Friday, February15, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Blue Hill, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 5:04PM Friday February 15, 2019 2:26 PM EST (19:26 UTC) Moonrise 1:33PMMoonset 4:05AM Illumination 85% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 1251 Pm Est Fri Feb 15 2019
.gale warning in effect through late tonight...
This afternoon..S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 4 to 7 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..S winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, becoming W 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the evening.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon.
Sat night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ005 1251 Pm Est Fri Feb 15 2019
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. A warm front will lift across the region this afternoon. A cold front will cross the waters tonight. High pres will build across the region through the weekend. Low pres should track S of the waters Mon.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Blue Hill, ME
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location: 44.24, -68.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 151808
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
108 pm est Fri feb 15 2019

Synopsis
A warm front will lift across the region this afternoon through
early tonight, with a cold front crossing later tonight. High
pressure will then build across the region through the weekend.

Near term through tonight
Update...

have not made any changes to the winter weather advisories or
wind advisories. Low pressure tracking northwest of maine will
draw a warm front north across the region this afternoon, with
a cold occluded front approaching late. Snow is developing
across much of the region with a snow rain mix downeast.

Snow will persist across northern areas through the afternoon.

Warmer air moving north will allow the snow to transition to
rain downeast during the afternoon, with a snow rain mix
developing across central portions of the forecast area. Storm
total snow accumulations in the advisory area through early
Saturday morning are generally expected to range from 3 to 5
inches, with local totals up to around 6 inches. South to
southeast winds will increase along the downeast coast this
afternoon, with gusts of 45 to 50 mph possible late. Gusty winds
will also cause areas of blowing snow across mostly northern
and central areas this afternoon. High temperatures today will
range from around 30 to the lower 30s north, to the upper 30s to
around 40 interior downeast with lower 40s along the downeast
coast. Have updated the forecast to adjust for current
conditions along with afternoon temperatures and precipitation
types.

Previous discussion...

the snow may change to rain as far north as central aroostook
county this evening with all snow continuing over the far north
through early evening. Snow may mix with some rain over the far
north before ending late this evening just ahead of a cold front
pushing into the region. A winter weather advisory remains up
for the far north and northwest where 4 to 6 inches of snow is
expected this afternoon into early this evening. The cold front
will cross the area around midnight as drier air surges in from
the west ending precipitation and bringing some clearing.

Short term Saturday through Sunday
A second cold front is expected to move across the region on
Saturday. The medium range guidance including the gfs, NAM and
gem show some weak mid level forcing allowing for some snow
showers. The 00z ECMWF also showed this setup W the activity
situated across the northern 1 2 of the cwa. There does look to
be moisture available through 800mbs along W some shear both at
0-3km and 0-6km as far south as the greenville region.

Therefore, decided to expand the snow shower coverage to include
the maine central highlands. The NW flow off the open st.

Lawrence could allow for snow shower streamer action to continue
into late before the flow weakens. A dusting of snow at best
w this activity. Temps will be above normal for Saturday, but
readings will be falling back by evening as the colder air
starts to work into the region. Partial clearing later at night
will allow temps to drop into the single numbers across much of
the CWA W the exception of the bangor region and downeast as
temps by Sunday morning are forecast to be in the lower teens.

Another upper disturbance is expected to swing across the region
as noted by the medium range guidance despite sfc canadian high
pres pressing to the east. Clouds for time to time will keep
temps down W below normal readings. Not much forcing to allow
for any organized snow shower activity. Might see few flurries
and that looks to be it.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
The broad upper trof will remain in place into early next week
w a wnw flow. The flow looks like it become confluent across the
new england region limiting any snow potential. This setup will
keep storm systems to the south as will be the case W a system
that will pass off the DELMARVA on Monday and remain well south
of the region. That canadian high looks like it presses into the
region later Tuesday right into Thursday. Colder temps are in
store through mid week W readings well below normal for
february. It looks like many sites across the northern and
western areas will see temps during the early morning hrs below
0f from Monday into Thursday.

Aviation 18z Friday through Wednesday
Near term: conditions will lower to ifr lifr levels this
afternoon with snow north and snow transitioning to rain
downeast. Similar conditions will persist early tonight.

Low level wind shear is also a concern this afternoon into the
evening, particularly downeast. Conditions will improve to MVFR
levels across northern areas later tonight, withVFR conditions
developing downeast.

Short term:VFR for kbgr and kbhb through Monday. Low pres
passing well S of the region could try to bring some MVFR cigs
to kbhb on Monday, but ATTM confidence is low on this potential.

The northern terminals will have to deal W some MVFR CIGS vsbys
on Saturday W some snow showers. Conditions look like they
improve toVFR Saturday night and hold right into Monday.

Marine
Near term: a gale warning remains in effect through late
tonight. Visibilities will be reduced in rain this afternoon
into tonight.

Short term: SCA conditions expected on Saturday for hazardous
seas W heights starting out 8-9 ft. The seas will start to drop
back later Saturday W the continue offshore flow. The GFS nam
and ECMWF show the gradient tightening up Saturday afternoon
into Saturday night W CAA hitting the waters on a NW wind.

Therefore, decided to increase the winds to 20-25 kts. Conditions
are expected to improve on Sunday and continue right into
Tuesday W winds averaging 10+ kts and seas down to 3-4 ft.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... Winter weather advisory until 4 am est Saturday for mez001>005-
010.

Wind advisory until 1 am est Saturday for mez029-030.

Marine... Gale warning until 1 am est Saturday for anz050>052.

Near term... Norcross bloomer
short term... Hewitt
long term... Hewitt
aviation... Norcross hewitt
marine... Norcross hewitt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 22 mi44 min 36°F 32°F1014.1 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 26 mi82 min SSE 18 G 21 37°F 35°F8 ft1011.7 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 26 mi82 min SE 29 G 35 37°F 38°F9 ft1012.2 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 30 mi26 min SE 40 G 44 38°F 1012.4 hPa (-3.2)
MISM1 - Matinicus Rock, ME 35 mi26 min SE 37 G 42 38°F 1008.6 hPa (-5.0)

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME18 mi30 minSE 11 G 151.50 miLight Snow Fog/Mist34°F30°F89%1014.1 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW9W7
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W4W5W4CalmSW3CalmW3CalmCalmCalmN3CalmN3CalmCalmN43SE11
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1 day agoN12
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NW6NW4W3W3CalmS4CalmCalmCalmSW5SW3W4W3W4W5W5W9
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2 days agoSE4E3NE4E6E6NE6E6E5E4NE3E13
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Tide / Current Tables for Naskeag Harbor, Penobscot Bay, Maine
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Naskeag Harbor
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:04 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 06:12 AM EST     10.61 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:34 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:33 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 12:46 PM EST     0.25 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:03 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:59 PM EST     9.33 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.83.35.57.99.810.610.396.94.420.60.31.12.85.17.38.89.38.87.45.33

Tide / Current Tables for Sedgwick, Penobscot Bay, Maine
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Sedgwick
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:02 AM EST     1.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:05 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 06:17 AM EST     10.61 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:34 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:33 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 12:54 PM EST     0.25 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:03 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:04 PM EST     9.33 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.63.15.37.79.610.610.39.27.14.62.30.70.30.92.54.87.18.79.38.97.65.53.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.