Wednesday, January23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Warrenton, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:42AMSunset 5:05PM Wednesday January 23, 2019 4:18 AM PST (12:18 UTC) Moonrise 8:38PMMoonset 9:41AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ210 Columbia River Bar- 244 Am Pst Wed Jan 23 2019
.small craft advisory for rough columbia river bar in effect through this evening... - in the main channel... - general seas...around 10 feet through early Thursday. - first ebb...around 615 am this morning. Seas building to 12 to 14 feet with breakers. - second ebb...very strong ebb around 630 pm this evening. Seas building to 14 to 16 feet with breakers. - third ebb...around 715 am Thursday morning. Seas building to 10 to 12 feet with breakers possible.
PZZ200 244 Am Pst Wed Jan 23 2019
Synopsis for the southern washington and northern oregon coast.. A cold front moving through the waters will push onshore this morning. High pressure then builds over the waters today and will likely remain through the upcoming weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Warrenton, OR
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location: 46.17, -123.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Portland, OR
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Fxus66 kpqr 231113
afdpqr
area forecast discussion
national weather service portland or
300 am pst Wed jan 23 2019

Synopsis After some lingering light rain and drizzle today, high
pressure building over the northeast pacific will likely bring dry
weather and mild temperatures into at least early next week.

Short term Today through Saturday... A shortwave trough moving
across washington state pushed a frontal rain band southeastward
across the area overnight. This band of steadier rain has shifted
southward into southwest oregon where it will stall and dissipate in
place over the next 12-24 hours. Farther north, very gentle
isentropic lift along the 285k-290k surfaces will lead to areas of
drizzle and light rain through at least this morning across the
area. Thereafter, shortwave ridging slowly shifts towards the
region, which should result in the area beginning to dry out late
this afternoon and evening.

Low clouds may be stubborn to dissipate entirely tonight, though. In
areas that clear, areas of fog should develop quickly. Fog and low
clouds should gradually clear Thursday and give way to high
temperatures near to slightly above average for the date. Models
then suggest a shortwave trough dropping southeastward across the
inland northwest will likely bring a brief increase in clouds and
winds to the higher terrain late Thursday. There is an outside
chance of light rain across our far northern zones, but the bulk of
the area will almost certainly remain dry.

Shortwave ridging will then become more solidly entrenched across the
pacific northwest Friday and Saturday. This should result in areas of
valley morning fog and mild temperatures. Weak offshore flow on
Saturday may result in the central oregon coast and portions of the
coast range and cascade foothills warming well into the 60s on
Saturday. Thinking morning low clouds and fog will keep temperatures
from warming too much in the willamette valley, though. Neuman

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday... Operational models
and their ensembles are in good agreement a large ridge of high
pressure will more or less continue across the northeast pacific into
early next week. This will produce a multi-day stretch of dry
weather, initially mild temperatures, and areas of late night and
morning valley fog. It should be noted that models are also coming
into agreement a shortwave trough diving southward out of canada will
push cooler air into the columbia basin and turn the flow more
solidly offshore Sunday night into Monday. At this point, models
suggest a modest downslope wind event, but will need to monitor this
in the coming days. Otherwise, operational models suggest it will
remain dry through the middle of next week, but there are some
ensemble members that suggest rain chances begin to increase. As a
result, kept slight chance pops in the forecast for late Tuesday and
Wednesday to account for the uncertainty. Neuman

Aviation A cold front moving onshore brought a band of
steadier precipitation and gusty southerly winds through the
region overnight. The rain band has now moved south into lane
county and will dissipate over the next couple of hours. Winds
will also gradually subside over the next few hours. Expect
widespread light rain to continue this morning, then become
increasingly confined to the higher terrain this afternoon and
tonight. The low level moisture that accompanied this front has
brought steadily deteriorating conditions this morning, with
current observations showing mainly ifr at the coast, with
predominantly MVFR over the interior. Expect little change
through the day, although CIGS may lift a bit in the afternoon.

The latest model soundings show that the low stratus may just
persist through tonight. If any clearing does occur late today or
tonight, it would almost certainly result in fog formation
overnight.

Kpdx and approaches... Expect MVFR CIGS through most of today.

Light rain and gusty southerly winds should gradually decrease
through the day. MVFR may end up persisting through tonight.

However, if any scattering in the clouds occurs this evening,
there is potential for ifr fog overnight into Thu morning. Pyle

Marine A cold front moving through the waters will push
onshore this morning. There are still some gusts around 35 kt
being reported over the northern waters, so will hold on to the
existing gale warning through 4 am. Winds will subside fairly
quickly behind the front and should be westerly at 15 kt or less
by early this afternoon. High pressure will then begin to build
over the waters tonight and remain in place through the rest of
the week and much of the weekend. This will result in light winds
for the next few days. Winds will become northerly and
potentially gusty later in the weekend and into early next week.

Seas will remain in the low to mid teens through most of tonight.

A longer period swell will be arriving this morning that should
push dominant periods to around 14 to 15 seconds. Seas will
subside gradually tonight and should be back below 10 ft sometime
on Thu morning. Then seas will remain in the 7 to 8 ft range
through the rest of the week and into next weekend. Pyle

Pqr watches warnings advisories
Or... None.

Wa... None.

Pz... Gale warning until 4 am pst early this morning for coastal
waters from CAPE shoalwater wa to cascade head or out 60
nm.

Small craft advisory for winds until 7 am pst this morning for
coastal waters from cascade head or to florence or out 60
nm.

Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 4 pm pst this
afternoon for coastal waters from cascade head or to
florence or out 60 nm.

Small craft advisory for rough columbia river bar until 10 pm
pst this evening.

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ASTO3 - 9439040 - Astoria, OR 8 mi31 min SW 21 G 28 50°F 43°F1019.4 hPa
46243 - Clatsop Spit, OR - 162 11 mi49 min 51°F14 ft
46029 - COL RIVER BAR - 20NM West of Columbia River Mouth 30 mi29 min WSW 23 G 29 51°F 52°F14 ft1019.6 hPa (-0.0)49°F
TOKW1 - 9440910 - Toke Point, WA 37 mi31 min WSW 19 G 24 1018.3 hPa
46248 - Astoria Canyon, OR (179) 39 mi49 min 52°F13 ft
TLBO3 - 9437540 - Garibaldi, Tillamook Bay, OR 42 mi31 min 1024.1 hPa

Wind History for Astoria, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Astoria, Astoria Regional Airport, OR2 mi24 minSW 16 G 262.50 miLight Rain Fog/Mist51°F51°F100%1020 hPa

Wind History from AST (wind in knots)
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmS4E5CalmNE4N3N3NW10NW10W3CalmS4CalmSE5SE5SE4CalmSE3CalmSE3E3SE4
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmE3S3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE4SE4SE3SE4

Tide / Current Tables for Warrenton, Skipanon River, Columbia River, Oregon
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Warrenton
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Wed -- 03:04 AM PST     8.58 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:48 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:37 AM PST     2.35 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:40 AM PST     Moonset
Wed -- 02:29 PM PST     9.71 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:07 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:38 PM PST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:16 PM PST     -0.95 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.26.47.98.68.16.85.13.62.62.43.3578.69.69.68.46.43.91.7-0-0.9-0.60.7

Tide / Current Tables for Chinook, Baker Bay, Washington
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Portland, OR (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.