Wednesday, May23, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Chateaugay, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:14AMSunset 8:30PM Wednesday May 23, 2018 8:36 PM EDT (00:36 UTC) Moonrise 2:06PMMoonset 2:40AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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SLZ024 Saint Lawrence River From Cape Vincent To Saint Regis 734 Pm Edt Wed May 23 2018
Tonight..Northwest winds 10 knots or less. Mainly clear.
Thursday..Light and variable winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Sunny.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Mainly clear.
Friday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers.
Friday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Saturday night.
Sunday..East winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chateaugay, NY
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location: 45.41, -73.91     debug

Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 232328
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
728 pm edt Wed may 23 2018

High pressure will provide fair conditions and seasonable
temperatures tonight through Thursday night. May see an isolated
shower or thunderstorm northern sections late Friday, along with
warmer temperatures with valley highs in the low to mid 80s on
Friday. More uncertainty arrives by the upcoming weekend as an
increase in moisture and a cold front sinking southward from
canada may lead to periods of rain showers, especially Saturday
and Saturday night.

Near term through Thursday night
As of 719 pm edt Wednesday... Monitoring just a couple of isold
early evening showers vcnty jay peak newport tracking sewd at
25-30 mph. Anticipate gradual dissipation with onset of diurnal
cooling cycle and loss of steep pbl lapse rates. Winds generally
w-nw at 5-10 mph... But will become light and variable and
controlled by local orographic influences by 02z or so. May see
some patchy frost in the colder spots of the NRN adirondacks and
hallows of vermont's northeast kingdom. Most locations will see
somewhat crisp temperatures with pre-dawn lows in the low-mid
40s, and locally in the mid 30s far nern vt and around kslk.

High pressure remains our controlling weather feature for
Thursday and Thursday night. Pops nil. Temps will be slightly
cooler than normal in the upper 60s to low 70s Thursday as we're
still on the western edge of the departing trough, but
increasing southerly flow Thursday night will keep lows mild in
the upper 40s to upper 50s. Looking at very comfortable humidity
on Thursday with dewpoints in the low-mid 30s.

Short term Friday through Friday night
As of 345 pm edt Wednesday... A warm and windy day is expected
Friday with a chance of showers and thunderstorms across our
northern zones Friday afternoon and into the evening. Southerly
flow will become westerly by mid day on Friday and temps will
warm rapidly. The westerly warm air advection will bring 925mb
temps of 18c to 21c over the region meaning low to mid 80s can
be expected. Expect gusts during the morning and afternoon hours
of between 25-30 mph. With the higher temps and decent mixing
there's some potential for showers to develop in the afternoon
hours on Friday. Showalters turn negative across much of
northern vermont and northern new york during the afternoon.

Long term Saturday through Wednesday
As of 353 pm edt Wednesday... Lots of uncertainty still with the
weekend forecast, though the period looks active with several
chances for rain showers. Models are still indicating a back
door cold front dropping south across our region later in the
day Saturday and bringing with it a chance for light rain
showers. This front will stall out to our south Saturday night
and into Sunday. There will be clouds across the region, and
continued chance for light rain showers during the day Sunday.

Models are leaning towards a solution where it's wetter in
northern new york than in vermont and this is reflected in my
forecast with likely wording in ny and chance in vt. An upper
level trough will swing through the region on Monday into Monday
night bringing more chances for showers and possible thunder in
northern new york. Temperatures will be near normal during the
weekend and heading into next week, generally low 70s for highs.

Ridge of surface high pressure will build back into the region
for Tue and Wed of next week.

Aviation 23z Wednesday through Monday
Through 00z Friday...VFR and mostly clear conditions are
expected through the period at the TAF sites. Daytime cumulus
clouds will dissipate 00-02z with few-sct200-250 thru the
remainder of the period. Light and variable winds overnight, and
generally 10kts or less for the daylight hours on Thursday.


Thursday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Friday:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Friday night: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance shra.

Saturday: MVFR ifr conditions possible. Chance shra.

Saturday night: mainly MVFR, with local ifr possible. Chance

Sunday:VFR. Chance shra.

Sunday night: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance shra.

Memorial day: mainly MVFR, with areasVFR possible. Chance shra,
slight chance tsra.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Jmg lahiff
near term... Banacos lahiff
short term... Neiles
long term... Neiles
aviation... Banacos lahiff

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OBGN6 - 8311030 - Ogdensburg, NY 97 mi49 min 68°F 1015.7 hPa

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Franklin County State Airport, VT54 mi62 minWNW 510.00 miFair69°F35°F29%1013.9 hPa

Wind History from FSO (wind in knots)
Last 24hrS4S6CalmCalmSW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4SW4SW5SW4W6NW6NW6N6N5N4CalmCalmNW5N4
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4CalmE4CalmS4S7S7
2 days agoW3CalmCalmCalmSW3S3S5S4CalmCalmSE4CalmSW4SW5S7SW6SW6W6W4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.