Thursday, June21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sackets Harbor, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:19AMSunset 8:51PM Thursday June 21, 2018 1:03 AM EDT (05:03 UTC) Moonrise 1:22PMMoonset 12:51AM Illumination 53% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 1021 Pm Edt Wed Jun 20 2018
Rest of tonight..South winds less than 10 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 5 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..East winds less than 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday night..East winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Occasional showers with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then showers likely Sunday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..North winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LOZ045 Expires:201806210915;;859121 FZUS51 KBUF 210221 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1021 PM EDT Wed Jun 20 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ045-210915-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sackets Harbor, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 43.95, -76.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kbuf 210221
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
1021 pm edt Wed jun 20 2018

Synopsis
A weak cold front will cross the region late tonight and early
Thursday with little more than a modest increase in cloud cover.

High pressure will then build into the region Thursday afternoon
through Friday, bringing dry and comfortable conditions. A storm
system will approach for the weekend bringing rain showers and some
rumbles of thunder on Saturday, with a few showers lingering into
Sunday.

Near term through Thursday
Satellite imagery showing the thickest cloud cover lingering across
the western southern tier late this evening, with high thin cirrus
over southern ontario moving into the niagara frontier. The thicker
cloud cover across the southern tier will slowly erode overnight,
with cirrus elsewhere.

A surface high will push toward southern ontario canada overnight.

Meanwhile a shortwave rounding a longwave trough over eastern canada
will drive a backdoor cold front across quebec, northern new york
and new england tonight, before dropping south across western and
central ny early Thursday. Shower activity along this front will
remain near the upper level support well outside the forecast area,
though a stray shower or two may clip eastern jefferson northern
lewis counties overnight. Lows tonight will drop back into the 50s
with a light wind.

High pressure will continue to build across the region Thursday in
the wake of the cold front. A brief period of clouds along and just
behind the cold front will give way to plenty of sunshine for the
afternoon as much drier air builds into the region out of southern
ontario. The result will be a phenomenal june day with highs in the
low to mid 70s and very low humidity.

Short term Thursday night through Saturday night
A nearly stacked low pressure system will move into the ohio valley
while high pressure slowly moves off the gulf of maine Thursday
night. Mostly clear conditions will continue Thursday night as
moisture stays confined southwest of the forecast area. Moisture
will begin to enter the region Friday and into the weekend as high
pressure moves off the northeast coast and low pressure progresses
eastward.

Low pressure will advance eastward Friday while a warm front
approaches the forecast area. Winds aloft will veer from the
southeast to south causing moisture to advect into the forecast
area. Overrunning will cause clouds to increase from south to north
Friday and light-intermittent rain will likely spread across western
ny through the afternoon. Since a dry airmass will still have its
hold on the region Friday, rain will be light and may only account
to trace amounts.

Warm air advection ramps up Friday night as 850mb winds increase to
30kts and the warm front moves into western ny. Rain will increase
in coverage as the stacked low pressure system moves near western
lake erie by Saturday morning. As the warm front moves northward and
into the north country Saturday, 65-70 deg dewpoints will spread
northward while a shortwave trough rounds the base of the low
pressure system. This will lead to more widespread showers and the
chance for thunderstorms. At this time, the area from the southern
tier to the southern shore of lake ontario has the best chance for
thunderstorms through Saturday afternoon. As the shortwave trough
moves eastward into Saturday night, the chance for thunderstorms
will expand into the north country.

Temperatures will be near normal Thursday night-Friday and become
above normal through the weekend.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
Low pressure will track into the canadian maritimes through Sunday
with its associated cold front passing south across western and
north-central ny. All global models are showing plentiful lift and
moisture to support widespread showers ahead of and along the front
where we continue to forecast likely pops for showers. Instability
parameters are very low so only included slight chance for thunder.

Lingering chances for showers are in place Sunday night as models
show the parent mid level trough axis crossing the eastern great
lakes. Temps Sunday should reach into the 70s during the afternoon
with dewpoints in the 60s ahead of the front still supporting
lingering humidity. Behind the front, dewpoints will slip back into
more comfortable levels in the 50s Sunday night where overnight
temps should slip back into the 50s with light northwest winds and
some breaks in sky cover.

