Tuesday, October17, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Garibaldi, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:31AMSunset 6:23PM Tuesday October 17, 2017 5:20 PM PDT (00:20 UTC) Moonrise 4:10AMMoonset 4:54PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ250 Coastal Waters From Cape Shoalwater Wa To Cascade Head Or Out 10 Nm- Waters From Cape Shoalwater Wa To Cascade Head Or From 10 To 60 Nm- 231 Pm Pdt Tue Oct 17 2017
.small craft advisory for hazardous seas in effect until 9 pm pdt this evening...
.gale warning in effect from late tonight through Wednesday evening...
Tonight..NW wind 10 kt with gusts to 15 kt, then becoming S 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves nw 2 ft at 4 seconds, then shifting to the S 3 ft at 4 seconds after midnight. W swell 10 ft at 11 seconds, subsiding to 7 ft at 11 seconds after midnight. Chance of rain early. Rain likely after midnight.
Wed..S wind 25 to 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Combined seas 9 ft with a dominant period of 10 seconds, building to 15 ft with a dominant period of 9 seconds in the afternoon. Rain.
Wed night..S wind 30 to 35 kt with gusts to 40 kt, becoming sw 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt after midnight. Combined seas 16 ft with a dominant period of 11 seconds in the evening. Rain.
Thu..SW wind 20 to 25 kt. Wind waves sw 5 ft at 7 seconds. W swell 12 ft at 11 seconds, building to 18 ft at 16 seconds in the afternoon. Showers and a slight chance of tstms.
Thu night..SW wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Wind waves sw 4 ft at 6 seconds. W swell 22 ft at 17 seconds. Showers and a slight chance of tstms.
Fri..W wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Wind waves 4 ft. W swell 18 ft. Showers likely.
Fri night..SW wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 ft. W swell 14 ft. Rain.
Sat..S wind 25 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Combined seas 17 ft.
Sun..SW wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 ft. W swell 13 ft.
PZZ200 231 Pm Pdt Tue Oct 17 2017
Synopsis for southern washington and northern oregon coast.. A weakening cold front will push across the waters this morning. A much stronger frontal storm system arrives Wed and Thu, with southerly gales expected. Seas will likely reach 20 ft Thu night. Another strong strong front will arrive on Sat.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Garibaldi, OR
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location: 45.57, -123.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Portland, OR
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Fxus66 kpqr 172149
afdpqr
area forecast discussion
national weather service portland or
249 pm pdt Tue oct 17 2017

Synopsis A series of progressively moister fronts bring a
prolonged period of wet weather through next weekend. Breezy
conditions are expected Wednesday and Thursday as well as periods of
heavy rain. Snow levels will lower to near the cascade passes Friday
and Saturday. Another front may continue rain early next week, but
building pressure aloft may keep this system to the north.

Short term Today through Friday... Light rain with a cold front
moving across SW washington and extreme NW oregon will be confined to
the south washington and north oregon cascades this evening. The
front should move east of the cascades tonight and the rain will end.

Satellite imagery suggests that there will be clearing behind the
front. Clear skies, light winds, and lingering surface moisture will
likely lead to fog in some of the interior valleys. High clouds
moving in over the area ahead of an approaching warm front may inhibit
fog development to the north, but areas south of salem have a good
chance of seeing valley fog Wednesday morning.

The warm front will begin to spread rain Wednesday morning to
northern and coastal areas, and move inland throughout the day. The
rain will mostly stay to the north, and do not expect much if any
rain south of salem (except for the coast). This front will have a
better tap into the subtropical moisture that extends across the
north pacific to SE asia. Modeled precipitable water values are
initializing well with satellite estimations and forecast 1.10 inches
at ksle (salem airport) Wednesday morning. This is way above the
october daily average of 0.7 inch.

The high amount of available moisture provides greater confidence
that the rain will be heavy at times. The highest rainfall totals
will be for the willapa hills, extreme SW washington coast, and the
sw washington cascades where 0.75 to 1.25 inch of rain is possible
Wednesday morning through Wednesday afternoon. The north oregon
cascades and rest of SW washington may see 0.20 to 0.40 inch of rain
with less than 0.015 between the columbia river and salem.

Besides the rain, this front will also increase winds along the coast
Wednesday morning through afternoon. Models are looking more
favorable that the beaches and headlands could have gusts close to 60
mph, so have issued a high wind watch for the beaches and headlands.

Although these wind speeds are not particularly strong for the coast,
they will be the strongest winds the coast has seen in quite a while.

Any weakened trees or limbs may easily fall if these wind gusts
materialize which could temporarily disrupt travel or power. Gusty
winds are expected inland as well with gusts up to 30 mph for the
willamette valley.

The trailing cold front will move across the area Wednesday night and
Thursday for widespread rain. Rainfall totals will be higher with
this front. An additional 1 to 3 inches of rain is possible for the
higher terrain of SW washington and north oregon Wednesday night
through Thursday evening. Other areas (including lane county) can
expect 0.75 to 1.5 inch of rain. The cold front will also bring a
period of gusty winds to the region. The winds will not be as strong
as Wednesday but will become noticeable in most areas.

