Wednesday, October22, 2014 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

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Sunrise 7:56AMSunset 6:57PM Wednesday October 22, 2014 7:53 AM AZOST (07:53 UTC) Moonrise 4:55AMMoonset 4:15PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec CDP, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 220427
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1227 am edt Wed oct 22 2014

Synopsis
Low pressure will intensify south of the region tonight and move
slowly northward Wednesday into Friday. This system will bring
significant rainfall to the region.

Near term /through today/
Update 0025 edt: based on latest observations and radar have
adjusted pops... Wind... Temperature and dew point.

Lots of rain on the way as low pressure parks itself off the
southern new england coast. So far, has just been intermittent
light rain central/downeast. The first push of more substantial
rain comes tonight for downeast, and lingering into tomorrow. Not
looking for anything that heavy for tonight and tomorrow... Just
intermittent light to moderate rain. The northern edge of the rain
for tonight and Wednesday will be a bit difficult to pinpoint, but
at this point, don't see the rain getting much further north than
houlton until perhaps late Wednesday afternoon or Wednesday
evening. Becoming quite windy out of the northeast late Wednesday
near the coast.

Short term /tonight through Friday/
Consensus model trends indicate whats left of the warm advcn rnfl
will be sliding E of the fa at the beginning of this pd Wed eve.

This will leave most of Wed ngt with lgt or no rnfl ovr much of the
fa... Xcpt the coast by erly Thu morn... Where the beginning of a more
pronounced deformation rnfl band movg nne from cntrl new eng will
begin to affect this ptn of the fa.

This deformation rnfl band will have the deepest moisture with the
greatest pws Thu into Thu ngt as it slowly slides nwrd into cntrl
and eventually NRN ptns of the fa. Whats left of this band will exit
nrn ptns of the fa by midday fri. We indicate the potential of hvy
rnfl in our grids Thu thru Thu ngt approx in the area encapsulated
by the 0.50 inch 6 hrly QPF isopleths for each successive 6 hr pd
durg these two pds. Rn should taper to sct shwrs S to N ovr the fa
fri behind the departure of the deformation band. With cld cvr and
rnfl xpctd ovr the region thru most of this pd... Diurnal/nocturnal
temp differences will be sig less than climo.

Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/
Cool and unsettled conditions will cont thru the weekend with sct
shwrs as whats left of the upper low from the mid atlc states and
another upper trof from cntrl can moves across the region. Drier
conditions and a warming trend will commence erly next week as
upper lvl ridging replaces the upper trof/low.

Aviation /06z Wednesday through Sunday/
Near term:VFR for areas from presque isle north through
Wednesday, except perhaps going down to MVFR late tomorrow
afternoon as rain begins to move in. Houlton will be near the
north edge of the rain tonight into Wednesday, so tough call on
vfr vs MVFR there. Further south, expect bangor and bar harbor to
go down to MVFR this evening as the rain moves in, then probably
fluctuating in between ifr and MVFR late tonight through Wednesday
with intermittent rain.

Short to long term: MVFR clgs xpctd across NRN taf sites Wed ngt
into Thu morn... With lifr-ifr clgs and vsbys in rn downeast sites
durg these pds. All sites should be lifr to ifr in clgs and vsbys
with rn Thu aftn into fri... With downeast sites improving to MVFR
by late Fri aftn. NRN taf sites will remain ifr Fri ngt with
downeast sites MVFR then MVFR N andVFR downeast Sat and sun.

Marine
Near term: northeasterly gales expected to develop late tonight
and persist into Wednesday. Seas will build from about 4 feet this
evening to 7 to 11 feet Wednesday. Could be some minor coastal
erosion issues with the high tide coming early Wednesday evening.

Don't think it's enough for a coastal flood advisory at this
point, though.

Short to long term: the glw will cont thru thu... With an interim
sca likely needed for Thu ngt. No hdlns needed for Fri into the
weekend attm... With wvs and winds possibly close to SCA thresholds
attms ovr the weekend. We kept close to ww3 WV guidance for this
update.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... Flood watch from Thursday morning through Friday morning for
mez010-011-015>017-029>032.

Wind advisory from 8 pm this evening to noon edt Thursday for
mez029-030.

Marine... Gale warning from 5 am early this morning to 8 pm edt Thursday
for anz050>052.

Near term... Mignone


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62150 41 mi54 min WNW 21 50°F 11 ft1021.7 hPa (+2.3)
62144 - North Sea 95 mi54 min WNW 25 51°F 12 ft1019.4 hPa (+2.0)40°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.