Wednesday, June28, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Milton, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:08AMSunset 8:43PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 3:12 AM EDT (07:12 UTC) Moonrise 10:26AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 18% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milton, VT
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location: 44.64, -73.09     debug

Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 280600
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
200 am edt Wed jun 28 2017

A relatively dry day is expected today in comparison to Tuesday
with the areal coverage of showers being a bit limited this
afternoon. The best chance to see any showers will be across
north central and northeast vermont with just a slight chance
elsewhere. It is still looking like a pattern change takes place
beginning Thursday and continuing right into the weekend. Expect
warmer and wetter conditions during this period.

Near term through tonight
As of 200 am edt Wednesday... Still some lingering showers over
northeast new york and northern vermont early this morning... But
this activity should come to an end around daybreak. Clouds
will also persist through daybreak as well. Overall forecast in
good shape and no real big changes needed at this time.

Previous discussion...

the showers will end this evening as we lose what little diurnal
driven heat warmed the area to the upper 60s. High pressure will
build in behind the upper level shortwave as it exits the
region this evening and Wednesday. There may be some residual
energy that holds on along the international border so I could
see some isolated showers that develop in the afternoon but
otherwise it should be a pleasant day tomorrow with highs in the
lower 70s. As the weak ridge continues to build into region
anticipate any residual showers to come to an end tonight. With
high pressure aloft it should be a relatively quiet night. Unfortunately
that quiet weather will end as we start to see a return towards
a more active period. See details in short term discussion

Short term Thursday through Thursday night
As of 233 pm edt Tuesday... Low pressure moving through the
great lakes will push a west east oriented warm front over the
region on Thursday. Showers develop along the boundary across
northern new york during the morning, and become widespread
across the entire forecast area through the afternoon and into
Thursday night. Composites charts indicate that the combination
of forcing lift shear instability isn't quite aligned so we may
or may not see much widespread thunder. However given continuity
i went ahead and continued to include mention of isolated
thunderstorms on Thursday generally along the southern tier
where instability will be highest.

Long term Friday through Tuesday
As of 233 pm edt Tuesday... As we head into the weekend the
biggest threat will be the continued active weather. We are
currently already an 1.5 inches above normal for the month and
nearly 6 inches above normal of precip for the year. With
continued active weather and more rain on the way hydro impacts
come straight to my mind. Friday night and Saturday will see
several waves of low pressure riding along a stalled frontal
boundary to our west will provide ample instability for showers
and thunderstorms along with additional moisture and pwats
surging to 1.5-2". While the exact timing of each individual
wave is difficult at this time, confidence is high we'll see
periods of heavy rain with rainfall amounts in the 1-2" range
on top of the 1" we're likely to see on Thursday. Considering
how wet area soils are already, this could be the tipping point
to realize flash flood potential and bears watching through the

Sunday remains showery, especially across northern areas as the
parent upper trough and surface cold front look to swings through
the region, with quieter and drier conditions expected Monday post

Aviation 06z Wednesday through Sunday
Through 06z Thursday... Overall looking atVFR conditions through
the period. Early this morning... Mainly through 12z... There will
be some lingering lower clouds and some fog over parts of
northern new york that will result in periods of ifr and lifr
conditions at kmss and kslk. Some showers are expected this
afternoon but areal coverage should be limited and thus have
only mentioned vicinity showers between 18z and 00z. Light winds
this morning will become west and northwest this afternoon at
speeds of 10 knots or less before tapering off after 00z again.


Thursday:VFR MVFR. Likely shra.

Thursday night: MVFR. Likely shra... Slight chance tsra.

Friday:VFR. Likely shra... Slight chance tsra.

Friday night:VFR MVFR. Likely shra... Slight chance tsra.

Saturday:VFR MVFR. Likely shra... Slight chance tsra.

Saturday night:VFR. Likely shra... Slight chance tsra.

Sunday:VFR. Chance shra... Slight chance tsra.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Evenson
near term... Evenson deal
short term... Deal
long term... Deal
aviation... Evenson

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45166 13 mi27 min SW 7.8 G 9.7 59°F 65°F1 ft55°F
45178 16 mi147 min S 12 54°F 61°F1012.4 hPa

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Burlington, Burlington International Airport, VT12 mi18 minS 610.00 miPartly Cloudy54°F51°F90%1014.2 hPa
Plattsburgh International Airport , NY20 mi19 minN 010.00 miOvercast54°F52°F93%1013.8 hPa
Franklin County State Airport, VT21 mi17 minS 410.00 miOvercast55°F53°F95%1013.5 hPa

Wind History from BTV (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmS6S8S6S8S10S10SW9S8S8S7NW7NE5NW9NW11CalmSE5SW8S5S5S4S6S4S6
1 day agoS4S3E4CalmS3W103SW634W4NW6SW66S5S6SW5S5S9S7S8SW11SE5SE5
2 days agoCalmNE4CalmNE3S6S6SW74SE10S5S8S6SW9N12NE9NE4N9E5S5CalmS7SW6W9S7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.