Wednesday, November22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Syracuse, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 4:36PM Wednesday November 22, 2017 3:19 PM EST (20:19 UTC) Moonrise 10:24AMMoonset 8:04PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1223 Pm Est Wed Nov 22 2017
.small craft advisory in effect until 7 pm est this evening...
This afternoon..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers early. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Tonight..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Thursday..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers in the morning, then a chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. A chance of rain and snow showers in the evening, then a chance of snow showers overnight. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Friday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers Friday night. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Saturday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. Rain showers likely during the day, then snow and rain showers likely Saturday night. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Sunday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 5 to 15 knots. Snow during the day, then scattered snow showers Sunday night. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. The water temperature off rochester is 48 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201711222215;;802617 FZUS51 KBUF 221723 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1223 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-222215-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Syracuse, NY
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location: 43.14, -76.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 221839
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
139 pm est Wed nov 22 2017

Synopsis
Light lake effect snow showers will affect northern new york
through this afternoon. Fair weather and cool temperatures are
expected through thanksgiving.

Near term through Thursday night
140 pm update...

light lake effect snow showers will continue through early
evening, though little in the way of accumulation is expected
due to the very dry boundary layer in place. West-northwest
winds will gust at 20 to 25 knots through sunset.

Persistent low stratus downwind of lake ontario will keep much
of our northern forecast area cloudy overnight.

Skies will break up Thursday morning, leading to a mainly sunny
but cool thanksgiving afternoon. Another weak lake band is
forecast to set up over northern oneida county Thursday night.

955 am update...

light snow showers are tapering off and sliding east of our
forecast area. This trend will continue through the next few
hours, then a light lake band will set up for our northern
counties for this afternoon and evening. Little accumulation is
forecast.

Short term Friday through Friday night Thursday night
will be mainly dry for the region with the exception of the far
northern forecast area. Will continue with chance pops in
northern oneida county for snow showers as a weak surface trough
moving through eastern canada and westerly flow with
temperatures cold enough for lake enhancement could produce a
few snow showers. Any snow accumulation would be less than one
inch. Lows will range in the middle 20s to around 30.

Friday... Brief upper level ridging and surface high pressure in
the DELMARVA area will bring the region a moderating southwest
flow along with partly to mostly sunny skies. Any flurries in
northern oneida county will end by mid morning. Highs will
range in the middle to upper 40s.

Friday night... Upper level trough will move into the eastern
great lake as the surface cold front reaches central ohio by
Saturday morning. Model trend has been to slow this front down
so backed off on pops with dry weather through midnight then
just chance slight chance pops in the western northern forecast
area. This activity would fall as rain showers as temperatures
aloft and at the surface remain above freezing. Overnight lows
will range in the 30s.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
A progressive pattern continues across the CONUS through the
extended period with models in fair agreement. In general an
upper level trough will move through the northeast over the
weekend with upper level ridging early this week as another
system moves into the rockies and the southeast ridge strengthens.

Cold front will move through the area on Saturday with chance to
low likely pops advertised. Precipitation will fall as rain
showers with high temperatures in the mid to upper 40s. This is
more of a high pop low rainfall forecast as boundary has limited
moisture. Saturday night, upper level trough axis moves through
as cold air advection drops temperatures enough by mid evening
for lake effect snow showers. Model soundings indicate a 290 300
flow within the steering layer as temperatures at 850mb fall
briefly to -12c. Will continue with likely pops southeast of
lake ontario where snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are
possible. By Sunday the low level flow veers to a more 320 flow
which would target the area along the southern shore and into
the finger lakes region. Will continue with likely pops here but
decreasing moisture and shorter fetch will limit accumulations.

The lake effect snow showers will decrease Sunday night as
temperatures at 850mb start warming and airmass dries further.

Winds will back slightly with axis of the most persistent snow
showers shifting east. By Monday any remaining flurries will
end by late morning as upper level flow becomes zonal and a
moderating southwest surface flow develops. Tuesday will be dry
and mild with surface high pressure off the mid atlantic coast.

In general temperatures will run about 5 degrees below normal
after the cold front passes on Saturday then by early next week
temperatures will moderate to 5 to 10 degrees above normal.

Aviation 19z Wednesday through Monday
MVFR ceilings will slowly improve toVFR late this afternoon or
early this evening as lake effect snow showers begin to
dissipate. MVFR conditions will be most persistent near syr,
ith, and rme, where the lakes will keep snow showers and low
stratus over the terminals.

Light winds andVFR conditions are forecast for Thursday.

Outlook...

Thursday night through Friday night...VFR.

Saturday... Possible restrictions in rain showers.

Saturday night through Sunday... Lake effect snow showers causing
restrictions, especially for ksyr-krme.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Djp
near term... Djp
short term... Rrm
long term... Rrm
aviation... Djp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 31 mi49 min W 25 G 30 37°F 1018.3 hPa30°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 79 mi79 min WNW 20 G 25 34°F 1021 hPa (+1.0)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 80 mi49 min 33°F 1020.7 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
24hr
S11
G15
S8
G11
S5
G8
S5
G9
S9
G16
SW11
G19
SW7
G10
S8
G11
S7
G13
W15
G21
W16
G20
NW19
NW16
NW19
NW17
NW16
NW10
G14
W17
G24
W16
G28
W23
G28
W24
W27
G33
W23
G31
W23
G28
1 day
ago
S10
G14
S9
G15
S9
S9
G13
S8
G11
S8
G12
S8
G11
S8
G12
S9
G13
S9
G13
S10
S8
G11
S10
G13
S7
G11
S16
G21
S17
G24
S16
G22
S20
G32
S17
G31
S15
G20
S15
G22
S18
G28
S11
G15
S13
G22
2 days
ago
W28
G37
W23
G31
NW25
G31
NW24
G33
NW23
G29
W31
G38
NW31
W28
G41
W31
G44
NW30
NW25
NW21
G27
NW18
G24
NW13
G18
NW9
G14
SE6
G10
W25
G33
SW17
G24
W19
G28
W28
G35
W27
G33
W24
G39
W26
S10
G17

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY1 mi85 minW 1410.00 miOvercast35°F30°F82%1017.7 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY21 mi25 minW 1110.00 miOvercast35°F28°F78%1018.6 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S10S11S12S12S12
G19
S12S8S8SW8SW5NW7W6W10NW14NW7W8W8W8W10W11W12
G22
W14W14
1 day agoSW9SW8S5S3SE3CalmCalmE5S3S4SE3SE3S5S13S6S7S6S13S16
G23
S12
G22
S10S9S9S5
2 days agoW9W14W8W10W13W14W18
G23
W18
G25
W14W13W11W14W8SW6W5W7SW8W18
G23
SW16SW19
G26
W17
G24
SW10SW12SW11

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.