Saturday, February24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Leavenworth, WA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 5:41PM Saturday February 24, 2018 8:02 AM PST (16:02 UTC) Moonrise 11:57AMMoonset 2:31AM Illumination 69% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ135 Puget Sound And Hood Canal- 241 Am Pst Sat Feb 24 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until 7 am pst this morning...
Today..SW wind 15 to 25 kt early easing to 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft early subsiding to 1 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Tonight..SW wind 10 to 20 kt becoming S 25 to 30 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft building to 3 to 5 ft after midnight. A chance of showers in the evening then rain after midnight.
Sun..SW wind 20 to 30 kt easing to 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 1 to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain likely in the morning then showers in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW wind 5 to 15 kt becoming S after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Mon..S wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..S wind to 10 kt rising to 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Tue..S wind 15 to 25 kt becoming sw 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft or less.
Wed..SW wind to 10 kt becoming se. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
PZZ100 241 Am Pst Sat Feb 24 2018
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..Strong onshore flow will continue early this morning then ease. A strong system will move through the area tonight and Sunday with gales possible for the coastal waters and strait of juan de fuca. Weak high pres over the area Monday will be followed by another front on Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Leavenworth, WA
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location: 47.7, -120.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Spokane, WA
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Fxus66 kotx 241136
afdotx
area forecast discussion
national weather service spokane wa
336 am pst Sat feb 24 2018

Synopsis
A series of storm systems will impact the inland northwest this
weekend into early next week, with the potential for more snow,
breezy conditions and continued below normal temperatures for most
locations. A particularity strong yet mild storm looks possible
by the end of next week.

Discussion
More snow today followed by another round of snow and wind for
Sunday...

today... Number 2 of the 1-2 punch is expected to make its presence
known early this morning as vigorous shortwave trough cuts
through NW washington and slides into SE washington by early
afternoon. As the low tracks east of the cascades this morning we
should see a precipitous fall in lapse rates through a saturated
dendritic layer. This combined with ascent ahead of the upper
level low and the formation of a surface low somewhere near the
blue mountains by mid-morning will result in a rapid expansion of
precipitation across the eastern third of washington while the
north idaho precipitation continues with little break. Based on
the track of the upper level low and attendant surface low there
is a good chance that the heaviest precipitation today occurs
between the blue mountains east to the southern palouse and
eastward into the clearwater mountains. By late afternoon the
surface low weakens considerably as the upper trough digs into
southern idaho. This in turn alters the prevailing mid-level flow
in this region from west to southwest to more of a northwest
orientation. This flow pattern is quite conducive to enhanced
topographical ascent for the blues and camas prairie. Across the
remainder of the forecast area there will be a drying trend as the
dendritic layer begins to desiccate. Meanwhile while most of the
precipitation is expected to occur in this area, moderate
precipitation will continue near the cascade crest, with light to
locally moderate precipitation over the remainder of eastern
washington and the northern half of the idaho panhandle.

Precipitation totals today will range from 0.20-0.50” over se
washington and nc idaho with similar amounts near the cascade
crest. Elsewhere expect precipitation amounts of 0.10-0.20 inches
or less over NE washington and the northern half of the idaho
panhandle. Over the basin, okanogan valley and most of the cascade
valleys precipitation amounts should be even lighter yet.

Temperatures will remain cold enough that all of what falls will
be as snow. The current winter headlines seem appropriate as snow
will cause more potential travel difficulties with 1-2 inches
possible over NE washington, the spokane-cda area and the northern
id panhandle. Farther south one could argue that we could upgrade
some of our advisories to winter storm warnings with the most
likely locations being the blues and camas prairie. Even parts of
the palouse could see locally heavy snow amounts. However rather
than upgrade the headlines we will just adjust the wording in the
product and update weather stories as appropriate.

For tonight the weather quiets down... As drier air overtakes the
entire region. We could still see some showers along the cascade
crest and the id panhandle mountains due to unstable w-nw flow
but shortwave ridging will begin to stabilize conditions
overnight.

Late tonight-Sunday... The next system drops into the region from
the nw. This system is quite strong and quite unstable and could
lead to another round of winter weather highlights, especially for
the idaho panhandle once again. Snow amounts in this area could be
heavy as another round of unstable air combines with strong
synoptic scale and orographic ascent. However where this system
will differ from the current is it will be a warmer and much
windier. Models have been consistent on placing a 45-50kt jet over
extending from spokane to the tri-cities between 4am-7am. Not
confident these winds will mix down to the ground, but they should
impact the higher terrain for sure. We most likely will need to
issue wind advisories for this setup. Fortunately when the mixing
potential increases later in the day the jet off the ground
weakens to 25-30 kts so we should avoid hitting high wind warning
criteria. As the winds materialize temperatures should climb above
freezing over most of the columbia basin, palouse, spokane area,
and lc valley. Despite the warming, sub-freezing dewpoints could
still lead to more snow than rain when precipitation occurs. As a
general rule windy systems with west-southwest flow tend to
produce underwhelming precipitation for most of eastern washington
while much wetter conditions will occur over idaho. The winds will
also likely lead to widespread drifting (and possible blowing) of
the current and new snow and this could be quite problematic,
especially over n-s oriented roads. Fx
Sunday night through Friday: longwave pattern through Wednesday
continues to favor a cold northerly trajectory of approach for
winter weather systems. Thursday and Friday the longwave trof
broadens and retrogrades a bit to the west which is pushing the
storm track further west and over more water. The overall pattern
still allows for cold trajectories of approach for storm systems and
as such forecast temperatures are to remain on cool side of normal
but on Thursday and Friday models are depicting low pressure system
with a well maintained moisture feed into it along its surface low
positioned off the washington and oregon coast. This positioning
would result in a warmer southwest to northeast flow of moisture
over the forecast area, enough to allow for a warming trend taking
temperatures closer to normal and raising snow levels again to
entertain a rain and snow mix for some lowland valley locations.

