Wednesday, November22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Edison, WA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:29AMSunset 4:23PM Wednesday November 22, 2017 12:31 PM PST (20:31 UTC) Moonrise 10:54AMMoonset 7:59PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ133 Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands- 1130 Am Pst Wed Nov 22 2017
.gale warning in effect through this evening...
Rest of today..SE wind 25 to 35 kt. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft. Rain at times.
Tonight..SE wind 25 to 35 kt becoming S 15 to 25 kt by midnight. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft. Rain.
Thu..S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming sw 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 4 ft. Rain in the morning then showers likely in the afternoon.
Thu night..S wind 15 to 25 kt easing to 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 4 ft.
Fri..S wind 5 to 15 kt becoming se 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Fri night..SE wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Sat..SE wind 15 to 25 kt easing to 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 1 to 4 ft.
Sun..SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
PZZ100 900 Am Pst Wed Nov 22 2017
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..Strong southerly flow will continue today and tonight, with low end gales on the coast and small craft advisory strength winds over the inland waters. Winds will continue to be at least moderate Thursday and Friday. Another system will arrive about Saturday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Edison, WA
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location: 48.65, -122.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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Fxus66 ksew 221731
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
931 am pst Wed nov 22 2017

Synopsis A relative break between wet weather systems will
occur today, although scattered showers will still be around. The
next wet frontal system will bring more rain to the area tonight
through thanksgiving morning. Another relative break between
weather systems, but with a little light rain still around, will
occur Thursday afternoon through Friday. The next system to bring
widespread light rain will arrive Saturday afternoon. This active
weather pattern should continue into early next week.

Short term Radar shows scattered areas of rain moving NE across
w wa this morning. The area will remain under moist SW flow aloft,
but between weather systems today. The air mass remains warm with
high temperatures expected to be around 60 today, despite cloudy
skies. This could set a couple of high temperature records for
nov 22.

Yesterdays plume of sub-tropical moisture has weakened and shifted
s over oregon. The next system expected tonight and Thursday
morning will develop out of the weak front offshore along roughly
132w at 9 am. An upper level shortwave trough rounding the base of
the larger longwave trough along 140w, will move NE across the top
of the front tonight causing it to strengthen. Rain will reach the
coast this evening then spread inland overnight. The front should
be moving over the cascades by late Thursday morning, then E of
the cascades by later Thursday afternoon. Rain amounts should be
less than what fell Tuesday - about 2-4 inches in the olympics,
1.5-3.5 inches in the cascades and about a half to 1.5 inches in
the lowlands.

Scattered showers will be around Thursday afternoon and night as
the trailing upper level trough crosses the area. This system,
coming in from the w, will bring a cooler air mass, allowing snow
levels over the mountains to lower to around 4000 feet by Thursday
evening.

A slow moving front will move SE down vancouver island Thursday
evening then slow down to a crawl over southern vancouver island
Friday and Friday night. The front will be close enough to W wa to
bring a little light rain to the area, mainly the north part. Kam

Long term Another large longwave trough will form along roughly
140w late Friday. The SW flow aloft downstream, aimed at W wa,
will strengthen, which will allow a shortwave embedded in the sw
flow to bring more widespread light rain to the area Saturday
afternoon through Sunday morning. Cascade snow levels will pop up
again to the 5000 to 7000 ft range late Saturday before dropping
to around 4000 feet again behind the system Sunday.

Recent runs of the GFS and ECMWF had been in fair agreement with
the trailing trough late Sunday, but have diverged a little this
morning. Regardless, it will remain an active pattern with some
rain or showers. The models are still hanging on to the warm front
that reaches the area Monday night. Kam

Aviation Moist southwest flow aloft will continue today and
tonight. At the surface, southeasterly pressure gradients will
continue. Strong south to southwest winds 35 to 50 kt will continue
at times between 3000 and 5000 feet. Rain at times will continue
in the stable air mass.

MostlyVFR conditions today, though there are several cloud decks
around and MVFR ceilings are likely in rain. There are some breaks
in the clouds and under those there is patchy ifr fog. Conditions
will change little today. More clouds and rain is forecast tonight,
and this will probably bring widespread MVFR ceilings.

