Thursday, November26, 2015

Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.
1/11/2015 - Updated Marine Zones because NOAA split some zones on the East Coast. You may need to edit or your forecast section.

Sunrise 7:33AMSunset 5:27PM Thursday November 26, 2015 11:57 PM AZOT (00:57 UTC) Moonrise 4:52PMMoonset 7:50AM Illumination 99% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug

Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 262349
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
649 pm est Thu nov 26 2015

A cold front will move into northern maine late Friday and cross
the region Friday night. High pressure will build across the
region through the weekend. A cold front will cross the region

Near term /through Friday/
620 pm update: we updated hrly temps by importing obsvd hi temps
from this aftn... 5-6pm obsvd hrly temps and slightly modified low
ovrngt low temps. Use of the diurnal tool for temps based on a
blend of raw model temps suggests early eve lows... With temps
steady or very slowly rising ovrngt. Also... We ran probabilistic
sn totals for this very low end post cold frontal rn chgng to sn
pd across the N for Fri ngt.

We may need to bump pops upwards across the NW quarter of the fa
for tngt in the next update if shwrs persist in crossing ovr from
qb prov.

Orgnl disc: high pressure continues to dominate until late Friday
with continued warm advection ahead of the cold front. A
combination of high clouds ahead of the front and and lower clouds
trapped under a subsidence inversion will maintain generally
cloudy skies through the period. The combination of winds... Warm
advection and the clouds mean that lows will only be nominally
below this afternoon's readings. This will allow prefrontal
temperatures on Friday to reach the upper 40s to lower 50s. Rain
will break out in the crown of maine towards mid afternoon and
slowly spread south into the evening. Much of the precip will be
behind this front as warm and moist air from the subtropical jet
stream ascends northeastward behind the surface front... Or
anafront. Colder air will arrive in the saint john valley in the
evening with a changeover to snow expected. Expect up to a quarter
inch of rain in northern aroostook county by early evening.

Short term /Friday night through Sunday/
A cold front will cross the region Friday night with an area of
rain in advance of the front. Colder air in the wake of the front
will allow the precipitation to change to snow before ending
across northern portions of the forecast area. Any snow
accumulations across northern areas are generally expected to be
less than an inch. High pressure will build across the region
later Friday night through Sunday. Expect decreasing clouds across
the region Saturday morning... With mostly sunny skies during the
afternoon. Generally expect mostly clear skies across the region
Saturday night. However... Clouds could begin to increase across
northern areas late in advance of an approaching cold front and
upper level disturbance. The cold front will cross the region
Sunday... With an upper level disturbance crossing northern maine
during the afternoon. Expect partly sunny/mostly cloudy skies
along with a slight chance of snow showers across northern areas
Sunday... With partly/mostly sunny skies across central and
downeast portions of the forecast area. Temperatures will be at
near normal... To slightly below normal... Levels Saturday/Sunday.

Long term /Sunday night through Thursday/
The extended forecast period will start out dry Sunday night
through Monday night with a large high pressure over the
northeast. This ridge will give way to a large low pressure system
developing over the midwest/great lakes which will propagate ewrd
new york and new england during the middle part of next week. The
precip associated with this disturbance will overspread all of our
cwa Thursday night... Mainly in the form of snow except across far
downeast areas. However strong southerly flow will draw warm air
north and most of the precip will mix with and change over to rain
by Wednesday afternoon. The low will then move east of our cwa
Wednesday night and Thursday... Dragging a strong cold front sewrd
across the cwa... Changing the rain back to a wintry mix or all
snow. There are some time differences between the GFS and ecmwf
solutions... But both show this same event.

Aviation /00z Friday through Tuesday/
Near term: conditions will vary betweenVFR and MVFR ceilings.

Nam guidance looks too moist with a relatively dry SW flow and no
precip until later Friday. However... The strong subsidence
inversion will trap moisture at MVFR ceiling heights at times
through the period.

Ifr due to rain and ceilings will hit fve... Car and pqi late
Friday afternoon.

Short term: MVFR to lifr conditions are expected across the region
early Friday night... With improving conditions late. Generally
expectVFR conditions across the region Saturday through Saturday
night... Though MVFR ceilings could linger downeast early Saturday.

Occasional MVFR conditions are possible across northern maine
Sunday. Otherwise... GenerallyVFR conditions are expected across
the region Sunday into Tuesday. Ifr/lifr conditions could then
develop Tuesday night.

Near term: the SCA will continue into Friday evening with 25 to 30
kts gusts and seas reaching up to 6 ft.

Short term: small craft advisory conditions are expected Friday
night through Saturday. Conditions are then expected to be below
small craft advisory levels Saturday night/Sunday. Visibilities
will be reduced in rain Friday night.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 am est Saturday for anz050>052.

Near term... Vjn
short term... Norcross
long term... Cb/berdes
aviation... Vjn/norcross
marine... Vjn/norcross

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62138 31 mi58 min 49°F 1016 hPa (-1.5)47°F
62150 41 mi58 min SW 16 49°F 3 ft1016.7 hPa (-1.5)47°F
62144 - North Sea 95 mi58 min SSW 16 49°F 3 ft1016.3 hPa (-1.7)46°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.