Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Southwest Harbor, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:23AMSunset 6:57PM Sunday March 26, 2017 2:55 PM EDT (18:55 UTC) Moonrise 5:47AMMoonset 5:20PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 227 Pm Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from Monday evening through late Monday night...
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. A slight chance of snow and sleet late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm late.
Mon..SE winds 10 to 15 kt...increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain likely in the morning...then rain and freezing rain in the afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Mon night..SE winds 20 to 25 kt...becoming E 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain in the evening...then a chance of showers after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Tue night..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers in the evening...then a chance of rain and snow showers after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming nw around 5 kt in the afternoon and evening...then becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ005 227 Pm Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pres will move E of the region tonight. A warm front will approach the region Mon. Weak low pres will cross the waters Mon.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Southwest Harbor CDP, ME
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location: 44.24, -68.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 261612
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1212 pm edt Sun mar 26 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will crest over the region on today. Low pressure
will approach from the west tonight into Monday.

Near term /through tonight/
1210 pm update...

abundant sunshine continues to prevail across the region at
midday. Temperatures this hour have climbed into the low to mid
20s north and into the lower 30s downeast. Only minor tweaks to
keep hourly temps/dew points current, otherwise no other
changes needed to forecast for the balance of the afternoon.

Clouds will continue to increase tonight as the high continues
to move east and a warm from approaches from the west.

Precipitation will begin to overspread western areas late
tonight and then reach the maine/new brunswick border toward
daybreak Monday. Snow accumulation overnight will range from
about an inch across the central highlands to less than an inch
elsewhere.

The main changes with this update were to slow the progression
of clouds into the area this afternoon. Also, have slowed the
progression of snow into the area tonight by about a couple
hours based on very dry air mass in place that will take time
to saturate.

Short term /Monday through Tuesday night/
System currently spinning in the ms rvr vly tonight wl eject
northeast twd the area this weekend. By 12z mon, most of the area to
the north and east of bangor shud be all snow. Strong h8 winds mvg
in fm SRN new england wl quickly increase h8 temps aft this time
with a mixed bag of pcpn acrs SRN and WRN zones, most lkly in the
form of snow and sleet. Expect this transition wl quickly spread to
the north and east thru the day with with downeast areas going
quickly to rain by noon. Coastal low wl dvlp late in the aftn and
enhance QPF acrs the coast.

Temps aloft still look to be in question tho regarding ptype. GFS is
colder than the NAM tho it appears to be related to juxtaposition of
h8 jet. Latest NAM has 40-50kt jet acrs most of new england in the
aftn while 00z GFS splits LLJ into two with a relative minimum acrs
cntrl sxns of cwa. With event being three periods away, hv gone with
a blend of nam/gfs for ptype and can fine-tune as we get closer.

Pcpn wl gradually wind down late Mon ngt but expect pcpn to continue
acrs the far north in wrap-arnd cyclonic flow with upr-lvl trof
lurking nr the region. With temps well abv frzg on Tue expect that
most locales wl hv gone to rain by aftn tho questions continue to
cntr acrs the far north as the GFS rmns warmest with temps aloft
while nam, cmc and ec indicate a mix of snow/sleet thru the day.

Guidance still rmns up in the air for Tue night tho nam/gfs continue
to be consistent with ec and cmc slowly coming more in line with
soln. Hv gone with superblend for Tue night, leaning twd lkly acrs
far east zones and hichc elsewhere.

Long term /Wednesday through Saturday/
Hipres wl be building in starting thur and persist thru the end of
the week. Models consistently showing next system wl mv in fm the
west Sat mrng. Latest GFS is suppressed well to our south as it
heads east off the virgina capes. Ec brings robust sfc low off of
the ny bight with some lgt QPF spreading into CWA sat/sat night ahd
of h5 trof. 00z cmc is most bullish with pcpn acrs entire fa sat
into Sat night. Hv allowed for chc pcpn ovr the weekend tho
confidence is vry low with this system. Thru the end of the long
term pd temps wl settle out arnd normal.

Aviation /16z Sunday through Thursday/
Near term: expectVFR conditions today then ifr conditions by
late tonight.

Short term: expect to be ifr Mon morning at all sites in low
clouds and mixed precipitation. Improvement for southern
terminals possible on Tuesday though confidence is very low at
this time as to whether another system will impact all sites
thru Wed morning. MVFR restrictions may continue at northern
sites through the end of the pd in low clouds.

Marine
Near term: winds/seas will remain below small craft advisory
levels through tonight.

Short term: SCA looks to be needed Monday/mon night for gusty
southeast winds ahead of sfc low crossing the gulf along with
serly swell. SCA for hazardous seas looks to be needed Tue night
into Wed with small craft levels continuing into Thursday.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Duda/mignone
short term... Farrar
long term... Farrar
aviation... Duda/mignone/farrar
marine... Duda/mignone/farrar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 13 mi37 min SSE 9.9 G 13 32°F 35°F1032.7 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 16 mi111 min E 3.9 G 5.8 29°F 40°F2 ft1034.6 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 22 mi55 min 31°F 1034.7 hPa (-1.0)7°F
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 37 mi111 min E 1.9 G 5.8 30°F 37°F1 ft1034.7 hPa
MISM1 - Matinicus Rock, ME 41 mi55 min SE 2.9 G 5.1 34°F 1034.1 hPa (-1.0)11°F

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME15 mi59 minS 710.00 miFair35°F6°F29%1034.3 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW6NW655NW4W3NW3NW5N5CalmN4N6N8NE7N4N4N9N7N9NE7NE8Calm3S7
1 day agoS17S13--S15S13S10S8SW3CalmCalmCalmNW3N3NW6N4CalmCalmN354N9N11N8
G14
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2 days agoNW12
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3NW3W4W5W4SW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS14S15SW14
G22
S13S12

Tide / Current Tables for Bass Harbor, Mount Desert Island, Maine
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Bass Harbor
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:35 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:15 AM EDT     10.76 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:00 PM EDT     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:39 PM EDT     10.66 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
7.24.520.60.41.43.35.88.29.910.710.38.45.52.60.5-0.30.324.479.110.410.6

Tide / Current Tables for Mackerel Cove, Maine
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Mackerel Cove
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:03 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:10 AM EDT     10.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:30 PM EDT     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:20 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:36 PM EDT     10.76 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
7.75.32.810.30.92.65.3810.110.910.596.43.61.2-0.1-0.11.23.66.59.110.510.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.