Tuesday, June19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Parc, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:06AMSunset 8:44PM Tuesday June 19, 2018 10:08 PM EDT (02:08 UTC) Moonrise 11:54AMMoonset 12:41AM Illumination 41% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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SLZ024 Saint Lawrence River From Cape Vincent To Saint Regis 723 Pm Edt Tue Jun 19 2018
Tonight..Northwest winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming north. A chance of showers in the evening.
Thursday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Sunny.
Thursday night..Northwest winds less than 10 knots. Clear.
Friday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Clear, then becoming partly cloudy.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Showers likely. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Parc, NY
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location: 44.68, -73.41     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 192311
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
711 pm edt Tue jun 19 2018

Synopsis
We are looking at relatively quiet weather for the rest of the
week with dry weather expected for most of the period. There
will be a cold front dropping down out of canada late Wednesday
afternoon and evening which could bring a few showers to areas
near the international border... But precipitation amounts will
generally be less than a tenth of an inch. A good deal of
sunshine is expected for the remainder of the week with seasonal
temperatures for Wednesday and Friday and slightly below normal
temperatures on Thursday.

Near term through Wednesday night
As of 705 pm edt Tuesday... Most areas will be clear overnight as
drier air continues to move into the region. Did however notice
dew points still up a bit and with all the precipitation that
fell yesterday can see some fog developing in the favored valley
locations. This idea is already in the forecast and will
continue with the mention. Lows will generally be in the mid 40s
to lower 50s... But should see some upper 30s to lower 40s in
the northern adirondacks and the northeast kingdom of vermont.

Most areas remain dry on Wednesday and low level flow turns
around to the south... Which will help warm us up a bit from
today with highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. There will be a
front dropping down from canada late in the day and there may be
a few showers associated with it up near the international
border. These showers may continue into the evening hours before
dissipating. Precipitation amounts will generally be less than
a tenth of an inch. Cooler air moves in behind the front with
lows Wednesday night in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

Short term Thursday through Thursday night
As of 317 pm edt Tuesday... Northwest flow aloft dominates the
region Thursday and Thursday with surface high pressure building
in. Expecting dry weather with plenty of sunshine... But cold air
advection will keep highs only in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Lows
Thursday night will drop into the 40s to around 50 with some
upper 30s in the mountains.

Long term Friday through Tuesday
As of 317 pm edt Tuesday... The pattern for the extended range
forecast will be fairly progressive. Conditions will be dry on
Friday as we heat up under a moderately strong ridge that will
quickly move eastward. Warm air advection will likely give us
temperatures in the low to mid 80s across the valleys with upper
60s to mid 70s in higher elevations, Friday. On Saturday, an
upstream shortwave in the ohio river valley will begin to
deamplify and quickly shift northward. Flow will quickly become
southwesterly ahead of this system, allowing moisture to surge
northward in association with the system. The highest chances
for rain appears to be across our new york zones Saturday
evening at the moment, where better dynamics and low-level
convergence are currently expected. Pwats across the whole area
will be between 1.5 and 1.75 inches, meaning locally heavy rain
could be a concern. Instability will be marginal, with current
model outputs of about 100-250 j kg. Thus, a slight chance for
thunder on Saturday cannot be ruled out, mainly across our areas
in northern new york. As this feature lifts northward, it
begins to interact with a frontal boundary moving southwards
from the hudson bay in canada. Better instability forcing for
ascent is expected to be positioned along new hampshire and
maine, but enough should remain to promote mostly light rain
showers as the front reaches our area late Sunday morning into
Sunday afternoon.

Heading into next week, conditions may be slow to improve on
Monday as a vigorous shortwave trough passes through just
before moisture gets completely scoured out of our area.

Forecast models are in remarkably good agreement about light qpf
over our area before finally clearing out Monday afternoon, but
do have some skepticism that moisture will hang in that long.

Conditions will definitely be improving Tuesday as a ridge
builds with mostly clear conditions and temperatures near
seasonal norms.

Aviation 00z Wednesday through Sunday
Through 00z Thursday...VFR conditions are expected through the
period. The only exception to this will be at kslk and kmpv
where there may be a window from 06z to 12z where visibilities
lower to around a mile and ceilings lower to 500 feet. Otherwise
little in the way of any cloud cover is expected. Winds will become
light and variable by sunset. Will pick up again a bit after
14z from the south and southwest... But at speeds under 10 knots.

Outlook...

Wednesday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Thursday:VFR. No sig wx.

Thursday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Friday:VFR. No sig wx.

Friday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Saturday:VFR. Chance shra.

Saturday night: MVFR ifr conditions possible. Chance shra.

Sunday: mainly MVFR, with areas ifr possible. Likely shra.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Evenson
near term... Evenson neiles
short term... Evenson
long term... Haynes
aviation... Evenson neiles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45166 11 mi39 min WNW 5.8 G 5.8 67°F 65°F52°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Plattsburgh International Airport , NY4 mi76 minN 010.00 miFair63°F53°F70%1012.3 hPa
Burlington, Burlington International Airport, VT20 mi75 minNW 410.00 miA Few Clouds69°F48°F47%1012.4 hPa
Franklin County State Airport, VT24 mi74 minN 010.00 miFair62°F49°F66%1012.2 hPa

Wind History from PBG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN10CalmNW8NW9
G15
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G22
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N12NW10NW11NW8N10W8NW7
G16
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G15
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G17
NW7W3CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmSE4SE3CalmS6SE3SE4SE6SE8S6SE9SE5SE6CalmNW3N4S3S5SW7W7345
2 days agoCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmS3SE6SE8SE10SE10SE12S12
G20
S11S11S9SE7S7S6SE3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.