Saturday, February23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Newport, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 5:53PM Saturday February 23, 2019 4:41 PM PST (00:41 UTC) Moonrise 11:13PMMoonset 9:37AM Illumination 79% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ255 Coastal Waters From Cascade Head To Florence Or Out 10 Nm- 229 Pm Pst Sat Feb 23 2019
.small craft advisory for hazardous seas in effect until 6 pm pst this evening...
Tonight..SW wind 5 to 10 kt, veering to nw after midnight. Gusts to 15 kt until early morning. Wind waves sw 2 ft at 4 seconds, shifting to the nw at 4 seconds after midnight. NW swell 9 ft at 12 seconds. Showers likely before dark, then rain.
Sun..NW wind to 5 kt, veering to E in the afternoon. Wind waves nw 2 ft at 4 seconds, shifting to the E 1 ft at 4 seconds in the afternoon. NW swell 8 ft at 11 seconds. Rain.
Sun night..NE wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves ne 1 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 6 ft at 10 seconds. Rain.
Mon..NE wind 10 kt with gusts to 15 kt. Wind waves ne 2 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 5 ft at 10 seconds. Showers.
Mon night..NE wind 5 kt. Wind waves ne 1 ft at 4 seconds. S swell 5 ft at 9 seconds. Chance of showers.
Tue..E wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft. SW swell 5 ft. Showers likely.
Tue night..E wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 ft. SW swell 4 ft. Showers.
Wed..S wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 3 ft. W swell 5 ft.
Thu..SW wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 ft. W swell 8 ft.
PZZ200 229 Pm Pst Sat Feb 23 2019
Synopsis for the southern washington and northern oregon coast.. Weak low pressure along the british columbia coast Saturday night will drift south to the washington and oregon waters by Sunday morning. A stronger low pressure system will approach the oregon coast Sunday night and Monday. Additional low pressure systems are expected next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Newport, OR
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location: 44.62, -124.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Portland, OR
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Fxus66 kpqr 232301
afdpqr
area forecast discussion
national weather service portland or
258 pm pst Sat feb 23 2019

Synopsis Cool air mass remains over the region tonight into most
of next week. A series of weather systems will push inland over
oregon, with continue precipitation at times. Snow levels remain low,
with highest chance of lowland accumulations being later Sun night
into mon. But, will be a lot of snow for the the cascades.

Short term Tonight through Monday... Rather impressive upper trough
now digging into the pac NW from the northwest today. Orientation at
moment such that has good westerly flow into oregon tonight into sun.

This flow such that will maintain showers over much of the region
this evening. An embedded weather disturbance in the flow will push
inland over oregon later tonight into Sunday. This will allow for
rain to increasing tonight, with snow at above about 1000 to 1500
feet. Will maintain snow advisories for areas inland above 1500 feet
tonight into Sun am, most of the hood river valley, and the columbia
river gorge down to river level.

Once that system passes on to the east Sunday morning, precipitation
will decrease over the northern zones. However, front boundary will
still be sitting over southwestern oregon into central oregon. This
will be problematic for Sunday night as the next system approaches.

Both GFS and NAM runs from this am seem to be in fair agreement that
the low will be pushing onshore over the south oregon coast Mon am.

With that in mind, seems bulk of the precipitation will be shunted
bit to the south from what was earlier thought, with much less
precipitation over southwest washington. In fact, if trend
continues, would not surprise if get any precipitation from astoria
north.

But, air mass is still quite cool, and still think will have snow
levels lowering to below 500 feet at times later Sun night into mon
am, especially inland as far south as salem. So, will see rain
initially, then transition to rain or snow after midnight and
continuing into Mon am. With track of the low, could see rain snow
line sink a bit farther south, perhaps down to eugene Mon am. But
for now, and with uncertainty in models, will keep that line near
albany.

Have eased back a touch on snow accumulations, as this will be
heavier wet snow, with rather high water content. Generally, 1 to 3
inches for interior lowlands later Sun night through Mon am, though
will see bit heavier amounts closer to the coast range, and on the
higher hills between kelso and salem. Will make no changes to
current winter weather watches and warnings, though may decrease
snow totals a tad. But, as always, this will reflect current
expectations, which could change as we draw closer in time.

Rather messy in the columbia gorge and hood river valley, where snow
will continue at times into tue. But, with a touch of warm air aloft
arriving, will see some freezing rain at times later Mon afternoon
through tue, mainly in the western columbia gorge. Have adjusted
forecast to show such, with ice accumulation of less than a quarter
of an inch. This will maintain hazardous travel conditions into tue.

Front will gradually shift on the east Mon night, with showers on
tap. Showers may decrease later Mon night, but will pick up again on
tue. But by that time, snow levels will be higher, running around
1000 feet in the north, to around 2000 feet over lane county.

Winning ticket will still be in the higher terrain, where several
feet of snow will occur across the cascades and foothills, with 2 to
4 feet of snow likely above 3000 feet. But, with tracking of the
lows bit more to the south, think that so will be the heavier
precipitation. That in mind, any flooding potential will be limited
to ponding of water, and quick rising smaller streams. But, main
rivers will stay well below flood stage. rockey.

