Thursday, May24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Falcon Heights, MN

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:32AMSunset 8:47PM Thursday May 24, 2018 4:38 PM CDT (21:38 UTC) Moonrise 2:34PMMoonset 2:27AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Falcon Heights, MN
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location: 44.96, -93.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN
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Fxus63 kmpx 242023
afdmpx
area forecast discussion
national weather service twin cities chanhassen mn
323 pm cdt Thu may 24 2018

Short term (this evening through Friday)
issued at 300 pm cdt Thu may 24 2018
the forecast concern near term is timing and areal coverage of any
convection.

Latest mesoscale analysis shows about 1000-2000 j kg MLCAPE over
the cwa, with the axis pointed to the southwest. Convective
temperature(mid 80s) has been reached and we have widely
scattered isolated convection firing off to the southwest and
northeast, main moist axis remains over mn so expect convective
potential to remain overnight. Will continue the higher end
chance pops over the cwa, but dont feel comfortable of
highlighting a large area of likely pops at this time. Certainly
looks like the better potential will develop later
tonight overnight with the incoming upper trough and surface
boundary. With limited deep layer shear, severe potential should
remain minimal - multicell clusters possible producing some hail
and gusty winds mainly this evening.

Said boundary is rather weak and will advance into eastern mn
Friday morning. Any significant redevelopment should remain
mainly east of i35 across eastern mn and into west central wi late
Friday morning and afternoon. Still looking for warm and humid
conditions to the east, becoming a less humid over the west with
weak fropa.

Long term (Friday night through Thursday)
issued at 300 pm cdt Thu may 24 2018
the remainder of the weekend looks to be hot with highs expected
to warm through the lower and middle 90s both days. The warmest
looks to be Sunday with some potential upper 90s to the
southwest. We should see plenty of sunshine with both days with
ridging higher heights over the area. Heat indices MAX out in the
mid 90s Sunday, providing a real beginning to summer weather. The
models diverge somewhat on any extent of moisture return into
early next week. Timing of the next incoming trough looks to be
affecting the area later Tuesday through Wednesday. Temperatures
will cool back into the 80s with humidity dewpoints on the rise.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Friday afternoon)
issued at 1240 pm cdt Thu may 24 2018
still retain lower end confidence forecast for timing and overall
coverage of convective potential this period. Does appear the
latest available hires solution pick up development over central
mn and moving east into the evening. This likely in connection
with any remaining weak trough for the southwest combined with
greater instability, expect at least scattered convection mainly
east of kstc-kmkt this afternoon evening. Could see some
convection move in from the eastern dakotas early but believe this
will be more isolated. A mixture of vcts and some tempos
introduced at locations with forecast greater areal coverage.

Surface winds mixing s-sw and gusty into the afternoon ahead of
the front with FROPA into western areas Friday morning.

Kmsp...

confidence increasing of at least scattered coverage in the vcnty
during the evening. This should wane later tonight and shift east
per latest hires trends. Gusty s-sw winds ahead of the front
becoming more west Friday afternoon with fropa. Could see
redevelopment Friday morning in the vcnty but timing still
difficult to ascertain at the moment.

Outlook for kmsp
fri night...VFR. Wind W 5-10 kts.

Sat...VFR. Wind wsw 5-10 kts.

Sun...VFR. Wind W 5 kts.

Mpx watches warnings advisories
Wi... None.

Mn... None.

Short term... Dwe
long term...

aviation... Dwe


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Downtown Holman Field, MN6 mi45 minSSW 15 G 2510.00 miA Few Clouds88°F62°F42%1011.8 hPa
Minneapolis, Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, MN6 mi45 minS 14 G 2310.00 miMostly Cloudy92°F63°F38%1011.8 hPa
South St. Paul Municipal-Richard E. Flemi, MN8 mi43 minSSW 12 G 1910.00 miFair91°F57°F32%1012.9 hPa
Minneapolis, Crystal Airport, MN14 mi45 minS 11 G 2410.00 miFair92°F61°F36%1011 hPa
Minneapolis / Blaine, MN14 mi48 minSSW 18 G 2510.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy91°F60°F36%1012.5 hPa
Lake Elmo Airport, MN16 mi63 minSSW 13 G 2010.00 miFair90°F60°F38%1013.5 hPa
Minneapolis - Flying Cloud Airport, MN18 mi45 minSSW 12 G 2310.00 miA Few Clouds90°F63°F41%1011.5 hPa
Minneapolis, Airlake Airport, MN23 mi63 minSW 8 G 1410.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F60°F38%1013.2 hPa

Wind History from MSP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8SE6SE9SE5SE6SE9SE11SE9SE9SE6SE7S9S9S7S6S5S6S10
G16
SW10S12S16
G27
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G23
1 day ago--SE7SE7SE10SE10SE9SE6SE6SE5SE4SE6SE5SE7SE4SE6SE8SE9S7SW11
G16
W54S7S6SE9
2 days agoSE10SE9SE6SE8SE7SE10SE6S4S4SE4S3SE5SE4SE3SE3S4S6SW5S43NW34CalmE6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Twin Cities, MN (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Minneapolis, MN
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.