Thursday, February22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sylvan Beach, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 5:47PM Thursday February 22, 2018 9:13 PM EST (02:13 UTC) Moonrise 10:36AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 53% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1244 Pm Est Thu Feb 22 2018
This afternoon..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow early. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. A chance of rain and freezing rain in the morning, then rain with a chance of freezing rain in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Rain showers likely in the evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east 15 to 20 knots. Rain Saturday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Southeast winds to 30 knots becoming west 15 to 25 knots. Rain during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Monday..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet. The water temperature off rochester is 37 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201802222200;;382214 FZUS51 KBUF 221744 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1244 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-222200-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sylvan Beach, NY
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location: 43.17, -75.82     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 222339
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
639 pm est Thu feb 22 2018

Synopsis
Snow, or a wintry mix, ends by early evening, with mainly dry
weather overnight. A couple of more disturbances, are expected
to impact the region Friday, and into the weekend, with rain and
patches of freezing rain expected.

Near term through Friday night
400 pm update...

the winter storm that has been affecting the area today is now
quickly exiting the area. This storm produced a period of heavy
snow along and north of the ny pa border... With a messy wintry
mix of precipitation over the northern tier of pa and higher
pocono mountains. Expect a period of light snow to linger east
of i-81 through about 5 or 6 pm in ny... With a mixture of light
rain, sleet and perhaps an isolated pocket of freezing rain for
ne pa also until 5 or 6 pm. After 6 pm much of the area will dry
out, but remain under mostly cloudy skies. Cannot completely
rule out some patchy drizzle or frz drizzle for the overnight
hours... Especially over the higher terrain. Temperatures drop
down into the 20s tonight across all of central ny... With upper
20s to around 30 in northeast pa. These colder overnight lows
will set the stage for more freezing precipitation on Friday for
parts of the area. Temperatures aloft will warm well above
freezing Friday morning across the entire area... Therefore
additional snow is not expected as the next weather system
approaches the area. Instead, precipitation is progged to move
into the area from SW to NE after 7am Friday in the form of
either rain or freezing rain... Depending on surface temperatures.

The finger lakes, central souther tier of ny and the ny thruway
corridor should stay mainly all rain on Friday. Right now the
best chance for at least some light freezing rain and glazes of
ice are forecast to be along and east of a line from about
towanda--owego--norwich and cooperstown... Including all of our
ne pa counties. Although any location in the above mentioned
area could see some freezing rain... The best potential for ice
accretion will be over the higher terrain. The wyoming valley
(including scranton, wilkes-barre, pittston etc) could see very
light coatings of freezing rain early Friday morning... But
temperatures likely warm above freezing by late morning here.

Issued another winter weather advisory starting at 7 am Friday
for the above mentioned areas for the freezing rain threat. The
advisory will end at 2 pm Friday for bradford, susquehanna,
broome, tioga and chenango... While areas further east in the
higher terrain of the poconos, catskills, sullivan county and
northern oneida county may see pockets of freezing rain linger
into early Friday evening. The highest ice accumulations will be
found in these areas... Where a tenth or two of accretion is
possible. Either way, for locations that do see freezing rain
plan on slippery conditions... Including untreated roads and
sidewalks. High temperatures late Friday afternoon will be in
the mid-30s east... With lower 40s west. Precipitation tapers off
to just a few light showers Friday evening... With mostly dry
conditions expected for much of Friday night. Temperatures
remain elevated in a warm wsw flow regime. Most locations only
fall into the mid to upper 30s Friday night.

Short term Saturday through Sunday
330 pm update... As the above mentioned system exits well before
daybreak Saturday, more will follow on its heels for Saturday
afternoon, Saturday night, and into Sunday.

A couple of more short-waves are in the pipeline for cny nepa
through the weekend, within the continued broad SW flow pattern
aloft. The main parent cyclone at the surface will track well to
our north and west over the weekend, through the upper midwest,
and into eastern canada. This will generally place cny nepa on
the mild, rainy side of this system. Residual trapped cold air
near the surface, although expected to slowly erode with time,
may still be present enough for a brief period of freezing rain
across northern oneida and the catskills late Saturday. Even in
these areas, though, primarily rain is expected.

One thing to watch this weekend will be rainfall amounts over
time, plus added runoff from snowmelt. Since our main stem
rivers and smaller tributaries are already running high, this
will certainly be something we'll monitor closely.

Once the surface occlusion GOES through on Sunday, steadier rain
should taper off to more intermittent showers during the
afternoon, from west to east.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
340 pm update... A quieter weather pattern is anticipated during
the first half of next week, before another storm system perhaps
impacts cny nepa late in the week.

Broad high pressure at the surface and at least a temporary
deamplification of the height pattern aloft should lead to
mostly dry weather from Monday-Wednesday. A distinct lack of
arctic air over the eastern CONUS will also lead to above normal
temperatures, with highs mostly in the 40s.

Things get a little more interesting thereafter, as both the gfs
and ec hint at a potential slow moving east coast storm. Given
all the inherent uncertainty this far out, we've simply gone
with a chance of rain or snow, starting later Wednesday night-
Thursday.

Aviation 00z Friday through Tuesday
Light winds and low level moisture will keep a mix of ifr and
low MVFR ceilings over the terminals for most of the evening
hours.

As mixing increases ahead of the next frontal push, ceilings
might lift temporarily early Friday morning. Another round of
rain and light freezing rain will push into ny and pa Friday
morning, bringing additional ifr and low MVFR restrictions of
both ceilings and visibility.

Outlook...

Friday night through Sunday... Restrictions continue, with
steadier rain most likely to occur Friday evening, then again
later Saturday night into Sunday afternoon.

Monday-Tuesday... Improvement back toVFR expected.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... Winter weather advisory from 7 am to 7 pm est Friday for
paz040-043-044-047-048-072.

Winter weather advisory from 7 am to 2 pm est Friday for
paz038-039.

Ny... Winter weather advisory from 7 am to 7 pm est Friday for
nyz009-046-057-062.

Winter weather advisory from 7 am to 2 pm est Friday for
nyz045-055-056.

Synopsis... Mlj
near term... Mjm
short term... Mlj
long term... Mlj
aviation... Djp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 42 mi43 min ENE 6 G 8.9 1038.6 hPa
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 94 mi73 min E 13 G 15 33°F 1039.3 hPa (+0.7)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 96 mi43 min 33°F 1038.7 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Last
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W15
G23
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G14
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G26
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SE9
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S6
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY16 mi19 minSE 310.00 miOvercast32°F32°F100%1038.6 hPa
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY22 mi20 minN 08.00 miOvercast32°F32°F100%1039.5 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7W9W7W6W6W5W4SW3W3NW3CalmCalmCalmSE3N3N4CalmCalmNE3E3NE3CalmSE3SE3
1 day agoS6S11
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G20
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G16
S10SW7S6SW6S9S9S16
G24
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G28
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G32
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W8W11W12W14W11W8W6W6
2 days agoS10S11S11S9S6NE4E4E5SE3S9
G18
S6S11
G16
SW8S7S5S8S11S14S8SW7CalmS10S10SW3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.