Friday, March24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gardiner, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 7:36PM Friday March 24, 2017 6:54 PM PDT (01:54 UTC) Moonrise 4:24AMMoonset 2:58PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ310 Coos bay bar- coastal waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca out 10 nm- waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca from 10 to 60 nm- 134 pm pdt Wed may 29 2013 a long-duration moderate to strong north wind event is expected to last from this weekend into early next week. Winds should begin to increase Friday into Saturday...peaking Sunday with storm force wind gusts possible. Very steep and hazardous waves will accompany this wind event and mariners should prepare for dangerous conditions at sea. The strongest winds and highest seas will occur beyond 5 nm from shore.
PZZ300 647 Pm Pdt Fri Mar 24 2017
Synopsis for the southern oregon a waters..SEas will remain steep into the weekend due to a combination of moderate westerly swell and steep short period southwest swell. Slight improvement is possible Saturday night but it will be brief as the next front is on track to produce advisory winds late Saturday night. South winds will increase rapidly Sunday with another round of very steep seas and likely gales through Sunday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gardiner, OR
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location: 43.73, -124.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 242158
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
258 pm pdt Fri mar 24 2017

Discussion
Short term Tonight through Monday night... The front has all
but passed through the area, and while the bulk of the
precipitation has moved to the east, numerous showers will
continue through this evening and into tonight. Wind and winter
weather advisories have come to an end, but snow showers may drop
some additional light accumulations, and some breezes are still
possible, especially in the aforementioned showers. Most
precipitation should end overnight, but some residual showers
could continue into Saturday morning.

High pressure and upper level ridging will attempt to nudge in on
Saturday, and should provide some clearing and what may turn out
to be a pleasant afternoon. The break in the wet pattern will be
short lived, however, as the next front will begin to make its way
into the region late Saturday night or early Sunday morning.

Sunday will turn out to be another wet and windy day with snow
levels between 4000 and 5000 feet. Models have backed off a bit
with the amount of moisture that the system has available, but it
will take a bit for the front to pass, and the duration of the
precipitation will make up for the lower rates. Other than the
speed and lower moisture content, the system will be very similar
to the one that juts passed, and wind and/or winter weather
advisories may be needed for Sunday afternoon and evening.

Uncertainty still remains too high in terms of timing and
magnitude, so will leave the final decision on headlines for the
upcoming shifts.

Post-frontal showers will then continue into Monday, but clearing
is expected by Monday afternoon and evening as ridging builds
into the west coast. -bpn

Long term Tuesday through Friday.

In general terms, the seasonably wet pattern looks to continue
through the long term. Our area will be between a ridge offshore of
central and southern california and a trough in the gulf of alaska.

A series of disturbances in a westerly flow will move into the
pacific northwest. As such, the main uncertainty is the timing and
southward extent of these systems.

The probability of precipitation throughout the long term was
adjusted to reflect a blend of the latest 12z ECMWF and GFS ensemble
data, and will be highest in the western and northern portions of
our area. Temperatures and snow levels were nudged higher, closer to
normal.

Specifically model agreement is not bad on Tuesday into Tuesday
night with a warm front likely focusing rain on washington. The
gfs keeps rain north of our area while the ECMWF is a bit stronger
and farther south... Spreading rain into southwest oregon and
northern klamath county.

Model agreement diminishes Wednesday but the probability of
precipitation increases with the trailing cold front likely to
weaken as it moves through the pacific northwest Wednesday through
Wednesday night. There is considerable uncertainty on whether we
will or will not receive the brunt of what is likely to be a front
of moderate/seasonably typical strength.

It will be cooler and there is a chance of post-frontal showers in a
northwest flow as an upper trough moves inland on Thursday.

Ridging is likely to follow Thursday night into Friday with a
pattern similar to that of Tuesday... The next front will likely
track inland north of our area with the highest probability of
light rain at the coast north of CAPE blanco. -dw

Aviation 24/18z TAF cycle... Ceilings are a mix ofVFR and MVFR
with the MVFR and areas of mountain obscuration mainly in the
vicinity of scattered showers. There is also a slight chance of
thunderstorms into early this evening over the coastal waters inland
to the coastal range. Conditions will be persistent overnight into
Saturday morning with a slight decrease in the coverage of showers
and an increase in west side valley MVFR. -dw

Marine Updated 200 pm pdt Friday 24 march 2017... Seas will
remain steep into Saturday afternoon due to a combination of
moderate westerly swell and fresh short period southwest swell. Seas
will be highest in the outer waters and near CAPE blanco with seas
just a foot or two below advisory criteria in the near shore waters.

Improvement will be brief with the next front likely to produce
advisory winds late Saturday night then arrive early Sunday morning
with another round of very steep seas and possible gales. We have
issued a gale watch with winds rising as early as mid morning
Sunday. /fb

Mfr watches/warnings/advisories
Or... None.

Ca... None.

Pacific coastal waters... Gale watch from Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon for
pzz350-356-370-376.

Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 11 pm pdt Saturday
for pzz350-356-370-376.

Bpn/dw/fjb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46229 - UMPQUA OFFSHORE, OR (139) 23 mi38 min 51°F10 ft
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 29 mi78 min SSW 4.1 G 9.9 52°F1017.5 hPa

Wind History for Charleston, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
North Bend, North Bend Municipal Airport, OR22 mi59 minWSW 9 G 1610.00 miOvercast52°F48°F88%1017.6 hPa

Wind History from OTH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE9SE11S13
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1 day agoW4CalmS3S5SE5SE6SE7SE6S6SE6S7S7S7S8S8SE7E6S7S6SW8S9S7SE7SE8
2 days agoSE6S6S10
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S6S8S8S8S9S6W9W9W15W8NW10W7W8W8W9W6

Tide / Current Tables for Gardiner, Umpqua River, Oregon
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Gardiner
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Fri -- 05:21 AM PDT     2.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:24 AM PDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:11 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:04 AM PDT     6.02 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:58 PM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:59 PM PDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:34 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.24.94.23.42.62.22.32.93.84.95.765.853.92.61.40.50.20.61.52.745.1

Tide / Current Tables for Florence, Siuslaw River, Oregon
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Florence
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:10 AM PDT     2.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:24 AM PDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:11 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:52 AM PDT     5.90 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:58 PM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:48 PM PDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:34 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.14.743.22.52.22.4344.95.75.95.64.73.62.31.10.40.20.71.72.94.25.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.