Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Parc, NY
March 28, 2024 6:51 PM EDT (22:51 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:39 AM Sunset 7:18 PM Moonrise 11:08 PM Moonset 7:52 AM |
SLZ024 Expires:202403281530;;748585 Fzus61 Kbuf 280800 Glfsl
forecast for the saint lawrence river including the thousand islands region national weather service buffalo ny 400 am edt Thu mar 28 2024
slz022-024-281530- saint lawrence river from cape vincent to saint regis 400 am edt Thu mar 28 2024
Today - West winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Cloudy.
Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Mostly cloudy.
Friday - Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Sunny.
Friday night - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Becoming mainly clear.
Saturday - West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest less than 10 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers Saturday night.
Sunday - Northwest winds 10 knots or less. Partly cloudy.
Monday - North winds 10 knots or less becoming east. A chance of rain showers Monday night.
forecast for the saint lawrence river including the thousand islands region national weather service buffalo ny 400 am edt Thu mar 28 2024
slz022-024-281530- saint lawrence river from cape vincent to saint regis 400 am edt Thu mar 28 2024
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Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 281946 AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 346 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
With the cold front now east of Vermont, we are looking at a period of dry weather continuing through most of the weekend. A few showers will be possible on Sunday but these should be isolated at best.
Gusty winds in the 25 to 35 mph range on Friday and Saturday will make it feel chilly given temperatures in the 40s. Attention then turns to a strong storm system that is expected to bring rain and snow to the region the next midweek period.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
As of 341 PM EDT Thursday...It took nearly all day but the cold front has finally pushed through Vermont. There remain a few showers right on the back edge of the cold front but rain showers are quickly coming to an end across the region this afternoon. Water vapor imagery shows a plethora of dry air across Ontario this afternoon which should situate across our region overnight. Pretty impressive cold air advection is slated to occur tonight and through the day on Friday. This should help our temperatures return to more normal values on Friday but should also aid in bringing some gusty winds to the area. With ample sunshine and a pocket of cold air aloft, we expect to see some very steep lapse rates into the afternoon and evening hours on Friday. This should allow for widespread wind gusts in the 25 to 35 mph range with the possibility of a few 40 mph wind gusts. These gusty winds will likely continue into the evening and begin to weaken as we head into Saturday but should remain gusty through the forecast period.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
As of 341 PM EDT Thursday...Saturday will be fairly similar to Friday weatherwise, just less windy. As the gradient relaxes, flow will favor mainly 15 to 25 mph wind gusts with daytime mixing. A lingering shower near summits is possible, but generally abundant dry air means nil PoPs. High temperatures will be in the 40s to near 50. Temperatures will cool well initially, but then with mid and high clouds moving in advance of a decaying system, we will see mid 20s to lower 30s.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 341 PM EDT Thursday...Transitioning from Saturday night into Sunday morning, the decaying system will bring some rain and snow to the region. PoPs increase first from convergence along the trough and a modest 115kt upper jet streak to our south. By Sunday afternoon, mid-level cold advection and daytime heating will result in conditionally unstable profiles capable of isolated convection while an embedded feature moves overhead on the backside of larger scale troughing. QPF will be a few hundredths, if any, mainly weak forcing for ascent, lack of deep moisture, and little cloud ice present.
Monday appears to take pick-of-the-week. Light north winds and abundant sunshine will result in 50s across the region, and then mid 20s to mid 30s at night. Much of Tuesday appears pleasant as well.
Cool, dry north winds will result in similar weather just a few degrees cooler than Monday.
The weather becomes active Tuesday evening into the rest of the week. There's some dynamic interplay between a vigorous trough across the Central US and a polar trough making a deep dive south- southeast towards the Great Lakes, and then pinwheeling shortwaves south of Greenland where a late season Greenland block exists.
