Saturday, January19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Barview, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:42AMSunset 5:12PM Saturday January 19, 2019 7:00 PM PST (03:00 UTC) Moonrise 3:48PMMoonset 6:16AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ350 Coastal Waters From Florence To Cape Blanco Or Out 10 Nm- 208 Pm Pst Sat Jan 19 2019
.small craft advisory for hazardous seas in effect through Sunday afternoon...
Tonight..NE wind 5 kt...veering to se in the late evening and overnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 12 to 14 ft at 13 seconds...becoming sw 8 to 9 ft at 12 seconds and W 8 ft at 12 seconds. Rain.
Sun..S wind 10 kt...rising to 10 to 15 kt early in the afternoon, then...veering to sw 5 to 15 kt late in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less...becoming 3 ft in the afternoon. NW swell 7 to 9 ft at 11 seconds. Rain and isolated tstms.
Sun night..SW wind 5 to 15 kt...veering to N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less... Becoming 3 ft after midnight. Mixed swell nw 5 to 6 ft at 10 seconds and W 5 to 6 ft at 11 seconds. Isolated tstms in the evening. Showers through the night.
Mon..N wind 10 to 15 kt...easing to 5 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. NW swell 5 to 6 ft. Chance of showers.
Mon night..NW wind 5 kt...backing to S after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell nw 5 to 6 ft and W 4 ft.
Tue..S wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 ft. Mixed swell nw 3 to 4 ft and W 4 to 5 ft. Chance of rain.
Tue night..S wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 ft. W swell 6 ft... Building to 8 ft and sw 1 ft after midnight. Chance of rain.
Wed..S wind 15 kt...becoming W 5 kt in the afternoon, then... Veering to n. Wind waves 3 ft in the morning...becoming 2 ft or less. W swell 9 to 10 ft.
Thu..NE wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less...becoming 3 to 4 ft. W swell 10 ft...subsiding to 7 ft and W 6 ft.
PZZ300 208 Pm Pst Sat Jan 19 2019
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters.. Seas will lower slightly this evening, yet remain hazardous to small craft through Saturday night. Wind waves will increase again Monday morning as north winds increase. The increase in north winds and short period west swell may be hazardous to some smaller crafts Monday. Seas will calm Tuesday as winds weaken and the west swell lowers. Seas are expected to rise again Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Barview, OR
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location: 43.35, -124.33     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 192204
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
204 pm pst Sat jan 19 2019

Discussion 19 12z nam GFS ec in, but GFS is not in gfe past
Sunday night.

Widespread rain continues across the medford CWA with snow levels
around 8000 feet. The red mound raws is the current rainfall
leader, with 5.24 inches of rain in 24 hours as of 19 1321 pst.

There looks to be little change through tonight. A stalled front
draped across the medford CWA is nearly parallel to the upper
level flow. It will wobble back and forth a bit as weak waves move
northeast along the frontal boundary. Winds and rainfall will be
enhanced as the waves go through. The rainfall combined with high
snow levels have creating flooding concerns, mostly along the
coast, coast range, and western siskiyou county. In particular,
the coquille river may flood sometime in the next few days. A
flood watch remains in effect for these areas, see pdxffamfr.

Winds are relatively light at this time, but they will be
enhanced as frontal waves move through.

The long wave trough driving the frontal activity will approach
the coast Sunday and move onshore Sunday night. This will force
the front to begin progressing again, and it will move out to the
east of the medford CWA Sunday. However, the wraparound will move
in Sunday with the surface low, and this will keep the
precipitation going during the day Sunday into Sunday night. The
inland progression of the front will also enhance winds over the
east side, and a wind advisory is in effect there late tonight
into Sunday morning. See pdxnpwmfr for details.

Snow will become a concern behind the front, as snow levels will
fall to around 4000 feet. A winter weather advisory for snow has
been issued for the cascades and siskiyous Sunday and Sunday night.

Amounts will be 4 to 6 inches over most areas, but the cascade
crest and higher elevations in the siskiyous may see 12 inches.

