictions possible in showers.

Friday...VFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Dgm
near term... Dgm pcf
short term... Tac
long term... Tac
aviation... Dgm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 72 mi47 min SSE 8 G 12 72°F 1022.5 hPa (-1.0)52°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY13 mi54 minESE 410.00 miFair67°F46°F49%1024.7 hPa

Wind History from RME (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmE3CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmSE5SE7SE4SE5SE4SE3SE5SE7SE6SE8SE8SE8S4SE6S10S6E4
1 day agoN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4CalmCalmCalmE5CalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW6NW3Calm
2 days agoCalmNW8W12W12W12W9W5W7NW6NW5NW3NW4CalmCalmNW4W9W12W9W11NW7W11W13W13NW5

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:44 AM EDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:20 AM EDT     4.35 feet High Tide
Sun -- 09:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:57 PM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:45 PM EDT     5.21 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:05 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
10-0.20.623.13.94.34.23.42.41.71.10.3-0.10.51.93.44.455.24.63.52.5

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Sun -- 01:54 AM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:28 AM EDT     4.51 feet High Tide
Sun -- 09:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:07 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:53 PM EDT     5.38 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:04 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.30.3-0.10.61.93.13.94.44.43.72.721.40.60.10.51.93.34.45.15.44.93.82.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.