Saturday, December16, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Machias, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 3:57PM Saturday December 16, 2017 7:18 PM EST (00:18 UTC) Moonrise 6:12AMMoonset 4:10PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 311 Pm Est Sat Dec 16 2017
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 pm est this evening...
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt... Diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Mon..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the morning...then 1 foot or less. A chance of snow. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon night..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less...then 1 to 2 ft after midnight.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt...increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft...building to 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon. A chance of rain.
Tue night..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft...building to 5 to 8 ft after midnight. A chance of rain in the evening...then a chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming N 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft...then 1 foot or less.
ANZ005 311 Pm Est Sat Dec 16 2017
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pres will build in from the W late tonight and crest over the waters tomorrow and tomorrow night. Weak low pres will approach from the W on Mon.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Machias, ME
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location: 44.62, -67.75     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 162323
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
619 pm est Sat dec 16 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build tonight into Sunday. Weak low pressure
will approach the region on Monday.

Near term through Sunday
610 pm update...

temps were dropping off quickly back across the far
w and NW areas W some sites coming in W -3f such as estcourt
station. The way the pattern is setting up overnight, it looks as
though low lying sites will continue to drop quickly W clear skies
and light winds. The exception will be the far NW zones including
the st. John valley as winds could stay up around 10 mph leading to
wind chills going to -20f or lower. Further E and s, winds look like
they drop back below 10 mph but still very cold. Sfc analysis showed
trof hanging back across the W and NW areas W some clouds showing up
per the latest IR satl imagery. Sounding data from the rap show most
of this area staying clear overnight.

Wind chill advisory remains up for the NW areas including the
st. John valley.

Previous discussion...

clds expected to depart the area as the WV mvs offshore around
00z this evng. Skies wl be moclr ovrngt with winds rmng out of
the NW as pressure gradient holds tight. Fcst mins tonight
expected to drop blo zero acrs the north as cold air continues
to infiltrate the state. With winds rmng up wl be issuing a wind
chill advisory for northwest aroostook. Widespread wind chills
of -20f acrs this region expected. May see a brief pd of -20f
wind chill in the caribou presque isle area but only for an hr
or two by mrng.

Sunny skies expected tomorrow with hipres building in fm the
west. NW winds will lighten up in the aftn with high temps
several degrees shy of Sat as CAA continues.

Short term Sunday night through Tuesday
On Sunday night, an arctic air mass will be in place and winds
will diminish as surface high pressure builds. Radiation cooling
and decoupling will start with temperatures plummeting in the
evening, but increasing high clouds will arrive in the latter
half of the night. As a result, will only go slightly below
consensus guidance... Which is still quite cold with subzero
readings in the northern half of the forecast area. On Monday, a
weak shortwave will arrive from the great lakes. At this point,
it appears that a weak low will form near the coast with some
snow shower activity towards the coast, but not much further
inland. An inch is possible towards coastal hancock county. On
Monday night, high pressure returns at the surface with a
shortwave ridge. Once again, increasing higher clouds will
negate radiational cooling after the early evening as warm
frontal clouds approach. The warm front will set off snow
Tuesday morning... Mostly in northern zones. An inch or two will
be possible with this northern stream system that will have
little moisture. Temperatures will warm significantly... To the
upper 20s in northern aroostook county and nearly 40f towards
the coast by Tuesday evening.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
On Tuesday night, a cold front will cross in conjunction with a
cold upper trough. This combination will create some instability
with snow showers... Or even snow squalls. The air mass behind
the front is colder, but highs on Wednesday will still be the
20s... And even lower 30s for bangor and the coast. The most
notable feature on Wednesday will be gusty NW winds with a deep
mixed layer. Gusts could reach 35 mph. A few flurries cannot be
ruled out, but will not go with pops in the grids for Wednesday
at this point. Winds slowly decrease Wednesday night as high
pressure builds, but not to the point where there's a need to go
with temps below guidance. The high is expected to bring some
sunshine and lighter winds on Thursday, but colder h925-h850
temperatures will result in a much cooler day than Wednesday.

High clouds arrive again Thursday night in advance of a warm
front that will bring snow on Friday. Low pressure will track
towards the area on Friday, but the exact track is not
certain... And as a result... P-type remains in question. Am going
with a colder solution and more snow at this time, but the issue
remains very much in doubt with projected storm tracks ranging
from quebec to the gulf of maine. The overall synoptic pattern
suggests potential ice storm trouble towards Friday night as
warmer air aloft in the southern stream overruns a cold arctic
dome.

Aviation 00z Sunday through Thursday
Near term:VFR at all terminals next 24 hours with high clouds
occasionally skirting through tonight and Sunday.

Short term: expectVFR Sunday night. On Monday,VFR conditions
will remain north of bgr, but for bgr and southward to bhb, ifr
conditions in snow showers are possible. For Monday night, all
terminals are expected to beVFR. On Tuesday, all sites will
experience lowering CIGS such that ifr conditions are likely
north of hul by midday and MVFR south of hul. Snow will also
reduce vis north of hul to ifr tempo lifr. A strong cold front
on Tuesday night will produce tempo lifr conditions in snow
showers north of hul. The prevailing condition on Wednesday will
beVFR, but northwesterly winds will gust as high as 35 mph.

Marine
Near term: winds will gust to AOA 25kts for about a 6-hr period
this evng and tonight before dropping blo SCA levels thru
Sunday.

Short term: an SCA is expected Tuesday into Wednesday night. A
brief gale is possible Wednesday evening. The next SCA will be
later Friday into Saturday. Again, a period of gale conditions
cannot be ruled out.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... Wind chill advisory from 3 am to 8 am est Sunday for mez001.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 11 pm est this evening for anz050-
051.

Near term... Hewitt farrar
short term... Mcw
long term... Mcw a
viation... Farrar mcw
marine... Farrar mcw


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CFWM1 - Cutler Farris Wharf, ME (8411060) 29 mi48 min NW 4.1 G 7 20°F 43°F1012.1 hPa
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 29 mi48 min NW 12 G 14 24°F 42°F1013.9 hPa
44027 33 mi88 min 48°F4 ft1011.9 hPa (+3.1)
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 40 mi74 min WNW 18 G 23 29°F 48°F3 ft1012.7 hPa
PSBM1 - 8410140 - Eastport, ME 45 mi48 min W 7 G 12 20°F 45°F1013 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 49 mi78 min WNW 21 G 25 29°F 1013 hPa (+3.1)15°F

Wind History for Cutler Farris Wharf, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME35 mi22 minW 410.00 miA Few Clouds20°F15°F81%1015 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4CalmCalm--N6N3N4N4N5N5N4CalmN3W4NW7W7NW8W5NW7
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1 day agoW7
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W7W7--W6SW4W3CalmN3N3N4
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Tide / Current Tables for Addison, Pleasant River, Maine
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Addison
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Sat -- 03:36 AM EST     0.91 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:11 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:47 AM EST     12.80 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:10 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:51 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 04:12 PM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:19 PM EST     11.51 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
7.852.61.212.458.110.712.412.811.79.36.13.10.9-0.10.42.45.38.110.311.411.2

Tide / Current Tables for Milbridge, Narraguagus River, Maine
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Milbridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:28 AM EST     0.86 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:11 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:27 AM EST     12.21 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:11 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:52 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 04:03 PM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:59 PM EST     10.98 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
6.74.22.111.12.75.48.410.812.11210.68.15.12.50.6-0.10.62.85.78.410.31110.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.