See pdxwswmfr for details.

The precipitation will diminish Sunday night as the upper trough
departs the area and a strong ridge builds in from the west.

Precipitation will end Monday morning.

A warm front will brush the northern portions of the medford cwa
Monday night into Tuesday. The models show light precipitation
over the oregon west side at that time. With low level easterly
flow in place, any measurable rainfall will be quite light.

Extended discussion, Wednesday through next Sunday. Models are in
very good agreement through next Saturday morning, then go out of
phase from then onward. Wednesday begins with a weak front
washing out over the region as an upper ridge begins to build over
the region. The upper ridge stays over the region into the end of
the week, with a stagnant air mass likely over the area. The gfs
is indicating a brief break in the upper ridge pattern before
transitioning to a weak upper trough moving through the ridge
Saturday, then returning to an upper ridge pattern. However, this
seems unlikely and am going with the ecmwf's continued upper ridge
pattern into the following week. With this in mind it is likely
that we will see daily fog and a stagnant air mass pattern from
Thursday into at least Monday of the following week. Sven

Aviation For the 19 18z tafs... A front will stall over the
region today with warm moist air moving in ahead of it. Ceilings
have been generally MVFR toVFR today ahead of front. However, the
heavy rain has been dropping visibilities down to ifr at times for
some locations, so look for ifr visibilities under intense showers.

Mountain obscurations will continue through the TAF period.

Eventually, the cold front will move through Sunday morning. Behind
the front, some models are suggesting the potential for
thunderstorms over the waters and along the coast after 5am Sunday.

-smith

Marine Updated 200 pm pst Saturday 19 january 2019... Seas will
lower slightly this evening, yet remain hazardous to smaller crafts
through Saturday night. The swell from the last storm will continue
to diminish even with low pressure rebuilding near our waters yet
again on Sunday.

Moving into Monday, low pressure will move to our east with high
pressure over the waters. This will result in stronger winds and
building wind waves. The increase in wind waves could produce some
hazards to smaller crafts again, but it looks like this will
primarily occur 30 to 60 nm away from shore.

After Monday, we'll see seas lower to around 5 feet on Tuesday
before another swell group around 9 to 10 feet arrives on Wednesday.

-smith

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... Wind advisory from 10 pm this evening to 10 am pst Sunday for
orz030-031.

Winter weather advisory from 4 am Sunday to 4 am pst Monday
above 4000 feet in the for orz025-027-028.

Flood watch through late tonight for orz021-022-024.

Ca... Winter weather advisory from 4 am Sunday to 4 am pst Monday
above 4000 feet in the for caz080>083.

Flood watch through late tonight for caz080.

Wind advisory from 10 pm this evening to 10 am pst Sunday for
caz081.

Pacific coastal waters... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until
4 pm pst Sunday for pzz350-356-370-376.

15 04 11


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 0 mi84 min E 1.9 G 2.9 52°F1021.7 hPa
SNTO3 5 mi90 min Calm 50°F 1023 hPa49°F
PORO3 - 9431647 - Port Orford, OR 43 mi30 min NNE 2.9 G 5.1

Wind History for Charleston, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Oregon Regional Airport, OR7 mi64 minN 010.00 miOvercast51°F48°F92%1021.8 hPa

Wind History from OTH (wind in knots)
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W9SW8SW5SE4SE5CalmSE5----E3S4SE3CalmSE3Calm
1 day ago--SE8SE9--SE9SE9SE8SE8SE7S8S7S6S7SE7SE10SE13SE10SE9SE9SE7SE8SE9SE9SE8
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Tide / Current Tables for Charleston, Oregon
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Charleston
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Sat -- 03:55 AM PST     3.25 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:16 AM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:44 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:58 AM PST     8.81 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:47 PM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:07 PM PST     -1.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:11 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 11:46 PM PST     6.74 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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65.24.23.53.33.64.667.48.48.88.375.12.80.7-0.8-1.4-10.223.95.56.5

Tide / Current Tables for Coos Bay, Oregon
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.