Monday, September25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ketchikan, AK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:26AMSunset 7:24PM Monday September 25, 2017 11:55 AM PDT (18:55 UTC) Moonrise 12:42PMMoonset 9:26PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ036 Clarence Strait- 359 Am Akdt Mon Sep 25 2017
Today..NW wind 10 kt early in the morning becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. Areas of fog early in the morning.
Tonight..SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
Tue..SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
Tue night..SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
Wed..SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Thu..SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Fri..SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ketchikan, AK
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location: 55.22, -132.1     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 251350
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
550 am akdt Mon sep 25 2017

Short term Monday and Tuesday a few lingering showers
across the southern part of the panhandle Monday morning should
diminish through the day. Fewer clouds over the central and
northern panhandle has allowed fog to form over the saturated
terrain. This should be improving after sunrise with heating and
mixing.

A trough digging south in the long wave trough south of the cold
bay region is building up the ridge along west coast of north
america. Expect the ridge axis to the east of southeast alaska,
meaning that the panhandle will be in the wetter side. This will
also shift the flow to be more out of the north central pacific,
which is looking to carry a lot of mid tropic moisture northward
with the waves.

Expect the start of the next system to move into the southern half
of the panhandle Monday night into Tuesday morning. Think the
initial axis of the triple point should move onshore near sumner
strait, then the rain will move north through the panhandle
Tuesday. By Tuesday the evening the upper level flow is more
southerly across the eastern gulf of alaska and that will be
shifting stream of moisture northward towards the cross sound
area by late Tuesday night.

Long term Wed night through Mon still some important model
differences to work out for mid-late week system but threat for
heavy rain somewhere in the area remains on the high side. Precip
water values are running 2.5-3 standard deviations above average
in the GFS ec ensemble guidance for wed-thu. Jet axis aloft will
run N into the NE gulf coast area with speeds in the 100-110 kt
range. At this point, main forecast difficulty is where axis of
heaviest rain sets up, and this is mainly due to models handling
low pressure waves on the front differently. Ended up not making
any big changes to the forecast for Wed night-thu but did bump
winds up some over the area based on model trends.

Later in the period, looking like main cold front will cross the
area late Thu or Thu night. Did speed up transition over to
showers behind this front for Thu night and fri. Weekend looking
on the wet and cooler side with remnant of parent low moving e
across the gulf. Will need to watch for any potential systems
coming out of the southern stream into the area by late in the
weekend or early next week, but there are large model differences
on this.

Aviation Lower clouds and rain over the southern third of the
panhandle this morning will improve as the last of the showers
fade into the afternoon. Across the central and northern inner
channels the morning fog has started to make and appearance. This
should burn off in the morning resulting in a mid levelVFR
ceiling or near ceiling if it clears out. Do expect that the
southern panhandle will start to get more rain spreading in over
the evening hours from the southwest.

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for pkz041-043-051-052.

Small craft advisory due to seas for pkz042.

Bezenek rwt
visit us at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KECA2 - 9450460 - Ketchikan, AK 26 mi44 min WNW 6 G 7 54°F 53°F1013.7 hPa
46145 - Central Dixon Entrance Buoy 61 mi56 min NNE 7.8 G 9.7 54°F 55°F3 ft1013 hPa (+1.4)
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK 66 mi46 min WNW 4.1 G 5.1 53°F 1012.3 hPa52°F

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ketchikan, Ketchikan International Airport, AK23 mi63 minNNW 79.00 miOvercast55°F54°F96%1013.4 hPa

Wind History from AKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE12
G21
SE12SE10SE13SE15SE8SE13SE9SE8SE5CalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW6NW5NW6NW7NW7NW6NW5NW7
1 day agoSE11SE10SE13
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2 days agoS6SE8SE8SE94SE7SE5SE5S4SE3SE3S3SE4S3S3SE6S6S5S8S8SE9SE12SE13SE12

Tide / Current Tables for Lancaster Cove, Cholmondeley Sound, Alaska
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Lancaster Cove
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:37 AM AKDT     12.86 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:40 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:22 AM AKDT     3.20 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:42 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:33 PM AKDT     13.94 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:38 PM AKDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:26 PM AKDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:57 PM AKDT     1.71 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
35.78.611.112.612.811.69.46.84.53.33.557.410.112.413.713.812.510.17.14.32.31.7

Tide / Current Tables for Niblack Anchorage, Moira Sound, Alaska
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Niblack Anchorage
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:37 AM AKDT     12.36 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:40 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:26 AM AKDT     3.20 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:41 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:33 PM AKDT     13.44 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:38 PM AKDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:27 PM AKDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:01 PM AKDT     1.71 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.85.48.210.712.112.311.29.16.74.53.33.44.87.19.711.913.213.312.19.874.32.41.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.