Thursday, May24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Liverpool, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:30AMSunset 8:32PM Thursday May 24, 2018 9:58 AM EDT (13:58 UTC) Moonrise 2:24PMMoonset 2:17AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 631 Am Edt Thu May 24 2018
Today..West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Mainly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..West winds 10 knots or less becoming south. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming south 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west less than 10 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Monday night. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 49 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201805241530;;449808 FZUS51 KBUF 241031 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 631 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-241530-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Liverpool, NY
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location: 43.12, -76.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 241052
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
652 am edt Thu may 24 2018

Synopsis
A large region of dry high pressure, will keep a mostly clear
sky going through Friday, with warming temperatures. Increasing
moisture and an approaching frontal boundary, will result in
chances for showers or thunderstorms over the weekend,
especially Sunday.

Near term through Friday
315 am update...

quite a splendid dry and warm couple of late may days to start
the forecast off, in the near term.

Very broad and dry high pressure is now centered over the ohio
valley yet its reach sprawls out over a huge area including our
region. Despite clear sky and recent rains, air mass is still
advecting in with dry mixing just off the surface and thus we
are not getting the typical valley fog. It has taken until now
for sidney ny to even reach 5 mile visibility. Patches of very
shallow valley fog may occur right around dawn in our most
sheltered deep cut valleys but vast majority will just have a
clear crisp sunrise early this morning.

After starting off at mid 40s-mid 50s, wall-to-wall sunshine
will rapidly warm the dry air to mid 70s-near 80 for highs
today. As is typical for this type of set up with abundant dry
air above the boundary layer, dewpoints will likely crash below
guidance values into mid 30s-mid 40s, which will produce
relative humidity values down to only 25-35 percent range this
afternoon. Not even the smallest hint of mugginess today.

For tonight, the center of high pressure will shift to our south
yet of course it will still dominate with clear sky. There might
be just a little more success at some patchy fog in the valleys;
overall not a solid fog night however. Lows will be mainly 50s.

On Friday, with the high drifting off the midatlantic coast, we
get into west-southwesterly warm air advection return flow that
will boost temperatures into widespread 80s for all except the
very highest elevations. Some spots could even touch upper 80s.

Dewpoints will be just a tad higher, mostly in the upper 40s-
lower 50s; still far from being humid. With deeper mixing to
800mb or so, daytime gusts will be frequently 15-20 mph.

Short term Friday night through Saturday night
315 am update...

high pressure will continue to move out to sea and give way to an
approaching cold front by Saturday night. Warmth and moisture will
be transported ahead of the front with enough instability Saturday
afternoon for isolated to scattered thunderstorms to form with the
peak heating hours. Temperatures should rise well into the 80's
after a muggier start around 60.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
315 am update...

Sunday through Monday night:
the cold frontal boundary will likely become a backdoor front and
move east to west across parts of the region on Sunday then push
through the entire region by Monday night. With the front drawing
closer, it will serve as a trigger for more in the way of widespread
showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon and evening. If enough
instability is realized, a threat for strong to severe storms would
be present. However, with modeling showing convection earlier in the
day now that window looks a bit narrower compared to the past few
model cycles. Scattered showers and storms will likely linger into
the holiday with the front still close by. Temperatures should start
a slow cooling trend with highs falling back into the 70's and
clouds keeping lows up in the 60's. The ensemble spread is actually
increasing with the temperature forecast in this timeframe so these
numbers could adjust a bit as we draw closer to the end of the
holiday weekend.

Tuesday through Wednesday:
high pressure builds southeast into the region resulting in a likely
dry period. Tropical moisture may start to increase Wednesday but
given uncertainty and model differences held off any thunderstorm
chances till after Wednesday at this time. Highs look to be around
80 with lows in the 50's.

Aviation 12z Thursday through Monday
12z update...

vfr as high pressure takes over the region. Despite clear sky
and recent rains, valley fog formation did not manage to occur
at the terminals early this morning, as air mass is very dry and
there is mixing still going on immediately above the surface.

After another day of drying out with sunny sky today, some
continued winds just above the surface tonight again lends
little confidence for any valley fog formation early Friday
morning, thus it is not included in tafs. Winds will be
generally out of the northwest 4-8 knots today, then very light
southwest to southeast or variable tonight.

Outlook...

Friday through Friday night...VFR.

Saturday through Monday... Chance of showers and thunderstorms
with associated restrictions; highest chances on Sunday.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mdp
near term... Mdp
short term... Mwg
long term... Mwg
aviation... Mdp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 28 mi41 min W 8 G 11 55°F 1022.4 hPa48°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 74 mi59 min WSW 2.9 G 6 66°F 1023.4 hPa (+0.4)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 75 mi41 min 68°F 1022.1 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY5 mi65 minVar 310.00 miA Few Clouds62°F50°F65%1022 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY19 mi65 minN 010.00 miFair62°F50°F65%1022.5 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7SW74W8W10
G17
NW12W15
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NW13NW11W8W6W7W6NW4NW5NW7NW3W4W5W3CalmCalmW43
1 day agoE9SE10SE6SE6SE75S9S8SE3N5NW8W5SW6W7NW8W5W5NW4W5NW7W4W4W6W7
2 days ago5W5SW53W6W7--4W4CalmNE5NE4CalmCalmE3SE5E3E4E4NE6E5SE3E3E5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.