Tuesday, November21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bar Harbor, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 4:02PM Tuesday November 21, 2017 2:37 PM EST (19:37 UTC) Moonrise 10:08AMMoonset 7:39PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 1104 Am Est Tue Nov 21 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
This afternoon..SW winds 15 to 20 kt...increasing to 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 20 to 25 kt...diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. Rain likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt...diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt...diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon and evening...then becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sat..SW winds 15 to 20 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the evening...then becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft...subsiding to 2 to 3 ft after midnight. A chance of rain.
ANZ005 1104 Am Est Tue Nov 21 2017
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. A warm front will lift across the waters this morning. A cold front will cross the area Wed. High pres will build over the waters Thu.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bar Harbor, ME
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location: 44.39, -68.19     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 211606
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1106 am est Tue nov 21 2017

Synopsis
A warm front will lift north across the region this morning. A
cold front will cross the area Wednesday and will be followed by
high pressure on Thursday. A series of cold fronts will cross
the area Friday through the weekend.

Near term through tonight
11 am update... The warm frontal stratus is quickly lifting north
through northern maine. Skies are clearing behind the front
except for some high cloudiness drifting into the central
highlands. Made some modifications to cloud cover to reflect
this and lowered temps through midday across the north where
cloud cover has limited heating.

Previous discussion...

a surface ridge axis across maine early this morning will shift east
today with low pressure in ontario to pass south of james bay early
this afternoon and into far northern quebec tonight. A warm front
will lift north across the region this morning ushering a much
milder air mass into the area. The 850h temperature on the 00z kcar
sounding was -17.9c, and the models have the 850h surging to around
0c at kcar this afternoon. There will be a deck of mid level clouds
that will accompany the warm front, but they should clear out of the
downeast region by late morning, and across northern maine by early
this afternoon. Highs this afternoon will be 10 to 15 degrees (f)
warmer than Monday, and should range from the mid 30s in the
saint john valley and from 45 to 50 downeast.

Tonight a cold front will advance toward the region, and is expected
to be in the saint lawrence river valley of quebec by 12z Wednesday.

At the same time an area of low pressure is expected to lift
north off the north carolina coast by 12z wed. The precipitation
with the southern branch low will hold off until after 12z, and
most of the precipitation with the incoming front should hold
off too, but a rain or snow shower could work into far northwest
maine toward morning. The pops with the southern branch low were
slowed by a few hours with this forecast package. Temperatures
will likely drop off some during the evening, and slowly rise
overnight.

Short term Wednesday through Thursday
Next system for Wednesday brings a shot of precipitation for
eastern maine. System doesn't look terribly well organized.

Heaviest precip comes as rain over downeast maine, while
northern maine is more moisture-starved with most of the precip
coming with the cold front and generally being less than a
quarter inch. For precip type, southern areas will see only
rain, while over the north it could start as a mix, go over to
rain midday through early afternoon wed, then back to a mix late
Wednesday before ending. Some spots could pick up an inch or
two of snow, mainly over higher terrain, but doesn't look like a
big deal.

Colder, drier air moves back in Wednesday night into Thursday,
with Thursday's daytime temps staying below freezing over
northern maine and being around 40 toward the coast.

Long term Thursday night through Monday
Weak upper level trough Thursday night into Friday could bring a
touch of snow over the north. Any surface cold frontal feature
should fizzle as it moves into maine, so don't expect much
temperature change, with Friday being another cooler than
average day like Thursday. A bit warmer Saturday ahead of a
fairly potent upper level trough approaching from the great
lakes. The trough moves over new england Sunday into Monday with
temperatures returning to below average. There will be a chance
of precipitation Sunday into Monday, although it appears that
any strong systems will remain to our east. Will have to keep an
eye out for Sunday though, as the upper trough will still be
just off to our west and if it approaches a bit slower than
models currently have, a strong low which many models currently
track north through the canadian maritimes could impact our area
instead. Although november has been cooler than average, it has
been snow-starved. This is bound to change eventually.

Aviation 16z Tuesday through Saturday
Near term:VFR expected today and tonight. Llws possible tonight
with a southwest wind of 35 to 40 knots at 2k ft agl.

Short term: MVFR and possible ifr during the day Wednesday with
areas of precipitation and low clouds. BecomingVFR most areas
Wednesday night except perhaps MVFR ceilings persisting over the
north. GenerallyVFR Thursday into Friday.

Marine
Near term: a brief lull in the wind expected this morning, but it
picks up again this afternoon in southwest flow ahead of an
approaching cold front. Will extend the small craft advisory
for the coastal waters through tonight, and will start a small
craft advisory for the intra-coastal waters this afternoon.

Short term: conditions just below small craft on Wednesday,
likely picking back up to small craft levels Wednesday night
behind a cold front. Winds generally below small craft levels
Thursday into Friday, although seas will be hovering around 5
feet (small craft levels) away from the immediate coast.

Climate
So far only 0.8" of snow has been observed at caribou this
november. November 1960 holds the honors for the least snowy
november at caribou with 1.5" of snow. Temperatures so far this
month are averaging 1.5f below average at caribou, and 1.3f
below average at bangor.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 am est Wednesday for anz052.

Small craft advisory until 4 am est Wednesday for anz050-051.

Near term... CB mcb
short term... Foisy
long term... Foisy
aviation... CB foisy
marine... CB foisy
climate... Cb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 1 mi50 min WSW 6 G 13 51°F 48°F1015.5 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 20 mi94 min SSW 19 G 23 50°F 51°F6 ft1015.3 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 29 mi38 min SSW 29 G 32 51°F 1015.8 hPa (-1.7)38°F
44027 47 mi48 min 51°F6 ft1015.8 hPa (-2.7)
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 49 mi94 min SW 19 G 25 50°F 50°F4 ft1014.7 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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G24
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G17
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME11 mi42 minSSW 15 G 2210.00 miFair49°F37°F66%1015.5 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW13
G21
W15
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W8W7
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--NW9
G15
--------------------------SE4--3S16
G23
S15
G24
1 day ago----W10
G16
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W8
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--6W86W5W4W7
G15
W5W5W6W5W7W8
G16
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G22
W12
G19
W14
G21
W11
G18
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Bar Harbor, Frenchman Bay, Maine
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Bar Harbor
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:12 AM EST     10.34 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:11 AM EST     1.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:36 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:07 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:17 PM EST     11.13 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:00 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:38 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:41 PM EST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
10.39.98.46.13.721.21.53.15.68.110.111.110.89.36.94.11.90.50.31.33.45.98.2

Tide / Current Tables for Salsbury Cove, Maine
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Salsbury Cove
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:18 AM EST     10.21 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:12 AM EST     1.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:37 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:07 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:18 PM EST     11.17 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:00 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:39 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:45 PM EST     0.26 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
10.29.98.66.442.11.31.73.15.58.110.211.110.99.67.34.52.10.60.31.23.15.67.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.