Monday, January22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Eagle Lake, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 4:34PM Monday January 22, 2018 11:13 AM EST (16:13 UTC) Moonrise 11:06AMMoonset 11:20PM Illumination 33% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eagle Lake, ME
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 47.13, -70.37     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kcar 221438
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
938 am est Mon jan 22 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will remain north of the area today. Low pressure
will approach tonight. The low will track west of the area on
Tuesday as a weak secondary low forms over northern maine.

Near term through tonight
Update 9:30 am: modified sky cover a bit to go mostly clear
through the rest of the morning over the north before increasing
clouds. Otherwise, no major changes this hour.

Expect strong high pressure ridging from james bay southeastward
across northern maine, to slowly move away to the north today.

At the same time a warm front will approach from the southwest
as intensifying low pressure moves into the great lakes. Warm
advection will result in snow spreading across the region later
this afternoon and tonight. The snow will change to mixed
precipitation then rain across the coast and interior downeast
late tonight. For precipitation type have used the precipitation
from thickness tool run on a 50 50 blend of the NAM and gfs. For
snow amounts have used snow ratios based on model blends. Also
expect some ice accumulation across most of the region tonight.

For ice accumulation have used the frat tool.

Short term Tuesday through Wednesday night
At the start of the pd expect pcpn wl be ongoing acrs CWA with rain
expected along the coast as 35-40kt h8 jet brings in warm air aloft
with warm air also advecting in at the sfc. Appears as tho sfc temps
are abv frzg at the sfc as far north as central hancock and
washington county by 12z Tue thus all rain expected around
daybreak Tue morning.

00z GFS and NAM are similar with temps aloft when viewing bufkit
soundings for Tue morning. As warm air advects in aloft expect
interior downeast areas to go over to plain rain by 16z with a brief
snow sleet freezing rain mix. Colder air wl hang on longer acrs the
north where 7+ inches expected to fall ovr NRN aroostook late mon
night into Tue afternoon before beginning to mix over twd 21z. Not
only will snow fall at times during the day but a fair amount of
sleet is expected acrs the north in the afternoon. For this reason
hv issued a winter storm warning for northern aroostook with around
10 inches of snow expected in a 36-hr period along with an inch of
sleet. The bulk of the snow wl lkly fall btwn midnight and noon on
tue bfr transitioning to a mix. Wildcard wl be potential for
secondary low dvlpng down to the south on Tue evening as this may
help to enhance snowfall rates Tue night acrs the north.

Hv issued winter wx advisories for all other areas with only 2-4
inches expected for downeast along with a glaze to as much as 0.10
inches of ice. Rmndr of the region can expected 4-8 inches of snow
and between 0.10-0.20 inches of ice.

Temps on Wed wl fall throughout the day under strong cold
advection with maxes lkly to be at 12z.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
Cyclonic flow conts acrs the area thru thur bfr high pressure builds
in for the end of the week and into the weekend. Fri mrng looks to
be the coldest morning of the week as skies gradually clear tho
pressure gradient rmns strong. Mins progged to drop blo zero acrs
the north and into the low single digits along the coast.

May see light overrunning dvlp on Sat as lopres tracks acrs james
bay. Models then begin to diverge for the latter half of the weekend
with a fairly good chc of pcpn on Sun Mon though models differ by 12-
24 hrs.

Aviation 15z Monday through Friday
Near term: expectVFR conditions into this afternoon the
MVFR ifr conditions through tonight.

Short term: lifr conditions expected tue, especially across
northern terminals in sn. Bgr and bhb expected to be lifr tue
morning before improving to MVFR Tue night. Northern terminals
will see lifr ifr into Wed morning before slowly improving. Ocnl
MVFR CIGS expected acrs the north thru the end of the period
withVFR at bgr and bhb.

Marine
Near term: have used the NAM to initialize the wind grids.

Expect increasing northeasterly winds today with the wind
direction slowly veering into the southeast later tonight. For
waves: currently the primary wave system, based on spectral from
44027, is southerly long period swell running 3-4 feet 8 seconds
which is in line with latest forecast from nwps. Expect this
wave group to slowly subside during the day today as an easterly
wind wave develops. Expect the wind wave system to become the
primary wave group later tonight as winds increase and older,
long period swell subsides. Do not expect wind gusts to exceed
gale until after 12z Tuesday.

Short term: wind gusts will approach gales Tue afternoon through
midnight Tue night. Seas will build to between 12 and 16 feet
tue night in southerly swell. Waters will likely see sca
conditions through the end of the week.

Hydrology
Precipitation QPF downeast is expected to approach 1.5 inches
Monday night into Tuesday, most of which will be rain. The
combination of rainfall and snowmelt will result in rising
rivers and streams, especially Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday
night. Concern is that some ice jams from the last thaw remain
locked in place due to a quick freeze following the last melt.

Any ice movement could result in more ice jams building upon the
ones that are already in place.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... Winter storm warning from 10 pm this evening to 1 am est
Wednesday for mez001-002.

Winter weather advisory from 10 pm this evening to 4 pm est
Tuesday for mez003>006-010-011-031-032.

Flood watch from Tuesday morning through late Tuesday night
for mez011-015>017-029>032.

Winter weather advisory from 10 pm this evening to 9 am est
Tuesday for mez015>017-029-030.

Marine... Gale warning from noon Tuesday to midnight est Tuesday night
for anz050>052.

Near term... Mignone
short term... Farrar
long term... Farrar
aviation... Mignone farrar
marine... Mignone farrar
hydrology... Mignone farrar


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Clayton Lake, ME57 mi57 minN 0 mi17°F1°F51%1032.8 hPa

Wind History from 40B (wind in knots)
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
-12
PM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
Last 24hr6
G15
4
G13
5
G14
4
G13
4
G11
Calm2Calm3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day ago5
G18
SW9
G18
SW8
G19
S7
G20
6
G13
SW7
G17
5
G14
5
G18
W8
G20
6
G20
5
G20
24
G13
43CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm55
G11
2 days ago4
G16
--44S76545S96S7S11S9S9S9
G15
S10S6S8
G15
S9
G17
S11
G16
SW7
G19
SW7
G18
SW8
G27

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (11,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.