Monday, August21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Milton, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:02AMSunset 7:48PM Monday August 21, 2017 11:54 AM EDT (15:54 UTC) Moonrise 5:43AMMoonset 7:53PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milton, VT
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 44.64, -73.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kbtv 211516
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
1116 am edt Mon aug 21 2017

Synopsis
Another quiet weather day for Monday with partly cloudy skies
and seasonable temperatures. An approaching low pressure system
will increases chances for showers and thunderstorms Tuesday,
with showers lingering into Wednesday. The remainder of the week
is shaping up to be mainly dry, with plentiful sunshine and
below normal temperatures.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1115 am edt Monday... Forecast is on target this morning.

Water vapor imagery shows a weak upper level short wave with
some high clouds is moving through the region but should be
pretty much gone this afternoon. Also low-level moisture with td
in the 60s will lead to some cumulus clouds especially over the
mountains. CAPE of 500-1000 j kg forecast on rap but should be
just capped enough to prevent any convection. Morning observed
and forecast soundings confirm we should make it into the 80s
(around 87 kbtv) this afternoon with 850 temps 14-16c. The
partial eclipse may hold temps a couple degrees down during mid
afternoon.

Very nice day in store for this Monday to start the work week.

Surface high pressure ridge still reaching the area, centered
over the mid atlantic region will be shifting eastward today.

Light winds will become southerly today. Warm air advection
ahead of next approaching low pressure system, therefore max
temps will edge into the upper 80s. Should be a good day to view
the partial solar eclipse with proper safety precautions, 240
pm will be peak viewing time and skies should mainly be clear at
that time.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Wednesday
As of 500 am edt Monday... More active weather is expected
beginning Tuesday afternoon. Strong southwesterly flow will
continue tonight. Low pressure system takes shape tonight over
the great lakes region as a deepening 500 mb trough moves into
the western great lakes. Pwats will increase during this time
period with low level moisture advecting into the area on the
strong southwesterly flow, nearing 2" by Tuesday morning.

Increasing shear profile expected with 500 mb jet nearing 50
kts. Surface low will pass north of our forecast area on Tuesday
along with trailing cold front which will be reaching our
northern new york zones around 18z. Front moves east across our
forecast area and will be east of vermont by 12z Wednesday
morning. Showers and thunderstorms will develop out ahead of the
frontal boundary, starting in the saint lawrence valley and then
spreading eastward. Models are indicating CAPE in the 1-2k
range, so will have some decent low level instability as well.

Storms will be strongest in northern new york due to placement
of jet lining up with saint lawrence valley, good low level
0-6 km shear. Temperatures will warm to almost 90 across the
area. Heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds are possible with
these storms, but storm motions should be fast enough to avoid
flash flooding. Hi res models depict a line of storms forming
and moving across our area between 20z and 04z. Storms should be
ending by about midnight. Upper level trough will pass north of
the region on Wednesday bringing some shortwave energy across
our area and will have to mention chance for some more showers
with this feature, though mainly confined to the higher
elevations. Cooler air will begin to move into the area later
Wednesday as well behind departing cold front, highs will be
closer to seasonal normals wed.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
As of 415 am edt Monday... The north country will remain under
the influence of mid-level cyclonic flow throughout the period,
while high pressure will build at the surface. The period will
start with a surface front that will move across the region with
a chance for showers on Thursday. Behind this front, northwest
to northerly flow will settle in with the main 500mb trough
lagging behind on Friday and result in slight chance of showers.

On Saturday, surface high pressure will build in with drier air
as pwats fall to 0.5-0.7 inches. Outside of a slight chance for
orographic shower or two on Saturday, expect dry conditions
through the end of the period with strong surface ridge
continuing to affect the region into Monday. Temperatures will
be slightly lower than late august normals throughout the
period.

Aviation 15z Monday through Friday
Through 12z Tuesday... Residual fog at kslk will erode this
morning, leavingVFR conditions at all terminals throughout the
day into this evening. S-sw winds will increase to 5-10kts, with
gusts around 20kts developing at kmss and kslk. Winds will
subside this evening, decreasing to around 5 kts or less. Expect
some fog development at kmpv and kslk after 06z Tuesday. Low
level jet will be weaker over these terminals, but still around
20kts. This could lead to another night of intermittent MVFR ifr
fog.

Outlook...

Tuesday:VFR. Likely shra... Slight chance tsra.

Tuesday night:VFR. Likely shra... Occasional tsra.

Wednesday:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Wednesday night:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Thursday:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Thursday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Friday:VFR. No sig wx.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Neiles
near term... Neiles sisson
short term... Neiles
long term... Kgm
aviation... Kgm


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45178 16 mi54 min E 16 66°F 72°F1019.2 hPa (+0.0)

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Burlington, Burlington International Airport, VT12 mi60 minS 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F63°F62%1019.6 hPa
Plattsburgh International Airport , NY20 mi61 minSE 1010.00 miFair75°F64°F71%1018.9 hPa
Franklin County State Airport, VT21 mi59 minS 810.00 miFair76°F64°F68%1019 hPa

Wind History from BTV (wind in knots)
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
Last 24hrNW5NW7NW8NW9NW7NW6W7W6SW3SW3SE4CalmE3CalmE3CalmCalmE4E4S5S5S10
G18
S9S10
1 day agoSW8S7SW6NW7NW10NW5NW3NW7W4W7W4S3S3CalmS4CalmCalmW9W4W4W8
G17
NW11
G16
NW11
G17
NW5
2 days agoS10
G16
S8
G17
S13S15
G24
S13
G24
S13
G22
S8S9
G18
S10
G17
E6E4E4W3SE5E4CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmS5S8S6S9

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (11,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.