Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fair Haven, NY
March 28, 2024 6:19 AM EDT (10:19 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:51 AM Sunset 7:29 PM Moonrise 10:17 PM Moonset 7:09 AM |
LOZ044 Expires:202403280315;;722741 Fzus51 Kbuf 272015 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 415 pm edt Wed mar 27 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-280315- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 415 pm edt Wed mar 27 2024
Tonight - West winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers this evening. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday - West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday night - West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west and increasing to 30 knots in the afternoon. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Friday night - West winds to 30 knots becoming northwest 15 to 25 knots. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 5 to 9 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Saturday - Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers Saturday night. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Sunday - Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday - Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. A chance of rain showers during the day, then rain showers likely Monday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
the water temperature off rochester is 40 degrees.
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 415 pm edt Wed mar 27 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-280315- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 415 pm edt Wed mar 27 2024
the water temperature off rochester is 40 degrees.
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Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 280743 AFDBUF
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 343 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
A ridge of high pressure will build into the eastern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley today and remain in place through Saturday morning, providing a stretch of dry and cool weather. Low pressure will then move across the southern Great Lakes late Saturday through early Sunday, bringing a chance of some rain and wet snow.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Radar imagery showing a few weak returns east of Lake Ontario early this morning as a cold front gradually moves east across the area.
This front may produce a few spotty sprinkles through daybreak east of Lake Ontario, otherwise dry weather will prevail with mostly cloudy skies through early this morning.
A mid level trough will advance from the upper Great Lakes this morning to the lower Great Lakes tonight. Despite the cold advection and height falls, the airmass is quite dry over the Great Lakes, with the lack of moisture preventing a lake response strong enough to produce any precip.
Clouds from the exiting cold front will linger across the eastern Lake Ontario region today through tonight as a secondary coastal low moves NNE just off the east coast. Meanwhile across Western NY, some partial clearing will occur today, but cool air aloft will promote plenty of diurnal cumulus this afternoon away from stable lake shadows. Western NY will see partial clearing tonight, but clouds will hold much of the night east of Lake Ontario.
Temperatures will be very close to average today, with highs in the mid to upper 40s for lower elevations and lower 40s on the hills.
Lows tonight will drop back into the upper 20s to lower 30s in most locations, with some mid 20s for the typical cooler spots in the Southern Tier.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
Behind the axis of a mid level trough, mid level ridging will push towards the eastern Great Lakes Friday. Brisk, northwest flow Friday with a mix of clouds and sun.
A pair of shortwaves will bring some unsettled weather to start the Easter weekend. Initial shortwave will form a surface low over the Ohio Valley. Left exit region of a 250 hPa 100 knot jet spanning the Plains will bring large scale lift for an area of light rain, with this activity brushing by SW NYS Saturday. This activity will slide east-southeast, following 500 hPa heights. Meanwhile a second shortwave will cross our region Saturday night, bringing light rain and snow showers to our region. This activity will exit east of Lake Ontario early Sunday morning, leaving our region dry for the remainder of Easter Sunday.
Coldest temperatures this period will be Friday night, where some clearing and dry lower atmosphere could allow for lows in the mid to low 20s inland to upper 20s closer to the Lakes.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
A deep upper level trough over the Rockies Monday will eject a storm system across the Plains. There are still plenty of model differences, with the 00Z GFS tracking a deepening low by to our west and north Tuesday night and Wednesday, with warm air surging northward ahead of the low. Meanwhile the 00Z ECMWF and Canadian suppress this system to our south, with an upper level trough over the region by Wednesday lending to cooler air temperatures, and perhaps some snow showers later in the day. Precipitation, chances Monday near the state line with isentropic lift, will become likely for Tuesday and Wednesday as the storm nears our region.
AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A cold front will move east of the eastern Lake Ontario region this morning. A mix of VFR and MVFR CIGS will linger behind the front this morning, with MVFR favored for higher terrain and VFR for lower elevations. Some partial clearing may try to develop across Western NY later this morning, but diurnal cumulus will fill back in this afternoon with mainly VFR bases.
High pressure will build into the region tonight with gradual clearing across Western NY. VFR clouds will persist east of Lake Ontario as low pressure moves NNE just off the east coast.
Outlook...
Friday...VFR.
Saturday...VFR, but with showers possible far west late.
Saturday night...MVFR/IFR with rain and wet snow.
Sunday...MVFR/IFR early with a chance of rain and snow showers, improving to VFR.
Monday...VFR to MVFR with a chance of rain.
MARINE
West winds this morning will back to the southwest this afternoon, then become northwest tonight through Friday. Winds will be strong enough to produce some chop on Lake Erie and Lake Ontario, but winds and waves will generally remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria through tonight.
