Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Haven, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:26AMSunset 8:52PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 3:02 AM EDT (07:02 UTC) Moonrise 9:44AMMoonset 11:14PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LOZ044 Sodus Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 157 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Overnight..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers and Thunderstorms likely. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Showers and Thunderstorms likely. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day...then a chance of showers Sunday night. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LOZ044 Expires:201706280900;;936580 FZUS51 KBUF 280557 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 157 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ044-045-280900-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Haven, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 43.32, -76.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kbuf 280622
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
222 am edt Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis
Aside from a few leftover isolated light showers or sprinkles...

conditions will be mainly dry and cool overnight. The upper level
trough responsible for the cool and unsettled weather of the past
few days will then move east on Wednesday... With high pressure
bringing mainly dry weather to our region. Another storm system
will then track into our region on Thursday and provide our next
opportunity for showers and thunderstorms... While also ushering
in warmer and somewhat more humid conditions.

Near term through today
As of 06z... Regional radars show that showers have largely
dissipated across western and north central new york... Save for
a few leftover light showers sprinkles over extreme far wny.

Expect these to completely fall apart altogether over the next
hour or two... With mainly dry and cool conditions otherwise
largely continuing. Overnight lows should generally range
between the mid 40s and lower 50s.

On Wednesday, surface high pressure over the ohio valley will
nose into the region, building in a warmer and drier airmass.

A few diurnal, scattered showers will be limited closer to the
upper-level low over the north country. Otherwise, diurnal cumulus
clouds will form over western ny. 850 mb temperatures will start
to recover into the low teens, bringing daytime highs back into
the low 70s.

Short term tonight through Friday night
Wednesday night high pressure slides off the carolina coast with a
southerly flow developing across our region. Rain from next
approaching system will reach parts of western and northern new york
late Wednesday night. Rain continues to overspread the region on
Thursday as a warm front lifts northward across the region. Enough
instability will develop such that embedded thunderstorms Thursday
will continue into Thursday night.

The weakening surface low will leave a weak frontal boundary across
the region on Friday with a few more showers and thunderstorms on
tap.

Temperature-wise, finally back to normal readings for the end of
june beginning of july. Highs Friday reaching the upper 70s to near
80 and on Friday into the low 80s. Low Wednesday night in the mid
50s to around 60. As the air becomes more humid, Thursday night and
Friday night temperatures will remain in the mid to upper 60s.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
Saturday will start of warm and humid with a warm frontal boundary
moving north or already north wny. This will leave the region in
the warm sector of a low moving NE across huron during the day. A
cold front associated with this low will move in sometime on
Saturday and spark additional thunderstorms. Frontal timing will
determine the threat for stronger storms, with a better chance
inland toward cny if current model trends hold.

Saturday night and Sunday... This time period should mark the end of
an active pattern with high pressure slowly moving in with drying in
at least the mid levels. The main threat for additional showers
will be on Sunday afternoon along lake breeze convergent regions.

Sunday night and Monday... This period should be dry with weak high
pressure moving toward the region from the upper midwest. Dry
weather area-wide isn't a guarantee this far out, but if the timing
of the current pattern holds, the natural progression should be
subsidence behind the Sunday system, with the exception of isolated
summer convection on lake breeze convergent regions by Monday
afternoon.

Monday night and Tuesday... High pressure generally over head should
negate any threat for convection. The 12z GFS is more optimistic
precipitation from the WV va appalachians into pa while the ec is
dry with a slightly stronger ridge over ontario extending S into ny.

Will lean on the dry side for now as the GFS has had some model
variability further upstream over the midwest when compared to a
more consistent pattern noted in successive ec runs.

Daily temperatures won't stray too far off normals for this time of
year, with highs in the mid 70s to near 80 and lows mostly in the
60s, with a slight cooling trend into early next week. Humidity
levels will vary, with some nights possibly warranting a c while in
the warm sector, but at this time don't see any extreme sultry days
or nights for weekend early next week. The warmest and most humid
period will be early during Saturday while in the warm sector.

Aviation 07z Wednesday through Sunday
Through Wednesday... Mainly dry weather andVFR conditions will
be found across western and north central new york as expansive
surface high pressure ridges northeastward from the ohio valley.

The one possible exception to the dry weather will lie across
the saint lawrence valley and adjoining portions of the north
country... Where the combination of daytime heating and the passage
of one final disturbance could yield some widely scattered to
scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This stated...

these will likely not impact the kart terminal.

Wednesday night the axis of the surface high will slide east and
off the atlantic coastline... While low pressure tracks from the
upper mississippi valley to upper michigan... And pushes its
attendant warm front across far western new york and into lake
ontario. While the warm front will bring an increase in mid and
high cloud cover to the region along with the chance of some
showers...VFR conditions should continue to predominate.

Outlook...

Thursday through Sunday...VFR MVFR with scattered to occasionally
more numerous showers and thunderstorms.

Marine
With winds and waves having fallen below advisory levels on lake
erie and expected to continue diminishing overnight... The earlier
small craft advisory was cancelled just prior to midnight.

Lighter winds will promote sub-advisory wave action on the lakes
from tonight and Wednesday. Winds and waves will again increase
Thursday ahead of the next frontal system pushing toward the eastern
great lakes.

Buf watches warnings advisories
Ny... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jjr
near term... Church jjr
short term... Levan
long term... Zaff
aviation... Jjr
marine... Apffel church jjr


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 14 mi51 min SSW 4.1 G 6 59°F 1016.3 hPa53°F
45135 - Prince Edward Pt 33 mi63 min W 14 G 16 63°F 64°F2 ft1015.7 hPa (+0.9)
45012 - Lake Ontario Buoy - 20NM North Northeast of Rochester, NY 42 mi73 min WSW 9.7 G 9.7 63°F 62°F2 ft1016 hPa (+0.7)
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 47 mi63 min SW 8.9 G 11 60°F 1017.6 hPa (+0.3)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 49 mi51 min 57°F 1016.9 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
Last
24hr
S9
S8
S4
G7
S5
S8
G11
S8
S6
G9
SE6
G11
SW11
G16
W16
W16
G22
W8
G11
W12
G17
W13
G16
W11
G14
SW6
G11
SW6
G11
W17
G23
W19
G25
W18
G22
W15
G19
W15
W12
G16
SW4
G8
1 day
ago
S7
S4
S6
S6
SW8
S6
S5
G8
W9
G12
W8
G11
NW7
G10
NW4
S6
G9
W7
NW5
N3
S4
W9
S6
S4
G8
S7
S6
S7
S8
S8
G11
2 days
ago
S5
G8
S7
S6
SW8
G12
W10
G16
W16
G23
W13
G18
W12
G17
W7
G11
W6
G11
NW12
W9
W20
G28
SW8
G15
SW5
G9
SW7
S6
SW7
SW5
G8
S7
G10
S7
G11
S5

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY17 mi69 minSW 410.00 miA Few Clouds55°F52°F90%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from FZY (wind in knots)
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
Last 24hrS6CalmSE3CalmS4S6S7S6SW6W10
G17
W8W7
G17
W11
G18
W6W10
G17
SW5SW4SW7SW5SW5SW4SW5SW4SW3
1 day agoS3SW3CalmSW5SW3W5SW46W7CalmW9SW6CalmS5CalmCalm3S5S3S4NW4S6S8S7
2 days agoSW3CalmCalmSW3SW7SW9
G14
SW9W11SW11
G19
SW9
G16
NW4W13NW9CalmW6W4S5S6SW4S4S4SW3S3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (3,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.