Tuesday, September26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:33AMSunset 7:34PM Tuesday September 26, 2017 6:17 PM AZOST (18:17 UTC) Moonrise 12:25PMMoonset 9:08PM Illumination 36% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 261640
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1240 pm edt Tue sep 26 2017

Synopsis
A weak cold front will move across northern maine this
afternoon then stall. The front will move back north in the
form of a warm front later tonight and Wednesday. A strong
cold front will cross the region Wednesday night through
early Thursday.

Near term through tonight
1240 pm update... No significant changes were needed with this
update. Hot and humid conditions continue this afternoon. The
cold front has been slow to make much southward progress, but
looks to have finally crossed the saint lawrence river. Clouds
have popped up across northern areas, and still expect we could
see a few showers through the evening hours. Spc's mesoanalysis
indicates sb capes of 500-1000 j kg from houlton north to the
saint john valley so have continued with isolated thunder for
this afternoon in these areas. Otherwise, just made some slight
tweaks to temps and sky cover to match the latest surface obs
and satellite trends. Overall the forecast remains in good
shape.

Previous discussion... A weak cold front will
move across northern maine today then stall across central
portions of the forecast area. The front will begin to lift back
north in the form of a warm front later tonight. An isolated
shower is possible across northern areas with the weak cold
front this afternoon. Otherwise, partly sunny skies are expected
across the region today along with record setting warmth. Areas
of fog are also expected across downeast areas early this
morning which could be locally dense along the coast, with
patchy fog across the remainder of the region. Partly to mostly
cloudy skies are expected across the region tonight along with
isolated scattered showers. Low clouds and fog from the gulf of
maine could again move inland across downeast areas tonight,
with patchy fog across the remainder of the region. High
temperatures today will range from the upper 70s to mid 80s
north, to the upper 80s to around 90 interior downeast with
upper 70s to lower 80s along the downeast coast. Low
temperatures tonight will generally range from the mid 50s to
around 60 across the forecast area.

Short term Wednesday through Thursday
Low pressure is expected to pass to the north of new england
Wednesday and Wednesday night. A cold front will move across
the region behind the low early Thursday resulting in showers.

Scattered thunderstorms are possible ahead of the approaching
front Wednesday afternoon and evening. Hurricane maria is
expected to pass out to sea well to the south of new england
late Thursday. Showers are expected to end during the day
Thursday as the cold front moves offshore.

Long term Thursday night through Monday
A colder air mass will move across the region Friday into
Saturday as strong high pressure builds in from the west. The
high will approach from the west Sunday then crest over the
region Monday then slowly move to the east on Tuesday and
Wednesday. Dry conditions are expected from Saturday into
Wednesday under the strong high.

Aviation 18z Tuesday through Sunday
Near term: ifr to vlifr conditions are expected along the
downeast coast with low clouds and fog early this morning.

Variable conditions will occur with any fog across the remainder
of the region early this morning.VFR conditions are expected
across the region later this morning into the afternoon.

Conditions will lower to MVFR ifr levels across much of the
forecast area tonight, with lifr vlifr conditions again possible
along the downeast coast.

Short term: expect MVFRVFR conditions Wednesday into Wednesday
night.VFR conditions are expected Thursday into Saturday.

Marine
Near term: a small craft advisory for hazardous seas remains in
effect for the waters today through tonight due to a long
period south swell. Visibilities will be significantly reduced
in fog today through tonight.

Short term: have used the NAM to initialize the wind grids.

With sea surface temperature running in the mid 50s will lower
wind speed by 20 percent to account for high model bias. For
waves: long period swell from hurricane maria (6-7 feet 14
seconds) will continue to arrive on Wednesday and Thursday and
is expected to be the primary wave system across the gulf of
maine.. The eastern maine coast will be partially protected from
the storm on Wednesday but as maria moves to the east Thursday
some larger swell is possible. Longer period waves will shoal
and break in much deeper water than shorter period waves and it
is recommended that mariners exercise extra caution in shoaling
areas. A secondary southerly wind wave is expected Wednesday
which will become off-shore Thursday. Long period swell is
expected to slowly subside over the weekend. Will use the
nearshore wave prediction system (nwps) to initialize the wave
grids. Will adjust wave heights lower by 1 foot to correct
expected high bias.

Tides coastal flooding
Currently long period swell from maria which is running at
14-15 seconds 5-6 feet is entering the gulf of maine. The long
period swell is expected to persist through Wednesday as
hurricane marine moves out to sea well to the south of new
england Thursday.

Long period waves have a high impact in the surf zone, and can
run up much higher on the shore than shorter period waves
resulting in the danger of spectators being washed into the
ocean. Dangerous rip currents are also expected. A high surf
advisory will therefore be issued.

Coastal flooding or beach erosion is not expected at this time.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... High surf advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for mez029-030.

Marine... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 8 pm edt
Wednesday for anz050>052.

Near term... Hastings norcross
short term... Mignone
long term... Mignone
aviation... Hastings norcross mignone
marine... Hastings norcross mignone
tides coastal flooding...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62138 31 mi78 min 57°F 1024.4 hPa (+0.0)57°F
62150 41 mi78 min E 5.1 57°F 3 ft1024.9 hPa (+0.1)57°F
62144 - North Sea 95 mi78 min ESE 13 59°F 2 ft1023.9 hPa (+0.4)56°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.