Saturday, August1, 2015 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.
1/11/2015 - Updated Marine Zones because NOAA split some zones on the East Coast. You may need to edit or your forecast section.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 8:51PM Sunday August 2, 2015 12:10 AM AZOST (00:10 UTC) Moonrise 8:40PMMoonset 7:01AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 012217
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
617 pm edt Sat aug 1 2015

Synopsis
A series of upper level disturbances will move across the region
this weekend bringing showers and thunderstorms. A cold front is
expected to approach the region Monday night and move across the
area on Tuesday.

Near term /through Sunday/
615 pm update...

tstms are pretty much out of CWA this evng with just an isold
shower skirting acrs the crown of maine in advance of wk s/wv.

Next batch of pcpn ovr SRN quebec on tap to mv into CWA wl lkly
diminish with loss of diurnal htg per latest hrrr and nam. Expect
just an isold shower to affect WRN zones by daybreak at the most.

Winds wl lkly rmn up high enuf to prevent much in the way of
patchy fog ovrngt tho this is something that may need to be added
in later. Hv adjusted hrly t/td values in wake of area of
convection. No chgs needed to min temps tonight at this point.

Prev discussion blo...

thunderstorms are ongoing this afternoon as an upper shortwave
traverses across the region. This activity will quickly move into
new brunswick by this evening as the shortwave continues to push
east. Thereafter, skies will clear out as shortwave ridging
briefly builds into the area. Overnight lows will be in the mid to
upper 50s in most locations.

For tomorrow... Another upper shortwave will trek across the
region. This will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms,
mainly to northern portions of our area. Highs will be in the mid
70s north, to around 80 across interior downeast.

Short term /Sunday night through Tuesday/
Cwa wl be in transition fm hipres to appchg lopres on Sun ngt.

Lopres wl mv into ERN quebec with trailing cdfnt back to the west by
12z mon. 12z models differ on placement of front by this time with
gfs further west than nam/cmc. H5 flow bcms zonal at the start of
the short term with brief ridging thru most of the ovrngt. Ridge wl
deflect s/wvs off to the NW with only isold shra or thunder expected
acrs the far north twd daybreak as upr trof and assoc front appchs.

Min temps Sun ngt wl be fairly uniform acrs CWA in the u50s. Srly
flow acrs downeast wl keep temps warm and cldy skies acrs the NW wl
keep temps fm dropping off too much drg the night. Elevated
instability expected to be present thru 04z acrs the crown of maine.

Airmass wl lkly destabilize ahd of next appchg front on Monday.

Temps wl warm into the l/m 80s as temps soar abv 20c. Bufkit sndgs
indicate 500-1000 j/kg per GFS for Mon aftn while NAM is about 2x
as high. Cyclonically-curved hodograph along with strong bulk
shear values and strong mid-lvl lapse rates wl lkly spell the next
svr threat late aftn into the evng.

Fropa occurs sometime Tue mrng with contd showers and possibly
tstorms ahd of upr lvl trof. Maxes on Tue wl be right arnd normal
as showers and clouds prevent much rise in temps.

Long term /Tuesday night through Saturday/
The main concern for the extended forecast period is a series of
weak upper level shortwaves that are progged to propagate ewd
across maine. Each wave could produce isold/sctd showers and
storms across the northern two thirds of our cwa... With the best
chance occurring on Wednesday. This activity will have a strong
diurnal component... So we are expecting most of the precip to fall
during the daytime hours. Temperatures will be cooler with below
normal temps. Highs will generally range from the upper 60s to mid
70s.

Aviation /22z Saturday through Thursday/
Near term: mainlyVFR expected after 00z Sunday as skies will
clear out. Local ifr will be possible until then in scattered
showers and thunderstorms.VFR will prevail 18z Sunday, then local
MVFR is possible at the northern terminals as scattered showers
and thunderstorms develop during the afternoon.

Short term:VFR expected through Monday morning before line of
showers and thunderstorms ahead of front brings MVFR and possibly
ifr conditions to terminals late Mon afternoon continuing through
the day on Tuesday.VFR and occasional MVFR can be expected
through the middle of the week as upper level disturbance moves
through thenVFR after.

Marine
Near term: no headlines will be needed across the waters tonight
and Sunday. Winds will remain at 10 to 15 kt and waves around 3
feet through the period.

Short term: winds/seas will remain below small craft advisory
criteria through Monday night. Southerly winds ahead of front may
allow seas to build above 5 feet on Tuesday.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Farrar/hastings
short term... Farrar
long term... Berdes
aviation... Farrar/hastings/farrar
marine... Farrar/hastings/farrar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62138 31 mi71 min 58°F 1017 hPa (+1.2)55°F
62144 - North Sea 95 mi71 min WNW 6 59°F 1 ft1017.3 hPa (+1.6)54°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.