Long term Monday night through Friday... No changes... Previous
discussion from Friday afternoon follows... The forecast for the
remainder of the upcoming week remains complicated due to
significant model differences so will continue to use a blend of
models rather than a single deterministic model. The general trend
is for the active weather pattern to continue through the week as
additional disturbances moves approach the region. Will continue to
see a potential for low elevation snow the the middle of the week,
but snow levels look to rise about 2000 feet for the second half of
the week. 64

Aviation Showery pattern continues this afternoon with a mix
of mainly MVFR andVFR conditions. Expect this mix to continue, with
trends more toward MVFR into the evening. A weak low pressure system
is expected to form along the stalled cold frontal boundary offshore
and move onshore along the central oregon coast tonight, resulting
in steadier rain and even more likely MVFR CIGS from around ksle
southward. Expect conditions will remain MVFR through the day
Sunday, with occasional drops to ifr.

Kpdx and approaches... MVFR cig with occasionalVFR through the
evening, but trending MVFR overnight and through the day Sunday with
rain becoming more stratiform. Winds turn out of the east Sunday
afternoon. Bowen

Marine Relatively light northwest winds remain across the
waters through the day today. Forecast models suggest that a weak
low will form along the stalled cold frontal boundary, and ride
along the boundary until it pushes onshore somewhere near florence
late Saturday night. Expect southerly winds to increase on the south
side of this low, reaching gusts of 25 to 35 kt. How far north these
winds impact will depend on the exact track of the low. Winds will
be out of the n-ne and much lighter on the north side of the low.

A stronger low is expected to form along the quasi-stationary
frontal boundary on Sunday into Monday. At this point it looks most
likely make landfall somewhere along the southern oregon coast,
keeping stronger winds south of the local waters. Areas to the south
of the low look to have a good chance to see gale force winds late
Sunday night into Monday morning, potentially some high end gales.

To the north of the low center, and the most likely scenario for the
local waters, winds will be offshore and will potentially gust to 25
kt. Active weather looks to continue next week, but forecast details
are highly uncertain at this time.

Seas have built to 10 to 11 ft this afternoon, but should lower to
below 10 ft early this evening. Whether or not seas come back up to
10 ft or higher in the next 48 hours will depend on the tracks of
the two aforementioned lows, but overall, the swell looks pretty
small, so it would take a significant wind wave to bring seas back
up that high after tonight. Bowen

Pqr watches warnings advisories
Or... Winter weather advisory from 8 pm tonight to 11 am Sunday
for... Central columbia river gorge
western columbia river gorge
upper hood river valley.

Winter storm warning until 10 am pst Monday
for... Cascades in lane county.

Winter storm warning from tonight through Sun afternoon
for... Northern oregon cascade foothills
northern oregon cascades.

Winter storm watch late Sun night through late Mon night
for... Central columbia river gorge
western columbia river gorge
upper hood river valley.

Winter storm watch Sun night through late Mon night
for... Northern oregon cascade foothills
northern oregon cascades.

Winter storm watch late Sun night through Mon afternoon
for... Central willamette valley
coast range of northwest oregon
greater portland metro area
north oregon coast
lower columbia.

Wa... Winter weather advisory from 8 pm tonight to 11 am Sunday
for... Central columbia river gorge
western columbia river gorge.

Winter storm watch late Sun night through late Mon night
for... Central columbia river gorge
western columbia river gorge.

Winter storm watch late Sun night through Mon afternoon
for... Greater vancouver area
i-5 corridor in cowlitz county.

Winter storm watch late Sun night through Mon evening
for... South washington cascade foothills
south washington cascades.

Pz... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 6 pm pst this
evening for coastal waters from CAPE shoalwater wa to
florence or out 60 nm.

Small craft advisory for rough columbia river bar from 5 pm
this afternoon to 11 pm pst this evening.

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NWPO3 - Newport, OR 1 mi41 min WNW 5.1 G 7 44°F 1019.3 hPa (-1.3)
SBEO3 - 9435380 - South Beach, OR 1 mi41 min NNW 4.1 G 5.1 44°F 50°F1019.4 hPa (-1.4)
46097 13 mi171 min WSW 7.8 46°F 50°F1019.2 hPa
46050 - STONEWALL BANKS - 20NM West of Newport, OR 24 mi31 min W 7.8 G 9.7 1019.6 hPa

Wind History for South Beach, Yaquina River, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newport, Newport Municipal Airport, OR3 mi66 minNNW 34.00 miLight Rain43°F41°F93%1020.3 hPa

Wind History from ONP (wind in knots)
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CalmNW6CalmN6CalmCalmCalmCalmNW7CalmW6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNE4NE5NW5NW7NW6NW9NW8N5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE5E5CalmCalmE5E4CalmE5SE3SE5Calm
2 days agoN3NW12
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NW5N3CalmNW5NW7N7N4N5NE4E3E4E7CalmCalmE6E5E8E8E7NE4E5E5

Tide / Current Tables for Southbeach, Yaquina Bay and River, Oregon
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Toledo, Yaquina Bay and River, Oregon
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Toledo
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:42 AM PST     8.74 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:03 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:36 AM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 10:07 AM PST     0.85 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:58 PM PST     7.58 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:55 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:11 PM PST     0.87 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:11 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.25.37.38.58.786.54.62.81.40.91.22.54.25.97.17.67.164.42.71.50.91.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Portland, OR (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.