Thursday, March30, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Falcon Heights, MN

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 7:40PM Thursday March 30, 2017 3:27 PM CDT (20:27 UTC) Moonrise 7:45AMMoonset 9:57PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Falcon Heights, MN
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location: 44.96, -93.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN
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Fxus63 kmpx 301722
afdmpx
area forecast discussion
national weather service twin cities/chanhassen mn
1222 pm cdt Thu mar 30 2017

Short term (today and tonight)
issued at 420 am cdt Thu mar 30 2017
isentropic upglide continues across southern mn and west central
wi, but it is weakening. Short term models suggest spotty light
rain should really taper off in most areas after 15z, with just
southeast mn into the eau claire area still seeing a chance of
light rain through the afternoon.

Abundant cloud cover will remain across virtually all of the
forecast area this morning, with some dry air starting to filter
into central mn around midday. But southern mn looks to remain
cloudy most of the day. Thus the coolest temps today will be in
the southern half of our area.

Low pressure in eastern kansas is pretty much vertically stacked,
but it does make slow progress to the east. As it reaches the area
to our south-southeast, drier air is able to begin filtering into
central and west central mn where partial clearing is expected.

This may open the door to radiational fog with light winds amid
surface ridge across northern mn. That will need to be watched.

Otherwise, relatively quiet weather tonight.

Long term (Friday through Wednesday)
issued at 420 am cdt Thu mar 30 2017
the long term concerns remain model handling of the continuing
split flow pattern across the conus. How much interaction with the
two stream flows will determine the sensible weather for the area.

Initially we should see clouds gradually decrease during the day
Friday. This should promote some warming with highs warming
through the 50s.

Following this system... The timing of the next short wave trough
brings the threat of rain to the area later Saturday night to the
southwest and over much of the CWA Sunday into Sunday night.

Moisture appears mainly shunted to the south with some
interaction/phasing of the northern and southern stream systems.

This will likely slow overall precipitation trend a bit. With
abundant cloud cover expected... Especially to the east... Highs
may be tempered somewhat... But we still see 50s.

The ECMWF and GFS along with the canadian models all bring in a
more significant wave across the central CONUS in the tue/wed
time frame. This system has the potential to lift more moisture
north and how much cold air is supplied for the developing surface
low... Could see the potential for some snow across at least parts
of the cwa. The cips analog hazard guidance was indicating at
least a chance(30-50%) of > 2 inches of snow across the central
and east. Of course... This is all conditional with the boundary
layer temperatures even more sensitive now that spring has
arrived. Brief cooling is expected to follow this storm system for
late next week.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Friday afternoon)
issued at 1220 pm cdt Thu mar 30 2017
the main change to the afternoon tafs was to continue the lower
cigs through the day in southern minnesota. Confidence is low that
vfr conditions develop this evening, but a period of lowVFR cigs
are possible. The worst conditions will occur in far southern
minnesota where ifr/MVFR conditions will continue thru most of taf
period. Winds will remain from the east-northeast this afternoon,
and more northeast/north tonight/Friday morning.

Kmsp...

kept MVFR conditions through 00z, with a period of low endVFR
this evening before going back to MVFR early Friday morning.

Confidence is fairly high on the continuation of the MVFR cigs
this afternoon, but lower Friday morning. East-northeast winds of
10-15 kts will continue thru the afternoon, then back to the
north-northeast tonight/Friday morning.

/outlook for kmsp/
sat...VFR. Wind variable less than 5 kts.

Sun...VFR. Chc -ra. Wind sse 5-10 kts.

Mon...VFR. Chc -ra early. Winds light & variable w, bcmg N 5 kts.

Mpx watches/warnings/advisories
Wi... None.

Mn... None.

Short term... Tdk
long term... Dwe
aviation... Jlt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Downtown Holman Field, MN6 mi34 minE 11 G 1610.00 miOvercast46°F35°F66%1010.9 hPa
Minneapolis, Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, MN6 mi34 minE 12 G 2010.00 miOvercast46°F34°F63%1010.7 hPa
South St. Paul Municipal-Richard E. Flemi, MN8 mi33 minENE 910.00 miOvercast45°F34°F67%1010.2 hPa
Minneapolis, Crystal Airport, MN14 mi34 minENE 810.00 miOvercast47°F33°F59%1010.5 hPa
Minneapolis / Blaine, MN14 mi42 minENE 10 G 1510.00 miOvercast48°F35°F62%1010.5 hPa
Lake Elmo Airport, MN16 mi35 minENE 710.00 miOvercast45°F35°F71%1010.5 hPa
Minneapolis - Flying Cloud Airport, MN18 mi34 minENE 1010.00 miOvercast46°F35°F66%1010.2 hPa
Minneapolis, Airlake Airport, MN23 mi35 minENE 13 G 1610.00 miOvercast41°F35°F81%1009.5 hPa

Wind History from MSP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE14
G18
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SE6S8SE7E14E13E13E9E10E13NE9NE10E9NE8
G16
NE9E12E10NE12E13E13NE15E14E12
G20
1 day agoSE4SE4NE3E5E643CalmNE4CalmE3CalmCalmSE5E7E7SE5SE4SE7SE11SE8SE8SE13SE13
G18
2 days agoNE7NE8SE6SE53SE4S4CalmCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE6SE5NE3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Twin Cities, MN (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Minneapolis, MN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.