Tuesday, November21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gardiner, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 4:48PM Tuesday November 21, 2017 11:30 AM PST (19:30 UTC) Moonrise 9:57AMMoonset 7:32PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ310 Coos bay bar- coastal waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca out 10 nm- waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca from 10 to 60 nm- 134 pm pdt Wed may 29 2013 a long-duration moderate to strong north wind event is expected to last from this weekend into early next week. Winds should begin to increase Friday into Saturday...peaking Sunday with storm force wind gusts possible. Very steep and hazardous waves will accompany this wind event and mariners should prepare for dangerous conditions at sea. The strongest winds and highest seas will occur beyond 5 nm from shore.
PZZ300 833 Am Pst Tue Nov 21 2017
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..Another strong front will bring building southerly wind waves, which will become very steep this morning and further complicate the already confused sea state. Southerly winds will reach gale force at most locations today, then diminish to below gale force tonight through Wednesday. Seas are likely to peak this evening through Wednesday morning. Calmer conditions are expected late in the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gardiner, OR
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location: 43.73, -124.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 211723
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
923 am pst Tue nov 21 2017

Discussion Most, if not all of the significant rainfall has
shifted north of the area this morning. The radar is still picking
up on some light returns, so still cannot rule out a off on light
rain the rest of the morning. This afternoon odds are we'll see
more dry time than not. Still a shower or two could not be ruled
out. Made some adjustments to the forecast to reflect this and
have adjusted pops and rainfall amounts lower for this afternoon.

An upper ridge centered in southern california should be strong
enough to deflect most of the rainfall north of our area the rest
of today through tonight. However occasional rain is still
expected along the coast and northwest douglas county.

Snow levels will remain high for the rest of the week. This will
be good news for those who plan on traveling today or tomorrow.

-petrucelli

Prev discussion issued 420 am pst Tue nov 21 2017
discussion... The warm frontal precip has moved to the north of
the region. The cold front approaches the coast this afternoon,
with winds increasing through the day. The pressure gradient in
the shasta valley continues to indicate advisory winds later this
morning into the evening, and strong southwest 700 mb winds over
the east side should bring winds at the higher elevations up to
advisory strength. With the strong southerly flow up the shasta
valley spilling down into the rogue valley temperatures taken
down dry adiabatically from 850 mb would indicate high
temperatures in the upper 60s. However, the low fog and stratus
underneath the strong surface inversion will slow the heating and
the decoupled flow aloft will take a while to finally reach the
surface and have hedged down the high temperatures a bit to
account for this. If the skies clear and winds mix down by mid to
late morning, then we could see a high temperature near 70 this
afternoon at the medford airport. The front stalls offshore and
the bulk of the precip falls near the coast as this system is
shunted the north as it hits the upper level ridge over the pac
nw.

With a strong atmospheric river event indicated precip will
continue on and off near the coast ahead of the next system that
moves in Wednesday. This front will bring precip much farther
inland as the upper level ridge shifts to the east and flattens
as we head towards the end of the week, bringing precip across the
east side into Friday morning. This active pattern remains and
intensifies through the weekend as an upper level trough moves
through, with snow level remaining high until Monday when a cooler
air mass moves in behind a front Monday. Sven
aviation... 21 12z TAF cycle... A warm frontal wave moving across
the forecast area from the south tonight will continue to bring
cig vis reductions through this morning, but winds will also be
increasing aloft. This will result in concerns for low level wind
shear at all TAF sites centered on, but not confined to, this
morning. Most valley locations will experience ifr to MVFR
conditions early morning, but localVFR and lifr will also occur
due to fluctuations in wind and precipitation. Expect widespread
mountain obscurations decreasing this afternoon, and then
increasing again in the evening. Tuesday afternoon ceilings and
visibilities are expected to improve toVFR at all valley
locations. This evening the next frontal wave is likely to bring
another round of deteriorating conditions to the coastal mountains
westward. Btl sven
marine... Updated 300 am pst Tuesday, 21 november 2017...

a prolonged period of advisory to gale force southerly winds and
building seas is expected today into Thursday yielding steep to very
steep seas. Remaining northwest swell and southerly fresh swell from
yesterday's frontal system will combine with south wind seas to
result in very steep and chaotic seas over much of the area. South
winds are likely to peak around midday today, and seas are expected
to peak this evening through Wednesday morning. Seas will then
remain hazardous into Thursday. A brief break is expected Friday
before the next frontal system arrives this weekend. Btl spilde

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... Wind advisory until 10 pm pst this evening for orz030-031.

Ca... Wind advisory until 10 pm pst this evening for caz085.

Wind advisory until 10 pm pst this evening for caz081.

Pacific coastal waters... Small craft advisory until 4 am pst Wednesday for
pzz350-356-376.

Gale warning until 4 am pst Wednesday for pzz350-356-370-376.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46229 - UMPQUA OFFSHORE, OR (139) 23 mi37 min 54°F7 ft
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 29 mi54 min S 1 G 14 52°F1013.3 hPa

Wind History for Charleston, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Oregon Regional Airport, OR22 mi34 minN 08.00 miMostly Cloudy60°F57°F93%1014.1 hPa

Wind History from OTH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW5CalmCalmE4E4E3NE3E5SE4SE5SE6SE5SE5SE6S6SE6SE6SE6CalmS7SE9SE12S6SW6
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2 days ago--SE5S6S5W7W8SW3SE5SE6SE4SE5SE6SE6S6S8SE6S10SE8SE9SE10SE9SE8SE9S10

Tide / Current Tables for Gardiner, Umpqua River, Oregon
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Gardiner
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:10 AM PST     5.71 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:18 AM PST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:22 AM PST     2.80 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:56 AM PST     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:58 PM PST     6.68 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:45 PM PST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:31 PM PST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:11 PM PST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.14.45.35.75.54.943.32.82.93.54.55.56.46.76.45.54.22.81.40.4-00.21

Tide / Current Tables for Florence, Siuslaw River, Oregon
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Florence
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:58 AM PST     5.60 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:19 AM PST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:11 AM PST     2.80 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:57 AM PST     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:46 PM PST     6.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:44 PM PST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:31 PM PST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:00 PM PST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.34.55.35.65.34.63.83.12.833.64.65.66.36.56.15.23.92.41.20.3-00.31.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.