Sunday, May20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Winter Harbor, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 4:58AMSunset 8:04PM Sunday May 20, 2018 9:02 PM EDT (01:02 UTC) Moonrise 10:11AMMoonset 12:20AM Illumination 36% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 348 Pm Edt Sun May 20 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until 2 am edt Monday...
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late this evening and early morning, then diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon, then increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw around 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
ANZ005 348 Pm Edt Sun May 20 2018
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pres will build in from the W overnight into Mon. Low pres will approach from the W Tue and then move E on Wed.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Winter Harbor, ME
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location: 44.4, -67.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 202300
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
700 pm edt Sun may 20 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will build in from the west overnight through
Monday. A warm front will cross the region Tuesday followed by
a cold front for late Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.

Canadian high pressure will then build toward the region
Wednesday afternoon and night.

Near term through Monday
7 pm update...

satl imagery showed clouds pushing across the central highland
and downeast. The thickest cloud cover was across the downeast
region as bgr and bhb had reported bkn250 and bkn038
respectively. Skies will continue to clear overnight as drier
works its way into the region. Winds ATTM still up 10-15 mph
sustained W gusts to 25 mph. The winds however, were dropping
off over the last couple of hrs. Thinking is that winds will
continue to drop off into the evening as high pres starts to
work eastward. Temps were up a few degrees from the previous
forecast. Decided to adjust the readings up a few degrees using
the last 3 hr trend and the lav guidance blended in. Still
expecting some upper 30s back across the W and NW areas by early
Monday morning. No other chgs needed.

Previous discussion...

decreasing clouds can be expected this evening in the wake of a
cold front crossing the region late this afternoon. As winds
decouple later this evening, temperatures across the north will
fall back into the mid to upper 30s by daybreak. Overall, frost
potential looks limited, with perhaps only some patchy frost in
the coldest sheltered valley locations. Monday is shaping up as
a dry day with the biggest concern being the gusty northwest
winds and fire weather potential. The greatest mixing potential
looks to be across the north where we could see gusts up to 35
mph at times. Will address in fire weather section below. Highs
on Monday will range from the mid to upper 60s north and mid 60s
to lower 70s downeast.

Short term Monday night through Wednesday night
Fast zonal wnw aloft flow regime will continue...

mon ngt will begin fair with dissipating winds in the eve. This
will allow some radiational cooling spcly across the NE where
they may be patchy vly late ngt frost. Clds will then increase
late Mon ngt with the apch of a warm front from the w... Meaning
that temps may begin rising prior to day light across out fa.

Skies will then be ptly to msly cldy on Tue with sct aftn eve
shwrs due to deep layer warm advcn and the passage of an upper
lvl S wv. On wed, a cold front from NRN can will bring a renewed
sct aftn erly eve shwr potential. With little if any in the way
of MUCAPE both days, the potential for thunder is considered to
be to low to add to the fcst attm. Both hi temps Tue and ovrngt
lows Tue ngt will be milder than mon.

Clrg skies are then xpctd from NW to SE ovrngt Wed with
diminishing winds and cooler ovrngt lows.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
Thu will begin fair, but another fast movg S WV in a cont'd nw
flow regime will bring increasing cldnss Thu aftn with a chc of
shwrs late in the day thru Thu ngt and perhaps even into fri.

After fair conditions Fri ngt thru sat, clds will increase sat
ngt ahead of a potentially regime chgng S WV complex from the
midwest that could bring the next chc of shwrs to the rgn on
sun. Overall, temps will be near normal for the long rang pd.

Aviation 00z Monday through Friday
Near term:VFR conditions expected through Monday. The main
weather concern will be the potential for northwest wind gusts
to 35 kts at kfve kcar kpqi.

Short to long term:VFR all TAF sites xcpt perhaps brief MVFR
clgs vsbys with any heavier rn shwr both Tue and Wed aftn erly
eve.

Marine
Near term: a small craft advisory remains in effect until 2 am
edt Monday, otherwise winds seas will remain below SCA levels.

Short to long term: no wind sea hdlns anticipated for these
ptns of the marine fcst attm. Went with about 80 to 90 percent
of ww3 WV guidance for fcst WV hts. Fcst primary WV pds will be
swell type arnd 10 sec with a secondary short wind fetch pd of
arnd 5 to 7 sec.

Fire weather
Rhs are forecast to drop 30-35% by the early afternoon with
sustained winds of 10 to 20 mph W the strongest winds across the
far n. There should be plenty of sunshine to help dry things out
more. Collaborated W the mfs and gyx and the decision was to go
w a fire weather watch for Monday.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... Fire weather watch from Monday afternoon through Monday
evening for mez001>006-010-011-015>017-029>032.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 2 am edt Monday for anz050-051.

Near term... Duda hewitt
short term... Vjn
long term... Vjn
aviation... Duda hewitt vjn
marine... Duda hewitt vjn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 12 mi45 min NW 5.1 G 5.1 61°F 50°F1011.7 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 22 mi119 min SSW 3.9 G 5.8 46°F 45°F5 ft1009.7 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 31 mi63 min W 12 G 12 51°F 1011.8 hPa (+1.5)
44027 36 mi73 min SW 5.8 G 7.8 47°F 45°F5 ft1011.2 hPa (+1.5)47°F
CFWM1 - Cutler Farris Wharf, ME (8411060) 44 mi45 min N 1 G 2.9 60°F 44°F1010 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME22 mi67 minN 010.00 miFair63°F50°F63%1012.1 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE44S10S7S10SW11S12SW11SW9SW9SW11SW10SW7SW9SW6SW6SW4SW3S66NW7NW5NW6Calm
1 day agoSW7SW4SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmN3--CalmCalmCalmCalmE6S11S9S11S9S6SE9SE10SE9S7E4
2 days agoCalmN4N8N8N8N10
G18
N12N11N6N7N10N11N16
G20
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3S13SW9SW7SW6

Tide / Current Tables for Corea Harbor, Maine
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Corea Harbor
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:52 AM EDT     12.51 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:25 AM EDT     -1.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:11 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:41 PM EDT     11.10 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:44 PM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
6.99.911.912.511.69.56.53.10.5-0.9-0.80.83.46.59.210.81110.17.95.22.50.90.61.6

Tide / Current Tables for Pigeon Hill Bay, Maine
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Pigeon Hill Bay
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:56 AM EDT     13.27 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:27 AM EDT     -1.09 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:45 PM EDT     11.78 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:46 PM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
7.210.412.613.312.510.373.50.6-0.9-0.90.73.56.89.611.411.710.88.65.62.810.61.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.