Tuesday, January22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
James, WA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:52AMSunset 4:57PM Monday January 21, 2019 9:50 PM PST (05:50 UTC) Moonrise 5:50PMMoonset 8:23AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ132 East Entrance U.s. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca- 823 Pm Pst Mon Jan 21 2019
.gale warning in effect from 4 am pst Tuesday through Tuesday afternoon...
Tonight..SE wind 5 to 15 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less building to 2 to 4 ft after midnight. A chance of rain after midnight.
Tue..SE wind 25 to 35 kt. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft. A chance of rain in the morning then rain likely in the afternoon.
Tue night..SE wind 15 to 25 kt easing to 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft or less after midnight. Rain likely.
Wed..W wind 20 to 30 kt easing to 5 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft or less in the afternoon.
Wed night..Light wind. Wind waves less than 1 ft.
Thu..Light wind becoming E to 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..Light wind becoming nw to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..Light wind. Wind waves less than 1 ft.
Sat..NW wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
PZZ100 823 Pm Pst Mon Jan 21 2019
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..A frontal system will move into the waters late tonight into Tuesday then move inland Tuesday night and Wednesday. Weak high pressure will move over the area on Thursday and remain over the area through Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jamestown CDP, WA
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location: 48.16, -123.13     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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Fxus66 ksew 220409
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
809 pm pst Mon jan 21 2019

Update A warm occlusion entering the offshore waters will move
onshore on Tuesday. Then a weakening low will move by to the north
of the area Tuesday night. These systems will give rain to the
area Tuesday into Tuesday night. Breezy to windy conditions will
be limited to the coast and northern interior areas late tonight
into Tuesday with windy conditions spreading into the central
puget sound and south interior locations Tuesday night. Rainfall
over the olympics with the incoming system appears insufficient to
cause to skokomish river to flood, so the hydrology section is
updated below. Public forecasts are in good shape this evening.

The aviation and marine sections below. Albrecht

Aviation A frontal system about 250 nm offshore will move into
western washington Tuesday morning. This front will give lowering
ceilings and developing light rain as it approaches tonight into
Tuesday morning and will give increasing southeasterly winds to
the coast and northern interior locations. The flow aloft is
westerly. The air mass will be stable and increasingly moist.

Conditions were clear enough early this evening that radiational
cooling allowed temperatures to reach their dewpoints in some of
the valleys of the south interior. Kolm is lifr in fog. Expect the
fog to thin out after midnight as mid and high clouds move in and
thicken. Conditions across most of the area will remainVFR
tonight, then MVFR conditions will dominate Tuesday afternoon
onward as low level moisture increases with the incoming front.

Some ifr conditions can be expected Tuesday afternoon in low
ceilings in a few locations like kpwt and khqm. Albrecht
ksea... High clouds will thicken overnight through Tuesday morning,
but expectVFR conditions to continue into late Tuesday morning.

MVFR ceilings will accompany the front Tuesday afternoon and will
likely continue into Tuesday evening. Light SE wind to 6 kt
tonight will increase to S 8-12 kt Tue afternoon and S 14-18g25 kt
tue evening. Albrecht

Marine A frontal system is entering the offshore waters this
evening. It will push through the coastal waters early Tuesday
then into the inland waters Tuesday afternoon. A quick look at
some 00z model guidance shows the current forecasts are on track.

Gale warnings are in effect for later tonight into Tuesday over
the coastal waters and for very late tonight into Tuesday for the
eastern entrance to the strait, the northern inland waters, and
admiralty inlet.

There remains a threat that gales will spread into puget sound and
hood canal Tuesday evening as a weakening low moves by to the
north of the waters and flow aloft interacts with the olympics. A
small craft advisory remains in effect for puget sound and hood
canal late tonight into Tuesday, while a gale watch remains in
effect for those areas Tuesday night.

High pressure over the waters Thursday through Saturday will give
generally light winds to the area.

