Monday, March30, 2015

Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.
1/11/2015 - Updated Marine Zones because NOAA split some zones on the East Coast. You may need to edit or your forecast section.

Sunrise 7:27AMSunset 8:05PM Tuesday March 31, 2015 3:15 AM AZOST (03:15 UTC) Moonrise 2:35PMMoonset 3:59AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug

Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 302139
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
539 pm edt Mon mar 30 2015

Low pressure will pass north of the area overnight and send a
cold front across the region Tuesday morning. High pressure will
build across the area Tuesday night and Wednesday. A warm front
will lift north across the area Thursday into Thursday night. A
cold front will cross the region Friday.

Near term /until 6 am Tuesday morning/
530 pm update: latest radar imagery shows enough ref cvrg to
justify likely and even low categorical pops late this aftn and
erly eve... With pops then lowering to chc or less later tngt as
the main area of sn shwrs retreats into new brunswick. Spotter
reports indicate mixed rn and sn shwrs ovr downeast areas when
precip intensity is lgt and msly all sn with greater intensity...

so we will keep rn/sn shwr mix here into the eve. Not aware of
anyone reporting much at all in the way of accumulation... With
late march background dytm insolation melting sn on contact with
the ground... Spcly road sfcs. Lastly... We made adjustments to fcst
hrly temps into the ovrngt based on 5 pm obsvd temps... Which
indicated cooler temps across the region due to evaporational
cooling with precip onset... To attm... Unchgd fcst low temps
at 7 am.

Orgnl disc: a short wave will cross the region early this
evening. Some light snow or rain showers in advance of this system
will diminish early this evening as the short wave moves east. An
area of low pressure passing to our north overnight will push a
cold front across the region late tonight and then to our east
early Tuesday. Some scattered snow showers are possible with the
passage of the cold front overnight mainly across northern and
western areas. Lows tonight will range from the upper 20s to
around 30 degrees.

High pressure will begin to build east toward the region on
Tuesday. Expect mostly cloudy skies with scattered morning snow
showers north and partial clearing across central and down east
areas. High temperatures on Tuesday will range from the upper 30s
across northern areas and lower 40s down east.

Short term /6 am Tuesday morning through Thursday/
Low pres moves off the nj coast Tue eve and will pass well south
of the CWA Tue night. High pres builds across the region Wed and
wed night and moves into the western atlantic thu. Low pres tracks
across ontario Thu with a warm front to develop across northern
new england Thu pm. An upper low in northern quebec Tue evening
will move into the western gulf of st lawrence wed. There will be
a shot of cold air across the area Tue night and Wed with temps
averaging about 15 degrees below normal for the start of april.

Highs Wed will likely not get out of the 20s across the st john
valley to the mid 30s down east. It should be a m/sunny day across
downeast maine and p/sunny across the north where there will be a
bit more clouds cover associated with the upper trough. Wed night
will be clear and cold with some increase in clouds late at night.

The clouds will thicken up during the day Thu with the chance of
snow across the western mountains and northern maine by afternoon
with rain down east that could briefly start as snow.

Long term /Thursday night through Monday/
A warm front will lift across the area Thu night with snow to end
as some rain/snow showers or drizzle across northern areas with
periods of rain and drizzle down east. There will likely be some
areas of fog too. Much more uncertainty fri-sun. A cold front will
cross the area Fri or Fri night... But how quickly and whether it
stalls out across the region or pushes offshore remains in
question. This will have major implications as another low is
expected to develop along the frontal boundary over the weekend.

The GFS gives a glancing blow with a period of snow downeast. The
ecmwf would bring more significant snow and rain to much of the
region. The ECMWF ensembles have a significant amount of spread
with a number of members even taking the low to the west of the
area. The GFS ensemble mean takes the low to the southern tip of
nova scotia Sat morning and is more or less a compromise between
the operational GFS and ecmwf. Once the low moves out Sat night
there will be another shot of cold air and a possible weak clipper
system with the chance of light snow sun.

Aviation /22z Monday through Saturday/
Near term: ifr/MVFR conditions in scattered snow/rain showers
late this afternoon will improve to MVFR/vfr overnight.VFR
conditions are then expected on Tuesday with gusty northwest

Short term:VFR expected Tue night into Thu morning. Conditions
will likely deteriorate to MVFR and possibly ifr in rain and snow
thu afternoon. Ifr and possible lifr Thu night into early Fri with
areas of fog and showers. Ifr again possible Sat in rain and/or

Near term: wind/seas will remain at small craft advisory levels
through Tuesday. Visibility will be reduced to 1 to 3 nm in rain
or snow showers through early evening.

Short term: a small craft advisory (sca) will likely be required
for wind Wed into Wed night. The wind and seas are expected to be
below SCA levels Thu as high pres crests over the waters. Another
sca will likely be needed by Thu night as sly flow increases ahead
of low pres that will be passing well to the NW of the waters.

This march is projected to end as the 4th coldest on
record at bangor. For the period jan-mar it will likely end as
the coldest on record at bangor.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 pm edt Tuesday for anz050>052.

Near term... Vjn
short term... Cb
long term... Cb
aviation... Vjn/cb
marine... Vjn/cb

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62150 41 mi75 min W 32 49°F 987.4 hPa (-1.3)42°F
62144 - North Sea 95 mi75 min W 31 48°F 8 ft987 hPa (-3.1)41°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.