Monday, September25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sylvan Beach, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 6:56PM Monday September 25, 2017 6:15 PM EDT (22:15 UTC) Moonrise 11:10AMMoonset 9:16PM Illumination 27% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1025 Am Edt Mon Sep 25 2017
This afternoon..Light and variable winds becoming locally onshore. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Northeast winds less than 10 knots becoming south. Mainly clear in the evening...then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..Southeast winds less than 10 knots becoming north. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds less than 10 knots becoming southwest. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of showers Wednesday night. Waves 1 foot or less building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Thursday..North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet. The water temperature off rochester is 68 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201709252100;;911806 FZUS51 KBUF 251425 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1025 AM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-252100-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sylvan Beach, NY
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location: 43.17, -75.82     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 252159
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
559 pm edt Mon sep 25 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will remain in control of our weather into
Wednesday bringing warm and dry afternoons, and foggy nights.

Wednesday, a cold front will push through the area with a
chance of showers. Cooler air will follow the front later in the
week. &&

Near term through Tuesday night
550 pm edt update...

no significant changes were made to the forecast. Forecast is
in great shape. So far, two record high temps were broken
today. The first one was set at binghamton, 87, the old record
was set in 2007. The second record was broken today at avoca,
92, the old record was 89, set in 1908. For more information
about the forecast, please read the previous forecast discussion
below.

Previous forecast discussion below...

massive ridge locked between maria and northern stream systems
over canada will move little before Wednesday. This will keep
the warm and dry weather in the near term, although some
weakening of the ridge is evident on Tuesday which may result in
slightly lower afternoon highs. Still, record or near record
highs are possible tomorrow afternoon.

Light winds and dew points in the mid and upper 60s will result
in another round of dense fog overnight, especially in the
valleys Tuesday morning.

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday
Upper level ridge will begin to subside across the northeast as
a weak cold front slides in from the west across the great
lakes and maria approaches nwd along the atlantic coast. Much of
ny pa will be situated between these features and remain in a
fairly warm unstable S swly flow into Wednesday. Will likely see
temperatures into the 80s once again, with dew points in the
60s making it feel quite humid for the last week of september.

The front moving in from the west will be the main forcing
mechanism for showers and possibly a few storms Wednesday
afternoon and evening. Around 100-400 j kg of ml CAPE will be
accompanied by 30 kt of deep shear. However limiting factor will
be lack of deep moisture and weak l57 lapse rates. For these
reasons, don't think thunderstorms will be too widespread and
will remain below severe levels.

The main result of the cold front will be to kick maria further to the
east away from the coast, and also to usher in a much cooler air
mass. The synoptic flow behind the front will remain cyclonic and
cool aloft... Which will likely promote isolated rain
showers into Thursday... Mainly for central ny. Temperatures will be
more seasonal Thursday as well with highs in the mid to upper
60s... Close to 70. Dew points in the upper 40s and lower
50s... And breezy N NW winds will make it feel more like fall
too.

Long term Thursday night through Monday
Weak ridging aloft Thursday night should keep weather
conditions quiet before the next S W rotates sewd around the
base of a long wave trough over much of ERN canada and the
northeast. This wave will bring additional chances for light
rain showers Friday and Saturday, but with minimal precipitation
expected as the air mass will be quite dry. The trough will
also have a re-enforcing shot of cool canadian air with
it... Which will adjust temperatures down even more. Highs on
Friday will be in the lower to mid 60s... And on Saturday in the
upper 50s and lower 60s. Overnight lows will drop into the lower
to mid 40s.

Aviation 22z Monday through Saturday
12z update...

high pressure is directly overhead and as is typical of late
september we have valley fog this morning. Kelm will continue
to have restrictive conditions, including airport minimums at
times, until the fog mixes out between 13z-14z. A light mist
will also briefly persist for krme shortly after 12z. Other
than that, entire area under mostly clear sky andVFR today
through this evening. Winds will remain light and variable with
speeds less than 5 knots. Valley fog development is likely again
for kelm 06z-12z tonight, with airport minimums possible.

Several other terminals may get a light mist.

Outlook...

Tuesday through early Wednesday morning...VFR except for fog
possible late night early morning, especially at kelm but for
other terminals as well at times.

Midday Wednesday through Friday... MainlyVFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Dgm
near term... Dgm kah
short term... Pcf
long term... Pcf
aviation... Mdp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 42 mi45 min NE 5.1 G 6 77°F 1016.9 hPa68°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 94 mi75 min E 1.9 G 2.9 77°F 1017.9 hPa (-1.4)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 96 mi45 min 75°F 1017.1 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY16 mi21 minNNE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F66°F57%1015.7 hPa
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY22 mi22 minN 010.00 miFair88°F68°F52%1016.4 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW8NW5NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE3E3E3E3E3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE33N6N7NE6
1 day agoNW7NW3CalmCalmCalmSE4SE3CalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm4NW5NW6W4W3N6W4W8
2 days agoNW9NW6W6W6W5CalmW3SW3CalmCalmCalmNW3CalmE5CalmSE4CalmSW34NW6NW46W6W6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.