Sunday, December10, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Fort Kent, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 3:47PM Sunday December 10, 2017 7:17 PM EST (00:17 UTC) Moonrise 12:06AMMoonset 1:27PM Illumination 50% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Kent, ME
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location: 47.38, -70.32     debug

Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 102315
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
615 pm est Sun dec 10 2017

Weak low pressure will approach from the west tonight and then
move east Monday. High pressure will build across the region
Monday night. Strong low pressure will lift across the region
later Tuesday through early Wednesday.

Near term through Monday
600 pm update: a sct to bkn ln of heavier sn shwrs and
potential sn sqls are rapidly movg E across NE me erly this eve
ahead of an arctic cold front which will likely cross into nrn
and cntrl ptns of the fa this eve into ovrngt. Pops were beefed
up somewhat erly this eve, and then merged to the fcst late
tngt. Given the speed of these sn shwrs sqls, snfl potential
should be lmtd to a half to full inch.

Orgnl disc: the low pressure system that brought the first
measurable snowfall to much of the region last night has moved
well east of the canadian maritimes. A westerly flow of drier
air has moved into the area in the wake of the low. Our
attention now turns to an arctic frontal boundary just to the
northwest of the state. Behind the boundary, temperatures this
afternoon were only in the single digits above zero to lower
teens across much of quebec province. This boundary will begin
to cross northern portions of the region tonight. An upper
disturbance will also cross northern areas through early this
evening with a chance of snow showers, and even a brief snow
squall mainly across far northern areas and the st. John valley.

We should then see a brief break in any snow shower activity
through the first half of the night. However, a weak area of low
pressure across southern quebec is expected to track east along
the boundary and across far northern maine toward daybreak on
Monday. This will result in another chance for snow showers
after midnight, mainly across northern and western areas. In
addition, another weak area of low pressure is expected to
develop along the down east coast as short wave energy rotates
east around the upper trof. This low is expected to move quickly
east into the canadian maritimes early Monday. Near term models
are keeping the bulk of the moisture with this feature just
offshore and to our east. However, it looks like the immediate
down east coast could see a brief period of light snow with this
system after midnight into early Monday morning. Precipitation
amounts look to be light, less than a tenth of an inch, so any
snow accumulation looks to be an inch or less. Brought the
western edge of likely pops(60%) just into the immediate down
east coast late tonight into early Monday morning. Otherwise,
any morning snow showers across the north and light snow along
the down east coast will give way to at least partly sunny
conditions, with perhaps a few lingering afternoon flurries by
afternoon. Lows tonight will range from the single digits above
zero across the st. John valley to the upper teens to around 20
down east. Highs on Monday will range from the mid teens to
around 20 north and upper 20s to lower 30s downeast.

Short term Monday night through Wednesday
High pressure will exit to the east Monday night while
intensifying low pressure tracks across the eastern great lakes.

Cloud cover will increase across the region Monday night. The
low will track toward southern maine Tuesday. Snow will expand
northeast across the region Tuesday. Onshore winds will draw
warmer air toward the downeast coast during the afternoon,
which could allow the snow to mix with rain or transition to
rain during the afternoon into the evening. The low will lift
northeast across maine Tuesday night, though the exact track is
still uncertain. Snow will persist across northern areas Tuesday
night. However, dependent on the track, warmer air being drawn
north could allow the snow to transition to a wintry mix
particularly across eastern areas. Snow, or a wintry mix, early
Tuesday night downeast will taper to snow showers overnight.

Have issued a winter storm watch for most of the forecast area,
with the exception of the downeast coast, Tuesday morning into
Wednesday morning. The heaviest snow totals are expected across
northern aroostook county, where amounts in excess of 8 inches
are possible. Lesser snow accumulations are expected southward
across the remainder of the forecast area, dependent on the
eventual track of the low. The least snow is expected along the
downeast coast where the snow should transition to rain or mix
with rain. The surface low lifts toward the gulf of saint
lawrence Wednesday while the upper low crosses the region.

Deformation zone snow or snow showers will persist across the
north and mountains Wednesday with the upper low and wrap around
moisture from the surface low. Mostly cloudy skies along with a
chance of snow showers are expected downeast Wednesday.

Temperatures will be at below normal levels Tuesday, with
slightly below normal level temperatures Wednesday.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
Could still have a chance of snow showers across the north and
mountains Wednesday night, with decreasing clouds downeast. High
pressure will build across the region Thursday. Low pressure
should intensify east of the region Friday. Dependent on the
track of the low, the western edge of the precipitation shield
could bring a chance of snow to the region. High pressure is
expected Saturday. Low pressure should approach from the west
Sunday with a chance of snow. Temperatures will be at below
normal levels Thursday through Sunday.

Aviation 23z Sunday through Friday
Near term:VFR conditions to start the evening but we could see
brief MVFR ifr conditions developing this evening in any sct
snow showers activity associated with an approaching frontal
boundary. MainlyVFR on Monday but again could see briefly lower
conditions in scatterd snow showers, mainly north.

Short term:VFR conditions are expected Monday night. Conditions
will lower to ifr lifr levels across the region Tuesday morning
through the afternoon. Ifr lifr conditions are then expected
Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Occasional MVFR
conditions will then persist Wednesday afternoon. Occasional
MVFR conditions will persist across the north and mountains
Wednesday night into Thursday. Occasional MVFR conditions are
possible downeast early Wednesday night, withVFR conditions
overnight into Thursday. Conditions Friday will be dependent on
the eventual track of low pressure and whether snow is wrapped
back across the forecast area.

Near term: a small craft advisory is in effect through early
Monday morning. Small craft advisory may be needed into Monday.

Short term: small craft advisory conditions are expected Monday
night into Wednesday. Visibilities will be reduced in rain and
snow Tuesday morning into Wednesday morning.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... Winter storm watch from Tuesday morning through Wednesday
morning for mez001>006-010-011-015>017-031-032.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 am est Monday for anz050>052.

Near term... Vjn
short term... Norcross
long term... Norcross
aviation... Vjn norcross
marine... Vjn norcross

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Clayton Lake, ME67 mi59 minVar 5 G 14 mi20°F13°F75%1006.5 hPa

Wind History from 40B (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalm--2CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm2232S7S7S8S9
1 day agoS96446S64S10S9S82CalmCalmCalm44442CalmCalmCalmCalm4
2 days ago535442S10

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.