Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oak Harbor, WA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:16AMSunset 8:58PM Sunday May 26, 2019 12:40 AM PDT (07:40 UTC) Moonrise 1:22AMMoonset 11:34AM Illumination 52% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 846 Pm Pdt Sat May 25 2019
Tonight..NW wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..NW wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..NW wind to 10 kt becoming S after midnight. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Mon..Light wind becoming S to 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..Variable wind 5 to 15 kt becoming S to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Tue..SE wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Tue night..NW wind 5 to 15 kt becoming variable after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Wed..S wind to 10 kt becoming nw. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..Variable wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
PZZ100 846 Pm Pdt Sat May 25 2019
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..Light northerly flow Sunday will turn onshore on Monday then continue through Wednesday as high pressure remains offshore with lower pressure east of the cascades.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oak Harbor, WA
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location: 48.25, -122.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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Fxus66 ksew 260305
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
805 pm pdt Sat may 25 2019

Synopsis Showers will end this evening as an upper low moves
south of the area. Drier and warmer weather is expected most of
next week with afternoon and evening showers over the cascades
most days.

Short term tonight through Tuesday Water vapor satellite
imagery clearly tells the story this evening with drier air in the
mid and upper levels being imported on easterly flow aloft. The
upper level low that brought rainfall earlier today continues to
push southward off the central oregon coast. As of 02z, most shower
activity was south and west of the chehalis area. Surface gradients
will become northerly tonight, but they will be weak. Combined with
surface moisture from the recent rainfall, there should be some
redevelopment of low clouds overnight. It will scatter out
by mid morning Sunday. Heights will rise somewhat on Sunday and,
with partial sunshine, temperatures will rebound to close to normal
with highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s for much of the region. Some
instability over the mountains will contribute to showers and
afternoon thunderstorms with northeast flow aloft bringing some of
it into the foothills and, locally, the lowlands. 27
from previous discussion... The upper low will shift inland over the
southwest u.S. Sunday and Monday with an upper ridge off the coast.

Western washington will be on the northern periphery of the upper
low. There will be enough wrap around moisture and instability for a
chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms over the
cascades each day with the aid of daytime heating. The low lowlands
look mostly dry although a few showers could drift off the cascades.

A weak upper ridge will shift over the area on Tuesday but it
won't make much difference for the weather. It should be another
mostly sunny day. An isolated showers or thunderstorm could
bubble up over the cascades in the afternoon but the weak high
pressure aloft will probably cap things a bit.

Highs will warm several degrees on Sunday to slightly above
normal and then warm a few more degrees on Monday with lower to
mid 70s common. Highs will cool a few degrees on Tuesday due to
stronger low level onshore flow but remain a little above normal.

Schneider

Long term Wednesday through Saturday It looks like a
decidedly wishy-washy and uneventful pattern Wednesday through
Saturday with a weak upper ridge on Wednesday giving way to a weak
upper trough Thursday and beyond. There won't be any organized
weather systems but an isolated shower can't be ruled out at
times. Temperatures will be a few degrees above normal each day
with not much day to day variation. Schneider

Aviation Easterly flow aloft tonight as an upper level low slides
south of the area. Flow aloft becoming northeasterly on Sunday.

Light northerly flow at the surface has developed this evening as
weak surface ridging pushes southward over the interior of british
columbia. The mid and upper levels have dried considerably over the
past few hours, but lingering low level moisture from today's
rainfall should contribute to the development of some low MVFR and
ifr ceilings overnight. The low level moisture will scatter out by
18z Sunday. Daytime heating will contribute to some instability over
the cascades on Sunday with afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms possible. The flow aloft could bring some of this
activity locally into the foothills.

Ksea...VFR CIGS this evening lowering to low MVFR again at
times overnight. Confidence in the details between now and about 15z
are low. Surface gradients are light, but nights are short this time
of year. Some stratus development is possible. Surface wind light
becoming northerly less than 10 knots. 27

Marine Surface onshore flow will become light northerly tonight
into Sunday. Small craft advisory winds over the coastal waters
through this evening will ease to below 20 knots tonight. Flow will
be light on Sunday with increasing onshore flow Monday and
continuing through Wednesday. At least SCA level winds expected both
Monday and Tuesday evening in the central and eastern strait of juan
de fuca. Jd

Hydrology The daily hydrology discussion has ended until the
start of the next rainy season; it will only be updated as needed
until then.

Sew watches warnings advisories
Wa... None.

Pz... None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 17 mi41 min WSW 6 G 8 51°F 50°F1013.7 hPa (+0.0)
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 18 mi51 min W 8 G 9.9 51°F 1013.4 hPa (+0.4)48°F
46125 25 mi43 min 12 51°F 1012 hPa49°F
46118 33 mi46 min 53°F 1012.2 hPa51°F
46120 34 mi50 min NNE 5.8 52°F 1011.4 hPa50°F
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 34 mi65 min SW 2.9 G 4.1 49°F 50°F1013.3 hPa
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 36 mi51 min WSW 5.8 G 7.8 50°F 50°F1013.2 hPa (+0.4)49°F
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 41 mi41 min NNE 11 G 12 52°F 1012.7 hPa (+0.0)50°F
CPMW1 44 mi41 min Calm G 0 50°F 53°F
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA 45 mi41 min 1013.4 hPa (+0.3)

Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Whidbey Island Naval Air Station - Ault Field, WA11 mi45 minW 610.00 miShallow Fog53°F48°F86%1014.3 hPa
Burlington/Mount Vernon, Skagit Regional Airport, WA16 mi46 minWNW 510.00 miOvercast54°F51°F94%1012.9 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, WA18 mi45 minNW 47.00 miOvercast51°F50°F96%1013.2 hPa

Wind History from NUW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4S5SE5SE7SE12SE13SE12SE13SE11SE11
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1 day agoSW9SW7S6S8S7S8S11S8SE6SE6SE9SE6SE7E846N6N3E4S5W4CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoSW4SW6SW7SW5SW8SW7SW8SW6SW7W6W7W7W7W5W4W6W6SW8SW7
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Tide / Current Tables for Stanwood, Washington
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Stanwood
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Sun -- 12:32 AM PDT     6.94 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:20 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:17 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:50 AM PDT     1.69 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:34 AM PDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 11:08 AM PDT     4.46 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:33 PM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:33 PM PDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:55 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.86.96.55.84.83.82.82.11.81.734.44.44.13.632.31.610.60.71.534.7

Tide / Current Tables for Mutiny Bay, 3.3 miles SE of, Washington Current
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Mutiny Bay
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Sun -- 01:12 AM PDT     -0.79 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 02:21 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:19 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:18 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Min Ebb
Sun -- 09:34 AM PDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 12:23 PM PDT     -0.71 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 12:35 PM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:20 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:22 PM PDT     0.98 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 08:56 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0-0.8-0.8-0.7-0.6-0.4-0.3-0.1-0-0-0.1-0.4-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.3-0.10.810.90.70.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.