Monday, October23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bridgeport, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:27AMSunset 6:09PM Monday October 23, 2017 8:27 PM EDT (00:27 UTC) Moonrise 9:57AMMoonset 7:51PM Illumination 15% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Sodus Bay To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario- 440 Pm Edt Mon Oct 23 2017
Tonight..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Rain after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest and diminishing to 10 knots or less. Rain in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny in the morning, then becoming partly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
LOZ044 Expires:201710240300;;304555 FZUS51 KBUF 232040 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 440 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ044-240300-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bridgeport, NY
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location: 43.2, -76.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 232306
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
706 pm edt Mon oct 23 2017

Synopsis
A strong cold front, will cross the area late tonight and
Tuesday. Windy conditions, along with showers and maybe a
thunderstorm, will accompany this system. Behind the front,
temperatures will trend cooler, for Wednesday and Thursday.

Near term through Tuesday night
3 pm update...

wind advisory discussion...

in response to an approaching low pressure system winds will
increase out of the S SE this evening with sustained winds 20 to
30 mph, and gusts 40 to 50 mph at times tonight and Tuesday
morning. The strongest winds will be along the ridge-tops and
through the lake plain of the finger lakes. Strong winds in the
boundary layer will be able to efficiently mix down to the
surface with the presence of steep low level lapse rates in a
slightly unstable air mass ahead of a cold front and a line of
convection.

A south to southeast flow at low levels has pumped moisture and
clouds across the CWA today. Some sprinkles possible across the
higher terrain of nepa and the catskills late today into this
evening. The steadier showers in WRN pa will move in after
midnight, then move east across the area exiting Tuesday evening
in the east.

The rain ahead of a strong front associated with a deep trough
cutting off over the ohio valley tonight. As it GOES negative
tilt the front will slow its exit in the east. Models have now
flip flopped and have a faster exit. With strong wind fields
giving good directional and speed shear. High pwats will mean
heavy rain will be with the front and could drop a fast half
inch in an hour. With the front slowing in the east rainfall
amounts will be heaviest in the far east where around 2 inches
is possible. Small chance of flash flooding there with some
higher amounts due to orographic lift and training.

Some CAPE of a hundred or two could add lift with and ahead of
the front. Some thunderstorms will form late tonight into
Tuesday. This could mix down the stronger winds and cause
isolated damage. Highs upper 60s to around 70.

Behind the front, only a slight chance of showers for the west
in the afternoon and everywhere in the evening. Late Tuesday
night it will be dry with weak high pressure as the upper level
trough stays in the western great lakes. Lows in the 40s.

Short term Wednesday through Thursday
230 pm update...

a cooler and much drier air mass will be advecting in from the west
on Wednesday as a sharp upper trough across the great lakes rotates
ewd through the northeast us. The potential for precipitation will
not be zero, with strong upper level forcing and cold air advection
aloft should be sufficient for robust stratus strato-cu layer, and a
few stray light rain showers not out of the question. Temperatures
will be on the cool side Wednesday with highs only reaching into the
mid to upper 50s.

The upper trough will lift to the NE Wednesday night with weak
ridging behind the system acting to suppress the air mass. The
combination of this suppression and the lingering presence of a
surface high and cool temperatures should lead to morning low
temperatures Thursday in the mid 30s and lower 40s. Skies should
make a stronger attempt to clear out Thursday afternoon, but it may
take too long to impact temperatures. Highs thur afternoon only
expected to reach into the lower to mid 50s.

Long term Thursday night through Monday
230 pm update...

weak high pressure will continue to dominate the region thur night
through at least Friday night as the next cold core low pressure
system rolls through the upper midwest great lakes region. Out ahead
of the system strong WAA will take place and push temperatures on
Friday and Saturday into the upper 50s and lower 60s. There are some
differences in the timing of this weekend system with the gfs
being the fastest, bringing in the rain by Friday night, and the
ecmwf being the slowest, not bringing in the precip until Sunday
morning. Either way, the main idea is for the upper trough to the
west to stretch out as it translates ewd and slide through ny pa and
most of the northeast very slowly. Could see a prolonged period of
rain, moderate to heavy at times possibly into early next week. Will
need to keep an eye on this system as it evolves through the
upcoming model guidance runs.

Temperatures will see a cooling trend later this week into next week
as well, with highs and lows closer to normal for this time of year.

Aviation 23z Monday through Saturday
MainlyVFR conditions this evening will quickly degrade late
overnight as rain moves into the terminals. Ceilings will lower
into MVFR territory, with spotty ifr visibilities and ceilings
expected in heavy downpours.

An area of llws will also develop overnight, especially from
kavp up to kelm and kith.

Surface winds will increase to 15 to 25 knots overnight with
gusts of 30 to 40 knots.

Outlook...

Tuesday evening through Thursday... Occasional restrictions
possible in scattered showers.

Thursday night through Friday...VFR.

Saturday... Occasional restrictions possible in showers.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... Wind advisory from midnight tonight to noon edt Tuesday for
paz040-048-072.

Wind advisory until 8 am edt Tuesday for paz038-039-043-044-
047.

Ny... Wind advisory from midnight tonight to noon edt Tuesday for
nyz009-036-037-045-046-057-062.

Wind advisory until 8 am edt Tuesday for nyz015>018-022>025-
044-055-056.

Synopsis... Tac
near term... Tac
short term... Bjt
long term... Bjt
aviation... Djp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 32 mi39 min 1011 hPa
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 84 mi27 min SSE 14 G 23 69°F 1009.1 hPa (-3.4)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 85 mi39 min 1008.7 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Last
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SE9
G13
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G12
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G15
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G17
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G21
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G22
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S7
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G13
SE11
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G13
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S11
G14
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G15
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G14
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S4
G7
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G9
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G12
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SE8
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S8
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S10
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G12
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S11
S11
S10
S8
S8
SW3
G6
NW4
NW2
NE1
NE4
--
S3
S5

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY8 mi33 minESE 1210.00 miOvercast67°F57°F73%1011.8 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY23 mi33 minSE 810.00 miFair68°F57°F68%1011.5 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4CalmE4S5S9S9
G20
SE7SE7SE9SE8SE8SE10SE10SE10SE8SE16
G21
S17
G23
S16
G24
S9
G20
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G28
SE10SE10E11E12
1 day agoE3CalmCalmCalmCalmE4E5E3E4E3E3E3CalmE4E3E3S7N6S8S11SE6E4E6E6
2 days agoE3CalmE3E5E5E5CalmCalmCalmE4E3E4E4CalmCalmCalm3N3NE5E5E4CalmCalmE3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.