Monday, May25, 2015

Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.
1/11/2015 - Updated Marine Zones because NOAA split some zones on the East Coast. You may need to edit or your forecast section.

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 8:55PM Monday May 25, 2015 11:17 PM AZOST (23:17 UTC) Moonrise 11:14AMMoonset 12:31AM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug

Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 251924
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
324 pm edt Mon may 25 2015

A warm front will move through the area overnight tonight. A
strong subtropical ridge off the southeastern us coast will build
north this week. The ridge will bring a warm and humid southwest
flow of air into northern new england this week with mid summer
like temperatures. A strong cold front will likely cross the
region on Saturday.

Near term /through Tuesday/
A warm front will move into the southern portions of region at
the start of the period... Expanding north and east overnight. By
morning... The front will move east of the area. A weak ridge of
higher pressure will move in behind the front... And will remain
through the end of the period. Intermittent rain... With isolated
thunderstorm overnight into early tomorrow morning. Mild
temperatures with higher humidity across the area tomorrow general
in the mid 70s to around 80f... Except around 70f on the coast.

Continued pop/wx/qpf grids from previous fcst... Loaded blend
gfs/nam/ecmwf/gem for wnds. Added 15 percent to wnds for gusts
over land 30 percent over coastal waters. Loaded wnawave 4 for
seas in the coastal waters.

Short term /Tuesday night through Thursday/
The period Tuesday night through Thursday will be dominated by a
strong subtropical ridge that amplifies early in the period and
remains in place. This bermuda high will bring warm and humid
conditions in an early taste of summer. H925 temps will easily
support highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Dewpoints will creep
into the lower 60s with several effects. First... Coastal fog will
be an issue during the nights and early mornings. Second... Record
warm low temperatures will be possible. Third... This moisture will
provide ample fuel for afternoon thunderstorms. On Tuesday
night... The area will be well into the warm sector with a thermal
ridge overhead. A weak cold front in quebec will approach the
saint john valley Tuesday evening... But it appears that most
shower and thunderstorm activity will remain north of the forecast
area. The front will stall and not enter the forecast area. Lows
Tuesday night will only drop to the lower 60s... Marking the
warmest night of the year so far and potentially a record warm
low. These elevated lows will provide a springboard to highs that
will be mostly in the low 80s on Wednesday. There will be enough
of an onshore component to the wind to reduce highs on the coast
to the upper 60s to lower 70s. Another cold front will approach
from quebec Wednesday and generate a chance of thunderstorms... Mostly
for northwestern portions of the forecast area. Down east will
likely not be affected. The primary concern for these storms will
be heavy downpours with 40k ft tops... Dewpoints in the mid to
upper 60s... High pwats and deep warm layers... But there is
potential for damaging wind gusts as bulk shear increases later
Wednesday. The front will stall in far northern zones Wednesday
night and allow for another humid night with lows in the lower 60s
and some elevated convection. The coast will see lows drop to the
lower 50s with fog. The stalled cold front will provide another
round of potentially severe storms and heavy downpours on Thursday
as the front creeps southward during the day. Activity will be
enhanced as a strong upper level shortwave approaches from the
great lakes region. Thursday will be the day of concern for bangor
and down east.

Long term /Thursday night through Monday/
Convection with the front will die down for the down east region
Thursday evening and it appears there will be a bit of a break in
the convective action for Friday with slightly cooler temperatures
and dew points as canadian high pressure builds. The high will
push off to the east on Saturday and a much stronger cold front
will approach. This front will have much more shear and potential
for severe storms if the front crosses Saturday afternoon.

However... There is uncertainly where it will be delayed until
Saturday night. This frontal passage will mark the return to a
canadian air mass with cooler temperatures and low humidity
through Monday. &&

Aviation /19z Monday through Saturday/
Near term:VFR conditions... Bcmg MVFR bgr and bhb early this evng
as warm front moves in... Ifr aft 10 pm with rain... Mist...

isolated tstms. Conditions spread north and east overnight. Bcmg
MVFR around 10 pm hul... Midnight pqi... Car... Fve. Ifr around 2am.

Bgr and bhb will bcmg lifr with light rain and fog midnight to
7am... Improving to ifr... With vsby clearing... Low clouds will
break mid morning to become MVFR. Hul... Pqi... Car... Fve will
become MVFR by morning.

Short term:VFR Tuesday night except along the down east coast.

Thunderstorms will be a threat Wednesday afternoon... Mostly north
of a line from greenville towards hul. Fog and stratus will
create ifr conditions Wednesday night... Especially towards bhb and
the coast where lifr is probable. This will burn off Thursday
morning... But thunderstorms will be the threat again. These storms
may reach fl400 both days.VFR returns Thursday night into Friday.

Near term: winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA through
the period. A high pressure ridge will build into the coastal
waters through the period. Seas will be 4 to 6 ft mainly in a
southerly swell.

Short term: fog is the biggest concern... Starting later Tuesday
night into Wednesday morning and continuing into Saturday night.

Stable conditions will keep winds down... But longer period swell
may hit 5 ft at times.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Norton
short term... Mcw
long term... Mcw
aviation... Norton/mcw
marine... Norton/mcw

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62138 31 mi78 min 51°F 1020.1 hPa (+0.3)40°F
62150 41 mi78 min SW 8 51°F 2 ft1020.7 hPa (+0.3)43°F
62144 - North Sea 95 mi78 min W 7 50°F 2 ft1019.9 hPa (+0.4)42°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.