Thursday, August25, 2016 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 8:22PM Thursday August 25, 2016 6:14 AM AZOST (06:14 UTC) Moonrise 10:55PMMoonset 1:47PM Illumination 52% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 250458
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1258 am edt Thu aug 25 2016

Synopsis
High pressure will remain southeast of the region through
Thursday. A cold front will cross the region Friday. High
pressure builds Saturday and Sunday.

Near term /through today/
Update...

surface high pressure will remain southeast of the region
overnight, while an upper level disturbance tracks northwest of
maine. Generally expect partly cloudy skies north, with mostly
clear skies across central/downeast portions of the forecast area
overnight. Could also have patchy fog overnight, with the better
chances along the downeast coast. Overnight low temperatures will
range from around 60 to the lower 60s across the forecast area.

Have updated the forecast to adjust for current conditions along
with overnight temperatures and cloud cover.

Previous discussion...

a weak disturbance in the form of a very shallow 500mb trof
moving thru the ridge will cross the CWA thurs afternoon. This
will bring the risk for some shwrs and perhaps a stray t-storm to
the northern areas, mainly north of a greenville-houlton line.

Kept pops limited to chance and kept QPF fairly low due to the
likely isolated nature of the precip and the continuing wide
spread in model solutions for QPF thurs pm.

Short term /tonight through Saturday/
Thursday night will be warm with a thermal ridge along and a
southwest surface flow. Have gone above guidance for lows in the
mid to upper 60s and high humidity. With an approaching frontal
system and the potential instability on Thursday night, have gone
with a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms for
much of the forecast area. Patchy fog and low clouds will tend to
develop later in the night with an onshore flow and continue into
early morning. The fog and low clouds will persist longer on
Friday along the coast. Will continue the chance of showers and
thunderstorms on Friday with the approaching cold front. The
chances of any stronger thunderstorms remains in question due to
the timing of the surface front and the upper level shortwave
ejecting from the great lakes region. Shear is impressive, but
cape is not. The best combination of CAPE and shear currently
appears to be in northeast aroostook county in the afternoon with
the cold frontal passage, but confidence is not high enough to
add enhanced wording at this time. Once the front is through, high
pressure builds Friday night and Saturday with cooler temperatures
and lower humidity.

Long term /Saturday night through Thursday/
High pressure centered over the area will produce a relatively
chilly Saturday night. Can't rule out readings near 40f in the
allagash. Most the forecast area will have lows in the 40s except
bangor and the down east region where low 50s are anticipated.

Pleasant highs in the 70s with low humidity continues Sunday. A
frontal system crosses Sunday night into Monday with timing still
uncertain. Due to the timing uncertainties, did not specify
thunderstorms for Monday afternoon. Regardless of the model, high
pressure is expected to return Monday night into Tuesday night.

Another front is possible towards Wednesday with a chance of
showers towards the crown of maine.

Aviation /05z Thursday through Monday/
Near term: variable conditions could occur with any patchy fog
overnight, then with any showers/thunderstorms Thursday afternoon.

Otherwise,VFR conditions are expected overnight through Thursday.

Have also included low level wind shear overnight.

Short term: most of the period will beVFR. The exceptions will
be later Thursday night into Friday morning when ifr ceilings are
possible. These ifr ceilings may persist much of the day towards
bhb. Thunderstorms are another concern Thursday night and Friday.

Patchy valley fog is possible towards sunrise on Sunday morning.

Marine
Near term: winds/seas are expected to remain below small craft
advisory levels overnight through early Thursday, though
conditions could begin to approach small craft advisory levels
later Thursday afternoon and evening. Visibilities could be
reduced in patchy fog overnight through Thursday.

Short term: fog will develop Thursday night and continue Friday.

Winds will be near 20kts on Thursday night with seas in the 4 to 5
ft range... But decrease Friday into Saturday. A thunderstorm or
two is possible Friday afternoon.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Norcross/kredensor
short term... Mcw
long term... Mcw
aviation... Norcross/mcw
marine... Norcross/mcw


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62138 31 mi75 min 59°F 1018.9 hPa (+0.4)59°F
62150 41 mi75 min N 8 59°F 2 ft1019.5 hPa (+0.7)59°F
62144 - North Sea 95 mi75 min NNW 5.1 62°F 2 ft1017.3 hPa (-0.1)61°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.