Boiling this down, it will very likely snow with a very favorable pattern midweek through Friday. Precipitation Tuesday night into Wednesday will likely feature the classic, elevation-dependent valley rain-snow mix and snow at higher elevations. Though early guidance suggests enough of a warm nose south to suggest a potential mix early Wednesday as well. There will likely be adjustments, as the strength of southerly flow will be dependent on convection in the central US on Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning. Wednesday night into Thursday look cool enough for a transition into all snow as the upper low tightens up. Due to the blocking pattern, the coastal low will only slowly trundle eastwards resulting in wrap around snow showers and maybe some rain mixed in at lower elevations Thursday afternoon. Between Tuesday night and Thursday, there's about 0.50-1.25" of QPF total. Though the mechanics work somewhat differently between each model suite, there is generally good agreement with this system. Given some differences due to convective processes and how this affects temperatures that are near to above freezing during large chunks of a long-duration event, it's hard to say how much will be snow versus rain. Yet, confidence has increased for appreciable snow accumulations. Models split by next Friday as to how quickly the upper low shifts east, but that lies at the end of the forecast period.
AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Through 18Z Friday...It's a tale of two stories behind and ahead of a cold front draped across Vermont this afternoon. Behind the front, a mix of mostly VFR with MVFR conditions are being seen with IFR to LIFR ahead of the front. The front will continue to make slow progress eastward this afternoon and evening with conditions at KRUT, KMPV, and KEFK improving by 00Z. Winds will remain light from the NW this afternoon and will begin to become gusty after 14Z Friday with gusts up to 30 knots possible by later in the day Friday.
Outlook...
Friday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance SHSN.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN.
Tuesday: VFR. Likely SHRA.
BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...None.
NY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 346 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
With the cold front now east of Vermont, we are looking at a period of dry weather continuing through most of the weekend. A few showers will be possible on Sunday but these should be isolated at best.
Gusty winds in the 25 to 35 mph range on Friday and Saturday will make it feel chilly given temperatures in the 40s. Attention then turns to a strong storm system that is expected to bring rain and snow to the region the next midweek period.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
As of 341 PM EDT Thursday...It took nearly all day but the cold front has finally pushed through Vermont. There remain a few showers right on the back edge of the cold front but rain showers are quickly coming to an end across the region this afternoon. Water vapor imagery shows a plethora of dry air across Ontario this afternoon which should situate across our region overnight. Pretty impressive cold air advection is slated to occur tonight and through the day on Friday. This should help our temperatures return to more normal values on Friday but should also aid in bringing some gusty winds to the area. With ample sunshine and a pocket of cold air aloft, we expect to see some very steep lapse rates into the afternoon and evening hours on Friday. This should allow for widespread wind gusts in the 25 to 35 mph range with the possibility of a few 40 mph wind gusts. These gusty winds will likely continue into the evening and begin to weaken as we head into Saturday but should remain gusty through the forecast period.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
As of 341 PM EDT Thursday...Saturday will be fairly similar to Friday weatherwise, just less windy. As the gradient relaxes, flow will favor mainly 15 to 25 mph wind gusts with daytime mixing. A lingering shower near summits is possible, but generally abundant dry air means nil PoPs. High temperatures will be in the 40s to near 50. Temperatures will cool well initially, but then with mid and high clouds moving in advance of a decaying system, we will see mid 20s to lower 30s.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 341 PM EDT Thursday...Transitioning from Saturday night into Sunday morning, the decaying system will bring some rain and snow to the region. PoPs increase first from convergence along the trough and a modest 115kt upper jet streak to our south. By Sunday afternoon, mid-level cold advection and daytime heating will result in conditionally unstable profiles capable of isolated convection while an embedded feature moves overhead on the backside of larger scale troughing. QPF will be a few hundredths, if any, mainly weak forcing for ascent, lack of deep moisture, and little cloud ice present.
Monday appears to take pick-of-the-week. Light north winds and abundant sunshine will result in 50s across the region, and then mid 20s to mid 30s at night. Much of Tuesday appears pleasant as well.
