Monday, April23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mexico, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:07AMSunset 8:00PM Monday April 23, 2018 10:52 PM EDT (02:52 UTC) Moonrise 11:58AMMoonset 1:52AM Illumination 63% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1041 Am Edt Mon Apr 23 2018
This afternoon..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. Mainly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly Sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers in the evening, then more widespread rain overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 15 to 20 knots. Rain. Waves building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Friday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less. The water temperature off rochester is 39 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201804232115;;381816 FZUS51 KBUF 231441 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-232115-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mexico, NY
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location: 43.43, -76.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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Fxus61 kbuf 240224
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
1024 pm edt Mon apr 23 2018

Synopsis
Our stretch of delightful weather will come to an end Tuesday
through Wednesday... As a stalled storm system over the mississippi
valley will grudgingly push by to our south. Rain from the slow
moving system is forecast to average around an inch through
Wednesday night. The rain will taper off and end as showers Thursday
and Thursday night as high pressure will nose in from the ohio
valley.

Near term through Tuesday
Cirrus clouds continue to increase across the eastern great
lakes from the ohio valley tonight, with mid level clouds
arriving later tonight. For sites west of the finger
lakes... This will include a fair amount of alto-cu by daybreak.

Mins tonight will generally be in the upper 30s to mid 40s... A
difference of as much as 15 degrees (north country) from Monday
night.

On Tuesday... Atlantic moisture will continue to deepen across our
forecast area as the lumbering stacked storm system will make its
way to the east across the tennessee valley. While the day is
expected to be rain free for sites east of wayne county... The
thickening cloud cover in the west will be lifted by a pair
processes. Initially... The forcing will be supplied by a diffluent
upper level flow. As we work our way through the day... The bulk of
the lift will come as a result of significantly falling hgts and a
weakly coupled h25 jet. Any way you slice it... Scattered showers
over the southern tier by mid morning will expand to the northeast
and become a steady rain during the course of the afternoon. Pops
have been raised for all of the western counties to likely-
categorical while timing as been moved up by several hours.

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday night
Cutoff low will still be over the tennessee valley as we start
Tuesday night, while a northern stream shortwave digs across the
northern great lakes. This shortwave will interact with the closed
low as it moves into the ohio valley and gets absorbed within the
northern stream westerlies. This interaction will increase rain
chances across all of western and north central new york Tuesday
night and then into Wednesday, as a surface cold front associated
with the shortwave approaches from the northwest.

Widespread rainfall is likely to continue into Wednesday night
as the northern stream wave pushes across the region and the
associated surface wave lifts northward across the region.

Precipitable water values forecast to increase to nearly 2
standard deviations above normal, which would suggest the
potential for heavy downpours at times and some ponding of water
on roadways throughout the day Wednesday. The cloudy and wet
conditions will limit high temperatures Wednesday to the 50s.

Both the upper wave and the surface low start to lift out of the
region during Thursday, bringing an end to the steadier rains
from west to east during the morning. Precipitation may still
lingering through Thursday afternoon across the north country
area if the closed low lifts out slower than forecast.

A shortwave ridge looks to eventually move over the area on
Thursday night bringing a brief break in precipitation before
the next wave diving out of canada brings another round of
precipitation to close out the work week or early in the
weekend.

Long term Friday through Monday
The shortwave ridge looks to remain in place for Friday
continuing dry weather through at least the first half of
Friday. Upper trough dropping through the great lakes will bring
a cold front through the region during the late Friday or early
Saturday period, bringing another round of rain showers, but
fair amount of model disagreement keeps predictability on
details low. Behind this system, the eventual building of a
ridge into the region is on horizon. How fast this happens is in
question, but could be looking at sharply warmer temperatures
by early next week.

Aviation 03z Tuesday through Saturday
For the 00z tafsVFR flight conditions are found, and these
conditions are expected to continue through the first 18 hours of
the TAF cycle.

While cirrus will thicken through the beginning of the TAF cycle,
mid clouds will not arrive until late tonight... Which will then
lower to near MVFR range with chances for light rain showers the
final 6 hours of the TAF cycle.

Outlook...

Tuesday night and Wednesday... Areas of MVFR ifr with occasional
rain.

Thursday... MVFR improving toVFR with scattered showers.

Friday...VFR.

Saturday...VFR to MVFR in scattered showers.

Marine
High pressure will drift slowly east off the southern new england
coast through tonight. This will continue to provide light winds in
most areas today, although easterly winds will increase locally at
the west end of lake ontario this afternoon with choppy conditions
west of rochester. Otherwise fairly light winds will continue
tonight through the middle of the week as weak low pressure moves
from the ohio valley to southern new england.

Buf watches warnings advisories
Ny... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Rsh
near term... Rsh thomas
short term... Tma
long term... Tma
aviation... Thomas
marine... Hitchcock


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 17 mi52 min SSE 8 G 9.9 54°F 1024.2 hPa (-0.0)25°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 75 mi52 min SE 1 G 1.9 45°F 1024.4 hPa (+0.0)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 76 mi52 min 46°F 1023.6 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY11 mi58 minN 010.00 miFair53°F25°F34%1024.8 hPa
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY22 mi58 minSSE 510.00 miA Few Clouds59°F23°F25%1024.8 hPa

Wind History from FZY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE3SE4Calm4SE3SE4S75SE6SW746S3SE5CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmW4CalmW3NW3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmW3W4SW5W8W9W9NW10
G15
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2 days agoW9W8W9W6W5W4W4W4W3SW5W7NW8W7NW7NW8NW13W13
G18
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.