Thursday, June22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mattydale, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:24AMSunset 8:49PM Thursday June 22, 2017 7:56 PM EDT (23:56 UTC) Moonrise 3:19AMMoonset 6:08PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 143 Pm Edt Thu Jun 22 2017
This afternoon..West winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. A chance of showers early...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning...then showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening... Then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms overnight. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds in the evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Saturday..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Sunday..West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 66 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201706222100;;647654 FZUS51 KBUF 221743 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 143 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-222100-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mattydale, NY
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location: 43.11, -76.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 222312
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
712 pm edt Thu jun 22 2017

Synopsis
Tonight through Friday night more showers and thunderstorms are
expected as fronts pass through the area. Friday into Friday
evening locally heavy rain is possible. Seasonal temperatures
are expected into the weekend with decreasing chances for
precipitation.

Near term through Friday night
Tonight... An increasingly moist southwest flow will develop
overnight with pwats rising to around 1.50". Surface low
pressure in the western great lakes will push a warm front
through the region although the forcing with this feature is
fairly weak. Best moisture and lift continues to be in the far
northern forecast area where we will keep high chance pops later
tonight with slight chance across the central and southern
forecast area. Due to mid level instability will keep the
mention of thunder. It will be mild and increasingly muggy as
dew points rise and lows range from the middle 60s to lower
70s.

Friday Friday night... A deep southwest flow of increasing
moisture from tropical depression cindy will bring pwats to
around 2 inches by afternoon. Models have slowed the progress
of the surface cold front with passage now expected Friday
evening. Model soundings show tall skinny CAPE and warm cloud
layer around 11k-12k feet. These are indications of potentially
very heavy rainfall with any convection. Due to a really juicy
atmosphere with plenty of clouds the amount of destabilzation
that occurs tomorrow is a big question mark. Low level shear
still looks fairly good to support severe weather but many
elements are lacking. There still is the threat for isolated
severe thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening but more
concerning is the heavy rainfall threat. Later shifts may need
to issue a flash flood watch if the event looks more certain.

Will continue with likely pops from Friday afternoon into
Friday evening then lower pops after midnight as this boundary
drops through. Highs will range in the upper 70s to lower 80s
with dewpoints around 70 making it feel rather muggy. Friday
night temperatures cool off in the lower to middle 60s.

Short term Saturday through Sunday
Remains of t.S. Cindy will pass just south of the area early
Saturday and may bring a few showers to nepa. Later in the day,
surface trof and mid level short wave will drop into the area
from the great lakes resulting in scattered afternoon showers.

Weak surface ridging biuilds in for Saturday night and Sunday,
but yet another mid level wave passes through later in the day
some additional showers are possible, especially during the peak
heating hours with the cold pool aloft.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
Unsettled weather continues into the long term with a persistent
upper low over the central great lakes creating instability,
especially during the afternoon hours. Solution to the problem
is still up in the air (pun intended) as the GFS and euro come
to different conclusions on the eventual disposition of the low.

The latest GFS develops a slow moving closed low that will
linger somewhere in the ny and new england area through and
beyond the period. Euro is more progressive and would sweep the
low through as a deep but open wave by Wednesday. In any event,
it looks as though cool and unsettled weather with mainly
afternoon showers will continue through the long term.

Temperatures will average below normal, especially during the
daylight hours.

Aviation 23z Thursday through Tuesday
The forecast calls for continuedVFR conditions into Friday
morning, as a high-deck slowly lowers to a mid-deck. Winds will
be light overnight.

Showers and thunderstorms, some with heavy rain, will develop on
Friday. As the atmosphere moistens, MVFR ceilings and
visibilities will become more prominent. Southwest winds will
gust to 20 knots Friday afternoon.

Outlook...

Friday night... Showers and thunderstorms through Friday evening,
with associated restrictions.

Saturday - Monday... MostlyVFR, but shower storm and brief
restriction possible.

Tuesday... Convection with restrictions.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Rrm
near term... Rrm
short term... Dgm
long term... Dgm
aviation... Djp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 31 mi56 min SSE 5.1 G 8 75°F 1010.3 hPa (-1.8)57°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 77 mi56 min E 6 G 8 67°F 1011.2 hPa (-1.0)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 78 mi56 min 67°F 1010.4 hPa (-1.1)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY2 mi62 minE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F61°F64%1010.2 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY21 mi62 minN 010.00 miFair74°F59°F60%1010.6 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW9W7SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3SW3SW7W10W8SW12W9SW7S5CalmE5E7
1 day agoNW6CalmS5E3E3E4W6
G16
S5CalmSW3SW3W8W10W9W11W10W13W10
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2 days agoCalmNE3NE3SW3S4E3S5SW6SW7SW9SW6SW8SW10SW18
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G28
NW13NW8NW8W4NW8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.