Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Machias, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 4:50AMSunset 8:26PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 8:07 AM EDT (12:07 UTC) Moonrise 10:04AMMoonset 11:39PM Illumination 20% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 610 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Today..SW winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Areas of fog early this morning. A slight chance of showers this afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less early this morning.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt... Diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Showers likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt... Diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat..SE winds around 5 kt...becoming s. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun..S winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
ANZ005 610 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. A cold front will slowly approach the region today. Another disturbance is expected to move across the waters later today into tonight.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Machias, ME
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location: 44.62, -67.75     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 281010
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
610 am edt Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis
An upper level trough will remain to our west through mid week.

Weather disturbances moving out of the trough will cross the
region today. Another area of low pressure may approach late
Thursday.

Near term through tonight
Update 6:10 am: have adjusted the temperature, dew point, and
wind based on latest observations. No other changes.

An upper level trough will move across the region today. This
will result in more showers and thunderstorms. With freezing
levels low again today, some of the thunderstorms may contain
small hail. The upper level system is then expected to move to
the east of new england with showers coming to an end by late
tonight.

Short term Thursday through Friday
System currently in the NRN plains wl slowly advance east and set up
shop ovr the WRN great lakes by thur mrng. Wmfnt wl stretch acrs srn
new england in the aftn with wnw flow aloft continuing in vicinity
of cwa. The morning will start out dry but as wvs ripple thru aloft
showers shud quickly dvlp by 15z. Elevated instability wl be present
in the morning and aftn hrs acrs most of the area, thus hv included
slgt chc thunder into the aftn. Instability wl be on the wane fm
west to east by mid-aftn, thus hv rmvd thunder mention fm WRN areas
drg the day but expect as wmfnt mvs thru that elevated convection wl
return to the region aft about midnight.

Warm front wl lift most of the way thru thur night with an area of
showers along the bndry. Elevated instability looks to be marginal
thus hv only mentioned isold thunder, mainly acrs central and srn
zones. Med range guidance does not bring wmfnt into NRN zones bfr it
shift back south as a cdfnt Fri aftn. Thus hv rmvd thunder mention
fm the north drg the day on fri.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
Frontal bndry stalls Fri evng as yet another WV dvlps back to
the west and shifts it back north as a wmfnt on Sat sat ngt.

Expect hichc lkly pops drg the weekend in unstable airmass.

Cdfnt wl finally mv thru Mon morning and clr out front once and
for all. Latest guidance is now suggesting drier and cooler wx
thru mid-week tho upr-lvl trof lingers in ERN canada thru the
beginning of the work week.

Aviation 10z Wednesday through Sunday
Near term: MVFR ifr conditions are expected this morning then
vfr conditions this afternoon and tonight.

Short term:VFR expected on Thu with potential for MVFR in -shra
and -tsra as warm front lifts north thur night. Off and on MVFR
restrictions will persist through the weekend as frontal
boundary meanders back and forth over the terminals.

Marine
Near term: have used the NAM to initialize the wind grids then
reduced model wind speed by 10 percent to correct bias. For
waves: currently, southerly swell is the primary wave system (2
feet 7-8 seconds) and is expected to dominate today and tonight.

Wind wave is expected to remain below 1 foot. Will use nwps for
wave heights. Have also reduced the waves in the surf forecast
based on near shore output from nwps.

Short term: winds and seas will remain below SCA levels until
late Thu night. Winds will briefly gust to 25kts late Thu night
with seas remaining above 5 feet beginning around midnight thu
in southerly swell into early in the weekend and possibly
beyond.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Mignone
short term... Farrar
long term... Farrar
aviation... Mignone farrar
marine... Mignone farrar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CFWM1 - Cutler Farris Wharf, ME (8411060) 29 mi50 min Calm G 1 51°F 48°F1012.4 hPa
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 29 mi50 min ENE 5.1 G 6 55°F 51°F1012.1 hPa
44027 33 mi78 min 48°F2 ft1013.3 hPa (+1.9)
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 40 mi124 min SW 3.9 G 3.9 51°F 49°F2 ft1012.6 hPa
PSBM1 - 8410140 - Eastport, ME 45 mi50 min NNE 1.9 G 2.9 53°F 46°F1013.7 hPa

Wind History for Cutler Farris Wharf, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME35 mi72 minN 09.00 miFair56°F55°F97%1013.8 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSE5SW10SW11SW9--S13SW12SW10SW10
G17
S8--SW5S5S5S7S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm5
1 day agoNW565W7NW7W755NW8W4W3SW9SW8SW5SW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3Calm
2 days ago5NW963SW11
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S12S15SW9SW9SW6SW9CalmW3E4SW4S3W3W4S3SW4S5SW4

Tide / Current Tables for Addison, Pleasant River, Maine
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Addison
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:52 AM EDT     14.31 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:19 AM EDT     -1.35 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:04 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:35 PM EDT     13.08 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:39 PM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
811.513.714.313.210.66.930.1-1.3-0.91.14.58.111.112.812.911.58.75.32.30.60.31.7

Tide / Current Tables for Milbridge, Narraguagus River, Maine
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Milbridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:32 AM EDT     13.65 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:10 AM EDT     -1.29 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:04 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:15 PM EDT     12.48 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:30 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
8.611.713.413.5129.25.62.2-0.2-1.3-0.71.75.18.611.212.412.110.37.54.41.80.40.42

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.