Marine Weather and Tides
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.
|Sunrise 6:51AM||Sunset 4:24PM||Saturday November 17, 2018 6:11 PM EST (23:11 UTC)||Moonrise 3:03PM||Moonset 1:26AM||Illumination 74%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jericho, VTHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
|Fxus61 kbtv 172000|
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
300 pm est Sat nov 17 2018
A cold front will cross the region this evening with a few rain
and snow showers and temperatures remaining on the cool side of
normal through Monday. Another cold front is forecast to cross
the area later Tuesday, with an even stronger, arctic front
crossing during Wednesday. Scattered to numerous snow showers
are expected along these fronts as temperatures trend quite cold
by the thanksgiving holiday.
Near term through Sunday night
As of 250 pm est Saturday... A cold front remains on track to
slip through the forecast area this evening as winds trend light
west to northwesterly. Hi-res cam output shows decent low level
omega and moisture convergence along the boundary through early
evening, during which a brief period of scattered to numerous
rain snow shower activity is expected - the p-type governed
heavily by near-surface temperature profiles. Some minor
accumulations of less than 1 inch will be possible in most
favored locales across central and northern counties. Low
temperatures to range through the teens to locally around 20 in
the champlain and lower ct river valleys where skies should
trend partly cloudy over time later tonight.
Variable clouds then continue across the area on Sunday into Sunday
night as a weak shortwave trough skirts to our south across the
southern tier of ny state into southern new england. As such, the
highest coverage of clouds and chance snow shower pops will be
offered across southern counties accordingly where some minor
additional accumulations will be offered mainly along and south of
route 4. Temperatures trend 5-10 degrees colder behind this
evening's front - mainly 25 to 32 for maxes on Sunday and 15 to 25
Sunday night. Winds mainly light.
Short term Monday through Monday night
As of 300 pm est Saturday... A broad upper trough will be
positioned along the central-eastern us with southwesterly flow
over our region. A ribbon of vorticity will slowly meander
towards our south taking the better moisture with it. Some
lingering showers will be possible Monday morning, then
gradually diminishing as vorticity and moisture pushes south.
Despite that, mostly cloudy to overcast skies will continue to
prevail due to blocked flow. Overall, the airmass will moderate
compared to Sunday with highs in the 30s. Overnight Monday,
chances for snow showers begins to increase ahead of a weak
shortwave moving along a weak secondary cold front. Lows will be
in the upper teens to mid 20s.
Long term Tuesday through Friday
As of 300 pm est Saturday... A few chances for light snow with
the potential for snow squalls being monitored for Tuesday and
Wednesday with the better chance being on Wednesday.
Temperatures will remain below average. Thanksgiving day is
expected to be quite cold with much of the area struggling to
get above 20, but is expected to be drier. Beyond thanksgiving
day, a pattern chance is visible on the horizon. More details
A weak shortwave trough will push across the region on Tuesday. A
weakening surface low and associated cold front will push across
early Tuesday morning into the afternoon. Snow squall parameters are
non-zero and there is some marginal low-level convergence and
instability associated with the front. The better vorticity dynamics|
and synoptic forcing for ascent will lie to our south and east
though. More likely, light snow showers will take place with the
greatest chances at higher elevations. Highs will be in the upper
20s to lower 30s with overnight lows ranging from near 10 to the
The stronger system approaches on Wednesday afternoon, which will
have a stronger vort MAX and better dynamics. Instability also looks
somewhat more favorable with modest low-level lapse rates indicated
in forecast soundings. We will watch the potential for snow squalls
as the system passes through the north country. The temperature
forecast will be tricky for Wednesday, and have leaned close to
model blends for highs. This system quickly shifts east with a
strong arctic air mass in its wake. 1000mb-500mb thicknesses fall
below 500dam with 925mb temps falling to -15c. This will translate
to temperatures on thanksgiving morning likely in the single digits
for all but the river valleys and near lake champlain. Additionally,
temperatures will struggle to reach above 20f with tight pressure
gradients suggesting brisk winds. Wind chill values could fall below
zero for portions of the north country, mainly around dawn. It will
not feel good outdoors... Pops will be minimal at least. Then a
pattern change will take place with high pressure setting up shop
and a moderated pacific air advecting throughout the continental us
once west coast high pressure breaks down. This will initiate a
steady warming trend for the weekend.
Aviation 20z Saturday through Thursday
Through 18z Sunday... A mix of bkn ovcVFR MVFR CIGS through 06z,
improving to mainlyVFR thereafter. Cold front to cross area in
the 18-02z time frame northwest to southeast. Along this
boundary a brief 1-3 hour window of scattered rain snow showers
expected at most terminals. Brief ifr visibilities possible with
this activity as it passes. Winds initially west southwesterly
from 6-10 kts, shifting west to northwesterly 5 to 10 kts behind
the boundary in the 21-00z time frame before abating to light
and variable after 06z. Some partial clearing possible at
selected terminals after 06z.
Sunday night: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
Monday: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance shsn.
Monday night: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance shsn.
Tuesday: mainly MVFR, with areasVFR possible. Chance shsn.
Tuesday night: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight
Wednesday:VFR. Chance shsn.
Wednesday night:VFR. Chance shsn.
Thanksgiving day:VFR. Slight chance shsn.
Btv watches warnings advisories
near term... Jmg
short term... Haynes
long term... Haynes
Weather Reporting StationsEDIT (on/off)  Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Airport ReportsEDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports
|Burlington, Burlington International Airport, VT||8 mi||17 min||N 9||3.00 mi||Light Rain Snow Fog/Mist||34°F||30°F||89%||1020.4 hPa|
|Morrisville-Stowe State Airport, VT||21 mi||17 min||N 7||2.00 mi||Light Snow Fog/Mist||32°F||30°F||96%||1020 hPa|
Wind History from BTV (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||SE||SE||E||SE||SE||SE||E||E||SE||Calm||N||N||Calm||Calm||SE||E||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||N||Calm||Calm||S|
|2 days ago||N||NE||N||E||NE||E||Calm||E||E||E||Calm||E||E||E||E||Calm||SW||S||SE||S||SE||SE||SE |
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (18,4,5,8)(on/off)  Help
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