Sunday, April22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manistee Lake, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 8:32PM Sunday April 22, 2018 2:16 PM EDT (18:16 UTC) Moonrise 11:23AMMoonset 1:43AM Illumination 49% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ323 Grand Traverse Bay South Of A Line Grand Traverse Light To Norwood Mi- 1034 Am Edt Sun Apr 22 2018
Today..Light winds. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Northeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..Light winds. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.
LMZ323 Expires:201804222245;;333203 FZUS53 KAPX 221434 NSHAPX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1034 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lakes Huron... Michigan and Superior LMZ323-222245-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manistee Lake, MI
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location: 44.7, -84.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
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Fxus63 kapx 221739
afdapx
area forecast discussion
national weather service gaylord mi
139 pm edt Sun apr 22 2018

Update
Issued at 1016 am edt Sun apr 22 2018
rapid warmup has begun as sun-filled skies and very dry airmass
remains. Temperatures already well into the 40s, with even a few
lower 50s (53 here at the office). Current trends easily support
inherited highs reaching the into the 50s, with much of the
interior of northern lower reaching, or even topping, 60 degrees.

Lake breezes expected to develop, keeping areas close to the great
lakes a bit cooler.

Near term (today through tonight)
issued at 213 am edt Sun apr 22 2018

Gradual warning trend continues...

high impact weather potential... None.

Pattern synopsis forecast... Large area of strong high pressure and
dry air remains centered over the great lakes region early this
morning... Resulting in clear skies and dry wx across the great state
of michigan. Clear skies and calm winds are allowing temps to slowly
drop thru the 30s and into the 20s.

For today and tonight... Strong surface high and dry air thru the
column will remain overhead... Maintaining clear and dry wx thru
tonight. Our gradual warming trend will continue today with
afternoon highs warming into the mid 50s to around 60 degrees across
our entire cwa. Low temps tonight will range from the mid 20s across
interior sections of northern lower michigan to the low to mid 30s
across the rest of our cwa.

Short term (Monday through Tuesday)
issued at 213 am edt Sun apr 22 2018

Above normal temperatures...

high impact weather potential: none aside from monitoring rising
river levels through early this week due to snow melt runoff.

Pattern forecast: northern michigan is expected to lie between two
systems slowly meandering across the continent early this upcoming
week. The initial and more potent wave across the southern plains
into the southern ms valley and the second across alberta
saskatchewan. Surface and upper level ridging will gradually slide
east of the area locally Monday into Monday night with weak
southerly moisture advection underway Tuesday combined with an
approaching cold front from the northwest may yield scattered
showers at times across portions of northern michigan.

Primary forecast concerns challenges: pops Tuesday.

Little in the way of sensible weather is anticipated across the
region to start the upcoming week. Another sun-filled day is
expected Monday with high temperatures climbing a few degrees above
normal for most... Ranging from the upper 50s across eastern upper to
the low-mid 60s for many south of the bridge (cooler near the
lakeshores).

Low end chances for rain showers arrive during the day Tuesday,
primarily during the afternoon evening hours as the aforementioned
systems make headway toward the great lakes. Expecting any precip to
be rather scattered brief in nature with most locations staying dry
conditions for the bulk of, if not the entire, day. High
temperatures Tuesday pretty similar to Monday's... .Mid 50s across
eastern upper with low-mid 60s expected to prevail for much of
northern lower.

Long term (Tuesday night through Saturday)
issued at 213 am edt Sun apr 22 2018
high impact weather potential: minimal.

The pattern is expected to become somewhat more active as we head
toward the end of the upcoming week as upper level troughing is
expected to become (at least briefly) carved out across the
midsection of the country. With several perturbations riding along
the periphery of said troughing, occasional chances for rain and or
snow become possible from Thursday through the upcoming weekend
(although plenty of dry time will be mixed in as well).

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Monday afternoon)
issued at 138 pm edt Sun apr 22 2018
more of the same withVFR conditions under just a few passing high
clouds. Light winds continue, with local lake breezes expected
this afternoon.

Marine
Issued at 213 am edt Sun apr 22 2018
winds and waves will remain below SCA criteria thru the early part
of this week as high pressure remains in charge of the wx across the
great lakes region. Dry wx and mainly clear skies are expected...

with a continuation of the gradual warming trend.

Apx watches warnings advisories
Mi... None.

Lh... None.

Lm... None.

Ls... None.

Update... mb
near term... Mr
short term... Mg
long term... Mg
aviation... mb
marine... Mr


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTLM4 - Grand Traverse Light, MI 48 mi37 min ENE 4.1 G 6 41°F 1030.5 hPa
MACM4 - 9075080 - Mackinaw City, MI 75 mi47 min ENE 1.9 G 2.9 42°F 1029.2 hPa15°F

Wind History for Mackinaw City, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Grayling, Grayling Army Airfield, MI12 mi79 minN 010.00 miFair56°F19°F24%1031 hPa
Bellaire, Antrim County Airport, MI24 mi22 minN 010.00 miFair58°F16°F19%1029.5 hPa

Wind History from GOV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4SW3CalmCalmNW6CalmN5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4Calm
1 day agoNW9NW7N7NW8N7NW6N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoNW12N17
G24
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NW13NW7NW7NW6NW6W6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW5W3W4CalmCalmCalmN3N5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Gaylord, MI (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Gaylord, MI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.