Thursday, October8, 2015

Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.
1/11/2015 - Updated Marine Zones because NOAA split some zones on the East Coast. You may need to edit or your forecast section.

Sunrise 7:44AMSunset 7:15PM Friday October 9, 2015 3:09 AM AZOST (03:09 UTC) Moonrise 2:25AMMoonset 4:04PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug

Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 082229
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
629 pm edt Thu oct 8 2015

High pressure will move east of the region tonight. Low pressure
will cross the region Friday... Drawing a cold front across the
region early Friday night. High pressure will build across the
region Saturday.

Near term /through Friday/
608 pm update: fcst hrly temps were adjusted to msly unchgd fcst
lows based on trends seen ovr the last couple of hrs from the
prev fcst at these hrs. Otherwise... The ramp up of pops late tngt
into Fri were adjusted based on the tmg of fcst 6 hrly QPF from
06z Fri thru 00z sat.

Orgnl disc: clouds associated with low pressure crossing the
great lakes are streaming into the forecast area this afternoon.

These mainly mid and high clouds will prevail tonight, especially
across the north and west. This will limit optimal radiational
cooling, in spite of high pressure and light/calm winds. Have
therefore gone toward the warmer end of the guidance for tonight's
low temperatures; lower/mid 30s in the north and upper 30s/lower
40s south. However, colder conditions will be possible should any
significant breaks develop in the cloud deck.

The aforementioned low will make its push across the forecast area
on Friday. Rain will begin to spread into western sections by 8 am,
eventually reaching our eastern border by noontime. The low will be
deepening as it pushes across the state, along with a 50+kt low-
level jet. This will allow for good lift and upslope into the
central highlands. Plenty of moisture there as well with pwats of
1.25 inches over the southern third of our region. Have therefore
increased expected rainfall amounts for tomorrow, with areas from
houlton and greenville south to see a half to three-quarters of an
inch. North of this line, rainfall will be in the quarter to a half
an inch. Highs will only be in the 40s in the northern areas, while
interior downeast locations will top out in the lower to mid 50s.

Short term /Friday night through Sunday/
Low pressure will exit across the maritimes early Friday night
while an upper trof crosses the region. Rain will decrease across
eastern areas early Friday night... With the most persistent rains
across the southeast corner of the forecast area. Cloud cover will
then decrease across the forecast area overnight with high
pressure starting to build east. High pressure will cross the
region Saturday with partly sunny skies across northern portions
of the forecast area... With mostly sunny skies across the rest of
the region. High pressure begins to move south Saturday
night... While a disturbance approaches northern areas. Cloud cover
will increase across the forecast area Saturday
night... Particularly across northern areas. Could also have a
slight chance of rain/snow showers late Saturday night across
northern areas. The disturbance will cross northern areas Sunday
with mostly cloudy skies and a chance of rain showers... Though
mixed rain/snow showers are possible early across northern areas.

Partly/mostly cloudy skies are expected across central portions of
the forecast area Sunday... With partly cloudy skies downeast.

Temperatures will be at below normal levels Saturday... With near
normal level temperatures Sunday.

Long term /Sunday night through Thursday/
A warm front will be lifting across the area Sunday evening
bringing clouds and the chance for some showers, mainly across the
north. This front will continue north of the area on Monday as
warmer air follows from the southwest. Monday will be a partly to
mostly sunny and warm day as upper level ridging combined with a
light southerly breeze boost highs into the mid to upper 60s. This
will be followed by a mild night Monday night. An occluded front
will then approach early Tuesday possibly forming a small
secondary low near the coast. This will bring a chance for showers
on Tuesday. The front should sweep east of the region Tuesday
night into Wednesday allowing for drier and cooler conditions to
move in on Wednesday. Another small occlusion quickly approaching
in our fast west to east flow may bring another chance for showers
on Thursday.

Aviation /00z Friday through Tuesday/
Near term:VFR conditions will prevail overnight. However, they
will give way to MVFR ceilings as widespread rain moves into the
region after 12z. MVFR conditions will continue through to 00z
Saturday, especially at kbgr and kbhb.

Short term: MVFR/ifr conditions are expected early Friday
night... Improving toVFR levels overnight. Generally expectVFR
conditions across the region Saturday through Sunday... Though
occasional MVFR conditions could occur across northern areas later
Saturday night through Sunday.VFR conditions are expected across
the region Monday. MVFR/ifr conditions are possible Tuesday.

Near term: a small craft advisory has been issued for much of the
day Friday. South winds will increase through the day as low
pressure moves to the north of the waters; gusts to 30 kt are
expected. Seas will respond accordingly, building to 5-6 feet by
mid afternoon.

Short term: small craft advisory conditions are expected Friday
night into Saturday. Conditions are expected to be below small
craft advisory levels Saturday night and Sunday. Visibilities
could be reduced in rain early Friday night.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 11 am Friday to 8 am edt Saturday
for anz050>052.

Near term... Vjn
short term... Norcross
long term... Bloomer
aviation... Vjn/norcross
marine... Vjn/norcross

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62138 31 mi69 min 54°F 1023.4 hPa (-0.1)51°F
62150 41 mi69 min SSE 2.9 55°F 3 ft1024.1 hPa (-0.1)49°F
62144 - North Sea 95 mi69 min NNW 1 56°F 3 ft1023.2 hPa (+0.1)46°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.