Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Eagle Lake, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 4:55AMSunset 8:24PM Sunday May 26, 2019 4:00 PM EDT (20:00 UTC) Moonrise 1:47AMMoonset 11:59AM Illumination 47% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eagle Lake, ME
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 47.13, -70.37     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kcar 261933
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
333 pm edt Sun may 26 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will continue east of the state this evening
followed by a secondary cold front on Monday. High pressure will
push into the area Monday night and crest over the region on
Tuesday.

Near term through Monday
A cold front will be pushing east across the new brunswick
border early this evening. Some showers and isolated
thunderstorms will be along the front early in the evening with
the best chance for any thunder from east central areas on south
to interior downeast. This will be followed by some clearing
overnight as high pressure begins to push in from the west. A
chilly upper trough of low pressure sliding southeast into
quebec will pull a secondary cold front through on Monday, first
across the north during the morning then reaching the downeast
coast late in the afternoon. A stray showers can't be ruled out
with the front, especially in far western areas. However, the
latest guidance is bringing the front through dry and only some
spotty cumulus will be likely in most areas as the front presses
through. Cooler and much drier air will filter into the area,
especially over the north, following the frontal passage late on
Monday.

Short term Monday night through Wednesday
Weak shortwave ridging builds in Monday night through at least
Tuesday. As a result, the associated subsidence should keep
things dry and allow for minimal cloud cover. The possible
exception is along the downeast maine on Tuesday, where it
might just be close enough to a shortwave trough passing to the
southwest south for a partly vice mostly sunny day. Lows Monday
night should be around 10 degrees below normal, with decent
radiational cooling conditions likely. Highs on Tuesday should
be a few degrees below normal.

Models then differ on the strength and timing of a northern
stream ridge for Tuesday night Wednesday that follows behind
the shortwave ridging for Monday night Tuesday. The GFS is the
slowest, most amplified with this ridging, while the other
models while faster less amplified are trending towards the gfs.

This ridging will be the key to the forecast Tuesday
night Wednesday, because its strength and timing will determine
how far N or weak coastal low gets - and as a result how much
over running is set up in the low levels over the region. For
now think the 12z ECMWF is a reasonable compromise, but cannot
rule out the GFS idea ultimately winning out.

As a result, have scaled back pops and cloud cover Tuesday
night and Wednesday. Tuesday night is now mainly dry - with the
best chance for any rain over downeast maine, where the best
over running, if any of note happens, could occur given the
overall pattern. For Wednesday, it appears the best chance for
any rain will be during the morning (once again best chance over
downeast maine), as over running should weaken in the afternoon
with a weak surface low (a key part to the over running set up)
tracking well to the S se.

Lows Tuesday night and highs on Wednesday should be a few
degrees below normal.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
High pres will slide off to the east Wednesday night allowing
for a return to set up around the high. This will bring in llvl
moisture on SE winds. A warm front is forecast to lift N across
the region later Wednesday night into early Thursday. The latest
12z ecwmf and canadian global are similar in showing a round of
rain initially transitioning to showers by Thursday afternoon
as the front lifts up across the region. The 12z GFS is drier by
at least 12 hrs. Attm, decided to take of blend including the
ecmwf and canadian showing the initial round of rain. There
looks to be a brief break in the action Thursday afternoon and
then another round of rain and possible tstms Thursday night as
low pres moves up along the apchg cold front. WAA W some slight
cooling aloft could allow for enough instability to trigger
embedded tstms. Confidence is not high enough to include in the
forecast this far out. Therefore, decided on going W rain
Thursday night tapering to showers on Friday. If the this trend
continues, the later shifts can introduce thunder into the
extended forecast. Next weekend could start out dry on Saturday
and then another shot for rain as the region stays under a broad
upper trof. The ECMWF and a number of its ensembles show this
broad upper trof in place.

Temperatures, especially during the daytime look to be near or
slightly below normal for late may.

Aviation 18z Sunday through Friday
Near term: conditions will improve toVFR, first downeast early
this evening then across the north late in the evening.VFR
conditions are then expected late tonight through Monday.

Short term:VFR Monday night and Tuesday. MVFR or lower
conditions are possible Tuesday night and Wednesday, with the
best chance over downeast maine.

Marine
Near term: winds and seas are expected to remain below sca
tonight and Monday.

Short term: winds diminish Monday night to around 10 kt or less
by midnight and remain fairly light through Wednesday. There is
a chance for gusts to around 20 kt Wednesday afternoon on the
coastal ocean waters.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Bloomer
short term... Maloit
long term... Hewitt
aviation... Bloomer maloit
marine... Bloomer maloit


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Clayton Lake, ME57 mi1.7 hrsVar 4 mi62°F59°F90%1007.3 hPa

Wind History from 40B (wind in knots)
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
-12
PM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
Last 24hr45
G12
63Calm4S9
G14
S8
G14
64--5
G12
55S84Calm42Calm3Calm43
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalm--Calm3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm2--Calm44233
G12
4SE7
G14
2 days ago443334Calm435
G12
345
G12
NE6
G12
NE7
G14
5
G12
NE6
G14
5
G14
--5
G12
NE75
G10
NE7
G14
5

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (16,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.