Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Southwest Harbor, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 4:54AMSunset 8:09PM Sunday May 26, 2019 10:57 AM EDT (14:57 UTC) Moonrise 1:32AMMoonset 11:56AM Illumination 49% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 935 Am Edt Sun May 26 2019
Rest of today..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog late this morning. Scattered showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm late this morning.
Tonight..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N around 5 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..N winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers in the evening.
Tue..N winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of rain in the afternoon. Rain likely through the night.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely, mainly in the morning.
ANZ005 935 Am Edt Sun May 26 2019
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. A weak cold front will move across the waters late this afternoon into this evening. A secondary cold front will cross the waters late Mon followed by high pres on Tue.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Southwest Harbor CDP, ME
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location: 44.24, -68.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 261308
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
908 am edt Sun may 26 2019

Synopsis
A warm front is crossing the area this morning, and will be
followed by a cold front late today. A secondary cold front will
cross the area Monday followed by high pressure on Tuesday.

Near term through tonight
915 am update...

radar was showing back edge of rain moving across eastern
washington county. Still seeing some light rain drizzle around
the region per the latest obs. This is being supported by the
latest soundings showing llvl moisture and sse wind through 3
kft W dry air above 850 mbs. Some patchy fog around as well and
decided to add this in for this update for the next few hrs.

Hrly temps adjusted to match the latest obs. Otherwise,
forecast looks to be on track W the threat for some tstms this
afternoon as advertised by the latest rap and hrrr. Area of
concern will be across the piscataquis and penobscot valley.

Previous discussion...

the rain will taper off from west to east by mid-morning.

However, with a fairly moist onshore flow in place, don't expect
much if any clearing today except perhaps north west of the
mountains into the north woods.

Attention then turns to afternoon convection as a cold front
approaches from the west. West of bangor and into quebec there
will be a fair amount of CAPE up to about 1000 j kg with
surface-based convection firing just ahead of the cold front.

Storms move into moosehead lake region around midday then
progress east early and mid afternoon. However, while the storms
will be surface-based around moosehead lake, as they move east
into the more stable marine layer, they will weaken. They could
hold together to places like bangor and caribou, but will fall
apart as they head further east toward eastport. Although most
places will get wet from the showers and storms this afternoon,
some places may stay dry from the hit and miss convection, and
it doesn't look like an all-afternoon event for those with
outdoor plans.

Cold front moving through late afternoon and evening will
gradually dry things out with some clearing late in the night.

Short term Monday through Tuesday night
A cold front will approach from the northwest early in the day
on Monday and move across the region during the afternoon. This
system is expected to produce some showers across the area as it
moves through. High pressure will build in behind the cold front
Monday night and crest over the region early Tuesday. Expect
mostly sunny conditions on Tuesday. Clouds are expected to
increase Tuesday night as a warm front approaches with rain
overspreading the region ahead of the warm front.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday
Rain is expected on Wednesday and Thursday as an area of low
pressure moves from west to east along the warm front. Another
cold front is then expected to move across the area on Friday
with more showers expected. High pressure is then expected to
build in from the west on Friday.

Aviation 13z Sunday through Thursday
Near term: generally ifr in low clouds and rain as of 6am.

Though the steadier rain is tapering off from west to east,
still will only be slow improvement to ceilings through the
morning, with ifr slowly improving to MVFR late morning into
early afternoon except perhapsVFR north west of the mountains
including places like kgnr. Possibility of storms in the early
to mid afternoon, with the best shot being kgnr and kbgr.

Improving toVFR this evening and overnight as cold front moves
through and atmosphere dries out.

Short term:VFR conditions are expected on Monday and Tuesday.

MVFR ifr conditions are then expected Tuesday night through
Thursday.

Marine
Near term: small craft advisory in effect this morning with a
warm front moving through. Looks very marginal with conditions
only barely reaching small craft levels, then improving back
below small craft this afternoon and tonight.

Short term: have used the NAM to initialize winds however will
reduce model winds by 15 percent due to cold sea surface
temperatures (mid 40s). Expect southerly wind wave becoming
northwesterly, is expected to be the primary wave system on
Monday. Southerly wind wave will develop again on Tuesday. A
southeasterly fetch will develop across the gulf of maine on
Wednesday.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until noon edt today for anz050-051.

Near term... Foisy hewitt
short term... Mignone
long term... Mignone
aviation... Foisy hewitt mignone
marine... Foisy hewitt mignone


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 13 mi58 min 49°F 46°F1010.4 hPa (-1.5)
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 16 mi114 min S 14 G 16 46°F 44°F4 ft1011.1 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 37 mi114 min S 5.8 G 7.8 49°F 46°F3 ft1009.3 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME15 mi62 minS 95.00 miFog/Mist50°F48°F96%1010.5 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE9NE5SE6S12SW14S11SW12
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N7CalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3N7NE7
2 days agoS7S10SW11S12S12S12S8S7SE6SE6SE5S8E4E4SE53E6--NE4NE5N4N5N9N9

Tide / Current Tables for Bass Harbor, Mount Desert Island, Maine
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Mackerel Cove, Maine
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Mackerel Cove
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:56 AM EDT     9.60 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:29 AM EDT     1.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:57 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 05:43 PM EDT     9.05 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:50 PM EDT     2.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.74.167.99.29.69.17.85.93.82.21.41.42.346.17.88.898.475.23.52.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.