Wednesday, October18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Milton, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 6:03PM Wednesday October 18, 2017 4:34 PM EDT (20:34 UTC) Moonrise 5:43AMMoonset 5:55PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milton, VT
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location: 44.64, -73.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 181953
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
353 pm edt Wed oct 18 2017

Synopsis
High pressure along the east coast of the united states will
maintain dry conditions across the north country through Sunday.

With south to southwest winds in place, temperatures will warm
well above seasonal levels for mid to late october beginning
today, and continue through the upcoming weekend. The next
chance of appreciable precipitation occurs by Monday into
Tuesday of next week as a cold front crosses the area from west
to east.

Near term through Thursday
As of 205 pm edt Wednesday... Going forecast on track. 925mb
temps around 12c at btv per rap this afternoon which should
yield MAX temps in the mid 60s in the valleys lower 60s in the
hills this afternoon which is well covered in the going
forecast.

Very quiet wx through the near-term. Generally looking at clear
skies otherwise through tonight. The sfc ridge axis extending
along the east coast of the u.S. And building shortwave ridging
aloft will bring dry weather, but southerly pressure gradient
increases overnight especially west of the greens with light
south to southwest winds and moderating temperatures. Only a
very small chance for any radiation fog east of the greens so
left it out. Lows mainly in the 40s for tonight except near 50
in the st. Lawrence and champlain valleys.

Temperatures moderate further on Thursday under a rather strong
west southwest flow with 850-mb winds 30 to 50 kts leading to
breezy surface winds of around 15 kt with gusts to 25 to 30 kt.

With 925-mb temps around 14c for looking for MAX temps reaching
the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Another mid-upr level shortwave trough is progged to pass along
the intl border Thursday afternoon. This feature should bring
an increase in mid-upr level clouds, but dry low-level
conditions should preclude any precipitation.

Short term Thursday night through Saturday night
As of 334 pm edt Wednesday... A rather dry cold front will pass
through the region Thursday night with some clouds especially in
the northern green mountains where a sprinkle can't be ruled
out. 925mb temps drop to about 8c near btv on Friday for
"cooler" high temps in the mid 50s to lower 60s, still a bit
above normal. High pressure will slide across the mid-atlantic
states and off the coast lead to quiet weather conditions with
mostly clear skies under broad subsidence. Return SW flow around
the high with warm advection over the weekend will will bring
warming temps each day with upper 60s Saturday to 70 by Sunday.

Each night we'll radiatively cool and should see temps in the
upper 30s to low 40s.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
As of 352 pm edt Wednesday... High pressure will be the dominant
feature over the weekend. Surface ridge axis will slide
eastward over the atlantic seaboard, increasing warm
southwesterly flow. This will result in daytime MAX temperatures
in the mid 60s to low 70s to close out the weekend. Min
temperatures will see a warming trend heading into the work
week, from mid 40s to mid 50s.

The beginning of the work week will see a pattern change as a
cold front associated with a mid-upper level longwave trough
approaches from the west. The north country will see an increase
in clouds and potential for rain some time late Monday into
Tuesday. Potential for rain showers will be reinforced,
especially on Tuesday at the mid-upper level trough digs
southward into the mississippi valley. At the surface, ECMWF and
gfs show closed low pressure system develop and move over se
ontario NW ny by late Tuesday. Increased pressure gradient at
the surface should lead to fairly gusty winds with the potential
for 15-25 mph with gust to 35mph Tuesday into Wednesday.

Aviation 20z Wednesday through Monday
Through 12z Thursday... MainlyVFR dry with breezy south to
southwest winds gusty to 25-30 kts by 15-18z thu. A moderately
strong pressure gradient develops with high pressure over the
southeast us and low pressure over james bay through Thu so
along with the winds it looks like chances of any fog at kmpv is
small early tomorrow morning. Only expecting some high to mid
level clouds toward 18z Thu ahead of an approaching weak cold
front which passes through mainly dry Thursday night with a wind
shift to west northwest.

Outlook...

Thursday night:VFR. Breezy. No sig wx.

Friday:VFR. No sig wx.

Friday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Saturday:VFR. No sig wx.

Saturday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Sunday:VFR. No sig wx.

Sunday night:VFR. Chance shra.

Monday:VFR. Chance shra.

Marine
Southerly winds will increase overnight reaching 15 to 25 kts by
dawn Thursday as a moderately strong pressure gradient develops.

Relatively mild water temps in the upper 50s may mix winds of
30 knots just above the surface early Thursday morning, so could
be a bit higher than 25 knot for a few hours from sunrise to
noon. Winds should slowly diminish late in the afternoon and
then shift to the west northwest 10 to 15 knots Thursday night.

Equipment
Ktyx radar at fort drum, new york will remain down for
scheduled maintenance through a good portion of today (october
18) as technicians repaint the radome.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Sisson
near term... Sisson
short term... Sisson
long term... Kgm
aviation... Banacos
marine...

equipment... Team btv


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45166 13 mi35 min Calm G 1.9 72°F 60°F45°F
45178 16 mi35 min S 5.8 58°F 60°F1022.6 hPa (+0.0)

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Burlington, Burlington International Airport, VT12 mi41 minS 610.00 miPartly Cloudy69°F43°F39%1022.1 hPa
Plattsburgh International Airport , NY20 mi42 minSE 910.00 miFair65°F46°F52%1021.7 hPa
Franklin County State Airport, VT21 mi40 minS 310.00 miFair66°F46°F49%1022 hPa

Wind History from BTV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS10S12S13S14
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S11S6S3S10S8S7S764S6S5S6
1 day agoNW6NW7NW9NW11NW12NW9NW7NW7NW7NW3CalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmS7S6S10S10S13S12S12
G18
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2 days agoS20
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N15N14N12NW14
G20
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N11N15
G23
N10N11NW12N8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.