Wednesday, January24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Newcastle, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 4:40PM Wednesday January 24, 2018 6:50 AM EST (11:50 UTC) Moonrise 11:59AMMoonset 12:22AM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ152 Coastal Waters From Port Clyde, Me To Cape Elizabeth, Me Out 25 Nm- 620 Am Est Wed Jan 24 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning...
Today..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 33 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Light freezing spray.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Light freezing spray.
Thu night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Light freezing spray.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming 5 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Light freezing spray in the morning.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less, then 2 to 4 ft after midnight.
Sat..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
Sat night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. A chance of showers. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Rain likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain likely. Vsby variable to less than one quarter nm.
ANZ100 620 Am Est Wed Jan 24 2018
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. Winds will be northwesterly and gusty in the wake of a cold front today through Thursday. High pressure gradually builds in from the west through the rest of the week. Low pressure will likely pass to the south of the waters on Sunday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Newcastle, ME
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location: 44.03, -69.54     debug


Area Discussion for - Gray/Portland, ME
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Fxus61 kgyx 241128 aaa
afdgyx
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service gray me
628 am est Wed jan 24 2018

Synopsis
High pressure builds in for the remainder of the week with
cooling temperatures. Clear skies will allow low temperature to
drop back below zero in the north on Thursday night. Warmer air
returns for the start of the weekend as southwesterly flow
develops ahead of our next system. Low pressure will cross the
region on Sunday bringing widespread precipitation.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
628 am update...

minor changes to the forecast to ingest latest mesoscale data.

Temperatures are near steady. Winds are beginning to gust into
the lower 20s already for much of new hampshire in good mixing
behind the front. Sunshine will make today seem brighter at
least even though it will be chilly.

Previous discussion...

the main cold front has moved offshore overnight with an
additional reinforcing baroclinic zone approaching the coast
this morning. This boundary will also move away later this
morning, allowing much colder air to move in and causing a non-
diurnal temperature curve. Highs will occur this morning
generally at 12z and decreasing throughout the day. By
afternoon, temperatures will be in the teens north to mid
20s lower 30s south and along the coast. Gusty NW winds will
occasionally reach 25-30 mph and may knock a few more tree limbs
loose... Especially those still with ice on them. In addition,
some icy patches remain on roadways and sidewalks for the am
commute and have extended the special weather statement covering
this threat.

Upslope snow showers will continue this morning and into early
afternoon before largely drying up in rapidly drying
conditions. We could see perhaps a tenth of an inch up to a half
inch in some higher peaks after daybreak today. Currently some
light showers are probably bringing similar or a little higher
amounts to the notches of the whites and the western maine
mountains.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday
Lows tonight will be falling into the single digits either side
of zero across the mountains and northern foothills... With
readings in the 5-10 f degree range for the most part across
the south. Temperatures will struggle during the day Thursday...

especially across the north where 5-10 degrees will be the norm.

Central areas will be closer to 15-20 with mid 20s south under
sunny skies brought on by surface high pressure. Cyclonic flow
will remain overhead and keep a few clouds primarily over the
border region... Contributing to the cooler temperatures.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
Looking ahead towards the end of the week and the weekend a
progressive pattern dominates the 500mb flow, bringing a series
of disturbances to the area over the next week. A trough pushes
into the region on Thursday with a return to colder
temperatures. The trough quickly progresses eastwards allowing a
ridge to build in for the weekend bringing mild temperatures. A
long wave pattern shift finally begins to evolve at the end of
the weekend as high pressure builds in over alaska setting up an
omega block to channel cold canadian arctic air into the
central plains for the start of next week with the northeast
region on the edge of the height gradient.

Thursday night will be colder as high pressure builds over the
region. The clear skies and light winds should allow for good
radiational cooling, and temperatures have been lowered slightly
below guidance to reflect this.

Friday high pressure builds over the region and holds through
Saturday bringing clear skies, and gradually warming temperatures as
an upper level ridge moves into the region.

