Wednesday, May23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sturgeon Bay, WI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:14AMSunset 8:23PM Wednesday May 23, 2018 7:28 PM CDT (00:28 UTC) Moonrise 2:03PMMoonset 2:34AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ521 Green Bay South Of Line From Cedar River To Rock Island Passage And North Of A Line From Oconto Wi To Little Sturgeon Bay Wi- Green Bay South Of Line From Oconto Wi To Little Sturgeon Bay Wi- 339 Pm Cdt Wed May 23 2018
Tonight..S wind 10 to 15 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. Mostly clear.
Thursday..S wind 10 to 15 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. Partly cloudy.
Thursday night..S wind 10 to 15 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. Mostly clear.
Friday..SW wind 10 to 15 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers. A chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
LMZ521 Expires:201805240430;;421358 FZUS53 KGRB 232039 NSHGRB Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Green Bay WI 339 PM CDT Wed May 23 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ521-522-240430-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sturgeon Bay, WI
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location: 44.87, -87.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Green Bay, WI
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Fxus63 kgrb 232338
afdgrb
area forecast discussion
national weather service green bay wi
638 pm cdt Wed may 23 2018
updated aviation portion for 00z TAF issuance

Short term Tonight and Thursday
issued at 331 pm cdt Wed may 23 2018
daytime cumulus clouds developed across much of the area late this
morning and afternoon, with the most coverage over northern wi
where the fewest high clouds were located and surface temps
climbed into the lower to middle 80s. The thicker high clouds
held down temps slightly which keep the daytime cumulus clouds in
check.

A dry evening is expected across the area, with the daytime
cumulus clouds fading away, but the higher clouds will continue to
drift across the region. Chance for showers and possibly a storm
arrive across central and northern wi later tonight into Thursday
morning as the upper level ridge slides to the east and moisture
increases as the low-level jet points into western wi and mn. Best
forcing and moisture stays to our west, so will confine pops to
central and north central wi. Very limited instability, so no
severe weather is expected. It will be warmer night across the
area, especially over the north, with highs mainly in the middle
50s to around 60 (cooler near lake mi).

Any overnight activity should weaken toward sunrise as the low-
level jet weakens, but additional showers and storms will be
possible through the day as models show instability building,
highest across central and north central wi, with capes in the
1-2k j kg range. Bulk shear values will be weak, generally under
20 kts, and no surface feature really to focus any organized
convection on, so while a few strong storms are possible, severe
weather is looking unlikely. Will keep pops on the low side,
highest across central and north central wi, with eastern wi
staying dry. 850 925mb temps climb a couple degrees by Thursday
afternoon, so for most locations will be slightly warmer than
today. Dewpoints hovering in the upper 50s to lower 60s will make
for a summer-like day.

Long term Thursday night through Wednesday
issued at 331 pm cdt Wed may 23 2018
thunderstorm chances are the main concern in the long term.

Instability ahead of an approaching mid level trough, and a
frontal boundary associated with a surface low moving across
southern canada, will bring a chance for showers to central and
north central wisconsin Thursday night. Rain chances increase and
spread across the rest of the area on Friday and thunderstorms
can also be expected. The showers and storms should persist
through at least the evening before winding down late Friday
night Saturday. Severe storms can't be ruled out, but shear is
not that strong and SPC only has a marginal risk of severe storms
for 12z Friday through 12z Saturday. Not really anything more than
slight chance pops for the rest of the weekend through the middle
of next week with surface high pressure and a mid level ridge the
main features in the region.

Expect warmer than normal temperatures, with lows in the 50s and
60s. Highs should be in the 70s and 80s, but it will be cooler
near lake michigan.

Aviation For 00z TAF issuance
issued at 636 pm cdt Wed may 23 2018
good flying weather expected tonight and Thursday, with just a
very small chance of a shower or thunderstorm late tonight and
Thursday across central and northcentral wisconsin. There is also
a chance of some low clouds along the lake michigan shoreline late
tonight and early Thursday.

Marine
Issued at 331 pm cdt Wed may 23 2018
moist air flowing over the cool waters of lake michigan will
continue to produce areas of dense fog. Not much change in
dewpoints or wind direction into Thursday, so fog is likely to
continue.

Fire weather
Issued at 331 pm cdt Wed may 23 2018
low rh values will continue this afternoon and evening across
northern and far northeast wi. An increase in moisture and shower
and thunderstorm chances are forecast for the end of the week
which could provide much needed relief from the dry conditions and
ease the fire weather threat.

Grb watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... ..Bersch
long term... ... Mg
aviation... ... .Rdm
marine... ... ... Bersch
fire weather... Bersch


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MN4 - 9087088 - Menominee, MI 19 mi41 min SE 8 G 11 62°F 1019.5 hPa55°F
KWNW3 - 9087069- Kewaunee, WI 28 mi41 min SSE 5.1 G 7 54°F 1020.1 hPa
NPDW3 - Northport Pier at Death's Door WI 37 mi49 min SSE 4.1 G 6 63°F 1019.6 hPa

Wind History for Menominee, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Door County Cherryland Airport, WI3 mi33 minSSE 710.00 miFair69°F55°F61%1022.5 hPa
Menominee - Marinette Twin County Airport, MI21 mi33 minS 710.00 miFair73°F57°F57%1021.6 hPa

Wind History from SUE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6S5S6S6S6S5S7SW6W5W5W4W3NW4NW4----NW44--E7SE8S7S8SE7
1 day agoE5SE3SE3E3SE4CalmCalmCalmE3CalmE3CalmCalmNW3E3N3N3NW3NW8NW5CalmSE4S5S7
2 days ago--CalmE4E3CalmE3E4CalmE5CalmCalmE7E8E7SE8SE4E6E5SE6SE6SE5E4E3E6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Green Bay, WI (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Green Bay, WI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.