Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
East Jordan, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:50AMSunset 9:18PM Sunday May 26, 2019 3:04 AM EDT (07:04 UTC) Moonrise 1:42AMMoonset 12:04PM Illumination 52% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ323 Grand Traverse Bay South Of A Line Grand Traverse Light To Norwood Mi- 241 Am Edt Sun May 26 2019
Today..North wind 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy early in the morning then clearing. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..Light winds. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Northeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..East wind 5 to 10 knots. Rain showers likely. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.
LMZ323 Expires:201905261445;;474998 FZUS53 KAPX 260641 NSHAPX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Gaylord MI 241 AM EDT Sun May 26 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lakes Huron... Michigan and Superior. Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LMZ323-261445-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near East Jordan city, MI
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location: 45.14, -85.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
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Fxus63 kapx 260641
afdapx
area forecast discussion
national weather service gaylord mi
241 am edt Sun may 26 2019

Near term (today through tonight)
issued at 241 am edt Sun may 26 2019

Dry thru tonight with near seasonal temps...

high impact weather potential... None.

Pattern synopsis forecast... Low pressure has reached james bay early
this morning. Associated cold front has pushed just SE of our cwa.

The arrival of drier air and building subsidence in the wake of this
front has brought an end to all precip across our CWA and has
resulted in mainly clear skies across the western great lakes region.

Little will change today and tonight as high pressure and dry air
thru the column remain firmly in control. Skies will remain mostly
clear thru tonight... With no precip expected. CAA in the wake of the
cold front will result in a noticeably cooler but still rather
pleasant day across the northwoods. Afternoon highs will warm into
the upper 60s and lower 70s this afternoon... With overnight lows in
the mid 40s to around 50 degrees.

Short term (Monday through Tuesday)
issued at 241 am edt Sun may 26 2019
high impact weather potential: thunderstorms possible Tuesday.

Primary forecast concerns challenges: timing of precipitation Monday
afternoon evening.

Pattern synopsis forecast...

high pressure and dry air will give way to an area of low pressure
from the central great plains and return flow Monday. Models are in
decent agreement with increased cloudiness during the morning hours
and precipitation beginning during the afternoon early evening hours
as it spreads southwest to northeast. A warm front from
aforementioned low pressure will produce chances of showers and
possibly thunderstorms as it treks closer to northern michigan.

Highest chances for heavier rain and thunder will be Tuesday as
pwats creep to near 1.50 inches and synoptic forcings improve. High
temperatures will be a bit cooler than Sunday. Temperatures will
only warm into the 60s for both Monday and Tuesday.

Long term (Tuesday night through Saturday)
issued at 241 am edt Sun may 26 2019
high impact weather potential: minimal. An overall wet and cool-ish
week ahead.

Northern michigan will remain on the northern periphery of ridging
anchored over the SE gulf coast states through at least midweek with
more of less zonal flow across the great lakes and stalled boundary
draped across the lower lakes ohio valley region. Longer range
guidance continues to advertise a fairly substantial closed low and
core of cold air dropping down out of canada into the great lakes
for the latter half of the week. Temperatures look to continue to be
below normal... Only reaching into the 60s.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Sunday night)
issued at 100 am edt Sun may 26 2019
high pressure... Subsidence and drier air will continue to build
into northern michigan over the next 24 hours... Resulting in dry
weather and solidVFR conditions. NW wind AOB 10 kts overnight
will into Sunday will become light variable Sunday night.

Marine
Issued at 241 am edt Sun may 26 2019
winds and waves will remain below SCA criteria through Monday night.

Building high pressure will result in no precip today... Tonight and
Monday morning. A warm front and associated moisture will lift
northward into the western great lakes region on Monday... Providing
our next chance of precip beginning Monday afternoon.

Apx watches warnings advisories
Mi... None.

Lh... None.

Lm... None.

Ls... None.

Near term... Mr
short term... Tl
long term... Tl
aviation... Mr
marine... Mr


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45022 18 mi24 min NNE 1.9 G 1.9 47°F 39°F1 ft1014.5 hPa43°F
MACM4 - 9075080 - Mackinaw City, MI 49 mi46 min W 5.1 G 7

Wind History for Mackinaw City, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bellaire, Antrim County Airport, MI11 mi69 minN 010.00 miFair51°F48°F91%1013.9 hPa
Charlevoix, Charlevoix Municipal Airport, MI14 mi69 minSSW 310.00 miFair50°F47°F92%1014.2 hPa
Harbor Springs, Harbor Springs Airport, MI22 mi69 minN 010.00 miFair51°F45°F81%1013.2 hPa

Wind History from ACB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5S6CalmCalmCalmS5SW3SW4S4SW5SW8
G14
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SW8SW3SW4NW7N5CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3E4CalmSW4S4SW3SE3S7S4SE7S7S6SE7S9S5SE7S6
2 days agoCalmS8
G17
S3CalmSW7SW6S4W9W6
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SW5W5NW6CalmN4N3N4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Gaylord, MI (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Gaylord, MI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.