Sunday we see our next system. As the cold air mass dives south into
the northern plains of the CONUS it brings the northeast into an
extended southwest flow on the leading edge of this cold air. This
region of baroclinicity will serve as a focus for next next wave to
develop and move through the region on Sunday. While precipitation
of some type seems a solid bet for Sunday the precipitation type
remains up for grabs. A surface front will be in place and a low is
expected to move along it. Currently the consensus is for us to
remain on the warmer side but the cold air is close enough that
snow, especially on the backside of the system is likely as
well.

For the start of next week the trough of cold air will shift into
the region bringing upslope snow showers and below normal
temperatures.

Aviation 11z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term... Winds will be gusty and wnw today in the wake of a
cold front with gusts near 25-30 kts at times through 22z or so
tonight. Hie and leb may see occasional MVFR lowVFR ceilings in
-shsn, especially this morning.

Long term...

extended period ofVFR under high pressure will hold through the
weekend. Southwesterly flow will develop with warming
temperatures. By Saturday night this warm flow over the snowpack
will result in ifr fog overnight. Ifr will continue through the
day on Sunday with rain, snow, and mixed precipitation all
possible as another low pressure system moves through the
region.

Marine
Short term... Strong SCA conditions are expected through Thursday
morning in gusty northwesterly flow behind a departing cold
front.

Long term... Thursday night into Friday will see gusts to small
craft over the outer waters as the colder air moves into the
region. Small craft may again be needed Saturday night as
southwesterly flow increases ahead of the next system.

Gyx watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Nh... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 am est Thursday for anz150>154.

Near term... Hanes
short term... Hanes
long term... Curtis


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44032 - Buoy E0104 - Central Maine Shelf 24 mi106 min SW 23 G 31 42°F 43°F9 ft998.3 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 29 mi106 min WSW 9.7 G 14 37°F 36°F4 ft998.2 hPa
MISM1 - Matinicus Rock, ME 40 mi50 min WSW 26 G 29 41°F 999.4 hPa (+1.6)35°F
CASM1 - 8418150 - Portland, ME 45 mi50 min 35°F 34°F1001 hPa (+1.8)
44007 - PORTLAND 12 NM Southeast of Portland,ME 47 mi60 min SW 19 G 23 38°F 39°F5 ft1000.3 hPa (+1.3)34°F

Wind History for Wells, ME
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wiscasset Airport, ME10 mi57 minN 010.00 miFair33°F30°F92%1000.8 hPa
Rockland, Knox County Regional Airport, ME23 mi54 minWSW 910.00 miFair35°F32°F89%999.8 hPa
Augusta, Augusta State Airport, ME24 mi57 minSW 510.00 miFair32°F30°F92%999.6 hPa

Wind History from IWI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr3Calm--333N3CalmCalmCalmW6CalmCalmW4CalmW4W4SW4SW3W3W4SW4W5Calm
1 day agoNE5NE4NE7NE7555NE3NE8NE5NE44NE644334334--CalmCalm
2 days agoCalmNW443W6W565NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE64NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Newcastle, Maine
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Newcastle
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:53 AM EST     9.29 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:14 AM EST     0.65 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:59 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:16 PM EST     8.95 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:37 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:20 PM EST     First Quarter
Wed -- 10:36 PM EST     0.43 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.95.17.38.89.38.77.35.43.21.50.712.24.16.388.98.77.65.93.81.80.60.5

Tide / Current Tables for Sheepscot River (off Barter Island), Maine Current
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Sheepscot River (off Barter Island)
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:14 AM EST     0.92 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:29 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:54 AM EST     -1.00 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 11:00 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:36 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:37 PM EST     0.79 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:09 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:38 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:20 PM EST     First Quarter
Wed -- 08:14 PM EST     -1.06 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 11:54 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.90.80.40.1-0.1-0.4-0.8-1-0.8-0.6-0.30.20.70.80.40-0.1-0.4-0.8-1-1-0.7-0.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Gray/Portland, ME (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.