Cool, dry north winds will result in similar weather just a few degrees cooler than Monday.
The weather becomes active Tuesday evening into the rest of the week. There's some dynamic interplay between a vigorous trough across the Central US and a polar trough making a deep dive south- southeast towards the Great Lakes, and then pinwheeling shortwaves south of Greenland where a late season Greenland block exists.
Boiling this down, it will very likely snow with a very favorable pattern midweek through Friday. Precipitation Tuesday night into Wednesday will likely feature the classic, elevation-dependent valley rain-snow mix and snow at higher elevations. Though early guidance suggests enough of a warm nose south to suggest a potential mix early Wednesday as well. There will likely be adjustments, as the strength of southerly flow will be dependent on convection in the central US on Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning. Wednesday night into Thursday look cool enough for a transition into all snow as the upper low tightens up. Due to the blocking pattern, the coastal low will only slowly trundle eastwards resulting in wrap around snow showers and maybe some rain mixed in at lower elevations Thursday afternoon. Between Tuesday night and Thursday, there's about 0.50-1.25" of QPF total. Though the mechanics work somewhat differently between each model suite, there is generally good agreement with this system. Given some differences due to convective processes and how this affects temperatures that are near to above freezing during large chunks of a long-duration event, it's hard to say how much will be snow versus rain. Yet, confidence has increased for appreciable snow accumulations. Models split by next Friday as to how quickly the upper low shifts east, but that lies at the end of the forecast period.
AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Through 18Z Friday...It's a tale of two stories behind and ahead of a cold front draped across Vermont this afternoon. Behind the front, a mix of mostly VFR with MVFR conditions are being seen with IFR to LIFR ahead of the front. The front will continue to make slow progress eastward this afternoon and evening with conditions at KRUT, KMPV, and KEFK improving by 00Z. Winds will remain light from the NW this afternoon and will begin to become gusty after 14Z Friday with gusts up to 30 knots possible by later in the day Friday.
Outlook...
Friday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance SHSN.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN.
Tuesday: VFR. Likely SHRA.
BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...None.
NY...None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KPBG PLATTSBURGH INTL,NY | 4 sm | 58 min | calm | 10 sm | Overcast | 45°F | 32°F | 61% | 29.92 | |
KBTV BURLINGTON INTL,VT | 20 sm | 57 min | ENE 06 | 10 sm | Overcast | 46°F | 34°F | 61% | 29.92 | |
KFSO FRANKLIN COUNTY STATE,VT | 24 sm | 16 min | calm | 10 sm | Overcast | 45°F | 32°F | 61% | 29.93 |
Sorel
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:52 AM EDT 1.70 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 06:38 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 07:47 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 08:33 AM EDT 1.73 meters High Tide
Thu -- 02:26 PM EDT 1.71 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 07:16 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:34 PM EDT 1.73 meters High Tide
Thu -- 11:11 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:52 AM EDT 1.70 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 06:38 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 07:47 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 08:33 AM EDT 1.73 meters High Tide
Thu -- 02:26 PM EDT 1.71 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 07:16 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:34 PM EDT 1.73 meters High Tide
Thu -- 11:11 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorel, Quebec, Tide feet
12 am |
1.7 |
1 am |
1.7 |
2 am |
1.7 |
3 am |
1.7 |
4 am |
1.7 |
5 am |
1.7 |
6 am |
1.7 |
7 am |
1.7 |
8 am |
1.7 |
9 am |
1.7 |
10 am |
1.7 |
11 am |
1.7 |
12 pm |
1.7 |
1 pm |
1.7 |
2 pm |
1.7 |
3 pm |
1.7 |
4 pm |
1.7 |
5 pm |
1.7 |
6 pm |
1.7 |
7 pm |
1.7 |
8 pm |
1.7 |
9 pm |
1.7 |
10 pm |
1.7 |
11 pm |
1.7 |
Burlington, VT,
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