A period of stronger WNW winds will develop on Lake Ontario Friday through Friday night, with solid Small Craft Advisory conditions on the central and eastern portion of Lake Ontario.
BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 343 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
A ridge of high pressure will build into the eastern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley today and remain in place through Saturday morning, providing a stretch of dry and cool weather. Low pressure will then move across the southern Great Lakes late Saturday through early Sunday, bringing a chance of some rain and wet snow.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Radar imagery showing a few weak returns east of Lake Ontario early this morning as a cold front gradually moves east across the area.
This front may produce a few spotty sprinkles through daybreak east of Lake Ontario, otherwise dry weather will prevail with mostly cloudy skies through early this morning.
A mid level trough will advance from the upper Great Lakes this morning to the lower Great Lakes tonight. Despite the cold advection and height falls, the airmass is quite dry over the Great Lakes, with the lack of moisture preventing a lake response strong enough to produce any precip.
Clouds from the exiting cold front will linger across the eastern Lake Ontario region today through tonight as a secondary coastal low moves NNE just off the east coast. Meanwhile across Western NY, some partial clearing will occur today, but cool air aloft will promote plenty of diurnal cumulus this afternoon away from stable lake shadows. Western NY will see partial clearing tonight, but clouds will hold much of the night east of Lake Ontario.
Temperatures will be very close to average today, with highs in the mid to upper 40s for lower elevations and lower 40s on the hills.
Lows tonight will drop back into the upper 20s to lower 30s in most locations, with some mid 20s for the typical cooler spots in the Southern Tier.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
Behind the axis of a mid level trough, mid level ridging will push towards the eastern Great Lakes Friday. Brisk, northwest flow Friday with a mix of clouds and sun.
A pair of shortwaves will bring some unsettled weather to start the Easter weekend. Initial shortwave will form a surface low over the Ohio Valley. Left exit region of a 250 hPa 100 knot jet spanning the Plains will bring large scale lift for an area of light rain, with this activity brushing by SW NYS Saturday. This activity will slide east-southeast, following 500 hPa heights. Meanwhile a second shortwave will cross our region Saturday night, bringing light rain and snow showers to our region. This activity will exit east of Lake Ontario early Sunday morning, leaving our region dry for the remainder of Easter Sunday.
Coldest temperatures this period will be Friday night, where some clearing and dry lower atmosphere could allow for lows in the mid to low 20s inland to upper 20s closer to the Lakes.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
A deep upper level trough over the Rockies Monday will eject a storm system across the Plains. There are still plenty of model differences, with the 00Z GFS tracking a deepening low by to our west and north Tuesday night and Wednesday, with warm air surging northward ahead of the low. Meanwhile the 00Z ECMWF and Canadian suppress this system to our south, with an upper level trough over the region by Wednesday lending to cooler air temperatures, and perhaps some snow showers later in the day. Precipitation, chances Monday near the state line with isentropic lift, will become likely for Tuesday and Wednesday as the storm nears our region.
AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A cold front will move east of the eastern Lake Ontario region this morning. A mix of VFR and MVFR CIGS will linger behind the front this morning, with MVFR favored for higher terrain and VFR for lower elevations. Some partial clearing may try to develop across Western NY later this morning, but diurnal cumulus will fill back in this afternoon with mainly VFR bases.
High pressure will build into the region tonight with gradual clearing across Western NY. VFR clouds will persist east of Lake Ontario as low pressure moves NNE just off the east coast.
Outlook...
Friday...VFR.
Saturday...VFR, but with showers possible far west late.
Saturday night...MVFR/IFR with rain and wet snow.
Sunday...MVFR/IFR early with a chance of rain and snow showers, improving to VFR.
Monday...VFR to MVFR with a chance of rain.
MARINE
West winds this morning will back to the southwest this afternoon, then become northwest tonight through Friday. Winds will be strong enough to produce some chop on Lake Erie and Lake Ontario, but winds and waves will generally remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria through tonight.
A period of stronger WNW winds will develop on Lake Ontario Friday through Friday night, with solid Small Craft Advisory conditions on the central and eastern portion of Lake Ontario.
BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY | 14 mi | 50 min | W 12G | 39°F | 30.09 | 32°F | ||
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY | 47 mi | 80 min | W 7G | 38°F | 30.14 | |||
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY | 49 mi | 50 min | 37°F |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KFZY OSWEGO COUNTY,NY | 17 sm | 25 min | W 07 | 10 sm | Overcast | 39°F | 30.10 | |||
KSDC WILLIAMSONSODUS,NY | 23 sm | 24 min | calm | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 36°F | 28°F | 75% | 30.11 |
Montague, NY,
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