Friday, December14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Blue Hill, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 3:56PM Friday December 14, 2018 9:35 PM EST (02:35 UTC) Moonrise 12:47PMMoonset 11:55PM Illumination 50% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 907 Pm Est Fri Dec 14 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday morning...
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of rain late this evening. A chance of rain after midnight. A slight chance of rain late. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the morning. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sun night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of rain and snow after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of snow in the morning. A chance of rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of rain in the evening. A chance of snow showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft, subsiding to 2 to 3 ft after midnight.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon and evening, then diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft, then 1 foot or less, then, then 1 to 2 ft after midnight.
ANZ005 907 Pm Est Fri Dec 14 2018
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. A cold front will approach tonight then cross the waters early Saturday. High pressure will build across the region later Saturday through Sunday. Low pressure will cross the region Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Blue Hill, ME
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location: 44.24, -68.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 150209
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
909 pm est Fri dec 14 2018

Synopsis
A weak weather system will bring light mixed precipitation
tonight. A cold front will move through early Saturday. High
pressure will build across the region later Saturday through
Sunday. Low pressure will cross the region Monday.

Near term through Saturday
9 pm update... Light snow continues to fall across the region.

The area of precipitation is extends just a bit further south
across the central part of our region than we had so made some
minor adjustments to coverage area. Also raised temps again with
warm advection continuing to bring milder air north into the
area. Otherwise, no major changes this hour.

A weak weather system tonight in warm advection will bring
light precipitation. Most of the precipitation will fall this
evening to just after midnight. Expecting about an inch of snow
in the north. For coastal downeast, it should be warm enough for
mostly rain if any precip falls at all. Trick is in the middle.

Less precipitation expected the further south you go, but there
could be a zone over central parts of the area where there
could be a bit of sleet and or freezing rain for a couple hours.

Thermal profiles aren't exactly ideal for much icing plus the
precip will be quite light over central areas, thus don't have
enough confidence to issue advisory.

Drying out and for Saturday and becoming breezy behind the weak
cold front. Looks like a classic northern maine stratocumulus
day and went above guidance for sky cover.

Short term Saturday night through Monday
Wave will be exiting to NE late Saturday night and high pressure
working its way over maine by daybreak Sunday. Winds will trend
variable and calm across maine with clearing skies allowing for
daily highs to venture a few degrees above normal. Attention
then turns to approaching systems to south and northwest. Big
weather maker for plains and deep south the past few days has
been a photogenic upper-low which will slowly make its way to
the east coast Saturday night. There are no notable jetstreaks
aloft to play puppeteer initially, so it will meander off the
southern new england coast Sunday. As a result, downeast will
see high clouds move in Sunday evening, thickening during the
overnight period. Meanwhile, approaching shortwave to northwest
will drop out of ontario and spread clouds and some light snows
into northern and central maine, with a rain snow mix for
coastal downeast. Incoming wave has little moisture with it, but
the momentum will enhance the strengthening of the upper-low,
progged to be advancing toward the maritimes.

Long term Monday night through Friday
Lingering snow showers will run into Monday night, as the system
slowly exits to the northeast. The intensification of the low
will create a large swath of 925mb winds 20-45kts Tuesday into
Wednesday, creating possible wind and wave SCA conditions
beginning Tuesday afternoon with gusty winds over land. Dry
conditions arrive Tuesday night and Wednesday within a brief
ridge of high pressure. Another disturbance looks to drop out of
saskatchewan Wednesday and track eastward. Effects on the east
coast will be determined how it interacts with southern stream
energy ejecting out of the south. Early guidance shows signs of
longwave trough amplifying with supportive jets upstream and
downstream aloft. Kept forecast with chance pops as there is a
lot to be finalized for timing, location, and precip types.

Aviation 02z Saturday through Wednesday
Near term: weak system tonight will bring ceilings close to the
border between ifr and MVFR along with light precipitation
mainly in the north. Llws a concern for all TAF sites for a few
hours tonight. BecomingVFR Saturday morning downeast, andVFR
around midday Saturday northern maine.

Short term:VFR conditions for Saturday night and Sunday. MVFR
conditions downeast Sunday night into Monday due to thickening
and lowering clouds, nearing ifr across all sites Monday morning
through Mon evening due to snow snow showers. Southern sites
will improve to MVFR Monday night tues morning with ongoing snow
showers and ifr in the north. Exiting system will allows all
sites to goVFR tues night Wednesday.

Marine
Near term: small craft winds and seas developing this evening
ahead of a cold front. Conditions improving slowly behind the
cold front through the day Saturday, but sub-small craft
conditions by the end of the day.

Short term: non-sca conditions during Sunday, with seas
increasing to around 6 feet by Monday morning and wind gusts
nearing 25kts. Winds and seas improve slightly Monday night,
before low pressure intensifies over canadian maritimes, leading
to SCA status, possible gale, winds and waves Mon night through
Wednesday.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 am est Saturday for anz050>052.

Near term... Foisy mcb
short term... Cornwell
long term... Cornwell
aviation... Foisy cornwell
marine... Foisy cornwell


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 22 mi42 min SSW 8 G 16 42°F 38°F1024.5 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 26 mi92 min SSW 18 G 21 44°F 46°F4 ft1025.6 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 26 mi92 min SW 16 G 19 43°F 42°F3 ft1025 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 30 mi36 min S 25 G 27 43°F 1024.5 hPa (-3.5)
MISM1 - Matinicus Rock, ME 35 mi36 min SSW 23 G 26 44°F 1024.2 hPa (-3.2)

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME18 mi40 minSSW 10 G 1510.00 miMostly Cloudy40°F36°F86%1025 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmN3NW3N3CalmCalmCalmN3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW6SW8SW9SW8SW9S9S10S11S10S11SW10
G15
1 day agoNW7N6NW6N6N4NW3CalmCalmN3NW4CalmCalmCalmN5NW4NW44NW3CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoN8N9N6N6N8N13N10N9
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Tide / Current Tables for Naskeag Harbor, Penobscot Bay, Maine
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Naskeag Harbor
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:25 AM EST     9.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:23 AM EST     1.97 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:47 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:31 PM EST     9.57 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:55 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:54 PM EST     1.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:55 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.46.68.29.198.16.54.52.922.13.14.76.78.59.49.58.674.92.91.51.11.7

Tide / Current Tables for Sedgwick, Penobscot Bay, Maine
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Sedgwick
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:30 AM EST     9.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:31 AM EST     1.97 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:47 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:36 PM EST     9.57 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:55 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 10:02 PM EST     1.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:55 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.26.38.199.18.26.74.732.12.12.94.56.58.39.49.58.77.25.13.11.61.11.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.