Tuesday, May31, 2016 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:20AMSunset 9:00PM Wednesday June 1, 2016 1:34 AM AZOST (01:34 UTC) Moonrise 1:59AMMoonset 3:21PM Illumination 19% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 312251
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
651 pm edt Tue may 31 2016

Synopsis
Canadian high pressure will build into the region late tonight and
Wednesday, and will move east of the area Thursday. Low pressure
will pass to the north of the area Friday sending a cold front
into the saint lawrence river valley Friday afternoon.

Near term /through Wednesday/
645 pm update: thunder has ended across the region... But sct shwrs
persist across the n... So we needed to xtnd sct to isold shwrs a
few more hrs into the mid to late eve... With activity to end late
tngt as per the latest hrrr sim radar ref. Other adjustments were
made to fcst hrly cld cvr... Winds... Temps and dwpts into the
ovrngt based on latest Sat imagery and sfc obs... With fcst ovrngt
low temps at 5 am unchgd this update.

Orgnl disc: the strongest storm of the day is currently passing
across the border. After that, it seems like we will mostly have
lingering showers and perhaps few rumbles of thunder through the
rest of the afternoon as CAPE is likely dropping in the cold pool
behind these storms. Broad high pressure moving will move across
the CWA from canada overnight into Wednesday, leading to crashing
dewpoints and clearing skies over the next 18 hours. Behind the
front, Wednesday looks like a rather pleasant and seasonably warm
day across the state.

Short term /Wednesday night through Friday/
On Wednesday night... High pressure moves into the canadian
maritimes. A southerly flow on the backside of the high will
advect some stratocumulus into the area on Thursday and the
onshore flow will keep highs along the coast in the lower 50s.

Further inland... Most areas outside of the down east region will
measure highs in the upper 60s to near 70f. The cool maritime air
spreads over the entire area on Thursday night with low clouds and
fog under a frontal inversion. Rain will arrive later Thursday
night with a warm front and associated weak shortwave aloft. There
will be some instability aloft and a thunderstorm cannot be ruled
out towards aroostook county but have not added this to the grids
right now. The warm front will not make it cleanly through the
area for Friday. The result will be coastal fog and low clouds
under the frontal inversion most of the day... Especially towards
the coast. This will generate another chilly day for the down east
region with highs in the low to mid 50s. The frontal inversion
will break in the western mountains on Friday afternoon with
highs in the low to mid 70s and the threat of afternoon
thunderstorms. Have introduced the chance of afternoon
thunderstorms for the NW zones where some afternoon heating will
occur ahead of the cold front in the warm sector.

Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/
Generally pleasant weather is expected this coming weekend before
a large and deep storm system digging into the great lakes at the
beginning of next week brings a few days of overcast and rainy
weather. A corridor of dry weather between a weak upper low to our
north and the approaching trough to our southwest will bring a
partly sunny and seasonably warm day on Saturday. Sunday should
remain dry and warm with partial sunshine. Meanwhile, the big storm
system will be digging into the lakes late in the weekend and some
clouds may begin to increase late in the day from this system.

Forecast models are in some disagreement with how fast clouds
approach with the GFS keeping skies mostly sunny on Sunday but the
ecmwf and canadian bringing clouds in more quickly from the
southwest. The storm moves in Monday with clouds, increasing
southeasterly winds and rain moving in from south to north. The low
will very slowly move across the area through early week bringing a
continuation of clouds and periods of rain and drizzle Tuesday and
Wednesday. Rain amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible across the
area from this system through early to mid week next week.

Aviation /00z Wednesday through Sunday/
Near term: patchy MVFR for kcar thru khul for patchy shower
activity this afternoon. All terminals areVFR later tonight
through Wednesday as high pressure builds in.

Short term: mostlyVFR Wednesday night into Thursday with the
exception of a few brief periods of MVFR clgs. Ifr clgs set in
Thursday night for all terminals and continue through Friday. The
exception will be towards gnr and fve and points westward. This
area will becomeVFR Friday afternoon with the chance of
thunderstorms. Embedded thunderstorms are also possible later
Thursday night... Mostly for pqi... Car and fve.

Marine
Near term: drier air moving in behind the front tonight with the
high pressure should limit the fog chances, while also bringing
calmer winds and lowering seas. No concerns for advisory level
winds or seas are anticipated.

Short term: fog is the big concern... Starting Thursday night and
continuing Friday. Have added areas of fog to the grids for this
period.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Vjn
short term... Mcw
long term... Bloomer
aviation... Vjn/mcw
marine... Vjn/mcw


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62138 31 mi95 min 49°F 1021.2 hPa (+0.1)49°F
62150 41 mi95 min N 18 50°F 8 ft1022 hPa (+0.5)50°F
62144 - North Sea 95 mi95 min N 14 52°F 7 ft1018.8 hPa (+0.5)51°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.