Thursday, August17, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Waddington, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:05AMSunset 8:07PM Thursday August 17, 2017 7:24 AM EDT (11:24 UTC) Moonrise 12:33AMMoonset 3:52PM Illumination 23% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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SLZ024 Saint Lawrence River From Cape Vincent To Saint Regis 941 Pm Edt Wed Aug 16 2017
Overnight..Light and variable winds. Mainly clear.
Thursday..Light and variable winds. Mostly Sunny.
Thursday night..Light and variable winds becoming east 5 to 10 knots. Showers and Thunderstorms likely overnight.
Friday..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day.
Sunday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Partly cloudy.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Mainly clear...then becoming partly cloudy. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Waddington, NY
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location: 45.36, -75.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 171108
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
708 am edt Thu aug 17 2017

Synopsis
High pressure over the area today will bring dry weather to the
area with high temperatures in the 70s to around 80. A warm
front will approach the region later tonight from the southwest
and enhance the potential for showers and a few thunderstorms
across the area... Especially over northern new york. Showers and
a few thunderstorms will exist over the entire area from time
to time... With the potential for some stronger storms over
northern new york late in the day on Friday. Showers and storms
will taper off Friday night... But scattered showers will exist
over the area on Saturday.

Near term through tonight
As of 707 am edt Thursday... Any fog will burn off quickly this
morning and area will just be dealing with mid and high level
clouds in the northwest flow aloft. Not expecting any
precipitation with highs in the 70s to around 80.

For tonight... A well defined warm front will move into the
region from the southwest and enhance the threat of showers and
embedded thunderstorms across northern new york after midnight.

Sharp dew point gradient clearly defines the front and with
noticeable warm air advection at 850 mb... Showers should be
likely with the front. Sharp gradient of showalter index values
moves into northern new york after midnight and this will
enhance the potential for elevated convection.

Short term Friday through Saturday
As of 503 am edt Thursday... Showers and a few thunderstorms
will be ongoing across much of the area Friday morning as warm
front lifts northeast across the region. Areal coverage of the
showers should decrease around midday as warm front lifts north
of the border. Composite analysis shows northern new york
getting into the warm sector and instability should develop with
highs in the 70s and dew points in the 65 to 70 degree range.

At the same time deep layer shear will be increasing over the
top of the instability and would expect the potential for
thunderstorms to develop in advance of the approaching cold
front. Will have to keep an eye on this situation because if
sufficient instability develops storms may get organized enough
to produce gusty winds... Hail... And heavy downpours. Mid level
lapse rates are not impressive and thus will need surface
heating to help drive the development of instability. Best
instability may be across central and southeast new york where
shear is a bit weaker. Precipitable water values in this area
will be around 2 inches as well. Clouds and showers over vermont
on Friday will keep highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s... But
over northern new york highs will be in the 70s to around 80.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
As of 503 am edt Thursday... Mainly dry weather is expected from
Saturday night through Tuesday morning. Cold air advection
continues Saturday night behind departing surface cold front
that crossed the area Friday night. Ridge of surface high
pressure centered over ohio river valley will build into our
region and remain through early Tuesday. An upper level trough
will push across our forecast area Saturday night and Sunday.

Looks like good eclipse viewing weather for Monday afternoon.

Southwest flow will develop Tuesday as surface ridge moves east
of the region, this flow will also advect some much warmer air
into the north country. A low pressure system will pass from the
northern great lakes area on Tuesday northeastward into central
quebec on Wednesday. Best chance for rain showers will be
Tuesday night into Wednesday with surface cold frontal passage.

Upper level trough will lag behind a bit, crossing our area
Thursday night into Friday. Overall the work week looks
unsettled.

Aviation 11z Thursday through Monday
Through 12z Friday... Overall looking atVFR conditions through
much of the period. However... After 04z conditions will trend
toward the MVFR category as a warm front moves into northern new
york. Showers will increase in areal coverage over northern new
york and the potential for some thunderstorms will also exist to
help lower ceilings and visibilities. The champlain valley may
see some showers and storms right toward the end of the period
along with the trend to MVFR conditions. Winds will generally be
under 10 knots through about 06z... Then increase from the
southeast during the remainder of the period.

Outlook...

Friday:VFR MVFR. Likely shra... Slight chance tsra.

Friday night:VFR. Likely shra... Slight chance tsra.

Saturday:VFR. Chance shra... Slight chance tsra.

Saturday night:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Sunday:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Sunday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Monday:VFR. No sig wx.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Evenson
near term... Evenson
short term... Evenson
long term... Neiles
aviation... Evenson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OBGN6 - 8311030 - Ogdensburg, NY 49 mi55 min 57°F 1017.6 hPa

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Massena, Massena International-Richards Field, NY59 mi32 minSW 410.00 miFair55°F54°F96%1018.1 hPa

Wind History from MSS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN644NE4NW7NW6W6W9N8NW9
G17
NW7W5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4SW4SW4SW3CalmSW4SW4
1 day agoSE4CalmSE4SW5W7SW4W9W5W4SW18
G24
3S3CalmCalmSW4SW4SW4W3NW4NW3NW5NW4NW5NW6
2 days agoSW5SW8SW9SW10SW10W8SW7
G17
SW9SW8SW8SW7SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmNE3--

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.