Tuesday, November21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
South Burlington, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 4:21PM Tuesday November 21, 2017 2:37 PM EST (19:37 UTC) Moonrise 10:29AMMoonset 7:59PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Burlington, VT
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location: 44.43, -73.25     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 211833
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
133 pm est Tue nov 21 2017

Synopsis
Milder but breezy weather is expected for this afternoon with
highs in ranging from the mid 40s to mid 50s. A cold front will
move through the region late tonight and Wednesday, bringing
scattered rain and snow showers. Thanksgiving day is expected to
be dry with temperatures in the 30s.

Near term through Wednesday night
As of 134 pm est Tuesday... Forecast on track this afternoon for
sunny and windy with highs from the mid 40s to the mid 50s. 88d
vwps show ssw winds up to 40kt right now at kcxx ktyx so
forecast of wind gusts 20-40 mph until sunset.

A cold front will approach the region from the west overnight
reaching the st lawrence valley around 09z, then moving east
into the champlain valley just after 12z, and ct valley by 16z.

A band of precipitation will accompany the front and boundary
layer temperatures should be warm enough to support mainly just
rain showers as 925mb temps don't drop below 0c until the front
passes. It should be cold enough in the higher elevations to
support a change to snow showers as the front moves by. Not
expecting much in the way of rain or snow accumulation with
perhaps a tenth or two of QPF mainly rain, but mainly snow at
the mountain summits for 1-3" above 3000 ft and an inch or less
down to the bases of the mountains as temperatures drop.

Tomorrow morning any lingering orographically driven rain snow
showers in the valleys and snow showers in the higher terrain
will gradually wind down during the afternoon. Expecting
temperatures to hold fairly steady from around 30 in the
adirondacks to 40 in the valleys before falling again toward
dark.

Should be quiet Wednesday night as a weak ridge of high pressure
builds in from the west and height rise aloft. Still could be
some pesky clouds hanging on in the mountains with low temps
ranging from the mid teens to mid 20s depending upon cloud
cover.

Short term Thursday
As of 222 am est Tuesday... Overall the short term period
continues to look quiet with high pressure cresting over the
region on thanksgiving day. Variable cloudiness is expected
though with an upper trough exiting the region Wednesday night,
and mid high clouds increasing thanksgiving day in advance of
the next system, but we should see some peaks of sun. Temps will
be seasonably cool with lows in the teens 20s and highs ranging
through the 30s.

Long term Thursday night through Monday
As of 222 am est Tuesday... While the long term period continues
to look active, there are no really no big systems on the
horizon to speak of. The tail end of a decaying cold front will
bring some scattered snow showers to the region Thursday night
into Friday morning, followed by brief high pressure for the
remainder of Friday into early Friday night. The weekend
continues to look unsettled, but the latest trends are for one
area of low pressure to track well north of the region, and
another well offshore on Saturday, both delivering limited
impacts to the northeast. The best chance for precipitation
actually now appears to be post-frontal passage Saturday
afternoon night and through the weekend where upslope flow will
enhance snow shower activity across the higher elevations. It
will be noticeably warmer for Friday and Saturday though with
deep southwesterly flow developing aloft. Highs should bump into
the 30s 40s before falling back into the 20s 30s for
Sunday Monday as the upper trough settles overhead.

Aviation 18z Tuesday through Sunday
Through 18z Wednesday...VFR but with south to southwest winds
gusting 25-35 kt until just before sunset. Clouds and rain showers
will begin to move into the area from the west tonight ahead of
a cold front reaching near btv near 12z with ceilings lowering
to MVFR. Winds will be shifting to wnw around 10 kt behind the
front and falling temperatures will bring a change to snow
showers and ifr vsby mainly at slk tonight and mpv tomorrow
morning. Not expecting much of accumulation but could be a
coating at slk.

Wednesday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Thanksgiving day:VFR. No sig wx.

Thursday night: MVFR. Chance shsn.

Friday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance shsn.

Friday night:VFR. Slight chance shsn.

Saturday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance shra,
chance shsn.

Saturday night: MVFR ifr conditions possible. Chance shsn, chance
shra.

Sunday: mainly MVFR, with local ifr possible. Chance shsn.

Marine
As of 134 pm est Tuesday... Lake wind advisory in effect for
winds 20-30 kts out of the south with gusts approaching 40 kts.

Winds currently 32 kt at colchester reef and 23 kt at diamond
island. This will create significant wave heights 3 to 6 ft.

These conditions may prove hazardous to those operating small
craft, especially on the broad lake and in vermont bays inlets
with southerly exposures. Gusty south winds will abate
overnight.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Sisson
near term... Sisson
short term... Lahiff
long term... Lahiff
aviation... Sisson
marine...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Burlington, Burlington International Airport, VT6 mi43 minS 17 G 2710.00 miMostly Cloudy53°F21°F30%1008.6 hPa
Plattsburgh International Airport , NY19 mi44 minSSE 11 G 1810.00 miFair52°F26°F37%1007.3 hPa

Wind History from BTV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE3CalmNE3SE3CalmE5E4E6E3CalmCalmSE3CalmS9S7S10S12
G20
S13
G19
S16
G23
S12
G27
S24
G38
S19
G34
S19
G26
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G33
1 day agoNW16
G22
NW16
G24
NW12
G26
W11
G18
NW7NW13
G20
NW12W11
G19
NW18
G23
NW15
G20
NW10W10
G17
W9NW13NW8NW13
G19
NW14
G23
W13
G23
W11
G23
W12
G16
NW854E4
2 days ago--S10S11S8S7S8E5E5E5CalmE3SE6SE6S8S7S12E3S6S6SW7W16
G25
NW20
G31
NW16
G29
W14
G22

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.