Otherwise to backtrack the earlier mentioned northerly flow will
bring down a very cold and conditionally unstable airmass Sunday
night into early Monday followed by a brief interval of positively
tilted shortwave ridging. This allows for a transition to lighter
snow showers favoring the blue mountains and the palouse area and
parts of north idaho for Sunday night and Monday with potential for
partly to mostly sunny skies elsewhere. Tuesday and Wednesday
additional disturbances drop down from the northwest and bring
primarily snow (with a brief interval of a rain snow mix for some
lowland locations) to all but the columbia basin and nearby lowlands
along its periphery. Pelatti

Aviation
12z tafs: the next in a series of minor disturbances will move
through the area this morning. This will bring MVFR snow to the
eastern airports. Conditions will improve during the afternoon
hours and remainVFR through the night. Kpuw will likely have
MVFR CIGS that linger later into the afternoon than the other
eastern locations. Stronger winds will develop late tonight ahead
of the next stronger weather system. For the keat kmwh locations,
the aforementioned disturbance will bring some MVFR CIGS for a few
hours this morning. Otherwise there should beVFR weather. Rj

Preliminary point temps pops
Spokane 33 28 39 20 35 22 90 10 70 20 10 10
coeur d'alene 33 26 39 19 35 20 90 30 80 30 20 10
pullman 35 27 40 22 34 20 90 30 90 50 20 10
lewiston 40 32 47 24 41 21 90 20 40 40 20 10
colville 35 23 40 16 36 20 70 20 70 10 10 10
sandpoint 33 25 37 20 34 21 80 50 100 30 20 20
kellogg 31 24 33 21 32 19 100 60 100 60 40 20
moses lake 40 30 50 23 44 26 20 10 10 10 0 0
wenatchee 37 30 46 22 43 25 20 10 40 20 0 10
omak 36 23 42 16 38 22 30 20 30 10 0 10

Otx watches warnings advisories
Id... Winter weather advisory until 4 pm pst this afternoon for lewis
and southern nez perce counties-lewiston area.

Winter weather advisory until 1 pm pst this afternoon for coeur
d'alene area-idaho palouse.

Winter weather advisory until 4 pm pst this afternoon for
central panhandle mountains-northern panhandle.

Wa... Winter weather advisory until 4 pm pst this afternoon for lower
garfield and asotin counties.

Winter weather advisory until 1 pm pst this afternoon for
spokane area-washington palouse.

Winter weather advisory until 4 pm pst this afternoon for
northeast blue mountains.

Winter weather advisory until 1 pm pst this afternoon for
northeast mountains.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
EBSW1 - 9447130 - Seattle, WA 76 mi44 min SE 7 G 8.9 38°F 45°F1014.8 hPa
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 81 mi62 min S 8 G 9.9 38°F 1014.2 hPa (+1.1)35°F
TCNW1 - 9446484 - Tacoma, WA 85 mi50 min 37°F 47°F1015.1 hPa

Wind History for Seattle, Puget Sound, WA, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Stampede Pass, WA36 mi2.1 hrsVar 60.25 miSnow Freezing Fog26°F24°F92%1009.6 hPa

Wind History from SMP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr44--5SW86SW8Calm3CalmCalm5SW86Calm35--34556S7
1 day ago34NE433CalmW333Calm3S34Calm34S433S4S4S453
2 days ago3Calm3CalmN3Calm64343CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3Calm36533

Tide / Current Tables for Everett, Washington
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Everett
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Sat -- 12:08 AM PST     9.09 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:38 AM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:05 AM PST     7.15 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:59 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:44 AM PST     10.52 feet High Tide
Sat -- 12:01 PM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:45 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:58 PM PST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
9.198.587.47.27.488.89.710.310.59.98.56.64.32.20.70.10.72.1467.7

Tide / Current Tables for Marysville, Quilceda Creek, Washington
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Marysville
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:16 AM PST     8.90 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:38 AM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:35 AM PST     6.43 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:59 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:52 AM PST     10.30 feet High Tide
Sat -- 12:01 PM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:45 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:28 PM PST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
8.98.88.47.776.56.5789.11010.39.88.7752.91.20.20.31.43.25.27.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Spokane, WA (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.