Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for South Burlington, VT
March 29, 2024 6:48 AM EDT (10:48 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:36 AM Sunset 7:18 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 8:17 AM |
Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 290803 AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 403 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
Surface high pressure building into the region will supply the forecast area with dry weather through Saturday but winds will be increasingly blustery. Some light snow showers are possible Saturday night, mainly across northern New York, but dry conditions return for Sunday into early next week. Our next impactful system arrives late Tuesday through Thursday bringing widespread rain and snow to the region.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 402 AM EDT Friday...Increasing sunshine and no precipitation are expected for today through Saturday as surface high pressure builds into the region. Mid and high clouds move out this morning, and are followed by scattered to numerous fair weather clouds this afternoon through tonight as northwest flow increases across the region. The latest forecast soundings indicate deep mixing develops this afternoon as low level lapse rates steepen and this continues through Saturday as a modest 40-50kt 925-850mb jet develops over the region. This will translate to surface wind gusts in excess of 30 mph across much of the region this afternoon, with areas east of the Green Mountains potentially gusting upwards of 40 mph tonight before winds slowly taper off on Saturday.
With sunshine and deep mixing expected this afternoon, mean 925mb temps around 0C support highs widespread in the 40s to around 50 degrees in the broader valleys. Gradient wind won't allow temps to fall off too much tonight either despite cold air aloft, and lows are expected to be in the mid 20s to low 30s. Similar highs are expected on Saturday in the 40s to around 50 with little overall airmass change and continued sunny skies until late in the day with mid/high clouds approach from the southwest.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 402 AM EDT Friday...Some light snow showers are expected Saturday night, especially in the Northern New York area, as upper level shortwave trough pushes across the region. Minimum temperatures will be in the 20s, so precipitation type should be snow showers areawide. A half an inch or so of accumulation is possible. Sunday will be quieter with surface and upper level ridging building over the area. Maximum temperatures will range through the 40s, which is very close to seasonal normals for the end of March in the north country.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 402 AM EDT Friday...Sunday night through Monday night will be dry across the north country. Our weather turns more active for Tuesday right through the end of the week. Complex low pressure system centered over the Ohio river valley on Tuesday morning will slowly track eastward on Wednesday, eventually lifting across southern New England on Thursday. Looks like we'll have some warm air advection precipitation lifting north into our area Tuesday into Tuesday night. Precipitation will be more widespread on Wednesday, then become showery Wednesday night onward with the system moving off to the east and our flow becoming more northwesterly behind the departing system with wrap around moisture over the area. Still quite a bit of uncertainty with the track of the low, which will have an impact on everything. As we get closer to next week, details will become more clear, especially in regards to timing, amount and type of precipitation.
AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Through 06Z Saturday...VFR flight conditions will persist through the period with mid/high clouds exiting the region late tonight through midday before fair weather cumulus develop this afternoon and continue into Friday night. Winds will be the bigger aviation impact starting light and variable this morning, but increase rapidly through late morning and continue Friday night with surface gusts of 25-35 knots expected from the northwest.
Outlook...
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Definite RA.
BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...None.
NY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 403 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
Surface high pressure building into the region will supply the forecast area with dry weather through Saturday but winds will be increasingly blustery. Some light snow showers are possible Saturday night, mainly across northern New York, but dry conditions return for Sunday into early next week. Our next impactful system arrives late Tuesday through Thursday bringing widespread rain and snow to the region.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 402 AM EDT Friday...Increasing sunshine and no precipitation are expected for today through Saturday as surface high pressure builds into the region. Mid and high clouds move out this morning, and are followed by scattered to numerous fair weather clouds this afternoon through tonight as northwest flow increases across the region. The latest forecast soundings indicate deep mixing develops this afternoon as low level lapse rates steepen and this continues through Saturday as a modest 40-50kt 925-850mb jet develops over the region. This will translate to surface wind gusts in excess of 30 mph across much of the region this afternoon, with areas east of the Green Mountains potentially gusting upwards of 40 mph tonight before winds slowly taper off on Saturday.
With sunshine and deep mixing expected this afternoon, mean 925mb temps around 0C support highs widespread in the 40s to around 50 degrees in the broader valleys. Gradient wind won't allow temps to fall off too much tonight either despite cold air aloft, and lows are expected to be in the mid 20s to low 30s. Similar highs are expected on Saturday in the 40s to around 50 with little overall airmass change and continued sunny skies until late in the day with mid/high clouds approach from the southwest.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 402 AM EDT Friday...Some light snow showers are expected Saturday night, especially in the Northern New York area, as upper level shortwave trough pushes across the region. Minimum temperatures will be in the 20s, so precipitation type should be snow showers areawide. A half an inch or so of accumulation is possible. Sunday will be quieter with surface and upper level ridging building over the area. Maximum temperatures will range through the 40s, which is very close to seasonal normals for the end of March in the north country.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 402 AM EDT Friday...Sunday night through Monday night will be dry across the north country. Our weather turns more active for Tuesday right through the end of the week. Complex low pressure system centered over the Ohio river valley on Tuesday morning will slowly track eastward on Wednesday, eventually lifting across southern New England on Thursday. Looks like we'll have some warm air advection precipitation lifting north into our area Tuesday into Tuesday night. Precipitation will be more widespread on Wednesday, then become showery Wednesday night onward with the system moving off to the east and our flow becoming more northwesterly behind the departing system with wrap around moisture over the area. Still quite a bit of uncertainty with the track of the low, which will have an impact on everything. As we get closer to next week, details will become more clear, especially in regards to timing, amount and type of precipitation.
AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Through 06Z Saturday...VFR flight conditions will persist through the period with mid/high clouds exiting the region late tonight through midday before fair weather cumulus develop this afternoon and continue into Friday night. Winds will be the bigger aviation impact starting light and variable this morning, but increase rapidly through late morning and continue Friday night with surface gusts of 25-35 knots expected from the northwest.
Outlook...
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Definite RA.
BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...None.
NY...None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KBTV BURLINGTON INTL,VT | 6 sm | 54 min | NE 03 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 36°F | 27°F | 69% | 29.79 | |
KPBG PLATTSBURGH INTL,NY | 19 sm | 55 min | N 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 32°F | 23°F | 69% | 29.78 |
Burlington, VT,
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