Friday, April18, 2014 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
11/18/2013 - I just got an email from NOAA saying all their network problems have been fixed. Sorry for the inconvenience.
11/16/2013 - NOAA worked over the last month to fix the load speed for our daily forecast. Then went from 60% fast loads to 99.8% fast loads.
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Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 8:22PM Friday April 18, 2014 6:09 PM AZOST (18:09 UTC) Moonrise 10:58PMMoonset 6:45AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 181710
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
110 pm edt Fri apr 18 2014

Synopsis
Cold high pressure will move east into the maritimes today. A
trough of low press will approach the region tonight and move east
across the area Saturday. High pres will build into the region on
Sunday.&&

Near term /through tonight/
Update: high pres to the E of the area ATTM w/ just some mainly
high clds across the NRN and WRN areas w/ weak WAA associated w/ an
approaching trof of low pres expected to cross the area later tngt
and sat. High clds thick enuf across the W and N so still some
question that fcst highs across these areas can be reached. At
best will only fall a a degree or two short so will hold the
course for now. A few hydro issues persist and these are detailed
blo... No changes to the going fcst needed attm.

Previous discussion...

concerns this term are continued flood threat and possible snow
later tonight into Saturday morning.

Ice was moving down the st. John river through madawaska into van
buren. The river appears to wide open north of madawaska all the
way through fort kent back to st. Francis. Flood watch remains up
and authorities are monitoring the situation. See hydrology
section below for more details.

06z sfc analysis showed high pres moving into the maritimes. A
frontal boundary is forecast to approach the region later today
and then move into the region tonight with precipitation possible.

Before that happens, the region should see increasing clouds today
but moderating temperatures with readings by later today hitting
upper 40s and possibly lower 50s. Decided to stay pretty close to
the day crew's thinking ATTM w/this setup. Winds will be no higher
10 mph which will aid in some melting of the remaining snow pack
especially across the north and west.

For tonight, clouds will thicken as a frontal boundary approaches
from quebec. Temperatures will fall back as the column moistens.

Mod soundings support evaporative cooling at the start of the
precipitation leading to more cooling in the blyr. Confidence is
high enough the the precipitation will fall in the form of snow
especially across the northern and western areas and right near
the maine-canadian border. There appears to be a mid level jet let
of 30 kts streaming through the northern 1/2 of the region by
early Saturday morning enhancing precipitation for a time. Qpf
amounts are forecast to be no higher than 0.10" and using a
10-12:1 ratio this leads to snowfall amounts of 0.5 to 1.0 and
mainly across the far northern and western areas. Temperatures
will drop back below 32f across the northern 1/2 of the CWA w/low
to mid 30s central and downeast.&&

Short term /Saturday through Sunday/
A shortwave trough will swing through northern maine on
Saturday... Bringing a chance of showers to the crown of the state.

Weak surface high pressure builds in Saturday night and Sunday.

Temperatures will be below normal on Saturday and near normal on
Sunday.

Long term /Sunday night through Thursday/
High pressure aloft along the east coast will result in a warm
spring day on Monday. The rest of the week looks unsettled with a
deepening shortwave trough closing off in the vicinity of the new
england coast by mid week. The 00z GFS is closer to the coast and
deeper than the 00z ecmwf. Both solutions are wet with heavier
qpf totals with the gfs. This scenario will need to be watched with
river levels still high after the ice break up.

Aviation /17z Friday through Tuesday/
Near term: looks likeVFR into tonight. There is a concern
for MVFR for kfve after 06z.

Short term: MVFR CIGS will be possible on Saturday in showers across
the northern TAF sites /kfve kcar kpqi khul/

Marine
Near term: no headlines. A swell continues ATTM and it looks like
it will build gradually later today into tonight but wave heights
are forecast to remain below SCA levels. Winds will 10-15 kts at
best into tonight.

Short term: no headlines are forecast during this time period.

Hydrology
Update: appears there is still some ice on the st john from grand
isle to hamlin tho does not appear to be any significant jamming
and problems attm. Will cont to monitor for any psbl probs...

prev disc: the mattawamkeag river has hit record flood stage
w/the latest reading of 16.10 ft and now crested. The mattawamkeag
river will most likely remain above flood stage right into the
easter weekend. The penobscot, piscataquis, and aroostook rivers
are running high but are receding w/conditions improving.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Khw/hewitt
short term... Okulski
long term... Okulski
aviation... Khw
marine... Khw/hewitt/okulski
hydrology... Khw/hewitt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62150 41 mi70 min N 13 45°F 8 ft1023.6 hPa (-0.2)
62144 - North Sea 95 mi70 min N 13 45°F 6 ft1021.8 hPa (+0.2)35°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.