Monday, July23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Camden, ME

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Sunrise 5:14AMSunset 8:15PM Monday July 23, 2018 7:25 AM EDT (11:25 UTC) Moonrise 4:56PMMoonset 1:56AM Illumination 80% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ151 Penobscot Bay- 557 Am Edt Mon Jul 23 2018
Today..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog this morning. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms this morning, then a slight chance of showers with isolated tstms this afternoon. Some tstms may produce heavy rainfall. Vsby variable to less than one quarter nm, increasing to 1 to 3 nm this afternoon.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Patchy drizzle. Areas of fog. Vsby variable to less than one quarter nm.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Patchy drizzle in the morning. Areas of fog in the morning, then patchy fog in the afternoon. Vsby variable to less than one quarter nm, increasing to 1 to 3 nm in the afternoon.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog in the evening. Patchy fog after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Showers likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ100 557 Am Edt Mon Jul 23 2018
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. A southerly warm and humid air mass will prevail through much of the week with areas of fog and scattered showers and Thunderstorms at times. A cold front later in the work week will bring cooler...drier...and offshore flow to the waters by the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Camden, ME
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location: 44.2, -69.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Gray/Portland, ME
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Fxus61 kgyx 231000
afdgyx
area forecast discussion
national weather service gray me
600 am edt Mon jul 23 2018

Synopsis
A tropical air mass will remain in place through at least mid
week with scattered tropical downpours in showers and thunderstorms
each day, mainly across interior sections. A cold front slowly
crosses the area Friday then moves offshore over the weekend. In
its wake a much drier and more comfortable air mass will move
into place.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
600 am... For this estf update I ingested the current mesonet
into near term grids.

Prev disc...

at 06z... GOES water vapor imagery showed an upper low over the
eastern great lakes with an upper high centered over the western
atlantic. Between these two features a deep plume of tropical
moisture with pwats from the 00z raobs near 2 inches being
transported northward along the eastern seaboard. NWS doppler
radar mosaic showed areas of convection continued to break out
and track northward in this rich moisture plume. Instantaneous
precipitation rates of up to 2 inches per hour have been noted
by nearby radars. Fortunately... Convection has been fast moving
and brief resulting in hourly amounts well under that amount.

The issue through today will be areas that see frequent repeat
or training echoes where localized amounts of 2 to 3 inches
can't be ruled out... Along with potential for localized drainage
and small stream flooding and ponding of water. Available
guidance... Including the hires short range models... Suggest the
convection will become more scattered and shift further west
today in response to the upper trough closed low and offshore
ridge retrograding westward. This should help mitigate the
potential for flooding across much of the cwa. Otherwise... It'll
be a mostly cloudy and humid day with highs mainly in the 70s.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Tuesday
Widespread fog and haze in our tropical airmass tonight as the
upper ridge continues to retrograde westward. There could be a
brief shower or thunderstorm this evening... Otherwise just a
warm humid night with some patchy drizzle. Lows in the mid 60s
to lower 70s. On Tuesday... The fog and haze should lift with a
mix of clouds and sunshine. The ridge should limit convective
potential... Especially along the coastal plain with only
scattered convection expected inland. With some sunshine and
only widely scattered convection expected... We'll be quite a bit
warmer than today with readings mainly in the 80s. When
combined with dewpoints near 70f... It'll feel downright
oppressive with apparent temperatures heat indices in the upper
80s and lower 90s in many locations away from the coast.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
After getting a bump W early this week... Deep sly flow and high
pwat air mass will move back across the area for the middle of
the week. The moisture plume will be ushered along the by next
approaching S WV trof... Set to cross the area late Wed into thu.

Deterministic and ensemble guidance are in agreement that pwat
values make another run at 2 inches across much of the forecast
area. Given the broad agreement... I have included enhanced
wording for heavy rainfall into early thu. This air mass will
also likely bring continued mild nights and new rounds of
fog low clouds. The high dewpoints will also allow for at least
marginal CAPE to develop in the afternoons... Despite meager
lapse rates in the moist environment. That will likely keep any
severe threat more on the localized scale than a more widespread
threat. But given the amount of precip loading possible... Any
stronger convection will need to be watched for some gusty
winds.

After thu... Model forecasts bring a much drier... Continental air
mass into the region. This will bring some relief from the muggy
air... And also cut down the significant rain chances.

Aviation 10z Monday through Friday
Short term through Tuesday ... Ifr lifr conditions in areas of
stratus and fog along with sct shra tsra. Conditions improve to
vfr on Tuesday wth LCL MVFR in -shra -tsra.

Long term... Will likely see another round of ifr conditions wed
into Thu as deep moisture sloshes back across the area from the
w. Areas of fog stratus should develop along the coast and
extend inland ahead of the next approaching S WV trof late wed.

The chances for shra tsra will also increase thru the day wed
into Thu as the surface front approaches. At this time +ra looks
to be a threat in any convection... And local ifr or lower
conditions as a result.

Marine
Short term through Tuesday ... Will continue the SCA for haz
seas for the outer waters through tonight. The onshore flow,
although generally only 10-20 kt, and long southeast fetch will
continue to produce seas of 3-6 ft.

Long term... Flow will remain stubbornly sly thru the middle of
the week. This will keep areas of fog across the waters with the
high dewpoint air mass in place. It will also gradually build
seas. As nearshore waves start to creep towards 5 ft... A
moderate risk for rip currents may develop.

Hydrology
Showers and a few thunderstorms will continue today. Rivers
remain relatively low with our recent dry conditions. Away from
the coast... Thunderstorms could produce locally heavy rainfall
which could adversely affect low lying and urban areas.

Otherwise... We'll need to watch for training echoes which could
result in localized flooding concerns.

Gyx watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Nh... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 2 am edt Tuesday
for anz150-152-154.

Es


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 10 mi82 min NE 1.9 G 1.9 59°F 56°F3 ft1024.5 hPa
MISM1 - Matinicus Rock, ME 31 mi26 min SSE 20 G 20 62°F 1024.9 hPa (+1.3)
44032 - Buoy E0104 - Central Maine Shelf 37 mi82 min SSE 9.7 G 12 64°F 57°F8 ft1023 hPa
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 47 mi38 min S 1.9 G 6

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rockland, Knox County Regional Airport, ME9 mi30 minSSE 50.50 miFog65°F64°F100%1025.6 hPa

Wind History from RKD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6E5E6--6NE8NE6NE5NE4NE4NE4E5E3S4CalmS5S6S4S8S4S5SE5S4S5
1 day agoCalmCalmSE6E7E6S5S6S7S7S8S5S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4NE5NE5
2 days agoCalmCalmE4E5SE5S7S8S9S9S7S6S5SW3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Camden, Penobscot River, Maine
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Camden
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:38 AM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:48 AM EDT     8.96 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:47 PM EDT     1.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:56 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:02 PM EDT     10.10 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.81.90.80.71.63.55.67.58.68.98.26.64.62.81.61.32.13.96.18.19.510.19.68

Tide / Current Tables for Owls Head, Penobscot River, Maine
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Owls Head
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:34 AM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:44 AM EDT     8.79 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:43 PM EDT     1.26 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:55 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:58 PM EDT     9.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.61.80.70.71.73.65.77.48.58.886.34.32.61.51.32.13.96.18.19.49.99.37.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Gray/Portland, ME (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.