Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hilton, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:35AMSunset 8:39PM Sunday May 26, 2019 4:12 AM EDT (08:12 UTC) Moonrise 1:08AMMoonset 11:37AM Illumination 52% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ043 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 732 Pm Edt Sat May 25 2019
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers and Thunderstorms this evening. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds this evening. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming light and variable. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..Light and variable winds becoming north 5 to 10 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..East winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Tuesday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Wednesday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet, then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 46 degrees.
LOZ043 Expires:201905260300;;460005 FZUS51 KBUF 252338 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 732 PM EDT Sat May 25 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-260300-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hilton, NY
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location: 43.41, -77.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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Fxus61 kbuf 260808
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
408 am edt Sun may 26 2019

Synopsis
A dry cold front will move across the region today while surface
high pressure builds into the region. This will result in quiet
weather for the remainder of the holiday weekend. The next chance
for rain will be on Tuesday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
With recent rain and a dry cold front still upstream of the region,
patchy fog and low clouds have formed over portions of wny and cny
overnight. With the region still in the warm sector with some
little low level mixing, much of the cloud deck is remaining aloft
and over higher terrain, although there is some advection fog near
the cooler lower great lakes too. Keeping track of low clouds vs
fog will be the main issue into the morning hours, with a close eye
on the potential for dense fog if winds let up.

Later this morning and into the afternoon, an MCS over the oh valley
should skirt to the south of the region. This should send some
higher clouds across portions of wny, but overall it should be a
quiet day in terms of weather. Dewpoints will be on the decrease,
while temperatures reach the lower 70s. The result will be a fairly
comfortable afternoon when compared to Saturday.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Wednesday night
Weak surface high will be in place across the eastern great lakes
Monday (memorial day) with mostly sunny skies and dry conditions for
a significant portion of the day. As we progress through the day,
mid and high clouds will begin to stream in from canada as a
weakening and rather moisture starved cold front drops south into
the forecast area. While a majority of the forecast area will likely
remain dry there will be the potential for a few sprinkles or even a
light shower across the north country as the front slips south into
the region. Otherwise, it will be a spectacular day across the area
with highs peaking in the 70s areawide. If your planning on heading
to any of the lakes(erie or ontario)remember water temperatures are
still chilly, in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

Monday night, surface base ridge to our northeast will likely keep
the area precipitation free, at least for the first half of the night.

With that said, an advancing warm front will be in the process of
lifting to the northeast which with moisture ramping up (pw values
nearing 1.5 inches) will likely lead to increasing chances for
showers and or thunderstorm by daybreak Tuesday. Showers and storms
will continue for a significant portion of the day Tuesday as a weak
wave tracks across new york state. With its passage late in the
day evening, showers and storms will decrease in coverage until the
next stronger wave arrives as we head into Wednesday, more on that a
bit later. Lows Monday night will have a wide range with upper 40s
across the north country to the mid and upper 50s south of lake
ontario. Highs Tuesday will follow a similar pattern with mid to
upper 60s east of lake ontario(a bit cooler)and upper 70s near 80f
elsewhere.

Tuesday night, the next wave will quickly race out of the midwest
and track into s. Ontario on its way towards western quebec by
Wednesday. While it tracks ene it will nudge a warm front northward
and then send a prefrontal trough across the area on
Wednesday Wednesday evening. With ample moisture in place and
supporting 40-50 knot LLJ yet again its likely another round of
showers and thunderstorms will be possible some of which could be
strong to severe. Following the passage of this feature convective
chances should then tail off again to a degree Wednesday night.

Highs Wednesday will likely be the warmest day of this period with
temperatures pushing into the upper 70s to lower 80s. Lows Tuesday
night will range from the mid and upper 50s across the north country
to lower 60s south of lake ontario. Wednesday night, lows areawide
will be in the 60s by day break Thursday.

Long term Thursday through Saturday
The last in a series of waves will push across the forecast area
Thursday with another round of scattered showers and or
thunderstorms. Thursday night, with its passage into quebec canada
and then into labrador strong surface ridging over the upper great
lakes will build east with cooler drier air filtering into our
region in the wake of the front. This will bring a much needed
period of fair and dry weather with more comfortable temperatures
for Friday and Friday night.

The surface ridge will slide off to our east on Saturday while
allowing the next wave of low pressure and its trailing cold front
to approach our region from the northwest. This could result in a
renewed potential for some scattered showers and storms as we
progress through the day, especially across the western southern
tier. It will also send temperatures climbing back into the 70s
areawide as a southwesterly flow of warmer air overspreads our
region in between the departing high and advancing low.

Aviation 08z Sunday through Thursday
A dry surface cold front will slowly move through the region today.

This will eventually help to clear areas of fog and or low clouds
with areas of ifr improving toVFR by afternoon.

Outlook...

Monday...VFR.

Tuesday... MainlyVFR with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms.

Wednesday and Thursday... MainlyVFR with a chance of showers
and thunderstorms.

Marine
Wsw winds are expected today. They should stay below 18kts with
little wave action as the choppy waters will be closer to the
northern shores. Winds will gradually turn northwest by Sunday night
into Monday and weaken.

Buf watches warnings advisories
Ny... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Hsk zaff
near term... Zaff
short term... Ar
long term... Ar jjr
aviation... Hsk zaff
marine... Hsk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 10 mi42 min 67°F 1010.4 hPa
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 11 mi72 min WSW 9.9 G 13 68°F
45012 - Lake Ontario Buoy - 20NM North Northeast of Rochester, NY 20 mi32 min WSW 3.9 G 5.8 46°F 38°F1009.9 hPa46°F
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY 56 mi72 min SW 8 G 13 64°F 1012.2 hPa (+0.3)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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G24

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rochester, Greater Rochester International Airport, NY20 mi78 minW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy66°F63°F90%1012.1 hPa

Wind History from ROC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSE5S4S6S7SW6S5SE3SE7SE10SE9SE7W9W11
G20
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G28
W8SW7SW9SW7SW9SW8W8W8
1 day agoW11W10NW9
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NW13NW10
G16
N9NW8NW10NW7NW6W7NW8CalmCalmCalmCalmE4SE6CalmCalmSW3
2 days agoSW8S4S4S5S6S6SW6SW12S5SW6W18
G26
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G31
W25
G34
W23
G32
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G33
W10
G20
W6N14NW6W6NW10W11W12W10
G19

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.