Canadian high pressure then looks to build over nys Monday and
Tuesday in the wake of the storm system and mid level trough axis.

The high is then forecast to shift off the east coast through
Wednesday. This surface high will provide our region with dry
weather through mid week. Temps will be seasonable Monday then
rising a little above normal with upper 70s to low 80s possible
Tuesday and Wednesday as southerly 850mb winds advect warmer air
over the eastern great lakes.

Aviation 02z Thursday through Monday
WidespreadVFR conditions will prevail through tonight. A weak cold
front will move south across the eastern lake ontario region later
tonight with some cloud cover and possibly a few isolated light
showers. Otherwise the rest of the region will remain dry overnight.

The weak cold front will drop south across the rest of the area
Thursday morning, with a brief period ofVFR level clouds possible.

Otherwise high pressure will build into the area and maintain fair
weather andVFR conditions Thursday.

Outlook...

Thursday night through Friday...VFR.

Saturday...VFR MVFR... Showers and thunderstorms likely.

Sunday... MainlyVFR. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Monday...VFR.

Marine
A weak cold front will cross the lower great lakes late tonight and
early Thursday. Winds will become northeast behind the front, and a
brief surge of moderate northeasterlies will develop early Thursday
morning. This will produce a period of choppy wave action along the
south shore of lake ontario Thursday morning, but at this time the
period of stronger winds appears too brief to allow waves to ramp up
to 4 feet. Winds will quickly diminish by midday Thursday with
improving wave conditions during the afternoon.

High pressure will build across the lakes for the end of the work
week with optimal boating conditions. A low pressure system will
pass near the lakes over the weekend brining more unsettled weather,
however winds and waves are expected to remain below SCA at this
time.

Buf watches warnings advisories
Ny... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Church hitchcock
near term... Church hitchcock
short term... Hsk
long term... Smith
aviation... Hitchcock
marine... Church hitchcock


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ALXN6 - 8311062 - Alexandria Bay, NY 29 mi64 min 62°F1009.4 hPa (+0.9)
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 38 mi64 min S 1.9 G 4.1 62°F 1009.4 hPa (+0.5)55°F
45135 - Prince Edward Pt 39 mi64 min N 3.9 G 5.8 60°F 60°F1009.8 hPa (+0.8)
OBGN6 - 8311030 - Ogdensburg, NY 63 mi64 min 64°F 1009.3 hPa (+0.9)
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 89 mi64 min N 2.9 G 4.1 64°F 1010.8 hPa (+0.6)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
Last
24hr
S5
SE6
S7
S6
S7
S7
S7
G10
S7
G10
S8
S7
S7
S5
G9
NW5
NW6
NW7
W5
NW4
NW3
NW2
NW2
S3
S5
S6
S2
1 day
ago
NW11
E1
G4
N11
G14
N8
G11
N7
NW7
N10
G13
N16
N12
G15
N8
G11
N6
NW9
W10
NW9
W11
G14
W13
G16
W11
W9
G14
W9
G13
W9
W2
G6
S1
SE2
S2
2 days
ago
S10
G14
S10
G13
S9
G13
SW11
G15
SW12
G16
W15
G22
W13
G22
W11
G17
SW15
G21
W6
G10
W9
G18
SW10
G14
SW9
G14
SW15
G23
W17
G25
NW10
G13
NW9
G12
W9
G13
W7
G10
W8
G11

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Watertown, Watertown International Airport, NY9 mi68 minSSE 310.00 miFair52°F51°F97%1009.7 hPa
Fort Drum / Wheeler-Sack U. S. Army Airfield, NY24 mi68 minWSW 310.00 miFair58°F50°F77%1009.7 hPa

Wind History from ART (wind in knots)
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
Last 24hrCalmS4CalmS3S3S33SW55SW7SW7SW9W9W11W7W9W9SW5W5SW3CalmS3CalmSE3
1 day agoN8N6N5N4N3N6N8N8N13N10NE9NE73NE63NW6SW9SW8SW5SW5SW5S5S3Calm
2 days agoW3S4S5S5S5SW8SW8SW11
G19
SW12
G20
SW17
G24
SW11
G21
SW14W12
G19
SW14
G20
SW12
G18
SW13
G22
SW11
G19
SW12
G17
SW8SW8SW6SW6N12N8

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (1,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.