Sunday, October22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Picnic Point, WA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:39AMSunset 6:08PM Sunday October 22, 2017 12:21 PM PDT (19:21 UTC) Moonrise 9:25AMMoonset 7:10PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 900 Am Pdt Sun Oct 22 2017
Today..Light wind. Wind waves less than 1 ft. Showers likely.
Tonight..Variable wind to 10 kt becoming se after midnight. Wind waves 1 ft or less. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Mon..SE wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Mon night..SE wind to 10 kt becoming nw after midnight. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..NW wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NW wind to 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..S wind to 10 kt becoming nw 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Thu..NW wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
PZZ100 900 Am Pdt Sun Oct 22 2017
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..Onshore flow today will turn weakly offshore late tonight and continue through Tuesday as a ridge builds over the pacific northwest. A weak cold front will move southeast across the area on Wednesday. Northerly flow will follow the front on Thursday as a ridge builds over southern british columbia.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Picnic Point, WA
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location: 47.89, -122.38     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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Fxus66 ksew 221602
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
900 am pdt Sun oct 22 2017

Synopsis Showers and breezy conditions will taper today. Flooding
will continue on some area rivers. Snow levels will fall with a few
inches of new snow possible, mainly above the passes. Monday will
have a few showers in the mountains, and Tuesday will be dry. After
some light rain Wednesday, a stretch of dry weather should return.

Short term Radar shows showers, mainly in the mountains, while
the area of heavier rain has moved well into oregon. Some areas of
clear skies have developed. River flooding will continue today but
most rivers have already crested or will soon. The snow level will
fall to around 5000 feet; a few inches of new snow are likely in the
mountains above that level. Highs today will be in the 55-60 range.

Monday and Tuesday now appear completely dry. There will be patchy
late night and morning fog. Highs both days will be in the low to
mid 60s. Burke

Long term Previous discussion... The GFS and ECMWF still bring a
weak front through the area Wednesday with some light rain across
much of the area. This system will be progressive and will not pose
any flood risk. Timing has shifted somewhat among models, with some
runs showing some precipitation by Tuesday night. But the best
chance will be on Wednesday. Not much change to the mid week
forecast.

A strong upper ridge builds over the region Thursday and Friday.

This will provide a stretch of dry weather, probably lasting into
next weekend. Fog may become more widespread if the flow remains
light but otherwise, nicer weather appears on tap. Mercer

Hydrology Heavy rainfall that has fallen over the past 24 hours
has come to an end. Rainfall amounts were sufficient to give
flooding to many rivers flowing off the west slopes of the cascades
from snohomish county southward. Flooding is also occurring on the
skokomish river in mason county.

Flooding is still possible on lower reaches of the snohomish river
later this afternoon as the flood waves on the skykomish and
snoqualmie move downstream. Minor to moderate flooding on other
rivers in southwestern and west central washington as well as
flooding on the snoqualmie and skykomish rivers will gradually
recede. The skagit river is rising but is expected to stay just
below flood stage.

With the heavy rainfall having come to an end, the flash flood watch
for the burn scar area of eastern pierce county has expired.

Soil moisture has been relatively dry below the surface since there
has not been enough rainfall accumulation over a long enough period
yet this wet season. While an isolated landslide is possible in
western washington with any rainstorm, and especially with high
intensity rain, soil moisture conditions have not yet significantly
increased the landslide threat. Albrecht

Aviation Strong west flow aloft over western washington this
morning will gradually ease and veer toward northwest through
tonight, as an upper ridge begins building offshore. The air mass
will gradually dry, especially at mid and upper levels, with low
level onshore flow turning weakly offshore tonight.

We still have scattered light showers and areas of sct-bkn025
bkn045 this morning, but much of western washington is scattering
out. The improving trend will continue today with widespreadVFR
conditions by midday. Relatively clear skies and light winds
tonight, combined the moist ground, should lead to patchy fog in
the more fog-prone valleys late tonight and Monday morning.

Ksea... Southwest wind 7-13 kt gusting 20 kt, easing this afternoon
and evening, becoming southeast 4-8 kt tonight. Occasional MVFR
ceilings in sct-bkn022 cloud deck should give way toVFR
conditions with ceilings aob060 by midday. Mcdonnal

Marine Onshore flow today will turn weakly offshore late
tonight and continue through Tuesday, as a ridge builds over the
pacific northwest. Small craft advisory winds this morning will
ease today; however, westerly swell 10 feet or higher will
continue over the coastal waters and at the west entrance strait
of juan de fuca through Monday.

