Friday, September19, 2014 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/17/2014 - I reported slow load times to NOAA and they quickly resolved the problem. Sorry for any inconvience. NOAA had some stuck processes on two servers. This was a problem on 5 to 10% of the requests.
6/10/2014 - Marine Zones updated. Some zones have changed. Edit your Marine Forecast section to check.

Sunrise 7:27AMSunset 7:45PM Friday September 19, 2014 9:46 AM AZOST (09:46 UTC) Moonrise 12:42AMMoonset 3:53PM Illumination 23% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 190754
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
354 am edt Fri sep 19 2014

Synopsis
High pressure will build across the region today and move east of
the area Saturday. A cold front will approach northern new england
Sunday... And cross the area Sunday night. A second cold front
will cross the area Tuesday.

Near term /through tonight/
Cold and dry high pressure will move from quebec to the gulf of
maine today and tonight with the coldest air of the season to
date. Little or no low level moisture will produce generally
clear skies today with highs ranging from the low 50s north to the
upper 50s for bangor and down east. With dew points in the low
20s... The air will have a very dry and crisp fall-like feel.

The high will remain in place tonight... Allowing a radiation
inversion to form with frost and freeze conditions affecting down
east the most. Expect another night of frost/freeze
headlines... But will hold off until the current headlines are
canceled. Most of the model guidance appears too high for
tonight's lows down east where skies will remain clear most of the
night while cirrus thickens in northern zones. Anticipate
temperatures to drop quickly with some decoupling of the boundary
layer and low temperatures being reached not too long after
midnight. The return flow on the backside of the high will provide
a rapid warm up towards the coast later tonight with some
stratocu fields possible.

Short term /Saturday through Sunday/
High pressure will continue to retreat into the atlantic Sat with
a mild return flow on the back side of the departing high. A cold
front will begin to organize well to the west of the region with a
weak warm front to lift across western maine. This may touch off a
shower across parts of NW maine and into the saint john
valley... But for most of the CWA it will be a dry day. The cold
front continues to make slow progress toward the area sun. The
flow aloft is nearly parallel to the sfc front and the front will
remain west of the area through 00z Monday. The chance of showers
will increase Sun with the best chance across western and
northern maine. Much of the down east region may remain mainly dry
into sun. Temperatures will rebound to above normal levels with
highs near or even a little above 70f in most areas.

Long term /Sunday night through Thursday/
Still some question as to how things will play out. The canadian
is by far the most aggressive at developing a low along the new
england coast and would bring a soaking rain to the CWA Sun night
into Mon morning. The GFS keeps the low further east and more or
less just has a strong frontal passage with some showers. Given
the uncertainty stayed close to a model consensus for now with
high chance/low likely pops Sun night. A much cooler air mass in
the wake of the front Mon with a brisk west wind. A strong
secondary cold front and upper trough work across the area Tue and
tue night with clouds and a few showers... Especially so across the
crown of maine where highs will not get out of the 50s tue. High
pressure will build across new england Wed into Thu with dry and
clear weather. Temperatures will be on the cool side Wed and
moderate to seasonable levels thu.

Aviation /08z Friday through Tuesday/
Near term:VFR... Slight chance of MVFR CIGS at bhb by Saturday morning.

Short term: mostlyVFR over the weekend... With pockets of MVFR
possible Sat night into Sun at the northern terminals. MVFR/ifr
possible in showers/rain Sun night. Conditions should improve to
vfr Monday. Pockets of MVFR possible Tue at the northern
terminals.

Marine
Near term: SCA over waters will wind down this morning. Gusts this
morning to 25 kts will drop off to the 10 to 15 kt range as the
high pressure system builds over the waters.

Short term: the seas will gradually build ahead of an approaching
cold front over the weekend and may reach SCA levels by Sat night
over the coastal waters.

Climate
The temperature at caribou fell to 31f shortly before
midnight last night. This was the first time the temperature fell
below freezing at caribou this fall. The last time the temperature
fell below freezing was on 5/13/14 for a total of 128 days this year
when the temperature remained above freezing.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... Freeze warning until 8 am edt this morning for mez005-006-010-
011-031-032.

Frost advisory until 8 am edt this morning for mez015>017.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 am edt this morning for anz050-
051.

Near term... Mcw
short term... Cb
long term... Cb
aviation... Mcw/cb
marine... Mcw/cb
climate... Cb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62150 41 mi47 min NNE 9.9 58°F 3 ft1013.9 hPa (+0.4)
62144 - North Sea 95 mi47 min NE 7 60°F 2 ft1012.5 hPa (+0.6)59°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.