Minor coastal flooding remains likely along the pacific coastline
in grays harbor county around the high tide early Tuesday
afternoon. The astronomical high tide is expected to be within
0.25 feet of hat -the point where minor flooding begins- and tidal
anomalies are expected to be just large enough to result in some
minor flooding around the time of high tide. A coastal flood
advisory is in effect for the shoreline of grays harbor county.

Albrecht
hydrology... Rainfall Tuesday into early Wednesday will cause the
skokomish river to rise. But at this time, the river is expected
to remain about 0.5 feet below flood stage. Elsewhere, river
flooding is not expected for the next 7 days. Albrecht

Prev discussion issued 305 pm pst Mon jan 21 2019
synopsis... Weak high pressure will produce a break in
precipitation into tonight. A pair of frontal systems will bring the
return of rain at times Tuesday into Wednesday. A ridge of high
pressure aloft will bring about another period of dry weather
Thursday into early next week.

Short term... Still a fair amount of clouds over W wa this
afternoon... Although definitely some breaks out there for the Sun to
peek in from time to time. Temperatures area-wide have climbed into
the 40s... With uil almost reaching 50. Current radar is clear. All
of this thanks to the upper ridge overhead... But this ridge will
continue to diminish this evening and tonight as the next system
approaches from the west.

Models remain pretty uniform with regard to the timing of the next
system... Making its way to the coast early Tuesday morning bringing
the usual mix of wind and rain to the area. Winds will be breezy to
locally windy for the area... However speeds do not look to encroach
on headline worthy thresholds at this time. This initial system has
a hard time staying together as it moves eastward and as such precip
amounts look to be initially light. A secondary system looks a bit
wetter though as it follows right on the heels of the first
one... Impacting the area Tuesday afternoon and evening. This will
allow for the breezy windy conditions to persist into
Wednesday... But will also result in rising snow levels. This system
does not look to linger very long... Being east of the cascades just
after sunset Wednesday. The rising snow level combined with the
short stay of the system shakes confidence a bit with regards as to
whether any snow headlines will be needed for the mountains. At this
time... Leaning toward not doing anything... But will advise next
shift that forecast could go either way. Models remain on track for
upper level ridging to start building into the area overnight
Wednesday and into Thursday.

Temperatures may drop a degree or two Tuesday... But bump back up
Wednesday with lowland temps nearing 50 degrees and really not
deviating much from that for Thursday. Smr
long term... The aforementioned upper level ridge looks to be the
main weather feature for the long term once it sets up Thursday.

Models attempt to bring a system into the area Thursday night into
Friday... And while the means differ... The GFS keeps the system and
any associated activity to the north while the ECMWF simply has the
system fizzle out... The bottom line remains the same as dry
conditions look to remain in place. As the ridge axis and center of
high pressure gradually moves eastward throughout the second half of
the week and into the weekend... Those dry conditions look to
persist. There is the slightest inkling that the tail end of a
system might nick the area Sunday... But models almost seem to be
advertising their retreat from this solution with any potential
precip being limited to the cascades and very minimal at best. Smr
aviation... A frontal system will move into the area tonight and
Tuesday with westerly flow aloft. At the surface, weak high pressure
over the area will shift inland tonight with increasing south to
southeast flow into Tuesday as the frontal system nears.

The air mass is stable.

Areas of ceilings 4000-6000 feet should break up this afternoon and
evening. At the same time, high clouds will increase this evening
with ceilings lowering to a mid level deck later tonight.

Vfr low clouds and rain will develop late tonight and Tuesday
morning. Ceilings will continue to lower during the day Tuesday with
MVFR or ifr conditions developing by afternoon.

Ksea... Ceilings 5000-6000 feet should break up in the next few hours
with mostly high clouds this evening. Ceilings will lower again
tonight and Tuesday morning as a front moves onshore and rain
develops. Southerly wind 3-6 knots will increase to 10 to 15 knots
Tuesday afternoon. Schneider
marine... A frontal system will move into the area tonight and
Tuesday and then inland Tuesday night and Wednesday. Southerly small
craft advisory winds are likely most waters during this period.

Marginal gales are possible at times coastal waters, entrances to
the strait, and northern inland waters.

Winds will be relatively light again Thursday through Saturday with
with weak high pressure over the area.

