Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Barre, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:13AMSunset 8:26PM Sunday May 26, 2019 11:49 AM EDT (15:49 UTC) Moonrise 1:49AMMoonset 12:13PM Illumination 49% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Barre city, VT
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location: 44.2, -72.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 261419
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
1019 am edt Sun may 26 2019

Synopsis
A warm front will push into the area this evening with
widespread rainfall expected along with a few non-severe
thunderstorms. Precipitation tapers off for Sunday as a weak
cold front drops through the area and high pressure builds in
from the west. Fair and mainly dry weather continues through
Tuesday before more unsettled conditions return for the later
half of the work week.

Near term through Monday
As of 1019 am edt Sunday... Going forecast remains in excellent
shape late this morning. Other than some noise-level tweaks to
hourly temperture and dewpoint trends over the next few hours no
changes were needed. Have a great day.

Excerpts from prior discussion... The trend of diminishing the
weak thunderstorm threat for today continues as models have
latched on to an earlier passage of the front (late this morning
into early afternoon). The earlier timing will severely limit
the amount of destabilization the atmosphere undergoes before
the boundary moves through, especially with the amount of low
clouds persisting through the morning. In addition, the mid and
upper- levels of the atmosphere are very dry this morning, which
will further limit thunderstorm potential.

Once the front moves through this afternoon, mixing heights will
increase, allowing for any remaining low clouds to mix out and for
the development of some fair weather cumulus clouds in their place.

Winds will shift to the north this afternoon and become a little
breezy as the front moves through. Temperatures today will be rather
warm, with highs reaching the mid to upper 70s in valley locations
and low 70s in higher elevations.

High pressure will build over the area overnight tonight, which will
lead to clearing skies and diminishing winds. Overnight lows will
be in the upper 40s to around 50.

A weak cold front will move through from the north during the
afternoon Monday. Moisture will be very limited as the front moves
through, but can't rule some isolated light showers associated with
the frontal passage. Temperatures Monday will be slightly below
normal due to the continued northerly cold air advection, but
overall Monday should be a pleasant late spring day with highs in
the 60s.

Short term Monday night through Tuesday
As of 424 am edt Sunday... Idea of northwest flow aloft having a
noticeable impact on our weather for Monday night and Tuesday still
looks good. Dry weather is expected Monday night as a result of this
flow pattern. And with the flow aloft not backing to the west until
late in the day on Tuesday the bulk of precipitation should remain
south of our area. Portions of the northern adirondacks and the
southern half of vermont will have the best chance of seeing showers
Tuesday afternoon with only a slight chance up across the northern
tier. With respect to temperatures lows Monday night will be in the
upper 30s to mid 40s... But in the mid 30s across parts of the
northern adirondacks and northeast kingdom of vermont. Have added
patchy frost in these areas. Highs on Tuesday will generally be in
the lower to mid 60s with 50s in the mountains.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
As of 424 am edt Sunday... Flow aloft transitions to the southwest
Tuesday night into Wednesday. Any showers Tuesday night should move
out of the area and there will likely be a period of dry weather on
Wednesday. Conditions will change Wednesday afternoon and the first
half of Wednesday night. Convective threat will increase as
instability develops over the area and deep layer shear increases as
well. In addition... Precipitable water values increase and forecast
soundings suggest the potential for heavy rain with any of the
convection. This will definitely be something to keep an eye on.

Showers and storms will continue Wednesday evening before tapering
off during the overnight hours. Feel we are going to be on the dry
side Thursday morning with maybe a few showers around... But will
once again have to keep an eye on the afternoon hours. Higher
precipitable water air shifts east with some drying in the lower
levels. At the same time warmer 925 millibar temperatures move into
the area and steepen the lower level lapse rates. Forecast soundings
imply an inverted-v orientation and forecast dcape (downdraft cape)
values indicating the potential for gusty winds with any of the
storms. Again something to keep an eye on. High temperatures on
Thursday will be in the 70s to lower 80s. Upper trough moves east of
the area on Friday and we will see a return to drier weather and
temperatures at or below seasonal normals.

Aviation 14z Sunday through Thursday
Through 12z Monday... A line of showers with a couple weak
embedded thunderstorms is moving eastward through vermont this
morning. May see some briefly reduced visibilities is central
and eastern vermont between 12z and 13z before the line clears
the area, but all rain should be east of the forecast area after
13z. Low clouds MVFR and ifr CIGS over kmss, kslk, and krut will
lift by 14z, giving way to widespreadVFR conditions through the
remainder of the TAF period. Winds will start off southerly this
morning, then turn northwesterly through the day after the
passage of a weak cold front. Some northwesterly gusts 10-20 kts
are possible between 17z and 00z today. Winds will diminish
after 00z.

Outlook...

memorial day:VFR. No sig wx.

Monday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Tuesday:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Tuesday night: MVFR ifr conditions possible. Chance shra.

Wednesday: mainly MVFR, with local ifr possible. Likely shra,
chance tsra.

Wednesday night: mainly MVFR, with local ifr possible. Chance
shra, chance tsra.

Thursday: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. Likely shra,
chance tsra.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Rsd
near term... Jmg rsd
short term... Evenson
long term... Evenson
aviation... Rsd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Barre / Montpelier, Knapp State Airport, VT4 mi58 minWSW 10 G 1710.00 miA Few Clouds71°F59°F66%1010.6 hPa
Morrisville-Stowe State Airport, VT24 mi55 minVar 510.00 miOvercast71°F59°F66%1009.4 hPa

Wind History from MPV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS14S13S10S11SE12S12S11
G20
S5CalmS9S95CalmS5S5S6SE8S6N3S3N3SW4CalmW10
G17
1 day agoNW12N12
G20
N15
G21
N10
G16
NW8NW10N4NW4NW3CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E3SE9
2 days agoS11E7SE10S10S11
G17
S6S9S7S11
G16
S11S10CalmSE3Calm6W7
G17
NW8W10NW14
G25
NW9
G22
NW11N13
G23
NW14
G20
NW14
G19

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.