Tuesday, June19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Omena, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 9:25PM Tuesday June 19, 2018 11:35 PM EDT (03:35 UTC) Moonrise 11:45AMMoonset 12:30AM Illumination 42% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ323 Grand Traverse Bay South Of A Line Grand Traverse Light To Norwood Mi- 1040 Pm Edt Tue Jun 19 2018
Overnight..Light winds. Mostly cloudy after midnight then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..North wind 5 to 10 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday night..North wind 5 to 10 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..East wind 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.
LMZ323 Expires:201806201045;;808409 FZUS53 KAPX 200240 NSHAPX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1040 PM EDT Tue Jun 19 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lakes Huron... Michigan and Superior LMZ323-201045-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Omena, MI
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location: 45, -85.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
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Fxus63 kapx 200239
afdapx
area forecast discussion
national weather service gaylord mi
1039 pm edt Tue jun 19 2018

Update
Issued at 1037 pm edt Tue jun 19 2018
any lingering showers along south of m-55 expected to come to an
end shortly as dry air advection continues through the low and mid
levels. Clouds across the south may be a bit tougher to displace,
although do expect some thinning heading through the overnight.

Generally clear skies across the north half of the area the
remainder of tonight, with just a few passing high clouds.

Near term (through tonight)
issued at 321 pm edt Tue jun 19 2018

Some light showers thru early evening south of m-72...

high impact weather potential... None.

Pattern synopsis forecast... High pressure remains centered over lake
superior this afternoon... While a stationary front is holding just
south of the great lakes region. Our CWA remains along the northern
fringe of the moisture shield associated with the stationary front.

Limited moisture combined with weak lift continues to produce an
area of showers... The northern edge of which is stream thru southern
sections of our cwa... Mainly south of m-72. Meanwhile... Skies are
generally clear across eastern upper michigan under the influence of
strengthening subsidence and dry air thru the column. Places in
between across far northern lower michigan are partly to mostly
sunny and dry with some mid high clouds drifting thru the region
thanks to blow off from convection to the south.

As we head into tonight... Sct nmrs showers will continue to impact
locations mainly south of m-72 into the evening hours... And will
gradually sink southward later in the evening and overnight as high
pressure continues to drop southward into northern michigan. Clouds
will diminish from north to south as well... But our far southern cwa
will hold onto at least some partial cloud cover all night. Temps
will be near normal for this time of year... With overnight lows in
the low to mid 50s.

Short term (Wednesday through Friday)
issued at 321 pm edt Tue jun 19 2018

Seasonal late june weather across the great lakes...

high impact weather potential: none expected through the period, the
next chance for precipitation will be late Friday night and early
Saturday.

Primary forecast concerns challenges: forecast concerns will be
limited through the period, as surface and upper level ridging
remain the main influence over the northern great lakes through the
work week.

Pattern synopsis forecast... The northern great lakes will largely be
dominated by subsidence through the end of the work week, as a large
area of high pressure (which settled into the NRN plains Monday)
drifts south into the state through the end of the work week. Models
do suggest a weak boundary drifting across the ERN lakes Wednesday,
with 850 700mb qvectors showing some weakly organized forcing
influencing northern michigan Wednesday afternoon in response to
this feature. Model soundings show a stable and basically dry
vertical profile Wednesday, showing only some increase in mid lvl
mstr as the boundary drops south across the area. Otherwise model
soundings and mstr progs indicated continued dry airmass setting up
across northern michigan through Friday, as additional subsidence at
upper level settles into the region.

Overall will continue with current line of thinking and keep the
forecast area dry through the period. However there is some evidence
in the latest model runs that enough moisture and energy will lift
north into central lower michigan Friday in advance of the feature
lifting into the ohio valley, to generate a slight chance of rain
over the extreme SRN portion of the forecast area early Friday
evening.

Long term (Friday night through Tuesday)
issued at 321 pm edt Tue jun 19 2018
seasonal temperatures in the mid to upper 70s are expected across
the entire great lakes region through period, as mid lvl temps range
between 8c and 12c at 850mb. A fairly interesting day is setting up
across the region for Saturday, as a feature in the central plains
becomes better organized Thursday and lifts up across lower michigan
Saturday. Cyclonic flow on the backside of this feature exiting
northeast into quebec Sunday, will continue the chance of some pcpn
into Sunday. Some Sun and drier conditions are expected Monday and
Tuesday as surface and upper ridging return to the area.

Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Wednesday evening)
issued at 737 pm edt Tue jun 19 2018
vfr conditions expected through the period with only some passing
high and mid level clouds. Light winds through the period.

Marine
Issued at 321 pm edt Tue jun 19 2018
winds and waves will remain below SCA criteria thru late week as
high pressure gradually builds into northern michigan. Remaining
showers will come to an end this evening... With some decrease in
cloud cover from north to south as well.

Apx watches warnings advisories
Mi... None.

Lh... None.

Lm... None.

Ls... None.

Update... mb
near term... Mr
short term... Sr
long term... Sr
aviation... mb
marine... Mr


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTLM4 - Grand Traverse Light, MI 15 mi55 min ENE 2.9 G 5.1 59°F 1015.2 hPa
45183 19 mi35 min SW 1.9 G 1.9 58°F 57°F1016.3 hPa (-0.6)
45022 35 mi35 min E 7.8 G 7.8 63°F 60°F1016.2 hPa (+0.0)57°F
MACM4 - 9075080 - Mackinaw City, MI 67 mi47 min Calm G 1.9 62°F 1014.7 hPa54°F

Wind History for Mackinaw City, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bellaire, Antrim County Airport, MI15 mi60 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy64°F56°F79%1015.2 hPa
Cherry Capital Airport, MI19 mi42 minNNW 310.00 miOvercast68°F55°F65%1014.4 hPa
Charlevoix, Charlevoix Municipal Airport, MI24 mi60 minN 010.00 miFair61°F55°F83%1016.3 hPa

Wind History from ACB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE6E3E5E3E3E5CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3Calm
1 day agoN5SW4S3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW5SW3NW5CalmNW3N4NW4NW3N5NW5N4N4CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmS4SW3CalmS4SW3S3S3CalmSW6SW4SW5S7SW7SW8SW11
G15
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SW7SW3S3S4SW5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Gaylord, MI (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Gaylord, MI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.