Thursday, November15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Edison, WA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:18AMSunset 4:30PM Thursday November 15, 2018 2:06 AM PST (10:06 UTC) Moonrise 1:40PMMoonset 11:43PM Illumination 48% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
PZZ133 Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands- 848 Pm Pst Wed Nov 14 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from Thursday morning through Thursday evening...
Tonight..S wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Thu..S wind 5 to 15 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less building to 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon. A chance of showers.
Thu night..S wind 15 to 25 kt becoming sw 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft or less after midnight. Showers likely in the evening then a chance of showers after midnight.
Fri..N wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night..N wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..NE wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft.
Sat night..N wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft.
Sun..NE wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft.
Mon..E wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft.
PZZ100 848 Pm Pst Wed Nov 14 2018
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..Gradients and winds will subside tonight. A second system will move through Thursday afternoon into early Friday. Small craft advisory conditions likely again for the coastal waters, west entrance, and northern inland waters. In wake of this system, offshore flow will return for the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Edison, WA
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 48.65, -122.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus66 ksew 150553
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
953 pm pst Wed nov 14 2018

Update
Periods of rain showers have essentially come to a close this
evening as today's frontal system fades out. Water vapor imagery
this evening shows a deepening trough near 160w, which in turn in
helping build a ridge downstream across the eastern pacific and
towards the west coast. This will allow for weak height rises
across western washington over the next 12 hours or so. In turn,
this will allow for a brief break in the more active weather we've
seen over the last 24 hours. Although tonight will be dry,
abundant low cloud cover will remain in place and min temps will
likely be a degree or two warmer than last night with lows in the
mid and upper 40s generally the rule for coastal and lowland
locations.

The brief respite in the more quiet weather pattern will be
short-lived as the next shortwave begins to drop south from NW bc,
southeast towards the northern us border. This will push some
cloud cover down towards the local area early Thursday, tho this
will be masked by residual stratus into the afternoon. As the
shortwave propagates closer to the area late Thursday afternoon
and evening, the bulk of the vorticity will be displaced to our
east. Nonetheless, jet forcing and associated weak sfc frontal
system will be enough to push some shower activity into the area.

Rain is expected to be light and not cause major impacts, and most
of the activity will occur late Thursday into Friday morning.

Will see gradual drying thru the day Friday with ridging expected
to build into the area for the weekend. Dry weather still looks on
tap thru at least Monday before synoptic scale discrepancies
become much more obvious.

Please refer to the previous discussion below for further forecast
information.

Kovacik

Prev discussion issued 208 pm pst Wed nov 14 2018

Synopsis Showers will gradually diminish this evening. The
next weather system will keep conditions wet Thursday and into
Friday. Upper level ridging is expected to resume over the weekend
allowing for dry conditions as well as overnight and morning fog.

A front may approach the region early next week with a chance of
rain.

Short term After a fairly breezy start to the day across the
north sound, winds have decreased significantly. Showers continue
to drift across western washington this afternoon with a modest
pscz extending east across snohomish county. These showers will
gradually diminish over the next 6 to 12 hours. However, the next
shortwave will come quickly on its heals with showers spreading
south across the region Thursday into Friday. Precipitation
amounts with this next system appear to be low-impact at this
time. -wolcott-

Long term A strong upper level ridge amplifies offshore
Friday, then shifts over the pacific northwest over the weekend.

Models keep the ridge in place through at least Monday, with areas
of night and morning fog. Cold pocket locations will drop below
freezing for lows, with freezing fog likely around the southwest
interior and interior south puget sound.

The gfs ECMWF continue to have difficulty establishing the long
wave pattern next week, although both models agree on split flow.

This will tend to slow and weaken systems as the northern branch
brings systems into the region. Timing of systems early next week
is difficult with models flip flopping with each run. The ecmwf
shows some light rain possible by Monday night or Tuesday. A more
active weather pattern could develop next week.

Mercer

Aviation Frontal passage today with residual lower level
moisture in place will allow for abundant coverage of low cloud
cover overnight tonight into Thursday. Ceilings have been lowering
over the last several hours to low-end MVFR and high-end ifr. This
trend is expected to continue thru the overnight and morning
hours. Some fog will also be possible. Could see some brief breaks
in the afternoon on Thursday but a secondary system will likely
reinforce cloud cover Thursday night and Friday. Winds from the
south will be the rule this TAF cycle.

Kovacik
ksea... Shower activity has diminished for the night. Moist
airmass in place will likely keep MVFR ceilings and potentially
ifr if current trends keep up going into Thursday morning.

Improvement toVFR will be possible after 18-20z before ceilings
lower again Thursday night into Friday. Winds likely to dance from
sw to SE thru the period at under 10kts.

