Sunday, November19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wells, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:50AMSunset 4:24PM Sunday November 19, 2017 7:03 AM EST (12:03 UTC) Moonrise 8:38AMMoonset 6:36PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wells, VT
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location: 43.43, -73.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 191137
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
637 am est Sun nov 19 2017

Synopsis
Strong low pressure will sweep across the area today with
strong and gusty winds as temperatures trend colder and steadier
rains taper to snow showers. Relatively quiet weather is
expected from Monday onward through much of next week with early
indications suggesting a good travel day for the upcoming
thanksgiving holiday.

Near term through Monday
As of 350 am est Sunday... Deepening 982 mb surface low near
kart early this morning will take an expected climo track
through the st. Lawrence valley today before exiting quickly
toward the gaspe peninsula by this evening. The forecast is
predicated on this scenario and largely follows persistence from
our prior forecast showing steadier rains ending from southwest
to northeast this morning as the system's sharp cold front
sweeps across the area. Strong cold thermal advection will
quickly follow the front as winds shift west northwesterly and
trend quite gusty under a deeply mixed boundary layer. Perusal
of area forecast soundings continue to support maximum gusts
from 25 to 40 mph with a few gusts near 45 mph along the eastern
slopes of the adirondack and green mountains where isolated
power outages will be possible. This seems plausible given
robust post- frontal 3-hourly pressure rises from 5 to 9 mb from
late morning into this afternoon. As colder air pushes into the
area, lingering precipitation will trend more showery in nature
and quickly transition to snow across northern ny and the
northern mountains of vt where minor accumulations from a
dusting to 2 inches or so will be possible. Little accumulation
is expected in the champlain and lower ct river valleys.

Temperatures will take on a non-diurnal trend and will be
somewhat challenging as readings gradually fall into the
afternoon. Using a blend of our prior forecast and this
morning's btv 4km WRF output supports morning highs in the 30s
across the dacks slv and lower to mid 40s in vt before readings
falling into the upper 20s to lower 30s for most spots by early
evening.

By tonight any lingering snow showers across the northern high
terrain will gradually end as brisk northwest flow abates slightly.

Any additional accumulations will be minor at best as low
temperatures bottom out from the mid teens to lower 20s under
variably cloudy skies. Brisk and seasonably cold weather then
continues into Monday, though outside a few mountain flurries dry
weather is expected as surface high pressure builds east from the
great lakes and skies gradually trend partly sunny by afternoon.

Short term Monday night through Tuesday
As of 400 am est Sunday... Monday night and Tuesday will feature
drier weather, and increasing return flow bringing temps back
above seasonal normals for tue. Will still have a surface ridge
over the area Monday night, therefore cool temps, clear skies
and light winds expected. Increasing southerly return flow on
tue as ridge moves east of the region. Temps will edge into the
50s on tue.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
As of 400 am est Sunday... A cold front will cross our forecast
area Tuesday night bringing scattered light rain and snow
showers to the area and colder air for wed. Have mentioned
chance pops across our northern new york zones for Tuesday
night, then chance across northern vermont on Wednesday. Not a
lot of moisture with this front as low passes well north of our
region, but think we'll see at least some scattered light
showers. Rain showers will end as light mountain snow showers.

We return to dry weather again for Thursday through Friday.

Friday night through Saturday night will be our next chance at
some weather. Another low will pass north of the region bringing
scattered rain and snow showers to the area once again. GFS and
ecmwf still differ quite a bit with track and timing of the
low. Temperatures will trend back below normal for much of the
week with a few chances for precipitation, but nothing
significant.

Aviation 12z Sunday through Thursday
Through 12z Monday... Mix of MVFR ifr lifr through 15z time
frame, trending mainlyVFR MVFR thereafter as deep low pressure
passes through the region. Most prevalent ifr lifr at
kmpv kslk kmss. Periods of light rain to continue at eastern
terminals through 12-15z as strong cold front crosses the
region and precipitation trends more showery. A period of post-
frontal ifr shsn likely at kslk kmss for a short window in the
13-19z time frame with other terminals trending mainly
precipitation-free so offered vcsh only after 16z or so. Winds
trending westerly from 270-290 at 10 to 20 kts and gusty into
the 25 to 35 kt range in the 12-15z time frame behind the cold
front. This will create enhanced crosswind concerns at kpbg and
kbtv terminals. Winds will abate somewhat after 00z Monday but
remain gusty.

Outlook...

Monday:VFR. No sig wx.

Monday night: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. No sig wx.

Tuesday:VFR. No sig wx.

Tuesday night: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance shra,
chance shsn.

Wednesday: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance shsn,
slight chance shra.

Wednesday night: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. No sig wx.

Thanksgiving day: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. No sig
wx.

Marine
As of 350 am est Sunday... A lake wind advisory remains in
effect for today as southerly winds shift sharply to the
west northwest by late morning and increase into the 15 to 25
knot range by this afternoon as a strong cold front sweeps
across the area. This will create significant wave heights in
the 2 to 4 foot range with a moderate chop. These conditions may
prove hazardous to those operating small craft, especially on
the eastern half of the broad lake and in vermont bays inlets
with westerly exposures. Gusty northwest winds will abate
slightly later this evening into Monday.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Jmg
near term... Jmg
short term... Neiles
long term... Neiles
aviation... Jmg
marine... Jmg


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rutland-Southern Vermont Regional Airport, VT15 mi67 minESE 1110.00 miLight Rain47°F45°F93%986.4 hPa
Glens Falls, Floyd Bennett Memorial Airport, NY23 mi70 minN 02.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist43°F43°F100%985.1 hPa

Wind History from RUT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5S6SE7SE12SE11SE14
G19
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G22
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SE13
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--SE11SE14SE11E16SE11SE11E9
1 day agoN9NW14
G19
NW12
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NW9N7N9NW11N9NW6NW6N7N5NE4--CalmSE3NE4--CalmSE3CalmS4SE4SE8
2 days agoE18
G24
SE13
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SE12SE11SE10SE8SE9S4SE5S3SE5W5SW9
G14
SW8W11
G18
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G15
NW6W9W12
G18
W11
G20
W9W13
G19
W10
G16
NW11
G17

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Sun -- 05:24 AM EST     4.37 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:51 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:38 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:56 AM EST     0.02 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:40 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 05:47 PM EST     5.51 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.20.61.933.84.34.23.52.721.30.400.72.13.54.55.35.54.93.92.920.9

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:16 AM EST     4.21 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:51 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:38 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:46 AM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:38 PM EST     5.35 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:40 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.30.61.92.93.74.243.22.41.810.2-0.10.72.23.54.55.25.34.63.52.61.60.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.