Friday, September22, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Wells, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 6:49PM Friday September 22, 2017 8:09 PM EDT (00:09 UTC) Moonrise 9:00AMMoonset 8:24PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wells, VT
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location: 43.43, -73.2     debug

Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 221924
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
324 pm edt Fri sep 22 2017

High pressure continues to be the dominant weather feature
across the region until at least the middle of next week with
jose staying southeast of new england. Dry weather and well
above normal temperatures are expected through much of the
forecast period with MAX temperatures approaching record values
this weekend. Early morning fog in the favored locations is
also possible most days.

Near term through Saturday night
As of 134 pm edt Friday... Models show the mid level high
pressure ridge will remain anchored over the great lakes with
the surface ridge extending across upstate ny into vt. The area
should see a little more cloudiness late tonight into Saturday
as debris from activity moving across canada along the north
side of the ridge spills into the region. Winds will generally
be light and variable or light northerly through the forecast
period. Dry weather and warm temperatures will be the rule with
patchy morning fog in the usual places. Temperatures will
continue above normal with lows mainly in the upper 40s and 50s
and highs in the 70s.

Short term Sunday through Sunday night
As of 315 pm edt Friday... 12z guidance doesn't indicate anything
different than what we've had for days. Hot and dry. 925mb
temperatures will be 22-23c. We should easily soar well into the
80s, with some valley locations around 90f not out of the
question. Ran hysplit to determine trajectories of where our
airmass for Sunday currently is. The answer is illinois iowa
missouri region. Guess what, they've got temperatures in the low
90s and dewpoints in the upper 60s. So I can't see why we won't
set high temperature records all over the place. Probably most
noticeable will be an increase in humidity, and when combined
with the hot temperatures, we will have heat index values in the
90-95f range. You'll need to take it slow outside, especially if
doing something active. Temperatures even at the summits will be
in the 70s. Sunday night, clear and calm. Lows only in the upper
50s to mid 60s, with patchy fog a good bet with the humid

Long term Monday through Friday
As of 315 pm edt Friday... No changes in the overall forecast
for Monday and Tuesday. Both days look hot as 925mb temperatures
hover in the 22-24c range. Did adjust upward from guidance
blend which seemed just a smidge cool. Both days will feature
highs well into the 80s. A spot 90f or so is a good bet.

Expecting high temperature records to again be set both days.

Dewpoints will still be well into the 60s, so heat index values
will be into the lower 90s at least. Not going to be comfortable,
and again, everyone will need to take it easy to avoid any heat
related illness.

With high pressure ridging over the top of us, it still appears
both days will be dry. Noted the btv4km WRF model did show a
couple of showers popping Monday afternoon. But for now i'm not
buying that idea.

Models start to deviate Wednesday and beyond, at least with
details. The overall scenario does appear the heat will begin to
break on Wednesday as an upper trough pushes the ridge out and
an associated cold front moves toward the region. Models do
differ on timing, but indicate we'll have enough instability
around to have a few t-storms fire up. Have added that to the

Cooler air continues filtering in Thursday (highs upper 60s to
mid 70s) and Friday, with 925mb temperatures by Friday closer
to 5c -- which means we may end the week at or slightly below
normal for highs!
kept with the model blend for 20-40% rain chances both Thursday
and Friday given greater disagreement in timing of when the
Wednesday front departs and whether another upper trough that
the ECMWF shows for Friday will actually exist and spark a few

Aviation 19z Friday through Wednesday
Through 06z Saturday... PredominantlyVFR conditions expected
through the TAF period with the exception of overnight ifr lifr
cig vsby at kmpv. Northerly winds 5-10 kts during the day will
diminish overnight.


Saturday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Sunday:VFR. No sig wx.

Sunday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Monday:VFR. No sig wx.

Monday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Tuesday:VFR. No sig wx.

Tuesday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Wednesday:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Record high temperatures and year recorded for the period Sat sep 23
to Tue sep 26
day burlington massena montpelier
9 23 87 1895 84 1964 83 1965
9 24 84 1961 87 2010 83 1961
9 25 85 1891 90 2007 85 2007
9 26 84 1934 82 1970 83 2007
for burlington, here are the latest in the year dates for reaching
specific temperature thresholds
90f or higher: 9 16 1939
88f or higher: 9 22 1965
87f or higher: 9 23 1895
86f or higher: 9 23 1895 (was 87f that day)

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Nrr
near term... Nrr
short term... Nash
long term... Nash
aviation... Nrr
climate... Btv

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rutland-Southern Vermont Regional Airport, VT15 mi14 minNW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy68°F55°F63%1020.4 hPa
Glens Falls, Floyd Bennett Memorial Airport, NY23 mi17 minN 010.00 miFair57°F52°F83%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from RUT (wind in knots)
Last 24hrE4E4CalmSE7SE8E3SE63CalmSE5SE7SE6CalmS3NW4NW3W643NW6NW5NW5N5NW3
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3N3N4N4NW3N6N5NW6NW8NW10N11NE4NW4NW4N5
2 days ago3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE3NW4N6NE3NE34N8NW8NW11NW7NW8N6NW8NW6NW3NW5

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Fri -- 01:30 AM EDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:11 AM EDT     4.87 feet High Tide
Fri -- 09:01 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:52 PM EDT     -0.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:41 PM EDT     5.14 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:27 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Fri -- 01:20 AM EDT     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:03 AM EDT     4.71 feet High Tide
Fri -- 09:01 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:42 PM EDT     -0.51 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:32 PM EDT     4.98 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:27 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.