Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ashland, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:43AMSunset 9:17PM Sunday May 26, 2019 3:58 PM ADT (18:58 UTC) Moonrise 1:38AMMoonset 11:52AM Illumination 47% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ashland, ME
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location: 46.62, -68.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 261518
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1118 am edt Sun may 26 2019

Synopsis
A warm front is crossing the area this morning, and will be
followed by a cold front late today. A secondary cold front will
cross the area Monday followed by high pressure on Tuesday.

Near term through tonight
11:20 am update... Sky and pops remain on target this hour.

However, temps in eastern areas under the low stratus and
drizzle remain cool so adjusted mainly temps across the east and
north.

Previous discussion...

the rain will taper off from west to east by mid-morning.

However, with a fairly moist onshore flow in place, don't expect
much if any clearing today except perhaps north west of the
mountains into the north woods.

Attention then turns to afternoon convection as a cold front
approaches from the west. West of bangor and into quebec there
will be a fair amount of CAPE up to about 1000 j kg with
surface-based convection firing just ahead of the cold front.

Storms move into moosehead lake region around midday then
progress east early and mid afternoon. However, while the storms
will be surface-based around moosehead lake, as they move east
into the more stable marine layer, they will weaken. They could
hold together to places like bangor and caribou, but will fall
apart as they head further east toward eastport. Although most
places will get wet from the showers and storms this afternoon,
some places may stay dry from the hit and miss convection, and
it doesn't look like an all-afternoon event for those with
outdoor plans.

Cold front moving through late afternoon and evening will
gradually dry things out with some clearing late in the night.

Short term Monday through Tuesday night
A cold front will approach from the northwest early in the day
on Monday and move across the region during the afternoon. This
system is expected to produce some showers across the area as it
moves through. High pressure will build in behind the cold front
Monday night and crest over the region early Tuesday. Expect
mostly sunny conditions on Tuesday. Clouds are expected to
increase Tuesday night as a warm front approaches with rain
overspreading the region ahead of the warm front.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday
Rain is expected on Wednesday and Thursday as an area of low
pressure moves from west to east along the warm front. Another
cold front is then expected to move across the area on Friday
with more showers expected. High pressure is then expected to
build in from the west on Friday.

Aviation 15z Sunday through Thursday
Near term: generally ifr in low clouds and rain as of 6am.

Though the steadier rain is tapering off from west to east,
still will only be slow improvement to ceilings through the
morning, with ifr slowly improving to MVFR late morning into
early afternoon except perhapsVFR north west of the mountains
including places like kgnr. Possibility of storms in the early
to mid afternoon, with the best shot being kgnr and kbgr.

Improving toVFR this evening and overnight as cold front moves
through and atmosphere dries out.

Short term:VFR conditions are expected on Monday and Tuesday.

MVFR ifr conditions are then expected Tuesday night through
Thursday.

Marine
Near term: small craft advisory in effect this morning with a
warm front moving through. Looks very marginal with conditions
only barely reaching small craft levels, then improving back
below small craft this afternoon and tonight.

Short term: have used the NAM to initialize winds however will
reduce model winds by 15 percent due to cold sea surface
temperatures (mid 40s). Expect southerly wind wave becoming
northwesterly, is expected to be the primary wave system on
Monday. Southerly wind wave will develop again on Tuesday. A
southeasterly fetch will develop across the gulf of maine on
Wednesday.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Foisy hewitt bloomer
short term... Mignone
long term... Mignone
aviation... Foisy hewitt mignone
marine... Foisy hewitt mignone


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Presque Isle, ME19 mi63 minSSE 810.00 miOvercast53°F51°F93%1010.7 hPa

Wind History from PQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6SE6S10S6S7S7S9S11
G18
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1 day ago6NW3NE8N5--NW4CalmNW9N5N6S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3NE35Calm
2 days agoS10
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5SE8SE9SE6S8SW4SE4SE4SE4E4E7NE5E6E6NE6NE8NE10NE11NE13E10NE12
G19
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E10

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.