Monday, June25, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:20AMSunset 9:09PM Monday June 25, 2018 7:33 AM AZOST (07:33 UTC) Moonrise 5:47PMMoonset 2:11AM Illumination 90% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug

Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 250332
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1132 pm edt Sun jun 24 2018

Low pressure will develop in the gulf of maine tonight and move
east into the canadian maritimes Monday. High pressure will
build across the region Tuesday then move east Wednesday.

Near term through Monday
11:30 pm update. Rain coverage was modified a bit to reflect a
very sharp northern cutoff to the rain over north central
aroostook county. Also, increased pop central and downeast which
is currently under a large, sratiform area of rain as the low
tracks through the southern gulf of maine. Temps look good so no
chances to temps were made.

Previous discussion:
a cold front is slowly sinking southward across the
area... Currently stretching from northern piscataquis county
towards houlton at this time. It will continue to slowly sag
towards the coast later this evening. Precipitation will develop
this evening along a baroclinic zone north of the surface
front... Aided by the entrance region to a strong upper jet.

Later in the evening, cyclogenesis occurs in southern new
england this evening and precipitation will expand southward to
cover the entire forecast area. There is currently a broad area
of precipitation across upstate new york and ontario associated
with a shortwave trough. This upper level trough will amplify
dramatically overnight as a strong jet moves into the backside
of it. These dynamic developments will spur the deepening of the
surface low as it crosses the gulf of maine and create a fairly
substantial rainfall event for most of the area tonight. The
pattern looks more like a winter storm than a summer event. In
general, one half to three-quarters of an inch are expected with
a maximum axis from northern washington county westward to
greenville, but couldn't rule out a full inch. Have specified
heavy rain overnight in this area, but don't see enough
instability aloft to call for any thunderstorms. The steady rain
will exit the southern half of the forecast area in the
morning... Leaving a mostly cloudy and cool day as highs only
reach the low to mid 60s versus normal highs in the mid 70s.

There will be some showers remaining Monday afternoon... Mostly
towards the western border of the forecast area. A sharp upper
trough with a lot of cold air aloft will be in place, but
surface heating will be limited and SBCAPE will be limited to a
few hundred j kg. As a result, will not be adding thunderstorms
now, but can't rule out an isolated storm or two with that much
cold air aloft in late june.

Short term Monday night through Wednesday
High pressure will build across the region Monday night through
Tuesday then move east Wednesday. Any lingering diurnal showers
will end Monday evening. Cloud cover will then decrease Monday
night. Mostly clear skies are expected Tuesday through much of
Wednesday, with increasing clouds later Wednesday. Temperatures
will be at near normal levels Tuesday, with above normal level
temperatures Wednesday.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
Low pressure tracking across the eastern great lakes will draw a
warm front toward the region Wednesday night, which will bring
increasing rain chances late. The low tracks northwest of the
region Thursday drawing the warm front across the region, with a
weakening cold front trof late. Rain is expected Thursday, along
with a possible thunderstorm. The rain will taper to showers
later Thursday night. The remnants of the weakening cold
front trof could help support the development of a shower
Friday. Surface upper level ridging will build across the region
Saturday and Sunday with warming temperatures and increasing
humidity. Convective complexes will also be moving over the top
of the building ridge Saturday and Sunday. However, whether
these complexes remain north of the forecast area or cross the
region is still uncertain. Temperatures will be at near normal,
to slightly below normal, levels Thursday. Temperatures will
warm Friday through Sunday with increasingly above normal level
temperatures. The heat and humidity could produce heat index
values approaching heat advisory levels Sunday, particularly
inland from the coast.

Aviation 04z Monday through Friday
Near term: the CIGS and vis will trend towards ifr MVFR by
midnight and remain so until Monday morning. Southern sites such
as bgr and bhb won't recover toVFR until after midday Monday,
but northern sites will trend toVFR by late morning or earlier.

Short term:VFR conditions are expected Monday night through
Wednesday. MVFR to lifr conditions are expected Wednesday night
into Thursday night. Generally expectVFR conditions Friday,
though occasional MVFR conditions remain possible.

Near term: a brief SCA is needed for the outer marine zones
Monday morning as the low strengthens and pulls away. It's a
glancing blow for several hours and will only affect our coastal
waters rather than south and west of penobscot bay. South swell
will increase towards 4 feet later tonight into Monday morning.

Short term: winds seas are expected to remain below small craft
advisory levels Monday night through Wednesday.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 7 am to 2 pm edt Monday for anz050-

Near term... CB mcw mcb
short term... Norcross
long term... Norcross
aviation... CB mcw norcross
marine... CB mcw norcross

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62150 41 mi93 min W 7 61°F 2 ft1026.2 hPa (+0.1)
62144 - North Sea 95 mi93 min Calm 59°F 2 ft1025.5 hPa (+0.1)53°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.