Friday, June23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Eagle Lake, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 4:48AMSunset 8:42PM Friday June 23, 2017 1:08 PM EDT (17:08 UTC) Moonrise 4:34AMMoonset 8:05PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eagle Lake, ME
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location: 47.13, -70.37     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 231649
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1249 pm edt Fri jun 23 2017

Synopsis
A warm front will lift across the region today, followed by a
cold front tonight into Saturday. Another cold front will begin
to cross the region later Sunday night.

Near term through tonight
1245 pm update... The band of showers is currently migrating
northward and low lies from northern vt to the greenville area.

This will continue to lift through the afternoon, and also fill
in a bit over the north woods late. Not much instability to be
found at this hour, but there are some breaks in the cloud cover
upstream across nh and far SW me. These may let in enough
sunshine for destabilization across our SW spots this
afternoon, which may allow for a few thunderstorms. Have made
adjustments to pops, cloud cover, and weather according to the
above trends. Otherwise, any other changes were fairly minor.

Previous discussion...

the big story today will be a warm front separating the cool
and dry air mass that had been in place over the last two days
from a very warm and moist air mass that will push into the
forecast area briefly tonight. This boundary features deep
tropical moisture originating from the remnants of tropical
storm cindy. At this time, the south edge of the warm front
features a nearly continuous line of thunderstorm activity from
iowa to upstate new york. These storms will ride northeastward
into the forecast area later this morning well north of the warm
frontal boundary and will tend to weaken as they cross the
state into a more stable environment. These initial showers are
not likely to produce any thunder. Later in the afternoon as the
warm frontal boundary creeps northward... Elevated instability
in the forecast area will increase. Surface-based instability is
not particularly likely today with the possible exception of
southwest piscataquis county. Any surface-based convection in
that location late this afternoon could be worrisome given the
helicity and low lcls. In general, cloud cover and a developing
frontal inversion low clouds ahead of the warm front will
inhibit development of storms. However, storms will develop to
the southwest of the forecast area and advect along the warm
frontal boundary into the area later this afternoon and through
the night. The bulk of the activity will be north of a line from
dover-foxcroft to houlton and slowly lift northward during the
evening. The problem is that pwats will approach 2 inches with a
deep warm cloud layer and a decent llj. With this moisture and
efficient rainfall processes, training cells could put down a
lot of rain and heighten urban and small stream flooding
concerns this evening. The warm front looks like it will be
somewhat stationary in northern zones through the night until
low pressure drifts across the area late tonight and brings a
cold front southward. Further south along the coast, heavy rains
are not much of a worry, but fog will thicken tonight. Lows
tonight will be in the mid 60s with dew points also in the mid
60s.

Short term Saturday through Sunday night
A cold front will exit downeast areas early Saturday with an
upper level disturbance crossing the region during the
afternoon. A chance of showers will occur across the region
Saturday along with a mostly cloudy morning and mostly partly
cloudy afternoon. Showers are possible early Saturday night
across northern areas. Otherwise, partly cloudy skies are
expected Saturday night. A trof crosses the region Sunday with
partly sunny skies along with a chance of showers. Low pressure
crossing northern maine Sunday night will draw a cold front
toward northern portions of the forecast area late. Showers are
possible across the region Sunday night, with the better
chances across northern areas. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy
skies north with partly mostly cloudy skies across the
remainder of the forecast area. Temperatures will be at
slightly above normal levels Saturday, with near normal level
temperatures Sunday.

Long term Monday through Thursday
Unsettled conditions are expected across the region Monday
through Thursday. The cold front will stall across the region
Monday with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. A series of
disturbances will lift across the region Tuesday into Wednesday
in advance of an upper level trof which will then cross the
region later Wednesday into Thursday. The disturbances and
upper trof will produce occasional showers Tuesday into Thursday
along with generally partly cloudy skies. Temperatures will be
at near normal levels Monday through Thursday.

Aviation 18z Friday through Wednesday
Near term:VFR conditions this morning will deteriorate this
afternoon... Becoming ifr due to CIGS north of hul and along the
coast towards bhb. The low CIGS will reach bgr in the evening.

Embedded thunderstorms to fl350 along a warm front will be a
significant threat later this afternoon and evening. The worst
may be towards gnr and mlt later this afternoon and spread
northward and eastward in the evening. The thunderstorm coverage
will probably be fairly widespread by early this evening along
the south edge of the warm front. These storms will support
hail, but strong winds are less likely due to the stable layer
and low CIGS near the surface.

Short term: MVFR ifr conditions are expected across the region
early Saturday. Generally expectVFR conditions later Saturday
into Sunday. Variable conditions, generally ranging fromVFR to
ifr, are expected across the region Sunday night into early
Monday. Variable conditions are then expected with thunderstorms
Monday afternoon. Generally expectVFR conditions Monday night
into Tuesday, though occasional MVFR conditions will remain
possible.

Marine
Near term: although downward adjustments were made to guidance
due to very stable near-surface conditions, a tight pressure
gradient may yield a few gusts near 25 kts tonight and some seas
reaching over 5 ft. This will be just for the outer waters and
will leave the SCA in place. Fog will develop this morning and
thicken later today into tonight.

Short term: small craft advisory level seas are possible
Saturday. Conditions are then expected to be below small craft
advisory levels Saturday night into Sunday night. Visibilities
will be reduced in showers and fog Saturday into early Saturday
night. Showers are then possible again later Sunday into Sunday
night.

Hydrology
There is potential for very heavy downpours later this afternoon
and tonight along a slow moving warm frontal boundary. The
highest risk at this time will be mostly north of a line from
dover-foxcroft towards houlton. Urban and small stream flooding
are the risks as several inches of rain could fall within a very
short duration.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 5 pm this afternoon to 8 am edt
Saturday for anz050-051.

Near term... Hastings mcw
short term... Norcross
long term... Norcross
aviation... Hastings mcw norcross
marine... Hastings mcw norcross
hydrology...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Clayton Lake, ME57 mi1.9 hrsVar 5 G 14 mi63°F55°F76%1006.7 hPa

Wind History from 40B (wind in knots)
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CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3CalmCalmCalm4525
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32523CalmCalmCalm--Calm35
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.