Kovacik

Marine Weak onshore flow will continue thru Thursday as high
pressure resides just offshore the pacnw coast. Gradients have
become much more relaxed after frontal passage today and overall
expecting a break in the stronger winds overnight tonight. By
Thursday morning, attention will be placed on the next quick
moving weather system across bc, along with a deepening trough
near 160w. Guidance is indicating increasing swells with
increasing period to near 10-11ft across the outer coastal waters
and the west entrance near daybreak Thursday and for now will
leave SCA for hazardous seas across this area. Gradients also look
to tighten across the northern inland waters Thursday morning and
current SCA for winds across those waters looks good for now.

Gradients and seas relax for Friday as more tranquil weather looks
to be store.

Kovacik

Hydrology Will need to monitor rainfall for later this week
with the next system brushing the area Thursday, but amounts look
about the same as today . Flooding is unlikely on area rivers
through the next 7 days. Jbb

Sew watches warnings advisories
Wa... None.

Pz... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas from 7 am to 10 pm pst
Thursday for coastal waters from CAPE flattery to james
island 10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from CAPE flattery to
james island out 10 nm-coastal waters from james island to
point grenville 10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from james
island to point grenville out 10 nm-coastal waters from
point grenville to CAPE shoalwater 10 to 60 nm-coastal
waters from point grenville to CAPE shoalwater out 10 nm-
west entrance u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca.

Small craft advisory from 10 am to 10 pm pst Thursday for
northern inland waters including the san juan islands.



Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46118 7 mi71 min WNW 12 50°F 1027.5 hPa48°F
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 13 mi36 min SSE 2.9 46°F 1029 hPa46°F
CPMW1 20 mi36 min SSE 11 G 12 50°F 49°F
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA 20 mi36 min 1027.9 hPa
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 28 mi90 min WSW 2.9 G 5.1 49°F 50°F1028.2 hPa
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 29 mi76 min SSE 8.9 G 9.9 51°F 1028.2 hPa (+0.3)47°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 40 mi36 min Calm G 1 47°F 50°F1029 hPa
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 41 mi46 min SSE 3.9 G 5.8 50°F 49°F1028.2 hPa48°F

Wind History for Cherry Point, WA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
Last
24hr
E10
E11
G15
E13
G16
E6
G9
SE17
G24
S27
G33
S28
S26
S19
G25
S17
G21
SE17
SE20
S20
SE17
S19
S17
S18
SE13
S14
S11
S13
SE6
G9
SE4
G7
SE8
1 day
ago
E12
E10
E13
NE11
NE8
G11
E2
G6
E11
E7
S4
G7
SE4
SE5
G8
SE7
G10
SE7
S2
G5
W4
N3
NE6
SE7
NE9
E14
G18
E10
G14
NW11
NE10
G14
E6
2 days
ago
N4
N7
NW1
G4
N7
NE6
G9
NE8
G11
NE4
G9
NW3
G6
NW9
NW5
NW7
N4
N3
E1
W1
G5
E1
NE13
G16
E15
E13
G16
NE15
G20
E10
G15

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bellingham, Bellingham International Airport, WA10 mi13 minS 510.00 miOvercast51°F46°F86%1028.5 hPa
Burlington/Mount Vernon, Skagit Regional Airport, WA13 mi11 minN 06.00 miFog/Mist48°F48°F100%1028.8 hPa
Eastsound, Orcas Island Airport, WA22 mi11 minS 910.00 miOvercast50°F50°F100%1027.4 hPa
Whidbey Island Naval Air Station - Ault Field, WA22 mi10 minESE 58.00 miMostly Cloudy52°F46°F83%1029.6 hPa

Wind History from BLI (wind in knots)
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
Last 24hrSE12
G19
CalmE5CalmSE18
G23
SE19
G30
S17
G30
SE23
G31
S17
G24
S16
G22
S12
G24
S12S11
G18
S11
G18
S11
G19
S10S11
G18
S7S9
G15
S6S9S8S5S4
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmN4CalmS4SE7S8CalmCalmNW33N4E5N3SE12SE83
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3N4CalmN3NE3N7N7N6N6N4N3CalmCalmCalmN3N3N3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Chuckanut Bay, Washington
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Chuckanut Bay
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:33 AM PST     1.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:54 AM PST     First Quarter
Thu -- 07:18 AM PST     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:41 AM PST     8.46 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:39 PM PST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:30 PM PST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:04 PM PST     4.74 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:32 PM PST     5.13 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:42 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
3.42.41.61.11.11.62.63.95.36.77.78.38.48.17.56.75.95.34.94.74.95.15.14.9

Tide / Current Tables for Sinclair Island, 1 mile NE of, Washington Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Sinclair Island
Click for MapFlood direction 307 true
Ebb direction 112 true

Thu -- 02:09 AM PST     -0.59 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:01 AM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:54 AM PST     First Quarter
Thu -- 07:19 AM PST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:52 AM PST     0.15 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:27 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:39 PM PST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:30 PM PST     Sunset
Thu -- 04:35 PM PST     -0.53 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:34 PM PST     -0.10 knots Min Ebb
Thu -- 11:43 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
-0.6-0.6-0.6-0.6-0.5-0.2-00.10.10.10.10-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (5,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.