A weak cold front will move southeast across the area on
Wednesday, with small craft advisory winds over some marine zones.

Northerly flow will follow the front on Thursday as a ridge builds
over southern british columbia. Mcdonnal

Sew watches warnings advisories
Wa... Flood watch until 5 pm pdt this afternoon for bellevue and
vicinity-cascades of pierce and lewis counties-cascades of
snohomish and king counties-east puget sound lowlands-
everett and vicinity-seattle and vicinity-southwest
interior-tacoma area.

Pz... Small craft advisory for rough bar until 5 pm pdt Monday for
grays harbor bar.

Small craft advisory until 5 pm pdt this afternoon for coastal
waters from CAPE flattery to james island 10 to 60 nm-
coastal waters from CAPE flattery to james island out 10 nm-
coastal waters from james island to point grenville 10 to
60 nm-coastal waters from james island to point grenville
out 10 nm-coastal waters from point grenville to cape
shoalwater 10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from point grenville
to CAPE shoalwater out 10 nm.

Small craft advisory for hazardous seas from 5 pm this afternoon
to 11 pm pdt Monday for coastal waters from CAPE flattery
to james island 10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from cape
flattery to james island out 10 nm-coastal waters from
james island to point grenville 10 to 60 nm-coastal waters
from james island to point grenville out 10 nm-coastal
waters from point grenville to CAPE shoalwater 10 to 60 nm-
coastal waters from point grenville to CAPE shoalwater out
10 nm.

Small craft advisory until noon pdt today for central u.S.

Waters strait of juan de fuca-east entrance u.S. Waters
strait of juan de fuca.

Gale warning until 9 am pdt this morning for central u.S. Waters
strait of juan de fuca-east entrance u.S. Waters strait of
juan de fuca.

Small craft advisory until noon pdt today for northern inland
waters including the san juan islands-puget sound and hood
canal.

Small craft advisory until 11 am pdt this morning for west
entrance u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca.

Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 5 pm pdt Monday
for west entrance u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46120 9 mi43 min WSW 5.8 56°F 1020.3 hPa56°F
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 16 mi81 min SSW 17 G 20 55°F 1019.9 hPa (+4.4)49°F
EBSW1 - 9447130 - Seattle, WA 20 mi51 min SSW 9.9 G 15 58°F 54°F1021.3 hPa
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 25 mi51 min S 1 G 1.9 54°F 50°F1021 hPa
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 38 mi81 min SW 14 G 15 53°F 1019.2 hPa (+4.7)
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 40 mi51 min SSW 6 56°F 1020 hPa48°F
TCMW1 - 9446482 - Tacoma Met, WA 42 mi51 min SW 8.9 G 17
TCNW1 - 9446484 - Tacoma, WA 43 mi51 min 58°F 53°F1022 hPa

Wind History for Seattle, Puget Sound, WA, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Everett Snohomish County, WA5 mi28 minS 1010.00 miA Few Clouds56°F46°F70%1021.5 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, WA22 mi25 minS 410.00 miOvercast59°F51°F75%1021.9 hPa

Wind History from PAE (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSE16
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2 days agoSE15SE12
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Tide / Current Tables for Glendale, Whidbey Island, Washington
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Glendale
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:47 AM PDT     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:39 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:42 AM PDT     10.70 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:24 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:20 PM PDT     5.40 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:07 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 06:42 PM PDT     9.91 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:10 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.2-0.30.72.657.49.410.510.710.18.97.56.25.55.66.47.68.89.79.99.17.55.33

Tide / Current Tables for Apple Cove Point, 0.5 mile E of, Washington Current
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Apple Cove Point
Click for MapFlood direction 168 true
Ebb direction 8 true

Sun -- 01:56 AM PDT     0.01 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:43 AM PDT     0.70 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:39 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:02 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:24 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:40 AM PDT     -0.65 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 02:39 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:32 PM PDT     0.28 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 06:07 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 06:43 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:11 PM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 10:21 PM PDT     -0.92 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.6-0.300.40.60.70.60.30-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.5-0.4-0.10.10.30.30.2-0.1-0.4-0.7-0.9-0.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.