Minor tidal overflow is possible at the coast early Tuesday
afternoon due to high astronomical tides and slight pressure
anomalies. A similar round of minor tidal overflow is possible for
the inland waters late Wednesday morning. Schneider
hydrology... From previous discussion... With the expected pair of
fronts passing through the area Tuesday and Wednesday as well as
considering how easily the skokomish river made it up to flood stage
with the previous weather system... The forecast for the river will
certainly merit watching. For now, progs have the river starting
upward again on Tuesday and do not have a forecast for Wednesday--
and that would be the day to watch to see if models keep up this
trend. Elsewhere, river flooding is not expected over the next 7
days.

Sew watches warnings advisories
Wa... Coastal flood advisory from noon to 4 pm pst Tuesday for central
coast.

Pz... Gale warning from midnight tonight to 2 pm pst Tuesday for
coastal waters from CAPE flattery to james island 10 to 60
nm-coastal waters from CAPE flattery to james island out 10
nm-coastal waters from james island to point grenville 10
to 60 nm-coastal waters from james island to point
grenville out 10 nm-coastal waters from point grenville to
cape shoalwater 10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from point
grenville to CAPE shoalwater out 10 nm.

Gale warning from 4 am to 4 pm pst Tuesday for admiralty inlet-
east entrance u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca-northern
inland waters including the san juan islands.

Small craft advisory from midnight tonight to 4 am pst Wednesday
for west entrance u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca.

Gale watch from Tuesday evening through late Tuesday night for
puget sound and hood canal.

Small craft advisory from midnight tonight to 7 pm pst Tuesday
for puget sound and hood canal.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 12 mi61 min SE 9.7 G 12 44°F 47°F1 ft1028.4 hPa (+0.0)39°F
PTAW1 - 9444090 - Port Angeles, WA 17 mi75 min SW 7 G 8.9 39°F 47°F1028.4 hPa
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 19 mi61 min ESE 14 G 16 45°F 1028.6 hPa (-0.3)38°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 20 mi39 min ESE 8 G 9.9 44°F 47°F1029.8 hPa
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 27 mi75 min E 7 G 8.9 43°F 47°F1028.8 hPa
46125 32 mi37 min 7.8 43°F 1029.2 hPa38°F
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 41 mi81 min SE 2.9 37°F 1029 hPa35°F
46120 48 mi33 min NE 5.8 43°F 1029.3 hPa37°F
46118 49 mi56 min E 5.8 42°F 1028.6 hPa37°F

Wind History for Port Angeles, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Port Angeles Fairchild International Airport, WA20 mi58 minSW 610.00 miFair37°F33°F86%1029 hPa

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1 day agoSW4SW6SW6W5CalmCalmSW6SW5SW5SW3SW4W3SW4CalmE5--E6--SE4S3SW3SW4SW7SW4
2 days agoNW9CalmW9W5W6--3W4W7SW5SW7SW4SW9SW7W10SW8NW65SW5N4S4SW5S4SW6

Tide / Current Tables for Dungeness, Washington
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Dungeness
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Tue -- 05:16 AM PST     8.98 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:52 AM PST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:05 AM PST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:13 AM PST     5.91 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:04 PM PST     7.92 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:56 PM PST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:11 PM PST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:18 PM PST     -2.00 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.42.44.56.68.28.98.8876.35.966.57.17.77.97.76.75.12.80.6-1.1-2-1.7

Tide / Current Tables for New Dungeness Light, 2.8 miles NNW of, Washington Current
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New Dungeness Light
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Tue -- 12:56 AM PST     0.01 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:41 AM PST     1.06 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 06:27 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:52 AM PST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:05 AM PST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:55 AM PST     -1.33 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 02:02 PM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:34 PM PST     0.35 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:52 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:56 PM PST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:11 PM PST     Moonrise
Tue -- 09:27 PM PST     -2.01 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.700.6110.80.3-0.3-0.9-1.2-1.3-1.2-0.9-0.5-00.30.3-0.1-0.6-1.2-1.7-2-2-1.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.