An upper trough continues showers Thursday night and Friday. These
showers will be more unstable with the possibility for thunderstorms
near the coast. Snow levels will lower to near the cascade passes
Thursday night and Friday morning. The higher cascades could see 4 to
8 inches of new snow with these showers Thursday night through Friday
afternoon. Localized spots near the passes could see 1 to 3 inches of
snow. ~tj

Long term Friday night through Tuesday... .Snow levels will start
to rise as Saturday approaches. A frontal system will start to pass
through the region on Saturday, which has the potential to bring
significant rain into the area. Expect gusty winds especially along
the coast and in the higher terrain of the coast range through
Saturday. A new frontal system might continue to bring rain and
showers into the area as we enter early next week.

Timing and location of the heaviest rainfall may continue to change
with future updates, the key message is that a rather wet weather
system may bring abundant rainfall to the area. Expect to see some
rises on area rivers, especially in the coastal basins, and if the
heavy rain sets up over urban areas, some localized urban flooding
issues could develop. Also, locations with significant burn scars
should be aware of possible land or mud slides. Bishop

Aviation A weakening front is dropping southeastward across
the area this afternoon and is producing a mix of MVFR and ifr
conditions as it passes over TAF sites. Behind this front, skies
should clear and winds should decrease somewhat so that
additional fog and low clouds could produce additional ifr and
MVFR conditions overnight. In addition, a warm front lifting
northeastward across our northern sites Wednesday morning may
produce additional ifr and MVFR conditions as light rain spreads
into the area, particularly at kast.

Kpdx and approaches... A mix of ifr and MVFR conditions will
likely impact the site for a couple more hours before clearer
skies arriving from the northwest returnVFR conditions to the
terminal. The resulting break in the clouds may allow fog and
low clouds to redevelop overnight. A warm front will likely
spread light rain into the area Wednesday morning. Neuman

Marine A warm front will lift northeastward across the
northern waters Wednesday morning. This should spread gale force
southerly wind gusts of 35 to 40 kt into the northern waters
Wednesday morning before gradually filling in across the central
oregon waters late Wednesday. A trailing cold front will then
drop southeastward and bring an end to the gale force winds
late Wednesday across the northern waters and towards daybreak on
Thursday across the central oregon waters. In addition, coastal
jet development will likely produce locally stronger wind gusts
of 45 kt within 10 nm of the coast. Either way, the strong winds
should allow seas to climb into at least the mid teens across the
waters late Wednesday.

Winds will likely drop into low end small craft advisory criteria
behind the front, which should allow seas to drop into the low
teens early Thursday. However, this decrease in the seas will
likely be short lived as a large westerly swell of 20 to 22 ft
appears increasingly likely to impact the waters beginning midday
Thursday. High surf advisories will likely be needed. An
additional storm system capable of producing at least gale force
wind gusts appears on track for either late Friday or Saturday
as well. Neuman

Pqr watches warnings advisories
Or... High wind watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday
evening for north oregon coast.

Wa... High wind watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday
evening for south washington coast.

Pz... Gale warning from 5 am to 11 pm pdt Wednesday for coastal
waters from CAPE shoalwater wa to cascade head or out 60
nm.

Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 9 pm pdt this
evening for coastal waters from CAPE shoalwater wa to
cascade head or out 60 nm.

Gale warning from 2 pm Wednesday to 9 am pdt Thursday for
coastal waters from cascade head or to florence or out 60
nm.

Small craft advisory for rough columbia river bar until 6 pm
pdt this evening.

Small craft advisory for rough columbia river bar from 1 am to
6 am pdt Wednesday.

Small craft advisory for rough columbia river bar from 2 pm
Wednesday to 3 am pdt Thursday.

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TLBO3 - 9437540 - Garibaldi, Tillamook Bay, OR 2 mi50 min 53°F1021.8 hPa
46096 43 mi110 min N 3.9 G 5.8 54°F 54°F1022.2 hPa
ASTO3 - 9439040 - Astoria, OR 45 mi50 min N 8 G 8 57°F 58°F1021.5 hPa
46243 - Clatsop Spit, OR - 162 46 mi50 min 53°F8 ft
46029 - COL RIVER BAR - 20NM West of Columbia River Mouth 49 mi90 min N 5.8 G 5.8 56°F 56°F10 ft1021.9 hPa (+0.9)49°F

Wind History for Garibaldi, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tillamook, Tillamook Airport, OR12 mi25 minWNW 410.00 miFair55°F48°F77%1022 hPa

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Last 24hrNW3CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4CalmCalmW3CalmS6SE6S13
G18
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1 day agoW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmNW6W10NW6
2 days agoNW6NE3CalmS3CalmCalmS3CalmCalmSE3CalmSE3CalmCalmNE3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NW4W4NW5

Tide / Current Tables for Barview, Tillamook Bay, Oregon
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Barview
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Tue -- 05:09 AM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:23 AM PDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:35 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:29 AM PDT     7.45 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:54 PM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:57 PM PDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:25 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:48 PM PDT     6.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
6.45.43.92.41.20.50.61.63.24.96.57.37.46.65.23.62.11.10.71.22.445.66.6

Tide / Current Tables for Brighton, Nehalem River, Oregon
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Brighton
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Tue -- 05:09 AM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:23 AM PDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:35 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:41 AM PDT     7.95 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:54 PM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:58 PM PDT     0.91 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:25 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
764.52.81.50.70.81.83.35.16.77.77.97.25.84.12.51.30.91.42.64.25.87

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Portland, OR (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.