Sunday, May28, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 8:58PM Monday May 29, 2017 12:13 AM AZOST (00:13 UTC) Moonrise 7:43AMMoonset 11:40PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug

Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 282256
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
656 pm edt Sun may 28 2017

A cold front will move into the area tonight and then stall
through Monday. An occluded front from the west will cross the
region later Monday night with unsettled conditions continuing
behind this front through midweek.

Near term through Monday
630pm update...

did tweak pop and wx grids some through 09z for current
conditions and expected evolution into the overnight hours. Have
been seeing scattered showers mainly across the central
highlands into the north woods, but there have been a few
showers that have fired east of the route 11 corridor, as well.

There have been a few random strikes of lightning, so kept the
isolated thunder in the grids thru 03z, in line with the
previous forecast. Consistent with the SPC mesoanalysis of cape,
it appears that any shower activity will diminish if not
completely dissipate approaching a katahdin-houlton line, as
there is little to no CAPE to the south. Activity may diminish
some after sunset, but instability aloft may be able to keep
some showers going several hours beyond then.

Original discussion...

expect showers and isolated thunder over northern areas tonight
as a cold front stalls. Skies will remain partly to mostly
cloudy tonight into Monday across southern areas. The front will
move northward into canada Monday morning. An occluded front
will approach from the southwest later in the day Monday with
more showers breaking out ahead of this front.

Short term Monday night through Wednesday night
The first round of shwrs will traverse across the fa ahead of a
weak occluded front Mon ngt, with fcst rnfl amts durg this pd a
quarter inch or less and MAX pops about 80 percent attm. After
a relative break in shwrs erly Tue morn, another round of shwrs
with isolated tstms looks like a good bet for Tue aftn into erly
eve with MAX pops in the high likely range as spokes of upper
lvl energy rotate arnd a broad upper low ovr ont prov. These
shwrs will move E dissipate by ovrngt tue, leaving late ngt
patchy fog.

Otherwise, the same process will begin on Wed with another S wv
movg wsw to ene from the great lks as the upper low remains ovr
ont prov. Shwrs will increase again in the aftn with the
addition of day tm htg to destabilize the lower to mid
atmosphere. This time, there appears to be a little more of
mucape upwards to arnd 500j kg for a better chc of tstms in the
aftn into erly eve with MAX pops in the likely range. Shwrs and
any tstms will weaken and lessen in cvrg again ovrngt wed.

Temps in the short term will be below avg for hi temps on tue
but then recovering closer to normal hi temps on Wed with a
little more in the way of morn sunshine xpctd this day.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
The overall lw pattern will feature weakly positive pna and nao
teleconnection forcing ovr na, which will keep upper lvl
troffing ovr the ERN u.S. Alg with contd unsettled conditions
for the late weekend for our rgn with perhaps a break in shwrs
for the rgn by sun. Until then, there will be a chc of shwrs
every aftn and erly eve from Thu thru sat, with isold thunder
possible Thu aftn erly eve. Despite day tm cld cvr and shwrs
spcly aftn, most of the really cool llvl air will remain in
cntrl can, so temps will be close to seasonal norms.

Aviation 00z Monday through Friday
Near term: expect MVFR ifr conditions tonight and Monday, with
some isolated showers also to be dodged north of khul through
tonight, and.

Short to long term: mslyVFR all TAF sites, with intervals of
MVFR clgs and vsbys in heavier shwrs and patchy late ngt ifr
clgs Mon ngt, Tue ngt and perhaps Wed ngt.

Near term: have used the NAM for sustained winds. For waves:
currently a southerly swell is the primary wave system (2-3
feet 8-9 seconds). With light winds expected this wave group
will continue to be the primary wave group through tonight.

During the day Monday expect easterly winds to increase in speed
producing a secondary wave system. Will use the nearshore
prediction system for wave grids.

Short to long term: no hdlns anticipated attm, with winds and wv
hts msly below SCA criteria. Went with about 85% of ww3 wv
guidance for fcst WV hts this update, with WV pds msly between
5 to 7 secs.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Kredensor mignone
short term... Vjn
long term... Vjn
aviation... Kredensor mignone vjn
marine... Kredensor mignone vjn

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62138 31 mi74 min 54°F 1018.8 hPa (+0.3)51°F
62150 41 mi74 min ENE 11 53°F 1 ft1019.1 hPa (+0.0)50°F
62144 - North Sea 95 mi74 min ENE 9.9 55°F 1 ft1018.1 hPa (+0.2)54°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.