Friday, January19, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Wells, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 4:48PM Friday January 19, 2018 12:47 AM EST (05:47 UTC) Moonrise 9:48AMMoonset 8:25PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wells, VT
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location: 43.43, -73.2     debug

Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 182338
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
638 pm est Thu jan 18 2018

Quiet, seasonable weather is expected into the upcoming
weekend. Outside a few light snow showers across the north, no
precipitation is expected. A more significant storm system is
expected to affect the region by early next week with milder
temperatures and a wide variety of precipitation.

Near term through Friday night
As of 638 pm est Thursday... Only minor updates needed to the
previous forecast, mainly to account for some scattered flurries
activity in the champlain valley and to raise pops slightly for
a period around midnight for some scattered snow showers.

Otherwise, remainder of the forecast is unchanged.

Previous discussion... Mainly quiet weather is expected
over the next 36 hours with weak surface high pressure remaining
atop the region. Weak southwesterly flow in the lower and mid
levels will allow some modest downstream transport of lake
moisture in the form of flurries light snow showers into the
western adirondacks and far southern st. Lawrence county.

Additionally, a fairly robust mid level shortwave trough will
track quickly southeast into our area overnight into the mid-
morning hours on Friday. While upper dynamics are decent,
precipitable water values only hover around 0.25 inch. With
modest near-surface dewpoint depressions of 5 to 10 degrees only
scattered light snow showers are expected with this feature.

Regardless, only minor accumulations of a dusting to perhaps an
inch will be possible, mainly to the lee of lake ontario and
across elevated terrain. Clouds will be a plenty once again as a
stubborn synoptic inversion persists in the 750-800 mb level.

This will keep temperatures fairly uniform in the teens
overnight under a light wind regime.

By Friday any morning flurries snow showers to end through the
morning hours as the low to mid level flow backs to
south southwesterly over time. Skies to likely remain quite cloudy
across the north, though southern counties to see at least some
partial breaks here and there by afternoon. Mean 925mb temperatures
hover in the -6 to -7c range supporting high temperatures close to
blended guidance in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

The southerly flow continues to increase by Friday night as the
surface high slides east and the mean pressure gradient begins to
tighten. Temperatures to take on a more non-diurnal character as
readings trend steady from the champlain valley westbound holding
mainly in the 20s. Slightly cooler values (upper teens) are expected
across eastern vt.

Short term Saturday through Saturday night
As of 307 pm est Thursday... Fairly quiescent weather is
expected for the first half of the weekend with the region
remaining under zonal flow aloft. Low pressure will swing by to
our north, dragging a weak cold front in its wake. Gusty west to
southwest winds will exist out ahead of the front, which will
allow for a relatively mild day with temperatures topping out in
the upper 30s to lower 40s. The aforementioned cold front will
cross the region late Saturday night, bringing the chance of a
few rain or snow showers, mainly to the adirondacks far northern
vt. Any snow accumulation would be light. Low temperatures will
be in the mid to upper 20s areawide.

Long term Sunday through Thursday
As of 307 pm est Thursday... Main focus for this period will be
a potential mixed precipitation event early next week.

A cold front will cross the region Sunday morning along with
scattered snow showers, particularly over northern portions of the
forecast area. Temperatures will be cold Sunday night, but warming
will begin again later Monday as the cold front returns back north
as a warm front. This warming will continue overnight Monday night
with temperatures rising or at least holding steady much of the
night, then peak on Tuesday before another, stronger cold front
moves in Tuesday afternoon. As is usually the case, cold air at the
surface will be tough to scour out, resulting in warming aloft which
will cause a period of mixed precipitation. Details are still
uncertain given how far out we still are from this event, but the
changeover from snow to sleet and freezing rain looks to move from
southwest to northeast across our forecast area Monday night into
Tuesday morning. The wintry mix will linger longest east of the
green mountains, while the broader valleys will likely see plain rain
by Tuesday morning. However, expect cold air will return rapidly
later Tuesday afternoon with another cold frontal passage, turning
rain back over to snow in all areas Tuesday evening. It's still too
early to start talking exact snow sleet ice rain amounts, and this
warm spell doesn't appear to be anywhere as drastic as the last
event. However, given that we still have several ice jams in place
across the forecast area, the situation will need to be monitored as
the details become more clear.

Colder air returns for the middle of next week. Snow showers will
gradually wane through the week, with Thursday expected to be dry
with near to below normal temperatures.

Aviation 00z Friday through Tuesday
Through 00z Saturday... Looking at mainlyVFR conditions from
kpbg eastward for the period with MVFR at kmss and ifr at kslk for
the overnight hours. Upper disturbance will pass through the
region overnight through mid-morning Friday with scattered
flurries and snow showers possible, especially at kslk where a
brief period of ifr vsby is possible from 04z-08z. Winds
generally light and less than 6 kts overnight trend
south southwest at 5-10 kts Friday.


Friday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Saturday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance

Saturday night: mainly MVFR, with areasVFR possible. Slight
chance shsn.

Sunday: mainly MVFR, with local ifr possible. Chance shsn.

Sunday night: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance

Monday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance sn.

Monday night: mainly MVFR and ifr. Definite wintry mix.

Tuesday: mainly MVFR, with local ifr possible. Definite wintry mix.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Jmg
near term... Jmg lahiff
short term... Hastings
long term... Hastings
aviation... Lahiff

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rutland-Southern Vermont Regional Airport, VT15 mi51 minN 010.00 miOvercast21°F17°F85%1016 hPa
Glens Falls, Floyd Bennett Memorial Airport, NY23 mi54 minWSW 810.00 miOvercast22°F16°F78%1016.7 hPa

Wind History from RUT (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmW6CalmW6E3Calm3SW6SW5W3SW5NE3N6N8NW6N4N4N3CalmCalmE3SE3CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3NW3N6N4NW3CalmN5N7N4N6N6N6N5W4W7W7SW3
2 days agoSE9S9S5S5S5S3CalmCalmCalmS33CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Fri -- 01:05 AM EST     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:31 AM EST     4.36 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:20 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:48 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:12 PM EST     0.39 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:46 PM EST     5.43 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:29 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Click for Map
Fri -- 12:55 AM EST     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:23 AM EST     4.19 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:20 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:48 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:02 PM EST     0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:38 PM EST     5.27 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:29 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.