Ksea...VFR today, MVFR tonight. Light southerly winds today will
increase to 8-12 kt tonight. Chb

Marine A frontal system will approach from the northwest this
afternoon then move inland late tonight. Low end gale conditions are
likely on the coast today into tonight, with small craft advisory
strength winds over the inland waters.

Southerly gradients will continue to be moderate to strong on
Thursday, then they will ease on Friday. At least small craft
advisory conditions are likely on Friday.

Another system will arrive around Saturday night. Strong southerly
gradients are possible over the entire area Sunday. The preferred
solutions would result in gales over most waters with small craft
advisory conditions over puget sound and hood canal. Chb

Hydrology Many western washington rivers are above flood
stage this morning, and we may not be done yet - a few more are
could still rise above flood stage today. Several rivers have gages
registering moderate category flooding: the skokomish,
stillaguamish, and satsop rivers. And the main stem stillaguamish
has reached major flood category.

Warnings and watches change as needed. For the current list, please
check:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 13 mi61 min S 17 65°F 1012 hPa58°F
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA 20 mi43 min SE 13 G 23 60°F 57°F1010.8 hPa
CPMW1 20 mi43 min SSE 20 G 25 59°F 48°F
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 28 mi55 min SSE 12 G 19 60°F 49°F1012 hPa
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 29 mi31 min SE 37 G 40 60°F 1010.4 hPa (-1.6)
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 40 mi43 min E 23 G 27 59°F 50°F1012.8 hPa

Wind History for Cherry Point, WA
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Last
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NE14
G18
NE11
NE5
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G15
SE8
G12
SE12
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W1
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SE5
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NE9
NE15
G19
NE13
G17
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NE14
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G21
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G22
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G25
NE13
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NE14
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G24
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SE15
G26
SE14
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SE16
G28
SE14
G26
SE14
G22
SE18
G26
SE16
G26
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G26
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G24
SE12
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SE14
G18
E11
G16
NE12
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G17
NE13
G18
NE12
G15
NE10
NE10
G13
SW3
NW2

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bellingham, Bellingham International Airport, WA10 mi38 minSSE 18 G 3210.00 miOvercast and Breezy66°F55°F70%1011.8 hPa
Burlington/Mount Vernon, Skagit Regional Airport, WA13 mi56 minSSE 19 G 2510.00 miOvercast and Breezy66°F57°F73%1012.9 hPa
Eastsound, Orcas Island Airport, WA22 mi36 minS 11 G 1710.00 miMostly Cloudy63°F57°F83%1011.5 hPa
Whidbey Island Naval Air Station - Ault Field, WA22 mi95 minSSE 23 G 2810.00 miMostly Cloudy and Windy66°F54°F65%1013.8 hPa

Wind History from BLI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5N5N3NW3S20
G32
S14
G26
S9
G18
S7S9S12S5SE34N5NW3CalmS7
G14
SE17
G22
SE18
G24
SE12
G21
SE17
G23
SE15
G28
SE17
G27
S18
G32
1 day agoS33S3CalmS4CalmCalmS3S4CalmCalmCalmN5N6N8N8N6NE5E5N7N9N10
G17
N6NE4
2 days agoS25
G37
SE24
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G32
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G35
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SE18
G26
SE15
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SE11
G20
E5E6SE5N5N7N5N5N8N8N5NE3N4Calm3

Tide / Current Tables for Chuckanut Bay, Washington
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Chuckanut Bay
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:24 AM PST     -1.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:29 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:23 AM PST     8.72 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:53 AM PST     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:13 PM PST     6.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:22 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:24 PM PST     6.77 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:59 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1-0.90.11.63.35.26.88.18.78.68.17.46.86.46.26.36.56.76.76.35.54.12.50.9

Tide / Current Tables for Sinclair Island, 1 mile NE of, Washington Current
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Sinclair Island
Click for MapFlood direction 307 true
Ebb direction 112 true

Wed -- 03:03 AM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:03 AM PST     0.20 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 07:30 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:30 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:54 AM PST     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:50 PM PST     -0.48 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:23 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 04:49 PM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:02 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:49 PM PST     0.02 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 07:59 PM PST     Moonset
Wed -- 11:40 PM PST     -0.92 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1-0.7-0.4-00.10.20.20.20.1-0.1-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.10.10-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.8-0.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.