Sunday, January21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Utica, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:23AMSunset 5:01PM Sunday January 21, 2018 1:03 PM EST (18:03 UTC) Moonrise 9:56AMMoonset 9:37PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 1241 Am Est Sun Jan 21 2018
Overnight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Cloudy. The lake is mostly ice covered in this section.
Sunday..Southwest winds less than 10 knots. A chance of flurries in the morning.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. A chance of snow in the evening, then a chance of snow, sleet, rain and freezing rain overnight.
Monday..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. A chance of rain, sleet, freezing rain and snow in the morning, then rain in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Rain.
Tuesday..South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Rain showers during the day, then snow and rain showers likely Tuesday night.
Wednesday..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 5 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers.
Thursday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Partly cloudy. Waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered.
LOZ045 Expires:201801211015;;760315 FZUS51 KBUF 210541 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1241 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ045-211015-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Utica, NY
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location: 43.1, -75.23     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 211735
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
1235 pm est Sun jan 21 2018

Synopsis
Mild conditions will continue this weekend. Moisture will
increase from the west this afternoon, with increasing odds of
seeing light rain showers or drizzle. As temperatures cool
tonight it could freeze. Rain will be likely Monday and
Tuesday, as a storm system moves through the region. A slightly
cooler airmass is expected behind the system for mid week, along
with scattered snow showers.

Near term through Monday
1120 am update...

added mention of drizzle to the forecast instead of rain for
this evening most of the overnight hours before the rain arrives
along the warm front Monday morning. Otherwise, no significant
changes made to the forecast. Still expecting a period of light
freezing drizzle possible around utica rome and into higher
elevations of NRN oneida county and the catskills.

330 am update...

early this morning temperatures again showing a wide range from
around 20 to the mid 30s. Lowered temps. Skies only have high
clouds so little insolation. Winds have become light to calm
across most of the area. Clouds have pushed south into rome but
should slow with little more progress. A larger area of clouds
in western ny and central pa are moving east to be over our area
today. This will keep temperatures lower than yesterday and
mostly in the upper 30s and lower 40s. Also with the clouds will
be a chance of light rain starting this afternoon. This
afternoon only a chance with the highest chance in the chemung
valley and bradford county pa. The problem with this is surface
temperatures in the far east will be near freezing tonight into
Monday morning. This occurs over the higher terrain from
northern sullivan county to eastern otsego county, and then
across most of oneida county. Lows around 30 tonight there to
mid 30s elmira to scranton.

Precipitation associated with a warm front and weak isentropic
lift. Rain chances remain low tonight then become likely in ny
Monday midday into the afternoon as the front lifts through and
we get a brief break. Rain amounts this period range from a
quarter inch in the far north to less than a tenth of an inch
for most of nepa. Highs mostly in the low and mid 40s.

Short term Monday night through Tuesday
320 am update... As the main cyclone translates across the st.

Lawrence valley and towards the north atlantic this period, a
trailing surface occlusion cold front will approach cny nepa
from the west late Monday night, then cross the region on
Tuesday. An associated frontal band of steadier rain will shift
across the area fairly quickly late Monday night and Tuesday
morning, with precipitation tapering off and becoming more
showery in nature by afternoon.

It still appears that system movement will be fast enough to
limit rainfall amounts to generally 0.5-0.75 inches in about a
12-hour period, with localized amounts near an inch over
portions of nepa and the western catskills in ny. Even with
snowmelt runoff anticipated, such rainfall amounts should, in
general, keep our larger river systems, along with smaller
tributaries, within bankfull. However, what remains a wild card
is ice behavior and how it will respond to increased flows.

Thus, it pays to be vigilant in areas typically prone to ice
jams, and we'll continue to highlight this situation in our
hazardous weather outlook.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
330 am update... Other than blending in the most recent guidance
through about Wednesday, no substantive changes made to the
existing forecast.

A brief return to seasonable temperatures are still expected
during the mid-week period, along with a minor lake-effect snow
episode southeast of lake ontario. Readings should moderate
above normal again towards next weekend.

Previous discussion... Cold air advection and a northwest flow
will bring lake effect snow showers into the area into early
Thursday. Air is not all that cold, bottoming out at around -16c
at 850mb, so the lake effect will be limited to snow showers.

Flow becomes more sheared with time as the surface high drops in
with a more northerly flow, and the 850mb and 925mb northwest.

Nose of the surface high will be over the region Thursday night
ending the leftovers. High slides east as the upper ridge builds
on Friday with the warm air advection beginning again in
earnest. This should allow for temps above normal at the end of
the week.

Aviation 18z Sunday through Friday
Will likely see MVFR to fuel alternate required ceilings this
afternoon and evening... Eventually becoming ifr at some
locations with -dz, fog and MVFR vsbys after 03z. May see a
brief period -fzdz at krme tonight with temperatures hovering
around or just below freezing. Flight restrictions remain ifr
tonight, with maybe some improvement during the morning hours
Monday as the warm front lifts in from the north and the drizzle
become light rain. Winds are expected to remain light and
variable through the period.

Outlook...

Monday afternoon through Tuesday... Flight category reductions
continue under periods of ra.

Tuesday night through Wednesday... Possible continuation of
flight category reductions and a chance of shsn.

Thursday and Friday...VFR under high pressure.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Tac
near term... Bjt tac
short term... Mlj
long term... Dgm mlj
aviation... Bjt tac


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 72 mi45 min W 5.1 G 8.9 38°F 1020.1 hPa31°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY13 mi70 minN 07.00 miOvercast37°F30°F79%1021.9 hPa

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Last 24hrW12
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W12W13W10W7NW5CalmNW4NW3NW3CalmN4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoE3E4E3E4E5SE5E6SE5CalmE3E7E6E7E7E7E5CalmCalmNW3CalmCalmNW5W12
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2 days agoW9W12W12W9W6W4W7W5W3CalmCalmCalmE4E4E4CalmE3CalmE3E5E8E5E4E4

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:18 AM EST     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:39 AM EST     4.45 feet High Tide
Sun -- 09:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:31 PM EST     0.44 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:54 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:51 PM EST     5.04 feet High Tide
Sun -- 09:31 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.90.3-0.201.22.83.84.44.43.92.91.81.20.90.50.51.42.94.24.954.73.62.3

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Sun -- 02:28 AM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:47 AM EST     4.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 09:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:41 PM EST     0.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:59 PM EST     5.19 feet High Tide
Sun -- 09:31 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.20.600.11.22.73.94.54.64.23.22.11.41.10.70.61.42.84.255.24.942.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.