Thursday, June21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Syracuse, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:23AMSunset 8:49PM Thursday June 21, 2018 12:57 AM EDT (04:57 UTC) Moonrise 1:22PMMoonset 12:51AM Illumination 53% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 401 Pm Edt Wed Jun 20 2018
Tonight..North winds 10 knots or less. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet, then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..East winds 5 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Occasional showers with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then showers likely Sunday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 63 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201806210330;;844292 FZUS51 KBUF 202001 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 401 PM EDT Wed Jun 20 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-210330-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Syracuse, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 43.14, -76.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kbgm 210126
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
926 pm edt Wed jun 20 2018

Synopsis
A cold frontal boundary will push south through the region
tonight, with high pressure building in behind the front. While
some scattered showers may linger into the evening conditions
will turn sunny Friday. A warm front will lift north through
the region late Friday and Saturday with another chance of
showers.

Near term through Thursday
925 pm update...

very light rain showers out there this evening, mainly from the
ny pa border south. Mid level S W and sfc inverted trough
passing ewd across the region... But with most of the instability
well to the south across SRN pa along with the majority of the
showers and storms. Have cut back on the NRN extent of the
precipitation in the forecast, and lowered probabilities and qpf
amts as well. Still have mention of valley fog in the forecast,
but confidence is lower than previously thought with a decent
amt of dry air moving in and winds mixing increasing during
the morning hours. Cannot completely rule it out though... So
left mention in the lowest most favorable areas for valley fog.

The rest of the forecast looks on track with quiet weather
tomorrow, more Sun and warmer temperatures.

Previous discussion...

several waves of low pressure will ride along a frontal boundary
to our south. Clouds have overrun the boundary this afternoon.

However, moisture is very limited as evidence with the latest
soundings from the hrrr and rap. As a result, while the radar
shows quite a few returns mainly scattered sprinkles are falling
in northern pa into the southern tier of ny. Modeling does
indicate another round of showers coming through the poconos
early this evening with a moister environment in place by then.

A secondary cold front will then pass through the region
overnight resulting in clearing from north to south. Lows
tonight should be in the low 50's north to around 60 in the
poconos. Some patchy fog may form as well just before sunrise
but is conditional on the evening clearing and winds going calm
which are both somewhat uncertain.

High pressure will build into the region Thursday resulting in a
mostly sunny day and temperatures quickly rebounding into the
70's and even 80 in a few spots. MOS guidance as a whole looked
a degree or two too cool based on boundary layer temperatures.

Winds should increase a touch but stay under 10 mph from the
north.

Short term Thursday night through Friday
With the high pressure overhead Thursday night looks rather
cool and undercut temperatures slightly from MOS in the upper
40's to low 50's. Daytime highs should rebound with one more
sunny day as the high departs our region into the 70's and low
80's. Similar to Thursday where MOS may be a hair cool with
highs. While high clouds should increase on Friday, any
precipitation from an approaching warm front should hold off
till the night due to the drier airmass in place. Winds will
also become southerly on the backside of the high.

Long term Friday night through Wednesday
130 pm update... On the large-scale, a short-wave impulse is
still progged to open up, as it heads from the oh valley across
ny pa on Saturday. Sunday into Sunday evening, another short-
wave in the northern stream is expected to drop southeastward
from ontario across the forecast area, ultimately helping to
push a secondary surface cold front trough off the east coast.

The passage of these features will keep a fairly high
probability of showers over the area this weekend.

From this early vantage point, it appears that shower activity
will be the most persistent on Saturday, and more
scattered intermittent in nature for much of the region Sunday.

Saturday continues to look fairly stable, so no thunder will be
mentioned for the first half of the weekend. Marginal
instability is progged on Sunday, so will include a small chance
of thunder.

For a good portion of next week, height rises aloft are progged
over the eastern conus, with a surface high gradually building
from eastern canada, across the northeastern u.S., and
eventually off the mid-atlantic coast. This should lead to
mostly rain-free weather for the first part of next week, along
with temperatures gradually warming day to day.

Highs mostly in the 70s Saturday-Monday, should warm into the
upper 70s-mid 80s range towards the middle of the week.

Aviation 01z Thursday through Monday
720 pm update...

mainlyVFR throughout the TAF period which is tonight and
Friday. Showers turning to sprinkles and exiting to the
southeast. A few sprinkles for avp up to 06z but not expecting
any restrictions. Skies are slowly clearing from north to south.

Medium confidence on MVFR vsbys between 09 and 12z at kelm with
valley fog. Skies clear out late tonight there. Winds will be
calm there.

Friday mainly high scattered clouds at all sites.

Tonight light and variable winds at 5 kts or less. Friday
northwest to north winds at 8 kts.

Outlook...

Friday night...VFR.

Saturday through Sunday night... Showers and restrictive
conditions are possible.

Monday...VFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mwg
near term... Bjt mwg
short term... Mwg
long term... Mlj
aviation... Tac


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 31 mi57 min S 1.9 G 4.1 62°F 1009.4 hPa (+0.5)55°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 79 mi57 min N 2.9 G 4.1 64°F 1010.8 hPa (+0.6)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 80 mi57 min 58°F 1009.7 hPa (+0.8)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
Last
24hr
S5
SE6
S7
S6
S7
S7
S7
G10
S7
G10
S8
S7
S7
S5
G9
NW5
NW6
NW7
W5
NW4
NW3
NW2
NW2
S3
S5
S6
S2
1 day
ago
NW11
E1
G4
N11
G14
N8
G11
N7
NW7
N10
G13
N16
N12
G15
N8
G11
N6
NW9
W10
NW9
W11
G14
W13
G16
W11
W9
G14
W9
G13
W9
W2
G6
S1
SE2
S2
2 days
ago
S10
G14
S10
G13
S9
G13
SW11
G15
SW12
G16
W15
G22
W13
G22
W11
G17
SW15
G21
W6
G10
W9
G18
SW10
G14
SW9
G14
SW15
G23
W17
G25
NW10
G13
NW9
G12
W9
G13
W7
G10
W8
G11

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY1 mi63 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy56°F55°F97%1009.2 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY21 mi63 minN 010.00 miFair53°F48°F86%1009.6 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
Last 24hrCalmCalmE3S3CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmE3CalmCalmW5CalmNW6CalmNW5CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoW8NW9NW9NW9NW8NW7NW6NW11N10NW9NW9NW9
G16
N11NW11NW7NW8N10NW10
G19
NW7NW8NW6N3N3Calm
2 days agoCalmSW6S6S6S7SW11SW10SW8SW12SW11SW13W16W17
G28
W24
G30
W13NW15
G20
W13
G19
SW11W12W11W10W10W13
G19
NW10

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (0,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.