Monday, September25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gardiner, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 7:08PM Monday September 25, 2017 3:26 PM PDT (22:26 UTC) Moonrise 11:32AMMoonset 9:33PM Illumination 27% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ310 Coos bay bar- coastal waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca out 10 nm- waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca from 10 to 60 nm- 134 pm pdt Wed may 29 2013 a long-duration moderate to strong north wind event is expected to last from this weekend into early next week. Winds should begin to increase Friday into Saturday...peaking Sunday with storm force wind gusts possible. Very steep and hazardous waves will accompany this wind event and mariners should prepare for dangerous conditions at sea. The strongest winds and highest seas will occur beyond 5 nm from shore.
PZZ300 249 Pm Pdt Mon Sep 25 2017
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..High pressure offshore and a thermal trough along the coast will maintain gusty north winds and steep wind seas through Tuesday with strongest winds in the afternoons and evenings. North winds will increase further Tuesday evening with small craft advisory conditions expanding north of cape blanco. South of cape blanco expect a mix of steep to very steep seas to develop Tuesday evening with the steepest seas expected beyond 10 nm from shore from brookings southward. Gusty north winds and steep seas will gradually diminish on Wednesday. Light southerly winds and light seas are expected Wednesday night into Thursday. On Saturday, a weak front will pass north of the waters and northwest swell will build into the waters

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gardiner, OR
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location: 43.73, -124.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 252201
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
301 pm pdt Mon sep 25 2017

Short term A warming and drying trend continues through the
middle of the week as a ridge expands into our area with northerly
flow into southern oregon tonight. A weak impulse moving south in
this flow will bring occasional mid and high clouds and is
expected to generate light showers in the coastal waters north of
cape blanco. The impulse could also be enough to deepen the marine
layer in coos county with occasional drizzle late tonight and
early Tuesday morning. At the coast the thermal trough is expected
to build up to CAPE blanco. This will lead to dry offshore flow
over the coastal range and western siskiyou mountains and warm
temperatures at brookings both during the day and at night.

The thermal trough is expected to move inland Wednesday and remain
through Thursday. This will lead to very warm days with highs in
the rogue valley reaching the lower 90s. At the coast we could see
onshore flow and low clouds spreading into curry county.

Long term (Friday through Monday) A cold front will move
through the area on Friday. The models differ slightly with the
timing, but it looks like westerly winds will become gusty for
much of the forecast area Friday afternoon and evening. Also this
front could bring some light precipitation along the coast, north
of the umpqua divide and northern cascades. Both the ECMWF and gfs
maintains a broad trough over our forecast area so confidence is
moderate to high that temperatures will fall back to seasonal
normals. However confidence is low how much rainfall these areas
will get. Fb

Aviation 25 18z TAF cycle... At the coast...VFR conditions will
continue through this afternoon. There is moderate confidence in ifr
conditions returning tonight, mainly north of CAPE blanco, but
confidence on the timing is not as high. Elsewhere,VFR will
continue through the TAF period. -petrucelli

Marine Updated 200 pm pdt Monday, 25 september 2017... High
pressure offshore and a thermal trough along the coast will maintain
gusty north winds and steep wind seas through Tuesday. Winds and
seas will peak in the afternoon and evening today and Tuesday.

Through Tuesday afternoon, small craft conditions will affect areas
south of CAPE blanco. Then north winds are expected increase late
Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening. Occasional gusts to gale
force are possible Tuesday evening mainly from gold beach south
beyond 5 nm from shore. Very steep wind-driven seas are expected to
develop Tuesday evening from brookings south between 10 nm and 45 nm
from shore with small craft advisory winds and seas affecting most
other areas from CAPE blanco southward and beyond 5 nm from shore
north of CAPE blanco. North winds and steep seas will gradually
diminish Wednesday afternoon. Light southerly winds and light seas
are expected Wednesday night into Thursday. On Saturday, a weak
front is expected to brush northern portions of the waters and seas
will increase as a northwest swell moves into the waters. -cc

Fire weather Updated 200 pm pdt Monday, 25 september 2017... .

The warming and drying trend will continue over the next several
days, with breezy north winds this afternoon, and breezy northeast
to east winds overnight tonight and again Tuesday night on the mid
slopes and ridges of western sikiyou county and curry county. It's
possible the higher peaks along the cascades could get breezy winds
tonight, but we think winds could be stronger Tuesday night into
Wednesday morning and maybe Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

Offshore flow is expected to weaken Wednesday night along the coast
as the thermal trough moves inland. Weak onshore flow is possible
Thursday along the coast which could result in higher relative
humidities.

Confidence is now high that some poor to moderate humidity
recoveries will affect upper slopes and ridges Tuesday night through
Wednesday night. The overall breeziest night will be Tuesday night,
but the driest conditions are expected Wednesday night into Thursday
morning.

Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak, and humidity values are
expected to be at their lowest, Wednesday and Thursday as the
thermal trough moves inland. With dry and unstable conditions
expected by that point, if there is a period of time where fire
activity picks up, then that would be it.

At no time during the week do we expect critical fire weather
conditions. There will be periods of breezy and dry conditions, but
winds and humidity aren't expected to align enough to warrant any
fire weather watches or red flag warnings.

A cold front will move through the area on Friday. The models differ
slightly with the timing, but it looks like westerly winds will
become gusty for much of the forecast area Friday afternoon and
evening. Also this front could bring some light precipitation along
the coast, north of the umpqua divide and northern cascades. However
confidence is low how much rainfall these areas will get.

-petrucelli

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... None.

Ca... None.

Pacific coastal waters... Small craft advisory until 11 am pdt Wednesday for pzz356-376.

Small craft advisory from 5 pm Tuesday to 11 am pdt Wednesday
for pzz350-370.

Hazardous seas warning from 5 pm to 11 pm pdt Tuesday for
pzz376.

Fjb fjb map


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46260 13 mi56 min 58°F3 ft
46229 - UMPQUA OFFSHORE, OR (139) 23 mi33 min 59°F3 ft
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 29 mi50 min W 6 G 7 55°F1019.9 hPa
46128 37 mi86 min 3.9 1020.9 hPa (-0.5)

Wind History for Charleston, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Oregon Regional Airport, OR22 mi30 minWNW 910.00 miMostly Cloudy68°F55°F63%1020.1 hPa

Wind History from OTH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN16N14N9N12N8N9N6N4SE4E4SE6SE6SE3E4W6NE4CalmNE4E3NE3Calm3W6NW9
1 day agoN11N13N14N12N11NW4W3CalmSE3E3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE4CalmCalmCalmW3W5NW13N16N17
G20
2 days agoN16N12N12N11N4N7CalmSE4SE4SE6SE6E4SE5SE7SE6SE4SE5SE5SE3Calm3NW3NW9N9

Tide / Current Tables for Gardiner, Umpqua River, Oregon
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Gardiner
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Mon -- 05:26 AM PDT     5.31 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:07 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:03 AM PDT     2.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:31 PM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:57 PM PDT     6.07 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:07 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:32 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.91.62.73.94.85.35.24.743.12.52.22.53.14.15.15.86.15.85.142.81.81.1

Tide / Current Tables for Florence, Siuslaw River, Oregon
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Florence
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:15 AM PDT     5.20 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:07 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:52 AM PDT     2.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:32 PM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:45 PM PDT     5.95 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:07 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:32 PM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:48 PM PDT     0.83 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
11.82.944.85.25.14.53.732.42.22.63.34.25.25.85.95.64.83.72.61.61

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.