Tuesday, September2, 2014 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/17/2014 - I reported slow load times to NOAA and they quickly resolved the problem. Sorry for any inconvience. NOAA had some stuck processes on two servers. This was a problem on 5 to 10% of the requests.
6/10/2014 - Marine Zones updated. Some zones have changed. Edit your Marine Forecast section to check.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 8:11PM Tuesday September 2, 2014 4:14 AM AZOST (04:14 UTC) Moonrise 1:42PMMoonset 10:26PM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 53.55, -0.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kcar 020018
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
818 pm edt Mon sep 1 2014

Synopsis
A cold front will approach later Tuesday... Then cross the region
Tuesday night through early Wednesday. High pressure will follow
behind the front for the late week.

Near term /through Tuesday/
8 pm update: latest radar imagery indicates that tstms dissipated
leaving isold to wdly sct shwr activity msly across WRN and srn
ptns of the fa. Tstms were eliminated from the fcst grids for the
rest of the eve and pops were adjusted based on this cvrg. Otherwise
hrly fcst cld cvr and temps were adjusted for the ovrngt based on
latest Sat and sfc obs. Fcst ovrngt lows remained unchgd attm.

Orgnl disc: an upper level disturbance will be exiting the region
at the start of the near term period of the forecast. A weak ridge
of higher pressure will build in tonight into early
tomorrow... Before another cold front moves into WRN maine by mid
day tomorrow. The gfs... Ecmwf... Gem... And NAM are in good
agreement on position and movement of the weather trough the near
term period. All are placing a weak surface low over ern
washington county at the start of the period... This is a
reflection of the upper level short wave that tracked through
maine today. A ridge of higher pressure with the high centered
over ERN quebec will build into NRN maine behind the low. Showers
will taper off after sunset... Patchy fog will again develop over
much of the area overnight into tomorrow morning. Low stratus
clouds will hang around through the morning hours... Then begin to
burn off in the afternoon providing mostly sunny downeast... Partly
sunny central and north early afternoon. High and middle clouds
will be moving into the area in advance of the next front that
will be into WRN maine early afternoon.

Loaded a blend of gfs/ecmwf/gem/nam for hrly
temp/max/min/wnd/sky/pop added 15 percent to winds for gusts over
land... 25 percent over coastal waters. Loaded nawave 4 for seas in
the coastal waters.

Short term /Tuesday night through Thursday/
A cold front and an associated upper disturbance will move through Tuesday
night from west to east bringing showers and thunderstorms. Models
depict precipitable water values of 1.5 to 2.0 inches along with
strong upper dynamics so raised QPF amounts for Tuesday night over
the north where the forcing is the strongest. Generally expect a
quarter to half inch of liquid over northern areas, with locally
higher amounts, with a tenth to a quarter inch in the south with
through Tuesday night. However due to the fairly fast movement of the
front not expecting any hydro issues. Any lingering showers over
eastern area quickly come to an end Wednesday morning. Otherwise
expect a mix of Sun and clouds for Wednesday with breezy
conditions and highs in the 70s to around 80 over interior
downeast locals.

A ridge of high pressure drifting south of the region will be the main
weather player for the area for Wednesday night and Thursday.

Conditions will be mainly clear to partly cloudy with lows
Wednesday night in the upper 40s to mid 50s and highs Thursday once
again in the 70s to around 80.

Long term /Thursday night through Monday/
High pressure will set up south of the area Thursday night into
Friday with a low passing by well to the north. This will set up a
warm SW flow with highs Friday jumping into the low to mid 80s. A
cold front will approach late day from the northwest bringing a
late day chance of showers and thunderstorms to northern areas.

However the better chances for more widespread showers and storms
occurs Friday night as the front pushes south into the region.

Forecast models begin to diverge heading into the weekend as to whether
the above mentioned front pushes south of the area resulting in
clearing vs. Stalling out with a new wave of low pressure riding
northeast along it. This latter solution would result in more
rain and showers by later Saturday into Saturday
night... Especially south. Utilizing our long range model blend
procedures, we keep chance pops in the forecast through Saturday
night with the best chances of precip occurring over southern
areas.

Expect conditions to become mainly dry but cooler for Sunday and
Monday as high pressure moves in.

Aviation /22z Monday through Saturday/
Near term: MVFR conditions for bgr... Bhb this afternoon... Bcmg lMVFR
conditions in showers at bgr. Conditions will fall to lifr by
morning in fog. LMVFR conditions for hul... Pqi... Car... And fve
with sct showers and isolated tstms. TSTM most likely btwn bgr
and hul early in the period. Conditions will fall to lifr in fog
from late this evening to early tomorrow morning. LMVFR mid
morning... MVFR toVFR late morning in advance of the next front.

By the end of the period the next front will be into
fve... Bringing another round of lMVFR to ifr conditions with
showers.

Short term: showers and storms will result in MVFR/ifr conditions
Tuesday night with improvement toVFR for Wednesday and Thursday
as the front sweeps east and high pressure moves in. The next cold
front moving through Friday night will once again bring the
potential for reduced ceilings/vis with the possible MVFR/ifr conditions.

Marine
Near term: wnds and seas below SCA criteria through the period.

Short term: the main concern for Tuesday night will be fog along
with showers and potential thunderstorms moving across the waters
in association with a cold front. However winds/seas look to
remain below SCA levels. Showers/storms move east by Wednesday
morning with high pressure building in for later Wednesday into
Thursday over the waters.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Vjn
short term... Fitzsimmons
long term... Fitzsimmons
aviation... Vjn/fitzsimmons
marine... Vjn/fitzsimmons


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62150 41 mi74 min NNW 2.9 57°F 2 ft1023.6 hPa (+0.3)
62144 - North Sea 95 mi74 min NNW 8 58°F 1 ft1022.2 hPa (+0.1)54°F

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
Click EDIT to select an airport
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (0,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.