Friday, March22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Liverpool, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 7:20PM Friday March 22, 2019 8:16 AM EDT (12:16 UTC) Moonrise 8:26PMMoonset 7:19AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:201903220900;;732860 Fzus51 Kbuf 220551 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 151 Am Edt Fri Mar 22 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-220900- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 151 Am Edt Fri Mar 22 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 11 am edt this morning through Sunday morning...
Overnight..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Rain. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Rain and snow showers likely in the morning, then rain in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 6 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Friday night..Northwest winds to 30 knots. Snow and rain in the evening, then snow showers likely overnight. Waves 8 to 11 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet.
Saturday..Northwest winds to 30 knots becoming west. A chance of snow showers in the morning. Waves 7 to 11 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet.
Saturday night..West winds 15 to 25 knots. Clear. Waves 7 to 10 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
Sunday..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of flurries Sunday night. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Monday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of flurries during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 to 2 feet. The water temperature off rochester is 37 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Liverpool, NY
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location: 43.12, -76.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 221107
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
707 am edt Fri mar 22 2019

Synopsis
A complex coastal storm will spread rain and wet snow into the
area through this morning, and then gusty winds and snow
showers this afternoon through tonight. Snow accumulations will
vary greatly by elevation, with higher elevations east of
interstate 81 most prone to significant snow this morning. Then
later today through tonight, mainly central new york will
receive additional snow accumulations, especially high terrain.

Near term until 4 pm this afternoon
350 am update...

a slew of winter weather advisories and winter storm warnings
are in effect, for the combined impacts of phases one and two of
the coastal storm now in our vicinity.

Phase one of the coastal storm is underway, with bands of rain
and wet snow pivoting over the region. At higher elevations,
especially above 1400 feet and particularly for high terrain east
of interstate 81, snowfall rates could exceed an inch per hour
at times this morning. Meanwhile, lower elevations will get
barely any snow. Rain will mix at times with wet snow but will
struggle to actually accumulate at lower elevations. So as is
often the case with early spring snow, it is extremely dependent
on elevation. Temperatures are in the mid to upper 30s for most
of the area; yet dipping into the lower 30s now with wet snow,
heavy at times, for those higher terrain locations. This will
more-or-less persist through about 9am or so before
diminishing.

Much of today will actually not be that bad. Midday through
early afternoon will represent a relative lull in precipitation
coverage and magnitude, with above freezing temperatures causing
snowmelt to occur where it exists, even at those higher
elevations. Highs of mid 30s to lower 40s can be expected.

However, a new upper trough will dig out of ontario over our
region late today, on the way to merging with the coastal low.

Impacts of this second phase are further discussed below.

Short term 4 pm this afternoon through 6 pm Saturday
355 am update...

phase two of the system will occur late afternoon through
tonight. Digging trough will drop over the region late today,
and then merge with the coastal low overnight tonight. This will
initiate renewed cold air advection while also causing winds to
pick up out of the west-northwest. Snow showers will begin to
multiply west-to- east over the area late afternoon, and at
times could produce inch per hour snowfall rates in the heaviest
showers especially this evening. Temperatures will dive through
the 20s tonight, as winds also pick up and gust 30-40 mph,
which will cause blowing snow where it falls. Thus traveling
conditions could be difficult, especially in higher elevations
of central new york.

However, models have also trended on ending things rather
quickly, with most snow showers gone by dawn Saturday. The
vertically stacked low will be well northeast of the region by
afternoon, in the canadian maritimes, allowing skies to become
mostly sunny. Highs will be in the 30s, though lower elevations
of northeast pa could touch 40 degrees. Winds will still be
pretty stiff, with gusts of 25-35 mph common through the day.

Long term Saturday night through Thursday
220 am update... A fairly quiet period. Dry weather on Saturday
night into Sunday. Then, a cold front drops through early
Monday with light rain and snow changing to snow as the colder
air moves in. Then, a large high pressure system from canada
builds in and keeps the area dry and cool through the end of the
period, although warming begins on Thursday as a more southerly
flow develops. Minor edits to the grids in this period to
adjust to the latest model trends. Previous discussion continues
below.

An upper level trough will control our weather and keep us cold and
unsettled through early next week, then a developing ridge will push
toward the ohio valley by midweek.

Sunday night and Monday... A front dropping into northern ny will
push a mix of snow and rain showers into ny and pa. Temperatures on
Monday will range from the upper-30s over the finger lakes and
western mohawk valley to around 50 near wilkes barre.

Monday night... Dry, cold air will drop out of canada and knock
temperatures down into the teens and lower-20s. A few light snow
showers will remain possible.

Tuesday through Thursday... High pressure will yield quiet weather
during the middle of next week. Temperatures will start much below
normal on Tuesday with highs in the 30s and increase into the 50s by
Thursday.

Aviation 11z Friday through Tuesday
Restrictions abound as a coastal system spreads clouds, rain,
and wet snow across most of the terminals. At least fuel
alternate required conditions will persist through 06z Saturday
for ksyr-krme-kith-kbgm, and down to lifr at times. Kelm-kavp
will have fuel alternate to ifr, though with some improvement to
higher end MVFR or evenVFR at times late today. Northwest
winds will increase and become gusty late morning through
evening as the coastal low strengthens, reaching 12-16 knots
sustained with gusts 24-30 knots. This will also bring in
colder air, changing precipitation to all snow showers by late
today through this evening including some blowing snow; mainly
for the ny terminals. As the air further dries late tonight
however, snow will diminish and rapid improvement will get
underway.

Outlook...

Saturday through Sunday night... MainlyVFR.

Monday... Possible restrictions in snow or rain.

Monday night through Tuesday... MainlyVFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... Winter weather advisory until 8 am edt Saturday for paz038-039-
043-044-072.

Winter storm warning until 8 am edt Saturday for paz040.

Ny... Winter weather advisory until 8 am edt Saturday for nyz016-017-
025-055-056-062.

Winter storm warning until 8 am edt Saturday for nyz009-018-
036-037-044>046-057.

Synopsis... Mdp
near term... Mdp
short term... Mdp
long term... Dgm djp
aviation... Mdp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 28 mi35 min 36°F 1001.5 hPa33°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 74 mi17 min WNW 14 G 16 38°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 75 mi35 min 38°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY5 mi23 minWNW 115.00 miLight Drizzle Fog/Mist36°F35°F97%1000.9 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY19 mi23 minWNW 126.00 miFog/Mist36°F32°F86%1001.4 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7E5E6E5E5SE6SE10S13S9SE9SE8E8E8--NE6NE5E8E9E8E4E3CalmW6W11
1 day agoE3E4E3SW10SW9SW8
G20
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65S5S8S9S10S11S11S15S14S11
G20
S8SE5S6SE4S6
2 days agoW4SW3SW3SW4SW7W7W8W7W9N7NW4NE5SE4SE4SE4SE3E4SE3E4E4E3N3CalmE3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.